With or without Amon-Ra St. Brown, Williams should be in for
another big fantasy total. He was the main man last Thursday,
after ARSB was sidelined with a low-ankle sprain. Goff aimed 10
targets at Williams and he caught seven for 144 and a score. Even
if St. Brown returns, they both should score well. The Cowboys
defense is allowing a league-worst 40.1 FPts/G top opposing wide
receiver rooms. The last two weeks, they have allowed a 25-point
scorer (A.J. Brown and Rashee Rice).
2) Justin Jefferson vs. Washington (only if J.J. McCarthy is
starting)
Jefferson is a great receiver, but he's scored a total of 30
fantasy points (7.7, 11.1, 8.8 and 2.4) the past month. That said,
at least J.J. McCarthy knows to get him the ball as often as possible.
Last weekend, rookie Max Brosmer was ugly in his first ever start.
Also, he threw 10 balls at Jordan Addison and only six to one
of the best receivers on the planet. McCarthy isn't great, ok,
he hasn't even been good, but I guarantee Jefferson sees double-digit
targets. The Commanders secondary is allowing 36.5 FPts/G to opposing
wideouts. I'll take my chances with Jefferson and 10+ targets.
If the Cowboys can't run the ball because they are facing
the No.1 run defense in the league, I'm guessing Prescott's
arm with be pretty sore after all the passes he throws Thursday
night. He leads the league in passing yards per game (271.8) and
his two elite receivers are doing most of the damage. Pickens
ranks fifth in the league (19.6 FPts/G) and Lamb is eighth (18.0).
Both should get a workout against a secondary which just lost
CB Terrion Arnold for the season.
The Chargers are No.1 against opposing wideouts allowing just
24.6 FPts/G. Given the usage for A.J. Brown the past two games
(22 targets, 18 catches, 242 yards and three scores), that doesn't
leave much of an opportunity for DeVonta Smith. "Skinny
Batman" doesn't say much or demand the ball like his
teammate and hasn't scored in a month. This is not likely
the game he goes big.
Unless you can write in the name Rashee Rice, don't start
any other Chiefs wideouts. The Texans simply don't allow
fantasy points... to quarterbacks or receivers. I think Rice
will get plenty of short passes in hopes that he breaks one, but
a deep throw to Worthy requires blocking and the Chiefs aren't
very good in that category. That's a problem when you are
going up against Danielle Hunter (11 sacks) and Will Anderson
(10.5 sacks).
3) Any Tennessee receiver @ Cleveland
Myles Garrett has 19 sacks... the end.
Ok, that's only a slight exaggeration. The Browns'
pass defense ranks fourth in WR fantasy points allowing (25.9).
They rank No.1 in fewest passing receiving yards allowed per game
to wideouts (113.7). Rookie Elic Ayomanor hasn't produced
double-digit fantasy points since Week 3. Chimere Dike has posted
three double-digit games in the last six weeks, but last week
fell flat when called upon and caught one of four targets for
eight yards. Calvin Ridley is out for the season. Stay away.
