* - How well does his skill set carry over
to the fantasy game? For receivers, a player needs to be a realistic
threat for 70 catches and 1,000 receiving yards at some point
early in their career to be a candidate for a perfect grade. Positional
scarcity at the pro level is also a part of the equation.
Positives
Prototypical build for a three-down tight end; plays
a bit like the player he models his game after (Kittle).
Highly competitive and embraces contact; he has some
make-you-miss in his game but would rather run through contact
than avoid it.
Consummate team player who exudes confidence.
Among tight ends with at least 70 targets in 2024, he
ranked second among tight ends in FBS with a 2.8-percent drop
rate (three drops on 135 targets).
Very adept at playing the ball in the air and winning
in contested-catch situations (13-for-21 as a senior).
Something of a jack-of-all-trades; offers a viable threat
as a runner or trick-play passer out of the Wildcat formation
(averaged 8.4 yards per attempt and scored four touchdowns on
26 carries in 2024); took snaps as a quarterback and running
back and also lined up all across the formation (47.3 percent
slot, 33.1 percent inline and 14 percent outside).
Negatives
Takes a few steps to hit top speed, so he is not
much of a vertical threat (5.9 percent deep target rate over
the last two seasons, while 64 percent of his targets came within
nine yards).
Stands too high pre-snap, which could cause him trouble
against NFL linebackers or safeties capable of matching his
athleticism.
Understands what to do when he gets a step on his defender
but lacks the explosiveness to create separation consistently.
Occasionally ran a lackadaisical or nonchalant route,
which is almost unthinkable for a player who amassed a 32-percent
target share in 2024 and was often the Nittany Lions' first
read in the passing game.
Has the power and desire to be a very good blocker but
will play too high at times; he also needs to continue working
on his footwork and hand positioning to be great.
Bottom Line
The college game has long been guilty of misusing and underutilizing
tight ends for decades. That was certainly not the case at Penn
State last season, as the Nittany Lions targeted him on 32 percent
of their pass plays and enabled him to become one of only a handful
of tight ends in college football history to post a 100-catch
season. His usage was not limited to the passing game, however.
He threw six passes, ran 26 times and occasionally served as the
primary option in short-yardage situations. He also lined up in-line,
in the slot and out wide. As much as a tight end can be an offensive
weapon, he was that for Penn State in 2024.
Warren models his game after George Kittle and it shows. He accelerated
into contact multiple times, which tends to energize a team when
your guy wins that battle. To that end, his 6.7 yards after contact
per reception ranked third in the country among tight ends with
at least 70 targets last year. After struggling with drops as
a sophomore and junior (15-plus percent in both seasons), he lowered
his drop rate to 2.8 on 135 targets as a senior. Whatever he may
lack in terms of explosiveness, he makes up for it with his huge
frame, ball skills and body control. While he may not be an elite
blocker yet, he is probably the most likely tight end prospect
- at least of the ones expected to go in the first two rounds
- to become one.
There is relatively little to dislike about his game, but one
area where he is lacking is explosiveness. If and when he creates
separation, it will likely be a result of him being physical.
While he can stretch the seam on occasion, it is unlikely to happen
very often because he beat the linebacker or safety in a footrace.
As a result, Warren will most likely do most of his damage in
the NFL in the short and intermediate areas. He also tends to
play too high coming off the line of scrimmage as a receiver or
blocker. NFL teams (or fantasy managers, for that matter) who
are looking for the next Brock Bowers are not going to find him
in Warren, but what they should find is a player who should be
a very good secondary option in the passing game and a red-zone
standout.
Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and joined the
Fantasy Points website before the start of the 2024 season. He is
also a highly successful high-stakes player who often appears as
a guest analyst on Sirius XM. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy
Sports Writers Association. Please check him out on "The Football
Diehards" podcast with co-host JJ Wenner.