As we all know Hindsight is 20/20. This weekly column is devoted
to learning from common mistakes and serves as FFToday’s “Fantasy
I had a week for the ages
in my local league thanks to Larry Johnson, Marques, Colston,
and the Ravens defense: 9 starters and nearly 174 points! And
despite the fact I am now only 4-4 in the league, I went from
50 points behind the scoring leader to at least 30 points ahead!
Here is my line up, if you’re curious:
|A Week For The Ages...
||Favre versus the Cards or Gradkowski
vs. the Giants and 50 mph winds…you tell me.
||I've never had an RB have this kind
of game. Feels good. Here's hoping there's more.
||Thought about using Addai or Lundy,
but this turned out to be the best choice this week.
||I thought this kid was going to tail
off and become a #3 WR. I'm not complaining though.
||Perfect week for Harrison to face Champ
||Patience paid dividends--I chose to
keep him despite the suspension.
||No other choice with Greg Jennings dealing
with injury. Still 3.2 pts better than last week.
||I knew this guy would be a relative
bargain when I drafted him.
||I thoroughly enjoyed watching this game
on the local station--can't you tell?
||When your team averages 19.3 points
per player, fantasy football is tons of fun.
Now that I made myself feel better, now I can address my pathetic
results with the FFTOC. I was 81st overall (within the top 12% of
the leagues) heading into the weekend. So I took a few chances at
RB that bombed worse than Steve Spurrier and the Fun n’ Gun
||I was glad to see Jaworski picked him
this week, but it didn’t translate to points.
||Yuck! That’s the karma I get for downplaying
him, then using him a week later.
||What happened? Scary-bad games from
||Really sub-par outing for Coles. Too
bad that rainbow in coverage from Pennington dropped
perfectly into McCareins’ hands instead.
||Not bad, but I expected better despite
Oakland’s statistically stout passing defense.
||Mike MacGregor was right to make him
a last-minute scratch. I didn’t follow suit.
||Very sad day when your TE is among your
||Did I mention I went from elation to
depression in the course of two paragraphs?
||My luck with facing the Browns ran out
||Worst week of the season—this one week
might put me in danger.
Amazing how one week can kill you. Last week I was only 20 points
away from the top 40, now I’ll be lucky to be in the top 200.
Hopefully all the wheels didn’t fall off with one bad week.
I’m not going to dwell on it. Heck, I’ll just look at
the first paragraph of this column—that would cheer anyone
one up to have this kind of week—it makes a great buffer for
this unmitigated disaster.
Mike Bell Would Knife Through The Colts—Much
Less Get Another Shot At Extended Time?
As you know, Tatum Bell is on my grudge list. If you watched the
un-drafted rookie run downhill on Indianapolis for 136 yards and
2 scores (and gain 109 more yards on just 2 more carries than
the former second round pick—and likely former starter)
then you got my point about Tatum’s tap-dancing. I’ve
been talking about Mike Bell as a downhill runner and potential
NFL starter since September of 2005.
Although the former Arizona Wildcat looked like he was about to
lose his lunch after every few carries (a 9-yard average per carry
can do that to you), he wore out the Colts with decisive runs
that you didn’t see from Tip Toe Tatum.
It’s not like Tatum Bell didn’t have the same holes
as Mike Bell. But to be more than fair, Tatum did have a few outside
running plays that the defense handled much better than runs up
the middle. Plus, the Broncos’ starter has some ailing feet
and he seemed to get pulled after every unsuccessful run (which
makes sense, considering you should stick with the hot hand).
David Carr Would Cost Me A Ballgame When
I Finally Chose To Start Him Over McNair
Zero points. That’s exactly what I got from Carr this week
before Kubiak benched him for Sage Rosenfels. Twenty-three points
is what McNair gave me from the bench. This mistake resulted in
a 3-point loss and the opportunity to take sole possession of
first place in a showcase league. What does this tell me? You
can’t trust bad teams, because in the NFL the only thing
that separates these great talents is consistency. The best teams
are the most consistent. The worst care capable of beating the
best on any given day, but they don’t play consistently
well enough to do it.
McNair’s game is likely the beginning of a streak of good
performances despite a lucky touchdown throw that careened off
a defensive back’s hands and into Todd Heap’s grasp.
Yeah, I’m buying into Brian Billick calling the plays. The
guy was a better offensive coordinator than head coach—that’s
how he got the gig in the first place. The one thing Billick did
when the Ravens sent Jim Fassel packing was tailor the passing
attack to McNair’s strengths. Baltimore used four and five-wide
receiver sets to spread the field. This allowed McNair to make
more simplified reads as well as exploit the middle of the field
with his legs when the Saints did a good job with their pass coverage.
I’ve been saying for a few weeks that I believe McNair would
have a strong second half of the season. If you’re buying
it, check your waiver wire for a cheap addition that could pay
dividends down the stretch. If not, I hope you aren’t buying
those analysts that have been saying McNair is done.
Michael Vick Could Have A Second, Multi-Touchdown
Game As A Passer?
Vick hasn’t been on my grudge list, but sometimes it feels
like it. I’ve given the Falcons signal caller his due—especially
in my Crank Projections where he’s been a starting-caliber
quarterback due to his recent history of top ten quality Crank
Scores. But, I always tempered my expectations due to his inability
to pass effectively from the pocket.
Well, 20 of 28 for 291 yards and 3 scores is enough of a strong
follow up to his explosive performance against the Steelers to
remove the governor from my somewhat cautious fantasy perspective
on Vick—at least temporarily. It’s temporary because
Vick is not on pace for a 3,000-yard season and at best, a 20-touchdown
total. At the same time, Atlanta continues a favorable schedule
versus Detroit and Cleveland for two more weeks.
Taken The Offer Of Acquiring Tomlinson
For Addai, Bush, And Harrison
I have Larry Johnson already, but three weeks ago I was offered
the above deal. Considering how up and down Harrison has been
thus far, I could have made due. In fact, I could have been dominating
my league for the past three weeks. It was just the fear of starting
Galloway and possibly three rookies as a receiving corps. At this
point, Bush is at best a flex option (which my league doesn’t
have) and Addai is finally becoming a decent starter-quality #2.
If someone told me I could get Tomlinson for Addai and Harrison,
I would have taken that deal. That’s pretty much what was
I was offered—especially with Thomas Jones and Michael Turner
on my bench. The fact I picked up Wali Lundy via free agency last
week got me thinking about the deal again. Another reason why
WR Troy Williamson, MIN—Until
this guy can catch a football on a consistent basis, don’t
gush to me about his athleticism. Remember Wisconsin’s Tony
Simmons of the Patriots? Mathew Hatchette of the Vikings? Cory
Fleming of the Cowboys? James Jett? They were all great athletes
that couldn’t catch the football well enough to meet the
lofty expectations of GMs. I know he’s not on an active
roster, but give me rookie Mike Hass over Williamson 9 times out
of 10. This may sound crazy now, but I bet in five years Hass
be on track to have a longer career than Williamson. The problem
is Williamson has moments where he could be that 10th instance
that succeeds—like that nice one-handed grab in the game
last night. Of course he lost a great throw in the lights that
would have resulted in a sure score. In other words, I believe
he’s a tease, but he could prove me wrong…
Nagging Feelings—Week 8
Did you stay patient with Chris
Henry? If he’s on your waiver wire, don’t hesitate to grab
him. This is the receiver that transforms the Bengals passing
game from decent to excellent. As I discussed weeks ago, his production
correlates to Chad Johnson’s good days.
Romo were excellent this weekend, but both the Chiefs and
Panthers are slightly below average defenses versus quarterbacks.
Of course, they are still decent additions if you’re having issues
with your starting QB. Romo is clearly the best long- term prospect
of the two, but I wouldn’t mind sticking Wallace into the fray
if he continues to play like he did Sunday. He’s a heady player
that reminds me of David Garrard with more pocket presence.
The biggest rookie surprise for me was none other than Texans
tight end Owen
Daniels. The Wisconsin alumnus was a player I completely underrated
when I observed his play as a senior. The most impressive thing
about Daniels is his ability to make the most of his targets and
do so regardless of the quarterback throwing him the football.
That means the guy is getting open and has good hands. I had a
good bead on plenty of guys: Bell, Lundy, Addai, Jones-Drew, Gradkowski,
Jennings, Hagan, and even somewhat so on Colston. But I was clueless
on Daniels. I have a feeling Daniels will continue to look good
with Moulds, Lundy, and Johnson continuing to open the middle
of the field for the rookie tight end.
Moore is someday going to get a second chance as a runner
and make the most of his opportunity. A perfect opportunity for
Moore would be in New York after Barber retires. Yes, I know Brandon
Jacobs has the chance of being the man, but if the Giants are
true to their word about picking up a change of pace runner that
can catch the football, Moore is likely a better option than any
back they’d acquire in the 2007 draft.