1) David Montgomery at Jacksonville

In case you haven’t been paying attention, Montgomery is the hottest back in the league over the past three weeks. His 26.9 FPts/G is more than Cook, Derrick Henry or Alvin Kamara. His five rushing touchdowns are the most for a back over that span. The Jaguars’ run defense ranks 30th for the season and 31st over the past five weeks having allowed a league-worst 773 rushing yards. He’s the best running back play of the day.

2) Leonard Fournette at Detroit

This is more about opportunities than performance. Fournette rushes for just 3.9 ypc versus 5.0 for Ronald Jones, but Jones isn’t going to play due to Covid-19 and finger surgery. It means Fournette should see close to 20 touches in this one and the Bucs figure to be ahead late allowing the running game to finish this one out after Brady does his thing early in the game.

3) Giovani Bernard at Houston

Bernard had done little with his opportunity while Joe Mixon was sidelined, but he did show out Monday night against Pittsburgh (25-83-1). That workload should continue against a vulnerable Texans’ run defense which ranks 31st on the season and last over the past five games. Bernard is also a factor in the passing game. Despite just one target Monday night, he had seen 20 targets over the previous five games.

Grab some Pine

1) D’Andre Swift vs Tampa Bay

The Bucs’ run defense has allowed a league-low 784 rushing yards this season – that’s just 56 yards per game. Swift can still be productive in the passing game, but not enough to balance the lack of ground production. Additionally, a negative game script figures to have an injured Matthew Stafford (ribs) throwing more than running. It’s a tough spot for the entire Lions’ offense.

2) Le’Veon Bell vs Atlanta

It’s not that the Falcons run defense is so great, it’s that the Falcons pass defense is so horrible and Andy Reid loves to throw the ball. Who wouldn’t, when you have Mahomes under center? The Chiefs will throw early and often and by the time they start to run out the clock, the starters will be sitting and backup Darrell Williams will see more of the ball than Bell.

3) Darrell Henderson/Malcolm Brown at Seattle

With Cam Akers sidelined, you might hope for either Henderson or Brown to step up and become a workhorse, but it figures to be a shared backfield in which neither is fantasy-worthy. Meanwhile, the Seahawks allow the most fantasy points in the league to wide receivers (45 FPts/G). Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp are likely to be featured in this one and the running backs will be strictly touchdown-dependent.

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers