Fantasy Football Today - fantasy football rankings, cheatsheets, and information
A Fantasy Football Community!




 Log In  | Sign Up  |  Contact      






Can These Wide Receivers Repeat Their Improved Performance from a Year Ago?

By Steve Schwarz | 6/26/25

While 2024 saw a resurgence in running back performances headed by Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry, that didn’t mean the NFL forgot how to throw the football. Quarterbacks (and sometimes running backs and wideouts) threw 17,811 passes, completing 11,629 of them for 118,384 receiving yards. That averages out to 3,699 yards per team. That was only slightly down from 2023 when they threw 18,315 times for 119,095 yards. No, the NFL hasn’t given up on the forward pass.

Below, a table of 19 wide receivers, who produced at least two fantasy points-per-game more last season than the previous year. Can they do it again and be worthy of their new higher ADP or will they regress?

Let’s take a look.

Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati (+7.3) – The Bengals offense threw for more yards than anyone. And why not? When you have Joe Burrow, Chase and Tee Higgins you use them. Particularly when you need to score to win because your defense allowed 434 points (25.2 ppg). Nothing will change for 2025. All the skill guys remain. Meanwhile, the defense is still questionable. So the bottom line is Chase can certainly and probably will put together another elite season.

Rashee Rice, Kansas City (+8.2) – Rice was off to an elite start, producing 21.6 FPts/G over the first three games of 2024, before a season-ending injury four plays into the next game. He appears to be progressing well on his way back for the 2025 season, but there are other red flags for you to be concerned. Rookie Xavier Worthy proved to be an excellent target for Patrick Mahomes in Rice’s absence and will need to be very involved in the passing game as will Travis Kelce, obviously. Marquise Brown should be healthy and JuJu Smith-Schuster returns. But most worrisome was a possible suspension for his involvement in a multi-vehicle crash, however, the latest rumor is that he will not serve a suspension. If true, Rice should be considered a huge bargain as a third-round selection (currently WR17 with a 27.7 ADP).

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay (+7.5) – When talking about the Bucs passing game everyone first thinks of Evans, but it was Godwin who was the main force early in 2024. For seven games he produced 50-576-5 for a career-high 19.7 FPts/G. Evans produced 26-335-6 over the same timeframe. Godwin was a free agent and offered more money to go elsewhere, but returned to the only team he has known. He hopes to be ready for Week 1, but fantasy owners should expect him to be slow out of the gate. Perhaps a late September start for Godwin is more likely. In the meantime, the Bucs selected talented rookie Emeka Egbuka in the first round as both an insurance policy and as the heir apparent for the 31-year-old Evans. The Tampa receiver room in 2025 is as good as any in the league, which is great for Bucs fans, but may mean the top-two receivers have to share the ball a few more times than in the past. On the other hand, Godwin isn’t being selected until the seventh-round (ADP 61.7), so he’s probably worthy of the gamble.

Tee Higgins, Cincinnati (+7.2) – Everything regarding the Bengals offense we noted under Chase, works for Higgins too. Except that instead of 175 targets, Tee only gets about 2/3 as many. His yards-per reception was down last season, but his touchdowns were a career-high. That’s a bit concerning because we can’t guarantee he’ll see double-digit touchdowns again, so I’m wary of Higgins as the WR15 off the board and first “No.2” receiver at ADP 26.2 ahead of other lead wideouts like Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin and Rashee Rice. FFToday.com has his preseason rank as the No.27 wideout, so he seems a bit “overpriced” at the moment.

Drake London, Atlanta (+5.8) – Sadly, London’s best game of the season (10-187-2) took place in Week 18 when most of the fantasy leagues were already over. However, what fantasy owners have to like is that in the three starts after rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. took over from disappointing Kirk Cousins, London cracked 100-yards receiving in two of them. That bodes well for 2025. So does 39 targets in those games. He’s likely to be a target-hog again this season as the team didn’t add any significant pass-catching options. Darnell Mooney is a nice No.2, Ray-Ray McCloud produced career-best numbers, but neither is a threat to London’s supremacy. Neither is tight end Kyle Pitts, who seems to always get people to believe “this is his year,” and it never is. If Penix takes the next step, London could crack the top-10.

Terry McLaurin, Washington (+3.9) – McLaurin produced 1,096 receiving yards which shouldn’t shock anyone. It was his fifth season in a row cracking the 1,000-yard mark. But what did change was his touchdown total. Drastically. He nearly doubled his career high and scored 13 times on his fewest targets in five seasons. He also produced his highest catch percentage – 70.1%. See what can happen when you finally get competent quarterback play? He may not see more targets with the addition of Deebo Samuel to the receiver room, but unless Jayden Daniels has a significant sophomore slump, “Scary Terry” can repeat his production (15.9 FPts/G). My guess is he gets a few more yards and a couple fewer touchdowns, but the bottom line is similar.

Garrett Wilson, NY Jets (+2.1) – There is good news and bad news. Which do you want to hear first? Good – Davante Adams and his 114 targets in 11 games left town and the team didn’t replace him with anyone near his talent level. Bad – so did the team’s best passing arm. Adams is in Los Angeles with the Rams and Aaron Rodgers has finally settled for a job in Pittsburgh. Which means that Justin Fields will be the starting QB and he’s never thrown for more than 2,562 yards in any season. Or more than 17 touchdowns. Wilson may need to see 180 targets to repeat last season and given Fields’ usually chooses running more than throwing that number would seem impossible. Wilson likely can’t crack the top-15.

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton, Denver (+2.5) – I have to admit, Sutton has been my “secret” weapon the past two seasons. He gets little respect, but has 18 touchdowns and 1,853 yards since 2023. Unfortunately, people are catching up to how good his hands are. The Broncos didn’t add much in the receiver room, but they may try to run a bit more with their new backfield of rookie RJ Harvey and new signee J.K. Dobbins. I don’t think that hurts Sutton at all. He’s still underrated and going at the end of the fifth-round. I’ll still be adding him to my rosters.

Jameson Williams, Detroit (+7.4) – The explosive Williams finally stopped missing games and become a huge cog in the Lions’ offensive machine. Ok, he’s still fourth or fifth behind the two running backs, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta, but he produced over 1,000 yards in 15 games. We assume the Detroit offense will still be dynamic, though it’s hard to believe they can improve on last season. Still, he should get close to this production as long as he stays healthy and doesn’t gamble in the clubhouse.

Jauan Jennings, San Francisco (+10.2) – If Christian McCaffrey isn’t hurt, if Brandon Aiyuk doesn’t blow out his knee, if first-round selection Ricky Pearsall doesn’t get shot, Jennings is just a fourth receiver on a balanced offense. All those things did happen in 2024 and Jennings took advantage, finishing 27th in FPts/G (14.0). It’s a new year and Deebo Samuel is in Washington, which should be good for Jennings. At least until Aiyuk returns which may be about four games into the season. Jennings will have a month to claim his position or he could end up third in the pecking order by mid-season. He and Aiyuk would make a good handcuff pair, but I’m out on Jennings reproducing anything close to this level.

Jerry Jeudy, Cleveland (+5.0) – I can’t believe anyone expected Jeudy to produce 90-1,229-5. After a slow start from Game 11 he averaged 19.5 FPts/G. That’s top-five stuff. Obviously, the big question is who will be throwing him the ball. One of two rookies? Seventy-year-old Joe Flacco? Kenny Pickett? What a mess. We can’t begin to give an accurate projection until we know the answer. TBD.

Josh Downs, Indianapolis (+3.9) – Here is another quarterback question which needs to be answered before we go forward. But this receiver room appears to be balanced between veteran Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs with Alec Pierce as the third guy. Neither quarterback is great, but a healthy, more accurate Anthony Richardson would make for a higher-scoring offense and more chances for everyone. I’m not sure that guy will show up in 2025… or ever.

Rashid Shaheed, New Orleans (+2.5) – Ugh. This quarterback situation may be worse than Indianapolis or Cleveland. No.1 receiver Chris Olave is back and the team added Brandin Cooks. I see an ugly season here.

Darnell Mooney, Atlanta (+6.9) – The Mooney from 2021 in Chicago reappeared. He saw 100+ targets and produced 12.2 FPts/G. Now he gets a full season with a full-time Penix. Though he’s still the guy opposite London, he should be able to repeat or better last season’s totals.

Khalil Shakir, Buffalo (+5.5) – Shakir almost doubled his previous production level because of the opportunities given to him. Stefon Diggs left town, rookie Keon Coleman disappointed, as was Elijah Moore. So Josh Allen’s choices were Shakir or a tight end. Unless Coleman shows out, it will be the same in 2025 and with an ADP of 89.4 (ninth round), he’s worth the price.

Quentin Johnston, LA Chargers (+6.1) – We used to chuckle at Johnston during his rookie season, but he became a real receiver in 2024 (11.6 FPts/G). There are a few red flags, but I like how he performed. It’s a running team, with two new talented running backs, and the first look from Justin Herbert is to Ladd McConkey. The team brought back the oft-injured Mike Williams, but the guy has talent. They drafted Tre Harris out of Mississippi in the second round. I’m afraid unless Johnston starts out quickly they will try the rookie as the second receiving option. Beware.

Rashod Bateman, Baltimore (+6.1) – Bateman had his best season yet (45-756-9)… and the Ravens brought in DeAndre Hopkins. Bateman will be the team’s deep threat, Hopkins the first-down maker and Zay Flowers the explosive guy over the middle. Add in two pass-catching tight ends and it’s hard to figure Bateman repeats this in 2025.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Tennessee (+4.5) – Westbrook-Ikhine has just 32 catches all season yet scored nine times. That’s tied for eighth among wideouts. A 28% touchdown percentage is un-repeatable. He’s got a better quarterback in 2025 (Tua Tagovailoa), but he’s behind target-hogs Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and tight end Jonnu Smith. Sorry, not happening.

Alec Pierce, Indianapolis (+4.5) – Pierce had three games over 120 yards and 11 games under 60 yards. He’s the third guy, but at least he’s the deep threat and Richardson loves to show off his strong arm. It’s a tough situation because he’s not predictable. And the Colts quarterback position is questionable. I’d stay away.

 WR Fantasy Points per Game: 2020-2024
Wide Receiver Tm 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Ja'Marr Chase CIN 23.7 16.4 20.5 18.0 x
Rashee Rice KC 21.6 13.4 x x x
Chris Godwin TB 19.7 12.2 15.0 17.6 15.9
Tee Higgins CIN 18.7 11.5 13.7 15.7 12.3
Drake London ATL 16.5 10.7 10.7 x x
Terry McLaurin WAS 15.9 12.0 13.5 12.6 15.1
Garrett Wilson NYJ 14.9 12.8 12.8 x x
Courtland Sutton DEN 14.8 12.3 10.6 8.7 9.6
Jameson Williams DET 14.1 6.7 2.5 x x
Jauan Jennings SF 14.0 4.0 5.2 5.1 x
Jerry Jeudy CLE 13.9 8.9 13.6 8.5 9.7
Josh Downs IND 13.1 9.2 x x x
Rashid Shaheed NO 12.6 10.1 8.4 x x
Darnell Mooney ATL 12.2 5.3 8.5 12.9 9.4
Khalil Shakir BUF 12.2 6.7 2.3 x x
Quentin Johnston LAC 11.6 5.5 x x x
Rashod Bateman BAL 10.9 4.8 7.9 8.6 x
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN 10.4 5.9 4.9 6.9 0.5
Alec Pierce IND 10.1 5.6 7.0 x x