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Even though he doesn't get as many targets as some other tight ends, Dallas Goedert's efficiency and red-zone usage give him a high fantasy ceiling. He's also a safer option, since he's involved in the offense in multiple ways - not just at the goal line. But since the Eagles' offense is so prolific, he has plenty of opportunities for touchdowns.
Goedert finished 2022 among the top tier of tight ends in average yards per route run, finishing third at the position in that category. Perhaps more impressive is that he finished as the No. 1 TE in the league in yards per target. He lines up more often as a traditional receiver than in the slot, and he's often targeted on intermediate routes in the Philadelphia offense.
The main issue that prevented Goedert from truly breaking out into the top tier of fantasy tight ends this past season was his total targets. He was fine for fantasy purposes, but he finished outside the top 10 at the position in targets, in large part because the Eagles prioritized getting the ball to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.
He's being drafted as a low-end TE1 in most fantasy leagues, but he has the potential to be a top-five tight end in terms of production. An injury to either Brown or Smith could mean a significant boost in target share for Goedert, so there's some strong asymmetrical upside in drafting him as late as he's going. If you're looking for a reliable, consistent option at tight end without breaking the bank, Goedert is a great option.
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