Luck has been the most consistent fantasy quarterback of the
season with at least three touchdowns in every game dating back
to Week 3. Although he has only one game over 30 fantasy points
in DK scoring, the floor that he provides is worth its weight
in gold in cash games. The Dolphins do not present an elite matchup
as a unit that gives up the fifth-fewest points to opposing quarterbacks,
but Luck should still give an excellent floor and is worth paying
up for in cash this week.
The Ravens ran the ball nearly 70% of the time last week against
the Bengals in Jackson’s first NFL start. The former first-round
pick rushed for an NFL record 27 attempts in the game, with 119
yards. Look for Jackson to once again be the focal point of the
rushing offense in a game against a Raiders team that has all
but given up on the year. Jackson’s passing totals will
once again be less than ideal, but he will more than make up for
it rushing the ball and could throw for a touchdown or two to
keep the defense guessing.
Brady has one passing touchdown in his last three games combined,
and one or fewer TD passes in three of his previous four games.
Although the Patriots enter the game with a bye week to prepare
and get healthy, Brady is not producing fantasy numbers worthy
of being the highest priced player on DK.
It looks like A.J. Green will miss another week with a toe injury,
and the Bengals will need to lean on Mixon in the ground game
to defeat the Browns on Sunday. Cleveland allows the fourth-most
points to opposing running backs and studs like Melvin Gordon,
Kareem Hunt, and James Conner feasted on Gregg Williams’ defense
this season. Some may want to play Mixon in GPP more than cash
based on his inconsistent play, but the volume he should get this
week makes me feel comfortable firing him up in my cash lineups.
The Gus Bus looked impressive in last week’s win over the Bengals
with 115 yards and a score on 17 carries. Head coach John Harbaugh
said Edwards continued to impress in practice and earned a chance
for more carries in the game. Gus did not disappoint and clearly
looked to be the more powerful and decisive runner when compared
to Alex Collins. Edwards will likely be heavily owned in GPP,
but his price and upside make him worth the play on tourney sheets.
Gordon is a stud, the matchup against the Cardinals at home could
not be better, and the Chargers should easily win this game. But
Gordon makes me nervous by showing up again on the injury report
on Friday with a hamstring injury. Melvin could be a stud, but
he also could burn owners at a hefty $8,600 price tag.
In a week with a ton of wide receivers on bye or off the slate
due to the Thanksgiving games, I am paying a premium on Odell
Beckham Jr. going against an Eagles defense that is decimated
in the secondary. OBJ has a score or at least 100 yards dating
back to Week 6 and should meet both of those marks against the
Eagles on Sunday. Pay the premium for Beckham in cash and reap
the benefits.
Devin Funchess is likely going to miss the game due to injury,
and Torrey Smith may be limited once again with a knee injury.
Although Samuel continues to see limited snaps despite producing
touchdowns and big plays for the Panthers offense, he could be
a low-cost game-winning play this week for owners looking for
a sub-4k wide receiver play to round out a GPP ticket.
I will not play a single pass-catching option on Baltimore until
they prove that Jackson will throw the ball more than a few token
times during the game. There could be a receiving touchdown or
two in the offense, but predicting who that will be is going be
tough, and no receiver will get enough volume to justify a play
in DFS.
Kittle is the favorite target for Nick Mullens in the San Francisco
passing game, and the Niners get an elite matchup against a Tampa
Bay defense that struggles mightily against the tight end. His
price may be too expensive for owners to swallow, but the volume
should be there, and a floor of 15 fantasy points and a ceiling
of 25 are well within reach.
Other options to consider - Jack
Doyle vs. Miami and Zach
Ertz vs. New York Giants
The starting QB job continues to rotate between Ryan Fitzpatrick
and Jameis Winston, with Winston now back in the driver's seat
against the 49ers on Sunday. Winston loves throwing the ball to
Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard is done for the season with a foot
injury. Fire up Brate in GPP and pair him with Winston for a nice
tourney stack.
With six total targets in his last three games and a goose egg
last week against the Titans, Ebron is too risky of a play based
on his inconsistent volume. Sure, he could post a double-digit
touchdown game, but he also could burn owners with another zero.
Defense & Special Teams
High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost:
Ravens ($3,300) vs. Raiders
Well Priced with Upside: Colts ($2,900) vs.
Dolphins
