Final Score Prediction
Patriots 27, Bills 13
Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 10 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 16 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 100, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 36 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
WR 8 |
Danny Amendola  |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
WR 37 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 71 |
Aaron Dobson |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 11 |
Zach Sudfeld |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
K 9 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 1 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Buffalo Bills |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 31 |
EJ Manuel  |
Pass: 200, 0 TD Rush: 30, 0 |
RB 6 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-30, 0 |
RB 47 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 33 |
Steve Johnson |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
WR 65 |
T.J. Graham |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 97 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 22 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 24 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 2/2 XP: 1/1 |
DEF 26 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Game Notes
Patriots Have won 23 of past 25 vs. Bills... NE seeks 11th straight win vs. AFC East opponent... QB Tom Brady has thrown TD pass in 48 straight games, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (DREW BREES, 54). Ranks 5th all-time with 334 TD passes. Has 53 career 300-yard passing games, 5th-most in league annals. Brady is 20-2 (.909) as starter vs. Bills with 51 TDs vs. 17 INTs & 103 rating... In '12, RB Stevan Ridley (1,263) became 5th player in Patriots history to reach 1,200 rushing yards in season. Ridley is averaging 95 rush yards per game in past 3 vs. Buf. RB Brandon Bolden rushed for career-best 137 yards with TD in last game at Buf. WR Danny Amendola will make NE debut... LB Jerod Mayo led club w/ 184 tackles in '12... DE Rob Ninkovich had career-high 8 sacks in '12... S Devin McCourty has 4 INTs in past 3 vs. Bills... PR Julian Edelman has 3 career PR-TDs, tied for most in club history.
Bills DOUG MARRONE makes NFL debut as head coach... Rookie QB EJ Manuel (No. 16 overall) led Florida St. to 25-6 (.806) record as starter, 3rd-most wins in school history. Rookie QB Jeff Tuel could become 1st undrafted rookie QB to start team's 1st game of season in era of common draft (since 1967)... In '12, RB C.J. Spiller joined ADRIAN PETERSON (2012), JAMAAL CHARLES (2010) & HOFers JIM BROWN (1963), BARRY SANDERS (1997) & O.J. SIMPSON (1973) as only players in NFL history to rush for 1,200 yards in season while averaging 6.00 yards per carry or better. Spiller (1,244) reached 1,000 rush yards for 1st time in career. Since '07, RB Fred Jackson leads Buf. with 4,231 rush yards... WR Steve Johnson (1,046) is 1st Bills WR to post 3 straight 1,000-yard seasons (2010-12)... TE Scott Chandler (6 in '11 & '12) became 1st TE in team history with 6 TD rec. in back-to-back seasons...DE Mario Williams (10.5 in' 12) was 1st Bill since '09 to register 10+ sacks in season... Since entering NFL in '09, S Jairus Byrd (18) is tied for 3rd in NFL in INTs (ASANTE SAMUEL, 24; CHARLES WOODSON, 19; ED REED, 18).
Results and Schedule
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
|
|
4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
|
|
7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Buffalo Bills |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
NE |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
4 |
2013-09-29 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
5 |
2013-10-03 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
6 |
2013-10-13 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
7 |
2013-10-20 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
8 |
2013-10-27 |
NO |
A |
|
|
9 |
2013-11-03 |
KC |
H |
|
|
10 |
2013-11-10 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
TB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NE Offense |
BUF Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
31.8 |
17.5 |
22.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
123.3 |
129.0 |
119.6 |
BUF |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.91 |
4.79 |
4.34 |
BUF |
Completion % |
58.9% |
57.2% |
59.3% |
NE |
Passing yards |
283.5 |
207.3 |
223.1 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
12.22 |
10.92 |
11.02 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.20 |
6.25 |
6.53 |
NE |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
- |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
BUF |
3rd down conversions |
44.7% |
38.0% |
38.2% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
77.8% |
50.0% |
45.1% |
NE |
Time of possession |
30:54 |
29:53 |
30:18 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NE Defense |
BUF Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
16.3 |
19.3 |
22.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
103.3 |
120.0 |
119.6 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.00 |
4.52 |
4.34 |
NE |
Completion % |
58.0% |
50.5% |
59.3% |
BUF |
Passing yards |
230.3 |
197.0 |
223.1 |
BUF |
Passing yards per completion |
11.71 |
11.21 |
11.02 |
BUF |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.79 |
5.66 |
6.53 |
BUF |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
BUF |
3rd down conversions |
30.4% |
41.2% |
38.2% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
33.3% |
45.1% |
- |
Time of possession |
29:06 |
30:07 |
30:18 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NE |
BUF |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
9.1 |
9.4 |
10.0 |
BUF |
Yards per kick return |
15.5 |
28.4 |
22.9 |
BUF |
Yards allowed per punt return |
5.7 |
15.5 |
10.0 |
NE |
Yards allowed per kick return |
21.0 |
19.7 |
22.9 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NE |
BUF |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
BUF |
Penalty yards |
48.3 |
45.8 |
50.7 |
BUF |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2012 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
BUF |
NE |
16-13 |
BUF |
2000 |
16 |
2000-12-17 |
NE |
BUF |
13-10 |
NE |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
BUF |
NE |
11-21 |
NE |
2001 |
14 |
2001-12-16 |
NE |
BUF |
12-9 |
NE |
2002 |
9 |
2002-11-03 |
NE |
BUF |
38-7 |
NE |
2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
BUF |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
2003 |
1 |
2003-09-07 |
NE |
BUF |
0-31 |
BUF |
2003 |
17 |
2003-12-27 |
BUF |
NE |
0-31 |
NE |
2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
NE |
BUF |
31-17 |
NE |
2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
BUF |
NE |
6-29 |
NE |
2005 |
8 |
2005-10-30 |
BUF |
NE |
16-21 |
NE |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
NE |
BUF |
35-7 |
NE |
2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
BUF |
NE |
17-19 |
NE |
2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
NE |
BUF |
28-6 |
NE |
2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
BUF |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
NE |
BUF |
56-10 |
NE |
2008 |
10 |
2008-11-09 |
BUF |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
NE |
BUF |
13-0 |
NE |
2009 |
1 |
2009-09-14 |
BUF |
NE |
24-25 |
NE |
2009 |
15 |
2009-12-20 |
NE |
BUF |
17-10 |
NE |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
BUF |
NE |
30-38 |
NE |
2010 |
16 |
2010-12-26 |
NE |
BUF |
34-3 |
NE |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
NE |
BUF |
31-34 |
BUF |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
NE |
21-49 |
NE |
2012 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
NE |
BUF |
52-28 |
NE |
2012 |
10 |
2012-11-11 |
BUF |
NE |
31-37 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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