Prediction: Broncos 31, Chargers 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
San Diego Chargers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 5 |
Philip Rivers |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 5 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 5-40, 1 |
RB 15 |
Ryan Mathews  |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 17 |
Ronnie Brown |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 2 |
Keenan Allen |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
WR 19 |
Eddie Royal |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
WR 24 |
Vincent Brown |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 6 |
Antonio Gates |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
TE 8 |
Ladarius Green |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 3 |
Nick Novak |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 8 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Denver Broncos |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Peyton Manning |
Pass: 320, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 2 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
RB 12 |
Montee Ball |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 1 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
WR 6 |
Eric Decker |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
WR 9 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
TE 3 |
Julius Thomas |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
K 2 |
Matt Prater |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 4 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
TEAMS MEET for 1st time in postseason. Broncos lead all-time series 58-49-1.
Chargers Last week, SD registered 1st postseason win since 1/3/09... Have won 6 of past 8 at Den... QB Philip Rivers has 4-4 career postseason record. In 4 career postseason road games, Rivers has completed 66 of 107 passes (61.7 pct.) for 911 yards with 7 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 95.2 passer rating. For career, Rivers is 10-6 (.625) as starter vs. Broncos with 27 TDs vs. 12 INTs & 98.8 passer rating. Had 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 120 passer rating in win vs. Den. on 12/12/13. Rivers (4,478) is 6th player in NFL history to register 5 4,000-yard seasons. Has passed for 32,369 career yards & 221 TDs, trailing only HOFer DAN FOUTS for most in Chargers history... RB Ryan Mathews has 5 100-yard rush games in 7 career contests against Broncos. Had 127 rush yards with TD in last game at Den. Mathews (1,255) is 1st Charger to reach 1,200 rush yards since LA DAINIAN TOMLINSON in 2007 (1,474). Led AFC with 534 rush yards in December. RB Danny Woodhead posted 1st postseason rush TD of career vs. Cin. Ranked 2nd in NFL in receptions (76) & receiving yards (605) among RBs in 2013. RB Ronnie Brown had 58-yard rush TD last week, 1st career postseason rush TD... TE Antonio Gates has 6 career TD catches vs. Den. In 2013, Gates (77 catches, 872 receiving yards) posted 6th season with at least 70 catches & 800 receiving yards. TE Ladarius Green registered 1st postseason TD catch last week. Averaged 22.1 yards per catch in 2013... Rookie WR Keenan Allen tied career-best with 2 TD receptions in last game at Den. Allen (71 catches for 1,046) totaled most receptions & receiving yards by Chargers rookie. Led NFL rookies in catches & receiving yards. WR Eddie Royal had career-high 8 TD receptions this season. Royal was selected in 2nd round of 2008 NFL Draft by Broncos & spent 4 seasons in Den. (2008-11)... S Eric Weddle has 2 career INTs vs. Den. Weddle led club with 103 tackles in 2013... LB THOMAS KEISER had INT in last game vs. Den. LB Melvin Ingram had INT in 1st career postseason game last week... Club had 2 players selected to 2014 Pro Bowl (QB Rivers, S Weddle).
Broncos Have 13-4 (.765) postseason record at home, tied for 4th-best all-time (minimum 10 games)... Club is 8-5 (.615) all-time in Divisional Playoffs... Won AFC West for 13th time & 1st time in 3 straight seasons... Den. (606) had most points by team in season in NFL history... QB Peyton Manning (5,679) has 4th-most career postseason passing yards in NFL history. Manning (32) is tied with HOFer DAN MARINO for 4th-most postseason TD passes in NFL history. Manning (5,477) set NFL's single-season passing-yard record & registered 55 TD passes, most in season in NFL history. Manning is 1st player to set both single-season passing yardage & TD records in same season since Dan Marino in 1984. Manning has passed for 712 yards (356 per game) with 4 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 94.3 rating in 2 career postseason meetings vs. SD... RB Knowshon Moreno (1,038) has reached 1,000 rush yards for 1st time in career. Rookie RB Montee Ball averaged 6.6 yards per carry in December (45 att., 297 yards) with 1 rush TD... WR Demaryius Thomas had career-best 3 TD receptions against Chargers on 11/10/13. Thomas is 1st Bronco to have 2 1,400-yard seasons. Set franchise postseason record with 204 receiving yards & became 7th player in NFL history to reach 200 receiving yards in playoff game on 1/8/12 vs. Pit. WR Eric Decker has 3 TD catches in past 5 vs. SD. Had career-high in receptions (87) & receiving yards (1,288) in 2013. WR Wes Welker had 69 receptions for 686 yards with 4 TDs in 9 career postseason games. Welker (69) needs 2 catches to surpass HOFers FRED BILETNIKOFF (70) & ART MONK (69) for 8th-most catches in NFL playoff history... TE Julius Thomas (12) has most TD rec. by Broncos TE in season in franchise history. Has 7 catches for 145 yards (20.7 avg.), incl. 74-yard TD catch in 2 career games vs. Chargers. Den. became 1st team in NFL history to have 5 players score at least 10 TDs in same season (D. Thomas 14, Moreno 13, J. Thomas 12, Decker 11 & Welker 10)...CB Champ Bailey has 2 career postseason INTs, incl. 100-yard INT-TD return on 1/14/06 vs. NE (tied for 2nd-longest return in postseason history)... LB Danny Trevathan led team with career-high 124 tackles this season... LB Shaun Phillips spent 9 seasons with SD & has 2nd-most sacks in team annals (69.5). Phillips (10) reached double-digits sacks for 3rd time in career... Club had 5 players selected to 2014 Pro Bowl (QB Manning, K Matt Prater, WR D. Thomas, TE J. Thomas, G LOUIS VASQUEZ).
Results and Schedule
San Diego Chargers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-09 |
HOU |
H |
L 28-31 |
-3 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
PHI |
A |
W 33-30 |
+3 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
TEN |
A |
L 17-20 |
-3 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
DAL |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
OAK |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
6 |
2013-10-14 |
IND |
H |
W 19-9 |
+10 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
JAC |
A |
W 24-6 |
+18 |
8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
9 |
2013-11-03 |
WAS |
A |
L 24-30 |
-6 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DEN |
H |
L 20-28 |
-8 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
MIA |
A |
L 16-20 |
-4 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
KC |
A |
W 41-38 |
+3 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
CIN |
H |
L 10-17 |
-7 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
NYG |
H |
W 37-14 |
+23 |
15 |
2013-12-12 |
DEN |
A |
W 27-20 |
+7 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
OAK |
H |
W 26-13 |
+13 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
KC |
H |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
WC |
2014-01-05 |
CIN |
A |
W 27-10 |
+17 |
DP |
2014-01-12 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
Denver Broncos |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-05 |
BAL |
H |
W 49-27 |
+22 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
NYG |
A |
W 41-23 |
+18 |
3 |
2013-09-23 |
OAK |
H |
W 37-21 |
+16 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
PHI |
H |
W 52-20 |
+32 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
DAL |
A |
W 51-48 |
+3 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
JAC |
H |
W 35-19 |
+16 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
IND |
A |
L 33-39 |
-6 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
WAS |
H |
W 45-21 |
+24 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2013-11-10 |
SD |
A |
W 28-20 |
+8 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
KC |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
NE |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
KC |
A |
W 35-28 |
+7 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
TEN |
H |
W 51-28 |
+23 |
15 |
2013-12-12 |
SD |
H |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
HOU |
A |
W 37-13 |
+24 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
OAK |
A |
W 34-14 |
+20 |
WC |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
DP |
2014-01-12 |
SD |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
SD Offense |
DEN Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
29.3 |
34.3 |
23.4 |
DEN |
Rushing yards |
143.3 |
131.0 |
116.8 |
SD |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.09 |
4.86 |
4.26 |
DEN |
Completion % |
66.7% |
65.8% |
61.2% |
SD |
Passing yards |
225.5 |
351.3 |
228.9 |
DEN |
Passing yards per completion |
11.69 |
11.21 |
10.71 |
SD |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.79 |
7.38 |
6.56 |
SD |
Interceptions |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
- |
Fumbles lost |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
DEN |
Sacks allowed |
1.8 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
DEN |
3rd down conversions |
53.0% |
43.8% |
38.3% |
SD |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
80.0% |
50.5% |
SD |
Time of possession |
34:58 |
32:44 |
30:22 |
SD |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
SD Defense |
DEN Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
18.8 |
24.3 |
23.4 |
SD |
Rushing yards |
102.0 |
114.5 |
116.8 |
SD |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.18 |
4.16 |
4.26 |
DEN |
Completion % |
64.0% |
58.8% |
61.2% |
DEN |
Passing yards |
228.5 |
200.5 |
228.9 |
DEN |
Passing yards per completion |
10.81 |
10.31 |
10.71 |
DEN |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.92 |
6.06 |
6.56 |
DEN |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
SD |
Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
SD |
Sacks |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
DEN |
3rd down conversions |
36.9% |
39.0% |
38.3% |
SD |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
42.9% |
50.5% |
DEN |
Time of possession |
26:43 |
30:32 |
30:22 |
SD |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
SD |
DEN |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
5.4 |
3.9 |
9.5 |
SD |
Yards per kick return |
20.6 |
21.4 |
23.1 |
DEN |
Yards allowed per punt return |
10.1 |
10.1 |
9.5 |
- |
Yards allowed per kick return |
23.9 |
35.3 |
23.1 |
SD |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
SD |
DEN |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
4.8 |
7.5 |
5.9 |
SD |
Penalty yards |
33.5 |
64.5 |
50.2 |
SD |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
DEN |
SD |
21-7 |
DEN |
2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
SD |
DEN |
37-38 |
DEN |
2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
DEN |
SD |
10-27 |
SD |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
SD |
DEN |
16-26 |
DEN |
2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
SD |
DEN |
9-26 |
DEN |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
DEN |
SD |
27-30 |
SD |
2003 |
2 |
2003-09-14 |
DEN |
SD |
37-13 |
DEN |
2003 |
11 |
2003-11-16 |
SD |
DEN |
8-37 |
DEN |
2004 |
3 |
2004-09-26 |
SD |
DEN |
13-23 |
DEN |
2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
DEN |
SD |
17-20 |
SD |
2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
SD |
DEN |
17-20 |
DEN |
2005 |
17 |
2005-12-31 |
DEN |
SD |
23-7 |
DEN |
2006 |
11 |
2006-11-19 |
SD |
DEN |
35-27 |
SD |
2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
DEN |
SD |
20-48 |
SD |
2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
SD |
DEN |
41-3 |
SD |
2007 |
16 |
2007-12-24 |
DEN |
SD |
3-23 |
SD |
2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
SD |
DEN |
38-39 |
DEN |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
DEN |
SD |
21-52 |
SD |
2009 |
6 |
2009-10-19 |
DEN |
SD |
34-23 |
DEN |
2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
SD |
DEN |
32-3 |
SD |
2010 |
11 |
2010-11-22 |
DEN |
SD |
14-35 |
SD |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
SD |
DEN |
33-28 |
SD |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
SD |
DEN |
29-24 |
SD |
2011 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
DEN |
SD |
16-13 |
DEN |
2012 |
6 |
2012-10-15 |
DEN |
SD |
35-24 |
DEN |
2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
SD |
DEN |
23-30 |
DEN |
2013 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DEN |
SD |
28-20 |
DEN |
2013 |
15 |
2013-12-12 |
SD |
DEN |
27-20 |
SD |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|