trade of Carlos Hyde to Jacksonville on Friday dropped a low-priced
Chubb bomb on the DFS community and the lack of high-powered offenses
on the main slate were the main storylines for Week 7. Without any
options from Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Kansas City, Cincinnati and
the Los Angeles Chargers, ownership was concentrated on the Rams
and the Browns who both had premium matchups.
Here’s a look at my cash game Lineup for Fanduel in Week
Jared Goff ($8300) and Kirk Cousins ($8000) were my considerations
on the high end, but roster construction was leading me towards
a low-priced QB where Baker Mayfield ($7100) and C.J. Beathard
($6400) became viable options. I preferred Mayfield but was comfortable
with Beathard in a game that setup for 35+ pass attempts that
also included a reasonably healthy Marqise Goodwin. Beathard had
thrown 2 TDs in each of his three previous starts and the Rams
secondary hasn’t been one to fear this season. I was somewhat
surprised Beathard was 22-25 percent owned in double-ups given
he was probably a thinner play from a projected points standpoint
than Mayfield and Jameis Winston ($7800) who had similar ownership.
Nick Chubb ($4800) became a lock for me once it was clear he
would take over the lead running back duties. I knew he’d
be limited in the pass game but was comfortable with a touch projection
of 17-20 with all the goaline work in a friendly game environment.
With Gurley a lock for the Flex spot, my last running back decision
came down to Ezekiel Elliott ($8400) and Tarik Cohen ($6600).
Before the trade of Carlos Hyde, I had Cohen penciled in and briefly
considered Kerryon Jonson ($6500) who was in line to see an increase
in volume given pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick was going
to miss this week. However, I wasn’t comfortable assuming
the Lions coaching staff would increase Johnson’s role and
knowing LeGarrette Blount would be lurking to take goaline plunges,
I decided to leave KJ off this team. Plus, Chubb’s low price
allowed me to easily fit in Zeke. The decision between Zeke and
Cohen was a tough one as I really like the game environment for
Cohen but Zeke’s higher touch projection, goaline role and
three-down usage ultimately won out.
Adam Thielen ($8700) was lock as my highest projected wide receiver
on the slate and I couldn’t jam him in my lineup fast enough
once Chubb became a thing. Wind was a concern for the Vikings-Jets
game on Sunday morning but not enough to persuade me off the top
Vikings receiver and one of the best receivers in fantasy football.
While rolling with Zeke is somewhat understandable, not playing
Jarvis Landry ($6500) was a big mistake given his price. I didn’t
feel great about having three Browns in cash even in a plus matchup
and wasn’t comfortable with Landry’s recent inefficiency
with Mayfield at quarterback. Plus, I preferred both Rams wide
receivers as my WR2 over Landry with Robert Woods ($7700) my main
target. Woods was projected to see more targets in the slot with
Cooper Kupp out and would mostly avoid any entanglements with
Jermaine Kearse ($5000) was low-priced salary saver at wide receiver
this week. He projected to play from the slot with 6-8 projectable
targets given the history of the Jets passing offense this season.
I also considered John Brown ($6500), Marqise Goodwin ($5500)
and Taylor Gabriel ($5900) in the mid-tier.
David Njoku ($5700) was an early-week lock in my roster and he
never moved. Some brief consideration was given to Jordan Reed
($6000) and O.J. Howard ($5800) but projected targets and game
environment made the Browns tight end an easy call. He was roughly
70 percent owned in cash games. I pivoted to Reed in my tournament
On pace for 32 touchdowns, the DFS community went all in on Todd Gurley ($9500). He was 90-plus percent owned in cash games this
week and he’ll remain a lock until his price climbs north
of $11K. Note: My intention was to put Gurley in the Flex position
but forgot to adjust my roster prior to lock. Dumb. Always put
a late-game player in your flex position (if possible) to allow
yourself more pivot options.
My initial lineup build prior to the Chubb news included the
Browns defense ($3200) facing a turnover-prone Jameis Winston
but I was $100 shy of fitting them into this lineup. My only other
option was to punt with the 49ers. The Colts ($4100), Bills ($3400)
and Ravens ($3400) were also under consideration but couldn’t
fit them in given my desire at the RB, WR and TE positions.
This was one of my worst DFS weeks since 2014. The need to jam
in Elliott led me to pay down at quarterback and to a roster construction
that just wasn’t going to profitable given my narrowed down
player pool and what happened on the field. I felt good about
all my plays at the RB, WR and TE positions and obviously new
I was punting at Defense, but was thrilled to get two volume heavy
running backs and my top-ranked wide receiver into this lineup.
Woods was close to a lock for me as well, so I was willing to
roll the dice with the 49ers at a position with a lot of variance
in order to fit him in. It all backfired resulting in a big loss.
I should’ve come off of Thielen, down to Landry, and upgraded
at Quarterback and Defense for a more balanced roster.