Prediction: Bears 27, Packers 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
Green Bay Packers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 6 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 7 |
Eddie Lacy  |
Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 48 |
James Starks |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 15 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
WR 38 |
James Jones |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
WR 42 |
Jarrett Boykin |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
TE 21 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 3-30, 1 TD |
K 20 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Chicago Bears |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 7 |
Jay Cutler |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 3 |
Matt Forte |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
RB 59 |
Michael Bush |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 7 |
Brandon Marshall |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
WR 16 |
Alshon Jeffery |
Rec: 4-70, 1 TD |
WR 91 |
Earl Bennett |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
TE 14 |
Martellus Bennett |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
K 9 |
Robbie Gould |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 18 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
WINNER CLINCHES NFC NORTH... Packers QB Aaron Rodgers aims for 4th consecutive win at Chi. (incl. playoffs). In past 2 at Chi., has 6 TDs, 1 INT & 114 rating. QB MATT FLYNN completed 31 of 44 (70.5 pct.) for 480 yards with 6 TDs vs. 1 INT for 136.4 rating in only Week 17 start (1/1/12)... Rookie RB Eddie Lacy leads NFL with 1,061 rush yards since Oct. 1. Has 1,112 rush yards & 10 rush TDs, both are most by GB rookie. Has 9 rush TDs in past 10, most in NFL since Week 7. In last meeting, rushed for career-high 150 yards & TD. RB James Starks had 32-yard rush TD in Week 9... WR Jordy Nelson has career-high 75 catches. Has 1,153 rec. yards & needs 111 for new career best (1,263). WR James Jones had 3 TDs in last game at Chi. WR Jarrett Boykin had TD last week... LB Clay Matthews has 5.5 sacks in past 2 meetings. LB A.J. Hawk leads team with 116 tackles. Had INT last week. LB Mike Neal has sack in 4 of past 6. CB Sam Shields leads team with 16 PD.
Bears QB Jay Cutler has 14,687 yards with Chi. & passed HOFer SID LUCKMAN (14,686) most in team history... RB Matt Forte has 1,229 rush & 547 rec. yards & is only Bear with 2 seasons with 1,000+ rush & 500+ rec. yards. Had 179 scrimmage yards (125 rush, 54 rec.) & TD in Week 9. ... WRs Alshon Jeffery (1,341) & Brandon Marshall (1,221) have combined for 2,562 rec. yards, most by duo in NFL. Jeffery has 73 catches for 1,237 yards (103.1 per game) & 7 TDs in past 12. Marshall has 2,729 rec. yards with Chi, most by Bear in 1st 2 seasons with team. TE Martellus Bennett has career-high 64 catches & 744 yards. Has 5 TDs, tied for career-best... DE Julius Peppers has 4.5 sacks & INT in past 3 meetings. Since entering NFL in 2002, has 118 sacks, 2nd most in NFL. Since 2012, CB Tim Jennings is 2nd in NFL with 12 INTs. S Major Wright leads team with 91 tackles. DE Shea McClellin had career-high 3 sacks in last meeting.
Results and Schedule
Green Bay Packers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
SF |
A |
L 28-34 |
-6 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
WAS |
H |
W 38-20 |
+18 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
CIN |
A |
L 30-34 |
-4 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2013-10-06 |
DET |
H |
W 22-9 |
+13 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
BAL |
A |
W 19-17 |
+2 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
CLE |
H |
W 31-13 |
+18 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIN |
A |
W 44-31 |
+13 |
9 |
2013-11-04 |
CHI |
H |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
PHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYG |
A |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
MIN |
H |
T 26-26 |
0 |
13 |
2013-11-28 |
DET |
A |
L 10-40 |
-30 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
W 22-21 |
+1 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
DAL |
A |
W 37-36 |
+1 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
PIT |
H |
L 31-38 |
-7 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
Chicago Bears |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
CIN |
H |
W 24-21 |
+3 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
MIN |
H |
W 31-30 |
+1 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
PIT |
A |
W 40-23 |
+17 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
DET |
A |
L 32-40 |
-8 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
NO |
H |
L 18-26 |
-8 |
6 |
2013-10-10 |
NYG |
H |
W 27-21 |
+6 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
WAS |
A |
L 41-45 |
-4 |
8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
9 |
2013-11-04 |
GB |
A |
W 27-20 |
+7 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DET |
H |
L 19-21 |
-2 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
STL |
A |
L 21-42 |
-21 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
MIN |
A |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
14 |
2013-12-09 |
DAL |
H |
W 45-28 |
+17 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
CLE |
A |
W 38-31 |
+7 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
PHI |
A |
L 11-54 |
-43 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
GB |
H |
|
|
|
|
Injury Report
Green Bay Packers |
Out |
OLB Clay Matthews (thumb)
|
Questionable |
ILB Brad Jones (ankle) RB Eddie Lacy (ankle) NT Ryan Pickett (knee) TE Ryan Taylor (other-illness)
|
Probable |
DE Mike Neal (abdomen) OLB Nick Perry (foot) TE Andrew Quarless (ankle) QB Aaron Rodgers (collarbone)
|
IR |
ILB Sam Barrington (hamstring, 11/5/2013) TE Brandon Bostick (foot, 12/21/2013) WR Randall Cobb (knee, 10/15/2013) WR Kevin Dorsey (toe, 8/27/2013) TE Jermichael Finley (spine, 11/5/2013) ILB Rob Francois (achilles-tendon, 10/7/2013) RB Johnathan Franklin (concussion, 11/27/2013) RB DuJuan Harris (knee, 8/27/2013) CB Casey Hayward (hamstring, 11/23/2013) QB Seneca Wallace (groin, 11/12/2013) WR Myles White (undisclosed, 12/10/2013)
|
PUP |
DB Sean Richardson (neck) DE Jerel Worthy (knee)
|
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
GB Offense |
CHI Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
23.0 |
25.5 |
24.1 |
CHI |
Rushing yards |
117.0 |
117.0 |
117.0 |
- |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.33 |
4.45 |
4.26 |
CHI |
Completion % |
61.3% |
67.7% |
61.1% |
CHI |
Passing yards |
255.5 |
290.3 |
231.6 |
CHI |
Passing yards per completion |
11.00 |
11.42 |
10.84 |
CHI |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.74 |
7.74 |
6.62 |
CHI |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
CHI |
Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks allowed |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
CHI |
3rd down conversions |
35.5% |
47.9% |
37.8% |
CHI |
4th down conversions |
66.7% |
50.0% |
50.8% |
GB |
Time of possession |
29:60 |
34:02 |
30:20 |
CHI |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
GB Defense |
CHI Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
31.8 |
31.0 |
24.1 |
CHI |
Rushing yards |
150.0 |
219.0 |
117.0 |
GB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
5.11 |
6.59 |
4.26 |
GB |
Completion % |
63.2% |
59.0% |
61.1% |
CHI |
Passing yards |
248.3 |
191.5 |
231.6 |
CHI |
Passing yards per completion |
11.32 |
10.82 |
10.84 |
CHI |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.16 |
6.39 |
6.62 |
CHI |
INT return |
1.3 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
GB |
Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
39.2% |
39.7% |
37.8% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
80.0% |
75.0% |
50.8% |
CHI |
Time of possession |
33:30 |
28:37 |
30:20 |
CHI |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
GB |
CHI |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
9.6 |
8.0 |
9.4 |
GB |
Yards per kick return |
24.3 |
20.7 |
22.7 |
GB |
Yards allowed per punt return |
12.2 |
3.3 |
9.4 |
CHI |
Yards allowed per kick return |
23.3 |
13.0 |
22.7 |
CHI |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
GB |
CHI |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
GB |
Penalty yards |
43.0 |
47.5 |
52.1 |
GB |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
5 |
2000-10-01 |
CHI |
GB |
27-24 |
CHI |
2000 |
14 |
2000-12-03 |
GB |
CHI |
28-6 |
GB |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
GB |
CHI |
20-12 |
GB |
2001 |
13 |
2001-12-09 |
CHI |
GB |
7-17 |
GB |
2002 |
5 |
2002-10-07 |
GB |
CHI |
34-21 |
GB |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
CHI |
GB |
20-30 |
GB |
2003 |
4 |
2003-09-29 |
GB |
CHI |
38-23 |
GB |
2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
CHI |
GB |
21-34 |
GB |
2004 |
2 |
2004-09-19 |
CHI |
GB |
21-10 |
CHI |
2004 |
17 |
2005-01-02 |
GB |
CHI |
31-14 |
GB |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
GB |
CHI |
7-19 |
CHI |
2005 |
16 |
2005-12-25 |
CHI |
GB |
24-17 |
CHI |
2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
CHI |
GB |
26-0 |
CHI |
2006 |
17 |
2006-12-31 |
GB |
CHI |
26-7 |
GB |
2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
CHI |
GB |
27-20 |
CHI |
2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
GB |
CHI |
7-35 |
CHI |
2008 |
11 |
2008-11-16 |
CHI |
GB |
3-37 |
GB |
2008 |
16 |
2008-12-22 |
GB |
CHI |
17-20 |
CHI |
2009 |
1 |
2009-09-13 |
CHI |
GB |
15-21 |
GB |
2009 |
14 |
2009-12-13 |
GB |
CHI |
21-14 |
GB |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-27 |
GB |
CHI |
17-20 |
CHI |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
CHI |
GB |
3-10 |
GB |
2010 |
CF |
2011-01-23 |
GB |
CHI |
21-14 |
GB |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
GB |
CHI |
27-17 |
GB |
2011 |
16 |
2011-12-25 |
CHI |
GB |
21-35 |
GB |
2012 |
2 |
2012-09-13 |
CHI |
GB |
10-23 |
GB |
2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
GB |
CHI |
21-13 |
GB |
2013 |
9 |
2013-11-04 |
CHI |
GB |
27-20 |
CHI |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. CF = Conference Final
|