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Regular Season, Updated: 9/3/13
Change Log: 9/2

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FF Today Default Scoring: Review Scoring
 Drew Brees, NO (Bye: 7)
1
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 209   DOB: 1979-01-15   Age: 35
College: Purdue   Draft: 2001 Round 2 (1)   Experience: 12
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010NO16448 658 4,620 33 22 18 -3 0 362.7 22.7
2011NO16468 657 5,476 46 14 21 86 1 472.4 29.5
2012NO16422 670 5,177 43 19 15 5 1 437.4 27.3
2013 (Projected)NO 430 652 5,085 42 18 17 36 1 431.9  

Outlook: It was another banner year for Brees in 2012 as he finished the season as the league's top-ranked fantasy QB. Since the 2006 season, he has held that title three times and never failed to finish ranked among the top three fantasy QBs. And we don't expect that to change in 2013. While the Saints’ cast of wide receivers isn't as deep as in recent years, Brees benefits from playing with the league's top pass-receiving runner out of the backfield in Darren Sproles, as well as the league's premier pass-catching tight end in Jimmy Graham. With head coach Sean Payton back in the saddle, you could make the argument that the Saints will be even more explosive in 2013. Of course, it will be difficult for Brees to top the 5,177 yards and 43 touchdown passes he threw for in 2012. That marked the second consecutive season that Brees threw for over 5,000 yards and 40 touchdowns, making him the first quarterback to ever accomplish this feat. And that is the main reason why he should be the first QB off the board in your fantasy draft.

Comment: Sky is the limit for Brees. Sean Payton's return can only help. ~ Mike Krueger


 Aaron Rodgers, GB (Bye: 4)
2
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1983-12-02   Age: 30
College: California   Draft: 2005 Round 1 (24)   Experience: 8
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010GB15312 475 3,922 28 11 64 356 4 367.7 24.5
2011GB15343 502 4,643 45 6 60 257 3 455.9 30.4
2012GB16371 552 4,295 39 8 54 259 2 408.7 25.5
2013 (Projected)GB 374 566 4,530 36 10 57 255 2 408.0  

Outlook: After a string of five consecutive seasons in which he has finished as the first- or second-ranked fantasy QB, Rodgers enters 2013 as the safest elite QB you can grab on draft day. And after a season in which he was considered a bit of a disappointment, the cost of adding him to your roster won't be as punitive as it was last year. With defenses taking away the Packers’ ability to generate big plays by playing their safeties deep and using plenty of zone coverage, Rodgers was forced to throw underneath more than in previous seasons, finishing the year with just 4,295 yards despite attempting 552 passes. That's a far cry from the 4,643 he put up in 2011 on just 502 attempts. His touchdown passes declined from 45 to 39 and he tacked on a pair of touchdowns and 259 yards on the ground. While Greg Jennings left as a free agent and Donald Driver retired, the Packers still feature one of the league's best trio of receivers in Randall Cobb, Jordy Nelson and James Jones, in addition to enigmatic tight end Jermichael Finley. With opposing defenses certain to replicate the strategies they used last season, Rodgers is unlikely to approach the 5,000 passing yards that some quarterbacks could hit this season. However, his rushing prowess and ability to avoid turnovers and keep the chains moving should ensure he finishes as the first- or second-ranked fantasy QB once again in 2013.

Comment: According to our Consistency Calculator, Rodgers has been the most consistent fantasy quarterback over the last three seasons. ~ Mike Krueger


 Peyton Manning, DEN (Bye: 9)
3
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 230   DOB: 1976-03-24   Age: 38
College: Tennessee   Draft: 1998 Round 1 (1)   Experience: 15
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010IND16450 680 4,700 33 17 18 18 0 368.8 23.1
2011IND00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
2012DEN16400 583 4,659 37 11 23 6 0 381.6 23.8
2013 (Projected)DEN 401 608 4,740 35 12 10 10 0 378.0  

Outlook: If you gambled on Peyton Manning last season due to his low ADP, you hit the jackpot. After missing all of 2011 with a neck injury, Manning had a tremendous year with 4,659 yards and 37 touchdowns, both totals being the second highest of his 15-year career. At 37 years of age, can Manning put together a repeat performance in 2013? Why not? While his neck issues remain a concern, and he threw more than a few wobbly ducks last year, Manning has a tremendous supporting cast in Denver with Wes Welker—the league's top slot receiver—and rookie running back Montee Ball joining the cast this season. In Welker, Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker, the Broncos might just possess the league's top group of receivers, if not the deepest. Ball should bolster a rushing attack that was productive but somewhat inconsistent in 2012. With Manning, you are getting a quarterback that has topped 4,000 yards in every season he’s been healthy (except for his rookie campaign and in 2005, when he was rested at the end of the season) and has averaged over 30 touchdowns each of those years. Manning should be the third QB taken in your league, after Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees.


 Cam Newton, CAR (Bye: 4)
4
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 244   DOB: 1989-05-11   Age: 25
College: Auburn   Draft: 2011 Round 1 (1)   Experience: 3
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2011CAR16310 517 4,051 21 17 126 706 14 441.2 27.6
2012CAR16280 485 3,869 19 12 127 741 8 391.6 24.5
2013 (Projected)CAR 290 483 3,722 20 15 125 711 7 379.2  

Outlook: While Newton wasn’t quite as productive last season as he was during his impressive rookie season, there is little doubt the Panthers hit a home run by making him the first overall selection in the 2011 draft. No quarterback has thrown for more yards over their first two seasons than Newton's 7,920, and he has contributed 62 total touchdowns (40 passing, 22 running) over that time frame. That's impressive, especially considering the Panthers scored just 16 touchdowns during the 2010 season. Did we mention the hole? Unfortunately, the Panthers have done little to fill the hole in the depth chart at receiver opposite Steve Smith and thus improve their receiving corps in 2013, and that limits Newton's explosiveness in the passing game. With Rod Chudzinski now in Cleveland, Mike Shula takes over at offensive coordinator, which adds a little risk to Newton's fantasy profile. However, that's a minor issue since Newton has the talent to make any offense run well. Speaking of running, did we mention that Newton is the NFL's preeminent rushing quarterback (sorry, RGIII fans) with 1,447 yards over the past two seasons. Last season, we questioned Newton's ability to approach the 14 rushing touchdowns he had as a rookie, and he dropped to eight touchdowns. But we have no doubt that he can top 700 yards for the third consecutive season and score 8–10 touchdowns. To sum it up, Newton's lack of explosive receiving options puts him behind the likes of Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers, but he rates as the next best option, and one that possesses amazing upside.


 Matt Ryan, ATL (Bye: 6)
5
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1985-05-17   Age: 29
College: Boston College   Draft: 2008 Round 1 (3)   Experience: 5
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010ATL16357 571 3,706 28 9 46 122 0 309.5 19.3
2011ATL16347 565 4,177 29 12 37 84 2 345.3 21.6
2012ATL16422 615 4,719 32 14 34 141 1 384.1 24.0
2013 (Projected)ATL 383 608 4,685 30 13 33 111 1 371.4  

Outlook: The Falcons took the leash off Ryan in 2012 and he put together the finest season of his five-year career, leading Atlanta to the NFC Championship Game. Ryan reached career highs in pass attempts (615), completions (422), passing yards (4,719) and passing touchdowns (32). For good measure, he also chipped in 141 rushing yards and completed 68.6 percent of his passes, both career highs, as he finished the season averaging 24.0 PPG. Looking forward to 2013, the Falcons have retained all of the team's key weapons with Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez all returning. In addition, the team signed veteran free agent running back Steven Jackson to replace Michael Turner. Although Jackson represents a clear upgrade over Turner, the Falcons figure to remain a high-flying passing offense once again this season, with Jackson a solid pass catcher out of the backfield. Add it all up and Ryan figures to be a top five fantasy QB once again in 2013.

Comment: Had his best season in the league in 2012 (4719 yds, 32 TDs, 14 INTs). ~ Mike Krueger


 Colin Kaepernick, SF (Bye: 9)
6
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 230   DOB: 1987-11-03   Age: 27
College: -   Draft: 2011 Round 2 (4)   Experience: 2
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2011SF23 5 35 0 0 2 -2 0 1.6 0.8
2012SF13136 218 1,814 10 3 63 415 5 202.2 15.6
2013 (Projected)SF 273 447 3,356 21 13 116 722 7 366.0  

Outlook: After taking over for a concussed Alex Smith in Week 10 against St. Louis, Kaepernick never relinquished the starting position, leading the 49ers to a Super Bowl loss to the Ravens. He established himself as a solid playmaking quarterback, capable of winning games both with his arm and his legs. Despite playing in the 49ers’ conservative offense, he topped 200 passing yards in six of his seven starts while throwing for ten touchdowns and three interceptions in those games. Even more impressive was his rushing ability, as he gained 415 yards with five touchdowns on just 63 carries. And that's not counting the playoffs where he ran for a quarterback playoff record of 181 yards against the Packers in a Divisional Playoff win. Entering the offseason, Kaepernick appeared on the verge of being a top five fantasy QB, a prognosis that grew even more sound with the trade for wide receiver Anquan Boldin. Shortly after that, Michael Crabtree suffered a torn Achilles tendon that could cause him to miss all of the 2013 season. While that dampens Kaepernick's outlook somewhat, he remains a solid option as a mid-tier QB1 for the upcoming season.


 Tom Brady, NE (Bye: 10)
7
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1977-08-03   Age: 37
College: Michigan   Draft: 2000 Round 6 (33)   Experience: 13
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010NE16324 492 3,900 36 4 31 30 1 348.0 21.8
2011NE16401 611 5,239 39 12 43 109 3 446.9 27.9
2012NE16401 637 4,827 34 8 23 32 4 404.6 25.3
2013 (Projected)NE 364 577 4,270 31 13 24 40 2 353.5  

Outlook: Father Time catches up to all professional athletes, and in the NFL the process is often expedited at the quarterback position when the team's skill position players suffer a drop in talent. And that is the scenario unfolding for the 35-year-old Brady in New England. While Brady has often made lemonade out of lemons, he faces perhaps the toughest challenge of his career in 2013 as he attempts to keep the team's proliferate passing offense operating at peak proficiency without wide receiver Wes Welker, who the team failed to re-sign, and tight end Aaron Hernandez, who was released after an offseason marred with legal troubles. In addition, Rob Gronkowski, arguably the most talented tight end in the league, may open the season on the PUP list after having offseason back surgery, and the current depth chart at wide receiver may be the worst since Brady joined the team in 2000. Although Brady is coming off a season in which he threw for 4,827 yards with 34 touchdowns and just eight interceptions, he is unlikely to reach that level of production this season. He certainly isn't a lock to finish the season as a top five fantasy quarterback and shouldn't be drafted as such. Consider him in the tier below the big four of Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning and Cam Newton but with more risk than ever before.

Comment: Brady got a scare in practice on August 14th, but x-rays on his knee came back negative. New faces at wide receiver, the loss of Hernandez and Gronk's questionable status is cause for concern. ~ Mike Krueger


 Tony Romo, DAL (Bye: 11)
8
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 228   DOB: 1980-04-21   Age: 34
College: Eastern Illinois   Draft: -   Experience: 9
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010DAL6148 213 1,605 11 7 6 38 0 128.1 21.3
2011DAL16346 522 4,184 31 10 22 46 1 343.8 21.5
2012DAL16425 648 4,903 28 19 30 49 1 368.1 23.0
2013 (Projected)DAL 394 616 4,745 30 17 20 41 1 367.4  

Outlook: The Cowboys have put their faith in Tony Romo, signing him to a lucrative long-term extension during the offseason despite his age (33 on opening day) and his inconsistent play in 2012. While Romo doesn't look like a player that will ever lead the Cowboys to the promised land, his fantasy bona-fides are definitely in order. With the Cowboys struggling to establish a consistent running game last season, Romo had his most prolific passing season, establishing career highs in completions (425), attempts (648) and yards (4,903) while throwing for 28 touchdowns. While his penchant for untimely turnovers may have annoyed the Cowboys, it wasn't the death knell for his fantasy production, as he averaged over 21 PPG for the sixth consecutive season. With Dallas having brought back all their key passing attack weapons, and with improvement expected along the offensive line and the injury-prone DeMarco Murray still leading the rushing attack with no proven backup, Romo figures to come close to matching his 2012 production this season. Consider him a mid-tier QB1.

Comment: Romo finished as the 7th best fantasy QB in 2012; the 9th best fantasy QB in 2011. ~ Mike Krueger


 Matthew Stafford, DET (Bye: 9)
9
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 232   DOB: 1988-02-07   Age: 26
College: Georgia   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (1)   Experience: 4
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2010DET357 96 535 6 1 4 11 1 57.9 19.3
2011DET16421 663 5,038 41 16 22 78 0 423.7 26.5
2012DET16435 727 4,967 20 17 35 126 4 365.0 22.8
2013 (Projected)DET 410 672 4,840 27 16 26 88 2 370.8  

Outlook: Stafford enters 2013 coming off a subpar season in which he had to battle issues at wide receiver and along the offensive line. With Nate Burleson lost to a broken leg and Ryan Broyles suffering a torn ACL, the desperate Lions were forced to acquire Mike Thomas from the Jaguars. You know you're hurting when that happens. The truth is that Stafford's play didn't warrant the criticism he received. When you're down in the fourth quarter, you need to try to make things happen, hence his high interception total. His touchdown-to-interception ratio dipped to 20-17 after being a solid 41-16 in 2012, but his yardage total remained solid, dropping only slightly from 5,038 to 4,967 as he came close to being just the second quarterback in league history to top 5,000 passing yards in consecutive seasons. In 2013, the Lions still have issues at wide receiver but have added another playmaker in former Dolphin Reggie Bush. If Calvin Johnson can push a few more receptions into the end zone, Stafford could re-emerge as a solid mid-tier QB1. We like the chances of that happening.

Comment: Stafford has led the league in pass attempts each of the last two seasons. ~ Mike Krueger


 Andrew Luck, IND (Bye: 8)
10
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 234   DOB: 1989-09-12   Age: 25
College: Stanford   Draft: 2012 Round 1 (1)   Experience: -
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2012IND16339 627 4,374 23 18 62 255 5 366.2 22.9
2013 (Projected)IND 355 591 4,140 24 16 64 242 3 345.2  

Outlook: The Andrew Luck era started off with a bang in 2012 as the rookie signal caller led the Colts to an 11-5 record and a playoff berth. Despite being saddled with a leaky offensive line, no proven starting running back, a pair of rookies at tight end and a pile of question marks at wide receiver behind Reggie Wayne, Luck set an NFL rookie record by throwing for 4,374 yards and 23 touchdown passes. He also displayed plenty of mobility, rushing for 255 yards and five touchdowns. If there was any knock on Luck's performance, it was his 54.1 percent completion rate, which could be at least partially explained by former offensive coordinator Bruce Arian's downfield passing attack. Look for that to improve with the Colts’ employing Pep Hamilton's version of the West Coast offense. With improved weapons out of the backfield and young receiving options Dwayne Allen, Coby Fleener and T.Y. Hilton having a year of experience under their belt, Luck should be a more efficient quarterback in 2013, cutting back on his turnovers (18 interceptions and five fumbles last season) and extending drives. Consider him a lower-tier QB1 with plenty of upside.

Comment: The Colts ran a lot of seven-step drops and deep throws for Andrew Luck last season under Bruce Arians, which resulted in a low completion rate (54.1%) for the rookie QB. More efficiency with three- and five-step drops are expected which may lead to slightly less passing stats but he still qualifies as a low-end QB1. ~ Mike Krueger


 Russell Wilson, SEA (Bye: 12)
11
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 206   DOB: 1988-11-29   Age: 25
College: Wisconsin   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (12)   Experience: -
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2012SEA16252 393 3,118 26 10 94 489 4 332.8 20.8
2013 (Projected)SEA 277 447 3,440 24 11 109 547 3 340.7  

Outlook: You would have to look pretty hard to find a bigger steal than Wilson in the 2012 rookie draft. Taken in the third round, the Wisconsin product quickly ascended the depth chart and by opening day had beat out both Matt Flynn and Tarvaris Jackson to become the Seahawks starter. With the team's coaching staff keeping the offensive game plan heavily run-based early in the season, Wilson failed to eclipse 160 passing yards in his first four starts. After that, the chains came off somewhat, with Wilson averaging 23.3 PPG over his remaining 12 regular-season games. However, it’s his final five starts, including two playoff games, that have the fantasy landscape abuzz. Despite attempting just 125 passes in those games (completing a nifty 83 of them), Wilson averaged 31.3 PPG on the strength of nine touchdown passes, 306 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns. The question is whether he can produce that way over an entire season. While Wilson rates as a lower-tier QB1, expecting him to average 61 rushing yards and a touchdown per game (his averages over his final five games) isn't realistic. And he is also unlikely to approach 4,000 receiving yards given that he had just two regular-season games with over 250 passing yards and the highly anticipated arrival of Percy Harvin will have to wait until late in the 2013 season. There is nothing wrong with liking Wilson. Just don't reach too high for him.


 Robert Griffin III, WAS (Bye: 5)
12
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 223   DOB: 1990-02-12   Age: 24
College: Baylor   Draft: 2012 Round 1 (2)   Experience: -
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFFPtsFFPts/G
2012WAS15258 393 3,200 20 5 120 815 7 363.5 24.2
2013 (Projected)WAS 252 400 3,000 20 10 83 540 5 314.0  

Outlook: Sometimes trades work out for both teams. Washington head coach Mike Shanahan moved heaven and earth (okay, not quite, but three first-round picks and a second is close) in order to move up in last year's draft to select Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III, and Redskins fans weren't disappointed with the move. Not even after he tore his ACL in the Redskins playoff loss to the Seahawks. In RGIII, the Redskins have one of the game's most exciting players. As a passer, he hits his receivers in stride so they can rack up yards after the catch, he has a strong arm and can throw the deep ball, his pocket presence and mobility allows him to sidestep oncoming rushers, and he is adept on rollouts and when forced out of the pocket. His ability to run the ball also stresses defenses, freeing up space for the team's running backs. Then there's the downside. RGIII is as close to superhuman as they come, and he's just too young to know how valuable he is to the team. His willingness to learn when to be smart instead of going all out on every play is what will determine his longevity in the league. Is he ready to throttle it down a bit in 2013? It seems doubtful, but if he can and if he is ready on opening day (not a long shot by any means), he seems likely to improve on a rookie season in which he threw for 3,200 yards with 20 touchdowns and just five interceptions while completing 65.6 percent of his passes and running for 815 yards and seven touchdowns. If you're willing to accept the risk and get a solid backup QB, RGIII is your man. If not, let somebody else grab him. And as we all know, there is usually one owner in every league that loves the players getting hyped. RGIII is certainly one of those players.

Comment: Griffin (ACL, LCL) continues to progress and will start Week 1 but his injury history should be a major concern to fantasy owners. The chances of him completing a full season are small and as a result will keep him out of QB1 territory for me. It's all about risk-tolerance with RGIII as your QB1. Should you take the leap, Kirk Cousins as a handcuff or an early, mid-round pick of your QB2 is mandatory. RGIII is not expected to particiapte in any preseason games. ~ Mike Krueger