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Fantasy Impact: Swift Moves Quickly to Chicago

By Steve Schwarz | 3/11/24

D'Andre Swift

Swift with Philadelphia

Eagles D’Andre Swift rushed for a personal-best 1,049 yards in 2023 behind the Eagles’ highly-rated offensive line. After missing games in each of his first three seasons in Detroit, Swift played all 16 games in Philadelphia. But after an explosive beginning to his season, his production dropped off precipitously. He rushed for 175 yards in Week 2 and 130 yards in Week 3 and never broke 100 yards again. He only saw 20-or-more rushes twice all season. Still, he rushed for a solid 4.6 ypc and finished 24th in full PPR leagues at 12.6 FPts/G.

He also wasn’t used in the passing game as much as he had been in Detroit, partially because of the presence of backup running back Kenneth Gainwell and the Eagles refusal to feature backs in this area. (That will likely change in 2024 now that the Eagles have agreed to terms with former New York Giant Saquon Barkley). The Eagles tried to keep Swift’s workload under control and it worked – he played every game last season, but it cost fantasy owners who liked what they saw over the first few games.

Swift in Chicago

The Bears’ offensive line was average-at-best when healthy in 2023, which wasn’t often. But they could be marked for improvement with 2023 first-round pick Darnell Wright continuing to grow and perhaps the team using its second first-round pick (No.9) on a lineman like Joe Alt from Notre Dame or Olumuyiwa Fashanu from Penn State (after choosing Caleb Williams No.1 overall).

Swift won’t be the only running back to carry the ball in Chicago. Both Khalil Herbert (132-611-2) and Roschon Johnson (81-352-2) averaged at least 4.3 ypc for the Bears last season. Herbert can be an unrestricted free agent after 2024 and Johnson is signed through 2026. However, based on the size of the deal Swift signed (three years for $24M), he figures to be the starter and get the majority of the work as long as he stays healthy. Johnson should play the “big back” role at 225 lbs. and I’m afraid Herbert may be the odd man out or traded somewhere else.

Bottom line

Swift leaves one mobile quarterback for another (Williams can run as well as pass), but he may get a few more opportunities to score than he did in Philadelphia (where Jalen Hurts was a goal-line hog). Unfortunately, that advantage will be more than offset by a weaker OL in front of him and fewer big holes to run through.

I would think Swift’s fantasy production will fall slightly in 2024, leaving him as a low-end RB2 for your fantasy team. Think 210-882-6 and 40-240-1 for 194.2 fantasy points which would have ranked 24th in 2023.