In six home games, Goff is completing 69.8% of his passes with
14 touchdowns against just three interceptions. Now, he faces
the most generous of all defenses, Dallas, who allows 28.3 FPts/G
to opposing QBs. It's a must win for the 7-5 Lions, who can't
afford to slip up here with a road trip to the Rams next weekend
and trips to Minnesota and Chicago to end the season. I'll be
a little less excited if Amon-Ra St. Brown (low-ankle sprain)
can't go for this Thursday night game, but still play him.
It's time for that Jordan Love late-season push. He got
it started in Week 13 with four touchdown passes against Detroit
on the road. He comes home to face a vulnerable secondary in Week
14. The Bears have allowed the second-most passing touchdowns
(24 through 12 games). Christian Watson has become a playmaker
along with Dontayvion Wicks and Romeo Doubs.
It's sad that it's come to the point where I have
to say play the multi-time MVP. But here we are… after a
month of poor production (16.4, 10.7, 8.8 and 15.0). The Steelers
rank 28th in points allowed to opposing QBs (23.5). In the first
of two games down the stretch with the division title on the line,
I expect the best from Jackson because it's still the regular
season… not the playoffs (sorry about that dig, Lamar).
Yes, Patrick is great. Yes, he threw for four touchdowns last
week and ranks second behind Allen producing 25.7 FPts/G. But
this is the best defense in football. They held Matthew Stafford
to 16.1 points, Josh Allen to 14.7 points and Daniel Jones last
Sunday to 18.2 fantasy points. They are allowing only one touchdown
pass-per-game and have 11 interceptions in those 12 games. They
have yet to allow a QB rushing touchdown and when Mahomes doesn't
run for a touchdown he's averaging 23.5 FPts/G this season. That's
more than two points below his season average. The Texans haven't
allowed 23 points this season and only three times over 20 points
to opposing QBs. Only one quarterback has thrown for 250 yards.
Mahomes may get some points, but it will be a tough grind.
It's not going to be a good day for Geno Smith. The Broncos
rank sixth in fantasy points allowed. They allow less than one
touchdown pass-per-game. They lead the league in sacks (51). These
two teams played in Week 10 and Smith produced 7.9 fantasy points,
throwing for less than 150 yards. I know four teams and quarterbacks
are on bye, but this is not the spot for you to use Smith.
Whether it’s Jayden Daniels returning from a dislocated
left elbow, or one more games with Marcus Mariota, this isn’t
a favorable matchup. The Vikings rank No.4 in opposing points
allowed to fantasy QBs (16.7). Daniels will be rusty having played
just once since Week 7. The Vikings and DC Brian Flores blitz
early and often from anywhere on the field. If it’s Marcus
Mariota, the team is 0-4 in his last four starts and the only
way he produced good numbers in last week’s game was throwing
50 times in a game which went to overtime. The Vikings haven’t
allowed a 20-point fantasy quarterback since Week 9.
