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Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills - Week 16
Game Preview

Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

HOU
IND		 16
 19
PrePost
ARI
CIN		 16
 23
PrePost
STL
PIT		 0
 27
PrePost
OAK
KC		 16
 13
PrePost
NYG
NYJ		 29
 14
PrePost
MIN
WAS		 33
 26
PrePost
MIA
NE		 24
 27
PrePost
JAC
TEN		 17
 23
PrePost
DEN
BUF		 14
 40
PrePost
CLE
BAL		 14
 20
PrePost
TB
CAR		 16
 48
PrePost
SD
DET		 10
 38
PrePost
PHI
DAL		 20
 7
PrePost
SF
SEA		 19
 17
PrePost
CHI
GB		 21
 35
PrePost
ATL
NO		 16
 45
PrePost

Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Playoffs: Wild-Card | Divisional Playoffs | Conference Championships | Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Broncos 26, Bills 20

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger
Denver Broncos
Rank  Player Projections
QB 9 Tim Tebow Pass: 210, 0 TD Rush: 50, 1
RB 9 Willis McGahee Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 33 Lance Ball Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 40 Demaryius Thomas Rec: 5-80, 0 TD
WR 44 Eric Decker Rec: 5-60, 0 TD
WR 84 Eddie Royal Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 34 Daniel Fells Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 2 Matt Prater FG: 4/4 XP: 2/2
DEF 12 Defense / ST  
View all Week 16 Rankings or Projections
  
Buffalo Bills
Rank  Player Projections
QB 21 Ryan Fitzpatrick Pass: 260, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 12 C.J. Spiller Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 5-40, 0
WR 17 Steve Johnson Rec: 7-80, 1 TD
WR 51 David Nelson Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 55 Brad Smith Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
 TE 31 Scott Chandler Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 19 Dave Rayner FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 24 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Broncos Aim for 6th consecutive win on road... QB Tim Tebow is 7-2 as starter in '11 with 14 TDs (10 passing, 4 rushing). Has AFC-best 106.3 4th quarter passer rating. Tebow is 5-0 as starter on road in '11 with 8 TD passes vs. 0 INTs & 106 passer rating. Had career-best 2 rush TDs last week... Club averages NFL-best 163.1 rush yards per game... RB Willis McGahee (990) needs 10 rush yards to reach 1,000-yard mark for 4th time in career. McGahee was selected in 1st round of '03 NFL Draft by Bills. RB Lance Ball posted 1st rush TD of career last week. Ball totaled 105 scrimmage yards last week (64 rushing, 41 receiving)... WR Demaryius Thomas has reached 100+ receiving yards in 2 of past 3 (144, 116). Thomas leads NFL with 338 receiving yards in Dec... Rookie LB Von Miller has 7 sacks in 6 road games. Miller leads AFC rookies & ranks 2nd among NFL rookies with 11.5 sacks (ALDON SMITH, 13)... LB Elvis Dumervil aims for 8th straight game with at least 0.5 sack.

Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (54) needs 2 TD passes to surpass DREW BLEDSOE (55) for 4th-most in franchise history. Fitzpatrick registered 2nd 300-yard passing game of season last week (316). Fitzpatrick (3,329) needs 171 passing yards to join DREW BLEDSOE, JOE FERGUSON & HOFer JIM KELLY as only Bills QBs to reach 3,500 in season... RB C.J. Spiller totaled career-high 167 scrimmage yards last week (91 rushing, 76 receiving). Spiller is averaging 5.8 yards per carry in past 3 in Dec. Has 2 rush TDs in past 3. WR Steve Johnson is averaging 99 receiving yards per game in past 2 (198 total). WR David Nelson has career-best in catches (56), yards (594) & TDs (5) in '11. WR DEREK HAGAN registered 1st TD rec. of season last week... TE Scott Chandler (6) needs TD rec. to surpass PETE METZELAARS (6 in '92) & JAY RIEMERSMA (6 in '98) for most TD catches by TE in season in franchise history... Defense has 12 INTs in 7 games at home in '11... Rookie DT Marcell Dareus has 5.5 sacks, most by Bills rookie since '01 (AARON SCHOBEL, 6.5).


Results and Schedule
Denver Broncos
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2011-09-12 OAK H L 20-23 -3
2 2011-09-18 CIN H W 24-22 +2
3 2011-09-25 TEN A L 14-17 -3
4 2011-10-02 GB A L 23-49 -26
5 2011-10-09 SD H L 24-29 -5
6   Bye      
7 2011-10-23 MIA A W 18-15 +3
8 2011-10-30 DET H L 10-45 -35
9 2011-11-06 OAK A W 38-24 +14
10 2011-11-13 KC A W 17-10 +7
11 2011-11-17 NYJ H W 17-13 +4
12 2011-11-27 SD A W 16-13 +3
13 2011-12-04 MIN A W 35-32 +3
14 2011-12-11 CHI H W 13-10 +3
15 2011-12-18 NE H L 23-41 -18
16 2011-12-24 BUF A L 14-40 -26
17 2012-01-01 KC H    
   
Buffalo Bills
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2011-09-11 KC A W 41-7 +34
2 2011-09-18 OAK H W 38-35 +3
3 2011-09-25 NE H W 34-31 +3
4 2011-10-02 CIN A L 20-23 -3
5 2011-10-09 PHI H W 31-24 +7
6 2011-10-16 NYG A L 24-27 -3
7   Bye      
8 2011-10-30 WAS H W 23-0 +23
9 2011-11-06 NYJ H L 11-27 -16
10 2011-11-13 DAL A L 7-44 -37
11 2011-11-20 MIA A L 8-35 -27
12 2011-11-27 NYJ A L 24-28 -4
13 2011-12-04 TEN H L 17-23 -6
14 2011-12-11 SD A L 10-37 -27
15 2011-12-18 MIA H L 23-30 -7
16 2011-12-24 DEN H W 40-14 +26
17 2012-01-01 NE A    

Injury Report
Denver Broncos
Questionable  SS David Bruton (Achilles)
 SS Brian Dawkins (Neck)
Probable  DT Brodrick Bunkley (Knee)
 TE Daniel Fells (Thumb)
 RB Willis McGahee (Hamstring)
 OLB Von Miller (Thumb)
IR  RB Knowshon Moreno (Torn Right ACL)
 CB Syd'quan Thompson (Achilles)
 CB Cassius Vaughn (Fractured Left Fibula)
 DT Kevin Vickerson (Ankle)
 DT Ty Warren (Triceps)
   
Buffalo Bills
Out  WR Ruvell Martin (Hamstring)
 RB Johnny White (Concussion)
Probable  TE Scott Chandler (Ankle)
 WR Steve Johnson (Groin)
IR  WR Marcus Easley (Illness)
 RB Fred Jackson (Fractured Fibula)
 WR Donald Jones (Left Ankle)
 K Rian Lindell (Shoulder)
 CB Terrence McGee (Left Knee)
 OLB Shawne Merriman (Achilles)
 WR Roscoe Parrish (Left Ankle)
 TE Lee Smith (Left Ankle)
 ILB Reggie Torbor (Shoulder)
 NT Torell Troup (Back)
 ILB Chris White (Knee)
 NT Kyle Williams (Left Foot)
 OC Eric Wood (Torn Right ACL)

Offense Stats Comparison
  DEN
 Offense 		 BUF
 Offense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points for 18.3 14.5 21.8 DEN
Rushing yards 181.8 99.8 116.9 DEN
Rushing yards per attempt 4.65 4.56 4.17 DEN
Completion % 49.6% 58.2% 59.9% BUF
Passing yards 143.0 230.8 222.3 BUF
Passing yards per completion 13.90 9.51 11.23 DEN
Passing yards per attempt 6.90 5.53 6.72 DEN
Interceptions 0.0 2.0 1.0 DEN
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.3 0.6 BUF
Sacks allowed 2.0 1.8 2.4 BUF
3rd down conversions 30.9% 26.4% 36.7% DEN
4th down conversions 0.0% 27.3% 40.4% BUF
Time of possession 30:25 29:14 30:14 DEN
  Defense Stats Comparison
  DEN
 Defense 		 BUF
 Defense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points against 17.0 32.5 21.8 DEN
Rushing yards 140.8 159.5 116.9 DEN
Rushing yards per attempt 4.33 5.09 4.17 DEN
Completion % 59.7% 65.4% 59.9% DEN
Passing yards 207.0 184.3 222.3 BUF
Passing yards per completion 10.11 10.93 11.23 DEN
Passing yards per attempt 6.04 7.15 6.72 DEN
INT return 0.3 0.0 1.0 DEN
Fumble recoveries 0.5 0.5 0.6 -
Sacks 3.3 1.0 2.4 DEN
3rd down conversions 28.6% 42.5% 36.7% DEN
4th down conversions 40.0% 75.0% 40.4% DEN
Time of possession 33:49 30:46 30:14 BUF

Special Teams Stats Comparison
   DEN   BUF  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Yards per punt return 8.4 9.4 9.7 BUF
Yards per kick return 25.5 23.4 23.5 DEN
Yards allowed per punt return 9.0 12.0 9.7 DEN
Yards allowed per kick return 22.7 20.0 23.5 BUF
  Misc Stats Comparison
   DEN   BUF  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Penalties 7.3 4.3 6.4 BUF
Penalty yards 54.5 34.8 53.8 BUF

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2011 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History
Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2002 3 2002-09-22 BUF DEN 23-28 DEN
2005 15 2005-12-17 DEN BUF 28-17 DEN
2007 1 2007-09-09 DEN BUF 15-14 DEN
2008 16 2008-12-21 BUF DEN 30-23 BUF

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.