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Seth Harrington | Archive | Email
Staff Writer


The Shot Caller's Report - WRs
Your Weekly Guide To Fantasy Lineups: Week 3
9/23/11
Positions: QBs | RBs | WRs

Wide Receivers / Tight Ends

Start 'Em

David Nelson vs. NE
This recommendation is contingent upon the availability of teammate and fellow WR Stevie Johnson, who was held out of some practice time this week, but expects to be good to go. If Johnson plays, Nelson makes a solid WR3 play against the Patriots. He had 10 catches (13 targets) for 83 yards and a TD last week, following up on Week 1, which produced 4 catches for 66 yards. It has been reported that Nelson will be the Bills’ full-time slot receiver going forward; as such he should continue to see plenty of targets from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. At 6’5” and 220 pounds, expect him to be active in the red zone.

A.J. Green vs. SF
In just his 2nd NFL game (first full game with QB Andy Dalton under center; Dalton was removed at the half in Week 1), Green exploded, snaring 10 of his 14 targets for 124 yards and a TD. Green should find room against the 49ers (who have been stout against the run), as they have given up 582 passing yards in their first 2 games, including one game versus the underwhelming Tarvaris Jackson and the Seahawks. Dalton may not be a model of fantasy consistency just yet, but the 6’4” Green remains his primary passing option.

Fred Davis @ Dal
Davis has put together quality back-to-back games, following up 5 catches for 105 yards in Week 1 with 6 catches for 86 yards and a TD in Week 2. On the season he already has six catches of at least 20 yards; in all of 2010 he made only four such plays. On Monday night, Davis has a good chance to put up another quality game against the depleted Cowboys secondary. Dallas has allowed 2 TDs to TEs (Delanie Walker, Dustin Keller) this season. Davis is tied with WR Santana Moss for the team lead in receptions (11) and leads the Redskins with 191 yards receiving.

Nate Burleson @ Min
Obviously Calvin Johnson is a must start each and every week, but it is worth noting that the Vikings have covered WR1s well (see Vincent Jackson, Week 1: 2 catches, 31 yards; Mike Williams Week 2: 1 catch, -4 yards), so Burleson could play an expanded role this week in Minnesota. His numbers after two games are solid: 12 catches for 153 yards, but he has yet to find the endzone. With QB Matthew Stafford on the verge of fantasy stardom, that should change quickly. Start Burleson at WR3 or flex this week.

Bench 'Em

Percy Harvin

Harvin needs more targets before he's a legitimate fantasy threat.

Percy Harvin vs. Lions
As a mildly dissatisfied Harvin owner, I’m struggling with the decision to actually bench Percy for fear that he is certain to explode the moment he is replaced in my lineup. The issue is not with Harvin or his playmaking ability; but rather his snap count: he has been on the field for just over half of Minnesota's plays on offense through the first two games of the season and has been absent from the red zone package. He is by far the biggest threat on the team after Adrian Peterson so this comes as fairly discouraging information. You may have to roll with him; but possibly consider a better option until the Vikings utilize him appropriately.

Johnny Knox vs. GB
Knox, like Harvin above, is the most dangerous wide receiver on his team and I like to believe his offensive role will expand moving forward. Last week in New Orleans, Bears QB Jay Cutler had 10 completions to RB Matt Forte and only 8 completions to his wide receivers combined. So, while Knox has impressive average yards per catch (21.0), his 5 receptions are substandard. Green Bay has been getting lit up through the air thus far, so maybe Cutler will have more time to get the ball downfield this week? Knox has had some success against the Packers in his career, but I’d like to see it happen before rolling with him again.

Pierre Garcon vs. Pit
Garcon closed out 2010 with some huge performances; during the final 5 games (Weeks 13 – 17) he posted 29 catches for 306 yards and 5 TDs. As such, the expectations were amped up for Garcon entering 2011, but he has been limited to 6 catches for 67 yards in 2 games with QB Kerry Collins now under center. He will not find things any easier on Sunday night against the Steelers and their perennially stingy defense. It’s a situation to monitor, but his value in 12-team (or smaller) leagues is quickly waning.

Eric Decker @ Ten
After his surprising absence from the lineup last week, Brandon Lloyd is expected to resume his WR1 role in the Denver offense in Tennessee on Sunday, which takes a bit of the luster off of Decker’s impressive start. The Titans defense has been notable it its own right but I’m not ready to put them on the same level as the ’85 Bears. Still, it seems unreasonable to expect Decker to maintain this level of play (8 catches, 166 yards, 2 TDs). With Eddie Royal expected to miss the next the next few weeks, Decker certainly holds value, but probably ends up more of a decent bye-week filler than anything else.

Good luck in Week 3!

Quarterbacks