Prediction: Packers 27, Falcons 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 13 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 16 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 41 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 54 |
Antone Smith |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 24 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 26 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 4-60, 1 TD |
WR 87 |
Darius Johnson |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 9 |
Tony Gonzalez |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
K 24 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
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|
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Green Bay Packers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 18 |
Matt Flynn |
Pass: 230, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 4 |
Eddie Lacy |
Rush: 100, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 46 |
James Starks |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 23 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
WR 27 |
Jarrett Boykin |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 75 |
James Jones |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 33 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 11 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 21 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons QB Matt Ryan won only start in GB (10/5/08), his 1st career 2+ TD pass game. In career, when Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Atl. is 34-2 (.944)... In past 5 vs. GB, RB Steven Jackson has 633 scrimmage yards (126.6 per game) & 2 TDs. Rushed for 2 TDs last week. RB Jacquizz Rodgers has 4 TDs (2 rush, 2 rec.) in past 8... TE Tony Gonzalez has catch in 207 consecutive games, 2nd longest streak in NFL history. In only game at GB (10/12/03 with KC), had 4 catches for 121 yards (30.3 avg.) & TD... WR Roddy White had 10 catches for 143 yards last week. Has TD in 4 of 5 meetings (incl. playoffs). In only game at GB, had 8 catches for 132 yards & TD. WR Harry Douglas has 50 catches for 687 yards (98.1 per game) & 2 TDs in past 7... In past 2 vs. GB (incl. playoffs), DE Osi Umenyiora has 3 sacks & 2 FFs. Is 1 of 3 in NFL with 6+ sacks (6.5) & INT-TD. Rookie LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 89 tackles. Rookie CB Desmond Trufant has team-best 14 PD. LB Sean Weatherspoon & DT Corey Peters each had sack in last meeting.
Packers In 4 meetings (incl. playoffs), QB Aaron Rodgers has completed 108 of 147 (73.5 pct.) for 1,419 yards with 9 TDs vs. 1 INT for 121.1 rating. Also has 2 rush TDs vs. Atl. Has 100+ rating in all 4. Has won 22 of past 23 starts at home (min. 10 att.) with 69.3 comp. pct., 6,724 yards, 62 TDs, 12 INTs & 116.2 rating... Rookie RB Eddie Lacy ranks 2nd in NFL with 771 rush yards since Oct. 1. Has rushed for 514 yards (102.8 per game) in past 5 at home... WR Jordy Nelson has TD catch in 2 of past 3 meetings (incl. playoffs). In past 2 vs. Atl. (incl. playoffs), WR James Jones has 9 catches for 215 yards (107.5 per game) & 2 TDs. Had 70-yard TD in last meeting... LB Clay Matthews had 2 sacks & FR in 2010 Div. Has 3 sacks & FF in past 3. In his past 4, LB Nick Perry has 4 sacks & 3 FFs. Last week, S Morgan Burnett had 2 FRs, incl. TD. CB Tramon Williams has 3 INTs in 4 career meetings (incl. playoffs) & had 70-yard INT-TD in 2010 Div. (1/15/11). LB A.J. Hawk leads team with 103 tackles.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
NO |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
STL |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
MIA |
A |
L 23-27 |
-4 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
NE |
H |
L 23-30 |
-7 |
5 |
2013-10-07 |
NYJ |
H |
L 28-30 |
-2 |
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
H |
W 31-23 |
+8 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
ARI |
A |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
CAR |
A |
L 10-34 |
-24 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
SEA |
H |
L 10-33 |
-23 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
TB |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
12 |
2013-11-21 |
NO |
H |
L 13-17 |
-4 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
BUF |
A |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-23 |
SF |
A |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Green Bay Packers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
SF |
A |
L 28-34 |
-6 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
WAS |
H |
W 38-20 |
+18 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
CIN |
A |
L 30-34 |
-4 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2013-10-06 |
DET |
H |
W 22-9 |
+13 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
BAL |
A |
W 19-17 |
+2 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
CLE |
H |
W 31-13 |
+18 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIN |
A |
W 44-31 |
+13 |
9 |
2013-11-04 |
CHI |
H |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
PHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYG |
A |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
MIN |
H |
T 26-26 |
0 |
13 |
2013-11-28 |
DET |
A |
L 10-40 |
-30 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
DAL |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
GB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
16.0 |
18.0 |
23.6 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
96.0 |
133.0 |
118.5 |
GB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.61 |
4.44 |
4.29 |
ATL |
Completion % |
62.8% |
63.2% |
61.1% |
GB |
Passing yards |
252.0 |
247.5 |
233.1 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
9.07 |
11.27 |
10.88 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.70 |
7.12 |
6.65 |
GB |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
GB |
Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks allowed |
3.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
GB |
3rd down conversions |
41.8% |
36.4% |
38.1% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
60.0% |
71.4% |
48.4% |
GB |
Time of possession |
29:46 |
30:14 |
30:29 |
GB |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
GB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
31.3 |
28.0 |
23.6 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
178.3 |
179.5 |
118.5 |
ATL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
5.16 |
5.21 |
4.29 |
ATL |
Completion % |
67.8% |
64.4% |
61.1% |
GB |
Passing yards |
236.8 |
238.3 |
233.1 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
11.84 |
12.11 |
10.88 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.03 |
7.81 |
6.65 |
GB |
INT return |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
- |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks |
1.3 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
GB |
3rd down conversions |
46.2% |
41.3% |
38.1% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
100.0% |
48.4% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
30:14 |
33:31 |
30:29 |
ATL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
9.3 |
13.5 |
9.5 |
GB |
Yards per kick return |
26.5 |
19.9 |
22.9 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per punt return |
10.2 |
12.6 |
9.5 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per kick return |
17.6 |
27.0 |
22.9 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.3 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
GB |
Penalty yards |
46.0 |
36.0 |
51.1 |
GB |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2001 |
10 |
2001-11-18 |
ATL |
GB |
23-20 |
ATL |
2002 |
1 |
2002-09-08 |
ATL |
GB |
34-37 |
GB |
2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
GB |
ATL |
33-25 |
GB |
2008 |
5 |
2008-10-05 |
ATL |
GB |
27-24 |
ATL |
2010 |
12 |
2010-11-28 |
GB |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
2010 |
DP |
2011-01-15 |
GB |
ATL |
48-21 |
GB |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
GB |
ATL |
25-14 |
GB |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff
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