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Dave's Take
10/21/08
  • Back in 2004, the Cowboys were in the market for a running back and there was speculation they had targeted Oregon State's Steven Jackson in the 1st round. However, rather than take Jackson, they traded their 1st round pick for additional selections and eventually took Julius Jones in the 2nd round. Jackson never forgot about the slight and in his first game against the Cowboys pounded them for 160 yards on the ground and three touchdowns from eight, one and 56 yards. Early on this season, Jackson was shaping up as a potential 1st round fantasy disappointment but has come on over his last three games with 475 total yards and four touchdowns. Clearly the effects of his holdout negatively impacted Jackson over his first few games and the lesson here is that big, physical backs like Jackson need plenty of time to get in game shape.

  • Keeping with the Rams, the team had failed to score 20 points in a game all season prior to this week's 34-14 demolition of the Cowboys. They had 21 in the first quarter against the generous Cowboys defense which has now given up 112 points over their past four games.

  • Moving on to the Cowboys, it will be interesting to see how wide receiver Terrell Owens responds to the news of Roy Williams' contract extension. Cowboys owner Jerry Jones handed out a 5 year, $45-million deal to Williams that includes $27-million in guarantees. Prior to this season, Owens signed a three-year contract extension that has a maximum value of $34-million over the next four yers with only $13-million of guarantees. There is some rationale in that Williams is a younger player than Owens but Owens is clearly a far superior player to Williams, who has only one 1,000-yard season over his first four years in the league. In case you're wondering, Williams went without a catch this week marking only the second time in his career that he failed to show up on the box score. The only game was in 2005 when he tried to play hurt but was only involved in a couple of plays.

  • Cowboys quarterback Brad Johnson had a horrible first game subbing in for the injured Tony Romo, going 17 of 34 for 234 yards with three interceptions and a fumble. However, 56 of those yards came on the team's opening drives and the numbers weren't great considering the Rams were playing with Ron Bartell, recently re-signed Fakhir Brown and mid-season pickup Jason Craft at cornerback. Marion Barber, Terrell Owens and Jason Witten are must starts every week but the rest of the Cowboys offensive players should be on your bench until Romo returns.

  • Terrell Owens numbers over the past two weeks - six receptions for 67 yards and no touchdowns. Over the past five games, he has only 17 receptions for 222 yards and two touchdowns. Maybe he's not a must start every week, after all.

  • With the Chiefs Larry Johnson suspended by the team for one game for violating team rules, the league apparently investigating him under the NFL's personal conduct policy and another late-night incident coming to light (his second in 2008), there is an opportunity for Johnson's backups to produce during the balance of the season. Johnson has now been involved in four altercations with females and the accusations have ranged from displaying a firearm during an argument to assault with alcohol involved. Look for Johnson's suspension to be for more than one game and with the team clearly disenchanted with his attitude and performance, there is an opportunity for either Kolby Smith or Jamaal Charles to produce in the Chiefs backfield. Smith had a number of solid games last season including a 150-yard, two touchdown rushing performance. However, the team likes Charles' speed and this week the team chose to split the playing time between the two with the early read being that Smith will get more opportunities on the ground with Charles filling more of a receiving role.

  • Saints running back Reggie Bush will miss three to four weeks due to the torn meniscus in his left knee. Bush's loss is a big blow to the team's offense as he leads the Saints in rushing yards and receptions and is second in receiving yards behind Devery Henderson. With Bush out and tight end Jeremy Shockey potentially also out with a groin or hernia injury, look for quarterback Drew Brees to have a difficulty time maintaining his early season performance. Wide receiver Marques Colston struggled this week going without a catch for the first time since the team's final game of his rookie season when he was being rested for the playoffs so there is some doubt as to his ability to produce until he is back in game shape. It says here that head coach Sean Payton will reduce the team's reliance on the passing game and increase Deuce McAllister's role in the team's rushing attack.

  • Steelers running back Mewelde Moore was a fine one game pickup this week courtesy of a soft Bengals defense and Willie Parker aggravating his injured left knee. After going off for 134 yards and three touchdowns against the Bengals, Moore's two game stint as the team's starter has yielded 250 total yards and three touchdowns. With the Giants and Redskins up next for the Steelers, Moore might not be a great play over the next two weeks but it's worth remembering that the team drafted Rashard Mendenhall in the 1st round of this year's draft to reduce Parker's workload. Look for Moore to continue to put up decent numbers until Parker returns and possibly be a decent flex play once Parker is back in the fold.

  • Keeping with the Bengals-Steelers match-up this week, Bengals running back Cedric Benson got his first start with the team and managed to eke out 52 yards on 14 carries against the Steelers. Benson's performance wasn't spectacular but it was the second best rushing performance of the season against the tough Steelers run defense behind only Le'Ron McClain's 63 yards on 16 carries during week four. Perhaps there's hope for Benson to help resurrect his career and a floundering Bengals rushing offense.

  • Bears running back Matt Forte had another 22 touches this week bringing his season total to 176 for the season (25 per game). Forte managed only 56 yards on 20 carries and a touchdown against the Vikings stout run defense. However, it marked the sixth straight game Forte has failed to top the century mark and the Bears rookie rusher has only one 20-yard gain since the opening game of the season. Rookie running backs are notorious for hitting the wall part of the way through their first season in the league and Forte's numbers and workload make him a prime candidate to suffer a similar fate.

  • Over the team's first six games, Seahawks receivers have combined for 508 yards and 321 of those yards belong to players either released or on injured reserve (Billy McMullen, Nate Burleson, Courtney Taylor, Michael Bumpus and Logan Payne).

  • The Raiders wide receivers have been horrible this season but Javon Walker came to life this week, catching five passes for 75 yards and a touchdown. New head coach Tom Cable threatened to bench Walker, whose previous best game was two receptions for 34 yards, and did bench Ronald Curry in favor of rookie 7th round pick Chaz Schilens. The team's wide receivers have only 479 yards in six games, with 84 of those coming courtesy of Johnnie Lee Higgin's long touchdown against Buffalo.

  • With Brodie Croyle injured, Tony Gonzalez enjoyed his best game of the season matching his season high of six receptions and recording 97 receiving yards, besting his previous high of 55 yards in week one. However, Damon Huard injured his throwing hand during the game and may be replaced by the atrocious Tyler Thigpen. Gonzalez is a solid starter with Huard behind center but it's a different story with the erratic Thigpen.

  • As for Croyle, his comeback from an opening game separated right shoulder injury lasted only a few plays before he went down with a torn medial collateral ligament. If Croyle's suspect play wasn't enough to ruin his chances of being the team's long-term option at quarterback, certainly his inability to stay healthy has. Look for the team to explore for other options both in the short and long term. Daunte Culpepper has been mentioned as a potential in-season signing for 2008 and the Chiefs may try yet again to pry Brady Quinn from the Browns.

  • The Bucs have yet to give up a rushing touchdown this season. The team only ranks 10th in average rushing yards against but has been stingy at the goal line.

  • It's doubtful that Cowboys linebacker DeMarcus Ware is available in an IDP league but if he is, it's important to know that he has not recorded sacks in 10 straight games and has 13 over that stretch.

  • Browns safety Sean Jones was a consensus top five pick in IDP leagues entering the season but was injured in week one so may be available in some leagues. He had a nice return to the line-up, posting ten tackles and a forced fumble this week against Washington. He displayed some rust at times, taking a poor angle on a long Clinton Portis run, but figures to provide steady production over the balance of the season if he remains healthy.

  • Steelers cornerback Bryant McFadden was quietly putting together a strong season, finally moving ahead of Deshea Townsend as the team's starter opposite Ike Taylor. McFadden took control of the position after Townsend suffered a knee injury during the team's season opening win over Houston but may also relinquish due to injury. He suffered a broken forearm this week against the Bengals and is expected to miss at least five games.

  • Cowboys safety Roy Williams also suffered a broken forearm this week and will miss the rest of the season. It was the same forearm he broke earlier in the season and the team chose to put him on injured reserve. The move may have been necessitated by the team's other injury issues but there is a decent chance Williams has played his last game as a Cowboy. Barring a restructuring, look for him to be released during the off-season. Williams has never played up to his salary and is a liability in pass coverage.

  • Raiders safety Michael Huff has been a disappointment since being selected with the 7th pick of the 2007 draft. Basically Huff has not shown any of the playmaking ability he did in college and the team expects their safeties to contribute turnovers. Huff has recorded only one sack, interception and forced fumble over his career and was benched this week in favor of Hiram Eugene, an undrafted player who has been on and off the team's roster since 2005. The move may have been only a wake-up call to Huff as opposed to a long-term demotion but the bottom line is that Huff isn't a playmaker and he's not worth having in IDP leagues.

  • Ravens cornerback Chris McAlister found himself in an unusual spot this week - on the bench. He did not start and played in some nickel and dime packages. Apparently McAlister's performance is suffering due to a recurring knee injury. McAlister feels he is fine to play but head coach John Harbaugh thinks otherwise. The coach always wins these battles so McAlister should be bench in IDP leagues until there is definitive word that he is back starting.

  • Chargers wide receiver Malcom Floyd wasn't impressed last season when the team shipped a 2nd round pick to the Dolphins for Chris Chambers. With Chambers becoming a touchdown machine since joining the Chargers (five in five games this year and nine in 15 games since joining the team), the trade can't be considered a bad one but Floyd has given the team's braintrust much to think about over the past two games filling in for an injured Chambers.

  • The Rams received plenty of scorn (yours truly included) when they used the 2nd pick of the 2nd round on wide receiver Donnie Avery, making him the first wide receiver off the board. Avery was slowed by injuries during the pre-season and then again during the season but has come on over the team's past two games with nine receptions for 138 yards and a touchdown. He also had a 21-yard touchdown called back due to penalty and would have had 92-yard touchdown pass were it not for a poor throw by quarterback Marc Bulger where Avery had beaten Cowboys rookie cornerback Mike Jenkins clean on a deep route.

  • A receiver who might be headed in the opposite direction is Jaguars wideout Matt Jones. Jones has been a plenty surprise this season with 30 receptions for 338 yards and a touchdown, this after not being expected to make the team out of training camp. However, there is a strong possibility he could be suspended for violating the league's substance abuse policy, which could result in a suspension of up to four games. With the team's other wideouts struggling (395 combined receiving yards), Jones would be worth keeping on your FF roster if he's suspended but there's no guarantee when a suspension would be announced. It could be during your FF league playoffs so make sure you have an adequate replacement on board.

  • In Detroit, it looked like Shaun MacDonald would reap the benefit of the Roy Williams trade but, at least this week, that distinction went to Mike Furrey. With Calvin Johnson regularly double covered, he had only four passes thrown his way while Furrey was targeted eight times, catching six balls for 89 yards. MacDonald was held without a catch.