Pairing Nick Bosa with Chandler Jones would
give Arizona one of the best DE tandems in the league.
1. Arizona Cardinals - Nick Bosa, DE,
Nick Bosa is the obvious pick, but that doesnít always seem
to happen in the NFL. The Cardinals are a team filled with holes,
meaning they can take the best overall prospect. They have one solid
defensive end in Chandler Jones with an opening on the other side.
Bosa features an NFL body with the ability to utilize speed or power
moves to rush the quarterback. There have been reports that heís
better at this point than his older brother, Joey Bosa, who has
quickly become a premiere defensive player in the NFL. In 2017,
Nick recorded 8.5 sacks and 16.0 tackles for a loss at Ohio State.
He displayed elite potential in 2018 as well, recording 4.0 sacks
and 6.0 tackles for a loss before suffering an injury and shutting
down his season to train for the NFL Combine. There are multiple
spots Arizona could go with this pick, but Bosa is the safe choice.
2. San Francisco 49ers - Quinnen Williams,
Williams is a versatile player, who has the potential to play either
defensive end or slide inside to tackle for the 49ers. It simply
depends on whether or not San Francisco wants Solomon Thomas to
slide inside or Williams to fill that role. Williams played only
one full season at Alabama, recording 8.0 sacks and 19.5 tackles
for a loss in 15 games in 2018. Heís a quick defensive lineman
for his size, but also comes with bullrush potential. Williams is
slightly better against the run, but far from a liability against
the pass. As a bonus, Iím willing to predict that San Francisco
keeps him inside, making up one of the best defensive tackle combinations
in the NFL between Williams and DeForest Buckner.
3. New York Jets - Josh Allen, EDGE,
The Oakland Raiders are dying for potential pass rushers after trading
Khalil Mack, meaning they could potential unload draft capital to
trade up to this spot for Josh Allen. If they donít, heíll
likely be the next New York Jet. He has progressively gotten better
throughout his collegiate career, breaking out as a senior. In 2018,
Allen recorded 17.0 sacks and 21.5 tackles for a loss in 13 games.
He has elite burst off the edge, although he struggles at times
with hand placement. His athleticism has been enough to get by,
but the addition of finesse/power moves will only make him that
much more dangerous. While Allen is known for his pass rushing abilities,
he is more than capable of dropping into zone when needed. There
are some scouts that believe Allen has the potential to slide over
a position to middle linebacker, while others say he can add weight
to become a 4-3 defensive end if needed. The most likely scenario
is Allen stays standing as an edge rusher, but the versatility canít
hurt his stock.
4. Oakland Raiders - Rashan Gary, DE,
As mentioned above, the Raiders are in dire need of someone to get
pressure on the quarterback. Gary is far from a safe prospect, but
he comes with tremendous upside as a pass rusher. Jon Gruden and
company have proven time and time again that they donít care
about media critique as long as they are getting what they believe
will help their team. They have holes all across the defensive line,
and Gary enters the NFL with the ability to potentially play inside
or out. Heís a smart player, who totaled 9.0 sacks and 18.0
tackles for a loss over his last 22 games at Michigan. He has the
potential to become a high level run defender, but this is a pick
based around his length, versatility, and ability to rush the passer.
Similarly to everything Gruden has done since joining Oakland, heíll
take a chance on a high upside player, who comes with a bit more
risk than some would like this high in the NFL Draft.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
Oliver is taking somewhat of undeserved heat after an injury-riddled,
questionable season in 2018. He still found plenty of success, and
he recorded 13.5 sacks and 53.0 tackles for a loss through 32 career
games. Heís a bit undersized, but has the speed and athleticism
to create a mismatch against nearly any offensive line. Oliver struggles
at times with his responsibilities, but has proven he has the potential
to become a difference-maker in the run and pass. While he doesnít
always get pressure on the quarterback, he generally gets his hands
in the passing lanes. Oliver is also a consistent tackler, who rarely
gives up on run plays, regardless of how far downfield the back
gets. There have been talks that the Buccaneers are going to move
on from Gerald McCoy, and Oliver could immediately slot into the
starting role next to Vita Vea. Weíve seen how a pass rush
up the middle can change offenses, a la Aaron Donald, and the Bucs
could be looking to replicate that strategy the best they can with
6. New York Giants - Dwayne Haskins,
QB, Ohio State
Personal feelings aside, this is likely the right pick for the Giants.
They have rode a terrible Eli Manning for years now, and they need
to find his successor. Haskins has only started one season at the
collegiate level, but he found plenty of success, throwing for 4,831
yards and 50 touchdowns, while recording only eight interceptions.
He also completed 70% of his passes in 14 games. Heís a pocket
passer with a solid combination of accuracy and arm strength. Haskins
is also a solid decision-maker when throwing from a clean pocket.
That may be an issue with New York, as they are in desperate need
of help along the offensive line. Jonah Williams would be my first
pick here, but New York will likely overdraft a quarterback after
selecting a running back over a potential franchise quarterback
with the second pick of last seasonís draft.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars - Clelin Ferrell,
There are a few places the Jaguars could go in this situation. Drew
Lock or Kyler Murray make sense, but I anticipate they use a one
year stop-gap quarterback before finding their heir in a better
2020 draft class. If thatís the case, they could draft T.J.
Hockenson or Noah Fant to fill a void at TE, but Ferrell is too
good of value to pass up. He has looked outstanding over his last
two seasons, totaling 21.0 sacks and 38.0 tackles for a loss over
his last 29 games. He possesses great acceleration off the line
with multiple pass rush moves that have allowed him to find the
quarterback throughout his collegiate career. He has also proven
that he can find success against the run, and he has the potential
to continue to develop as a run stopper in the NFL. Ferrell will
play defensive end in Jacksonvilleís defense, but he has the
potential to stand up as a 3-4 OLB if needed.
8. Detroit Lions - Greedy Williams,
Williams has all the makings of an elite CB1 if he hits his ceiling.
Heís an athletic corner with plenty of size. He has flashed
tremendous press potential, while also displaying the ability to
play off of his receiver. His only true knock is his effort in run
support, which could change in time. Williams seemingly has the
potential to shadow opposing teams WR1ís, which is relatively
rare for cornerbacks coming out of college. The Lions need plenty
of cornerback help outside of Darius Slay, and even he struggled
at times in 2018. Williams is a potential playmaker, who would immediately
add value to a position that should be at the top of Detroitís
list in this draft.
9. Buffalo Bills - Jonah Williams, OT,
The Bills selected their franchise quarterback (Josh Allen) last
year, and now they need to protect their investment. They have multiple
holes along the offensive line, and Williams is a player that can
play either tackle or guard. Heíll immediately slot into the
starting lineup and likely upgrade any position he takes over. Heís
an extremely technical tackle, who has quick and impressive hands.
Williams has also shown the ability to get to the second level,
while potentially moving on to other players after his initial block.
Williams has some of the most uncertain value in this draft, but
itís likely he works his way into the top-10 on draft night.
10. Denver Broncos - Drew Lock, QB,
Lock is a big quarterback, who owns a cannon for an arm and has
no business being selected in the top-10 of this draft. Thatís
the exact reason John Elway will pull the trigger on him. Elway
loves quarterbacks with size and powerful arms. He tends to ignore
the red flags, such as a career 56.9% completion percentage at Missouri.
The Broncos recently traded for Joe Flacco, but he simply isnít
the long term answer. While he may be a one or two year starter
to allow Denver to wait until a better quarterback class, that seems
somewhat unlikely. Quarterbacks are generally overdrafted, even
in weak classes. Lock has the exact profile Elway tends to look
for in a quarterback, and there have already been reports that this
pick is a near ďlock.Ē Keep in mind, even though Lock
comes with substantial risk, he also comes with quite a bit of upside
if he can reach his ceiling.
11. Cincinnati Bengals - Devin White,
The Bengals will need help along the offensive line, but they
have a glaring need at middle linebacker. Devin White is a difference-maker
on the defensive side of the ball with sideline-to-sideline range
in run defense. Heís also an extremely sure tackler, who
has plus play recognition. White is a valuable asset in the pass
game as well, although he has found more success in zone coverage
versus man. In his last two seasons, White has totaled 256 tackles,
7.5 sacks, and 25.5 tackles for a loss. Heíll immediately
slot into the starting role for Cincinnati, and heíll add
a presence on the second level that the Bengals have been lacking.
12. Green Bay Packers - Jachai Polite,
The Packers will surely be looking for pass rushers in this draft,
and theyíll have their pick of the litter here. Montez Sweat
was an interesting option, but I sided with the upside of Polite
for Green Bay. He only has one season worth of true production,
recording 19.5 tackles for a loss and 11.0 sacks through 13 games
in 2018. He also recorded six forced fumbles over that span. Polite
is an ultra-athletic edge rusher, who utilizes speed and acceleration
to beat tackles. He needs to work on his run support if he wants
to find consistent success in the NFL, but he has elite pass rushing
upside, which is exactly what Green Bayís defense is in
13. Miami Dolphins - Kyler Murray,
This is the sexy pick across the industry, and it makes quite
a bit of sense. Ryan Tannehill is on his way out and Miami will
need to find a replacement. There have been talks that the Dolphins
are interested in tanking to find their quarterback of the future
in the next draft or two, but thatís a bold proposition
for any head coach. Murray started 14 games for Oklahoma this
season, throwing for 4,361 yards, 42 touchdowns, and only seven
interceptions. He also ran for 1,001 yards and 12 touchdowns on
140 rush attempts. He has game-changer potential, and the NFL
is seemingly moving towards dual-threat quarterbacks. Murray could
have potentially been the first quarterback taken if he had committed
strictly to playing in the NFL sooner or with more conviction,
but Miami is a losing franchise that will take a chance on a boom
or bust prospect.
14. Atlanta Falcons - Christian Wilkins,
There are plenty of teams with obvious needs. The Falcons are
one of those teams. They need help along the interior defensive
line, and Christian Wilkins is an NFL-ready player that can find
success from day one. Heís a massive individual who comes
with versatility; although heíll play defensive tackle in
Atlantaís current defensive system. Wilkins has found plenty
of success over his last three seasons at Clemson, totaling 36.0
tackles for a loss and 14.0 sacks over that span. I considered
DreíMont Jones in this spot, but Wilkins seems to own a
comfortable lead on him in the majority of ranks, and Iím
fully willing to follow suit on that end.
15. Washington Redskins - D.K. Metcalf,
WR, Ole Miss
This pick assumes that Metcalfís medical checks out, as
is expected. He missed part of last season with a neck injury,
and only played in 19 total games since 2017. In those games,
he recorded 65 receptions for 1,215 yards and 14 touchdowns, although
he was never truly the WR1 on his team. Metcalf is a player that
projects well in the NFL as he features a WR1 body with speed
and solid hands. Heíll continue to work on route running
as he progresses as a player, but he comes with more upside than
any receiver in this draft, including his former teammate, A.J.
Brown. Thatís exactly what the Washington Redskins need
as they have been without a true WR1 for quite some time.
Thompson isnít the safest prospect on the board, but he
fills a glaring hole in the Panthers defense. They will be forced
to address the safety position this offseason, and drafting the
best one in the class is far from a bad idea. He has versatility
at the position, as he can play center field or move into the
box. He also displayed good ball skills, recording two interceptions
and six deflections last season. Thompson is a willing tackler,
but needs to find more consistency in that department. While he
may not be everyoneís favorite pick here, it makes sense
for Carolina to address this position with this selection.
17. Cleveland Browns - DreíMont
Jones, DT, Ohio State
The Browns donít have a ton of major needs, but they could
use help at defensive tackle. There have been reports that if
Jeffery Simmons falls to this pick, Cleveland will select him.
That seems relatively unlikely, as he is loaded with off-field
concerns, including a physical altercation with a woman and a
recent injury. If they were willing to take Simmons, they could
simply shift their focus to DreíMont Jones. Jones is a bit
undersized, but heís athletic, and can produce hustle plays.
In his last season at Ohio State, he recorded 13.0 tackles for
a loss with 8.5 sacks. Heíll add another dimension to an
already potent Cleveland pass rush, making their defense that
much more dangerous.
18. Minnesota Vikings - Greg Little,
OT, Ole Miss
The Vikings were considered one of the favorites to win the Super
Bowl prior to the start of last season, but a struggling offensive
line quickly ended their hopes. They have a relatively complete
roster, but will need to upgrade their offensive line if they
want to make a run this season. Little is a versatile player,
who has the potential to play their tackle position, while also
being able to kick into guard. He has the quickness to keep up
with speed rushers, while he has enough power to slow down bull-rushers,
although he has struggled more with the latter. Little will likely
slide into the left tackle position for Minnesota, giving Kirk
Cousins a bit more blindside protection.
19. Tennessee Titans - Montez Sweat,
DE, Mississippi State
This draft is absolutely loaded with edge rushers, meaning the
Titans should have no issues finding one here. They have a few
players that are plus pass rushers at the moment, but adding another
is far from a bad idea. Sweat is an extremely tall prospect, who
uses his length well. He utilizes multiple pass rushing moves,
specifically involving his acceleration and athleticism. In his
last two seasons at Mississippi State, Sweat totaled 30.0 tackles
for a loss and 22.5 sacks. Heís another player that will
help put pressure on the quarterback in Tennessee, which is an
attribute their defense is in need of with quarterbacks like Andrew
Luck and Deshaun Watson running opposing offenses.
Is this a reach? Most likely. Does it make sense? Absolutely.
Wilson found plenty of success in 14 games at Alabama last season,
totaling 65 tackles, 4.5 tackles for a loss, and 1.0 sack. He
also recorded two interceptions with five deflections. Heís
a three-down linebacker that has sideline-to-sideline ability.
Wilson should be able to find success in both the pass and run
game, as he diagnoses plays well, and trusts his instincts. Heís
a safe option for a team that needs inside linebacker help, but
doesnít truly come with the upside of some other players
available. Regardless, a safe option that will fill a void makes
sense over potential upside at this part of the draft.
21. Seattle Seahawks - Byron Murphy,
The Seahawks featured one of the worst secondaries in the NFL
last season, and theyíre going to need to address the position
in this draft. With Greedy Williams off the board, they will have
their pick between Byron Murphy and Deandre Baker. Murphy is a
versatile cornerback, who has the ability to play outside or in
the slot. He has flashed the ability to press or play off, as
well. Furthermore, Murphy has found plenty of success in both
man and zone at Washington. In his final collegiate season, he
recorded four interceptions and 13 pass deflections. Murphyís
ceiling is a CB1, who can shadow opposing WR1s, but his size could
be an issue against larger receivers in the NFL.
22. Baltimore Ravens - Kelvin Harmon,
WR, NC State
The Ravens are expected to select a receiver with this pick, but
there are a multitude of options for them to consider. NíKeal
Harry and A.J. Brown may be the two most likely with D.K. Metcalf
off the board, but Iím slotting Harmon into this spot. He
has been climbing up the draft boards throughout the season, totaling
81 receptions for 1,186 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games
at North Carolina State. He has a WR1 body with tremendous hands.
He wonít necessarily take the top off of defenses every
play, but he does come with some deep threat potential. Heíll
more or less be a safe intermediate receiver for Lamar Jackson
to continue to develop. While Harry and Brown both come with more
upside than Harmon, heís the safer pick, who will immediately
add to this offense.
23. Houston Texans - Cody Ford, OG,
Deshaun Watson was under pressure as much as any quarterback in
the NFL last season, and the Texans are going to need to address
that in this draft. Ford is a player that seemingly brings a high
floor and an even higher ceiling into the equation. He can immediately
slide into their starting lineup as a guard, while cross-training
his skills as a tackle. He doesnít necessarily have elite
size for the outside, but he owns a great first step combined
with tremendous power. Ford also uses his hands extremely well,
which is why he projects to play tackle in the long run. He also
features the athleticism that can help him get down the field
to the second level after his initial blocks. This isnít
necessarily a sexy pick, but itís the most logical for Houston.
24. Oakland Raiders - A.J. Brown,
WR, Ole Miss
The Raiders addressed their lack of a pass rush with their first
pick, and now theyíll address their need for a wide receiver.
Jordy Nelson is no longer the receiver he formerly was, and they
donít have much upside behind him. Brown was the focal point
of the Ole Miss offense that also featured D.K. Metcalf at times
last season. Over his last 23 games, he has recorded 160 receptions
for 2,572 yards and 17 touchdowns. Heís a big receiver,
who utilizes agility and power in his routes and after the catch.
Brown also has sure-fire hands, while he can play inside or out.
Heís the type of receiver that a team can mold their offense
around, and heís another high upside option for Oakland,
who will likely be shooting for the stars in this draft.
25. Philadelphia Eagles - Dexter Lawrence,
Dexter Lawrence doesn't have the gaudy stats of Clelin Ferrell
or Christian Wilkins, but he was a major part of the reason that
those players are being drafted so high. Lawrence is a massive
individual, who has the ability to eat up double-teams on the
interior. In his three-year career at Clemson, he recorded 18.0
tackles for a loss and 10.0 sacks. Heís a powerful player, who
will immediately help the Eagles in the run game. Fletcher
Cox has been taking on double-teams for quite some time, but
that may have to stop with Lawrence next to him. If not, Lawrence
will finally see solo blocks, which could raise his ceiling. There
are some that believe heíll be forced to come off the field on
third downs, but I donít fully believe that is true. At worst,
Lawrence will make Coxís life easier, which would be a welcome
sign for one of the best players in the NFL.
26. Indianapolis Colts - NíKeal
Harry, WR, Arizona State
Is wide receiver the biggest need for the Indianapolis Colts?
No, but itís fun to consider and a truly plausible scenario.
T.Y. Hilton has found plenty of success in the NFL, but heís
more or less a deep threat, even if heís an elite one. Eric
Ebron will continue to find success at tight end, but the remainder
of the Indianapolis receiving group is a bit shaky. Harry is likely
to drop a bit if he posts lackluster numbers at the NFL Combine,
which is somewhat expected. He has never truly has possessed elite
separation ability, but he ball skills are second to none. Harry
will come down with contested catches, and Andrew Luck is a confident
quarterback that will be willing to throw into coverage to give
his receiver the best shot at success. Over the last two seasons
at Arizona State, Harry has totaled 155 receptions for 2,230 yards
and 17 touchdowns. The Colts could address issues with their secondary
through free agency, and adding Harry to their already dominant
offense would make them that much more dynamic.
27. Oakland Raiders - Deandre Baker,
This hasnít been the Oakland Raiders M.O. in this draft,
but with three picks, they donít have to stick to one plan.
Deandre Baker isnít seen as a high upside prospect, but
he is seen as one of the safest in this draft. He comes with relatively
average size, and tremendous speed. He has the ability to play
at the line or off coverage, but he has looked significantly better
in man. That doesnít necessarily mean he canít play
zone, though. He simply uses his speed better in man, which may
end up with him generally guarding receivers that are looking
to take the top off of defenses. Baker likely will never turn
into a shadow cornerback, but heíll be a starter in the
NFL for years to come, which is something Oakland needs at this
28. Los Angeles Chargers - Nasir Adderley,
Adderley is a smaller school prospect, who comes with tremendous
upside. Heís a safety that has the ability to play center
field, taking away opposing deep threats with his ball-hawking
potential. He can also move up in the box and help with run support.
As if that isnít enough, Adderley has the potential to slide
over to corner with very little issues. The Chargers could certainly
use another safety to lean on, and Adderley makes their elite
secondary that much better. This is a defense filled with chess
pieces, and Adderley will fit right in a potential game-changing
29. Kansas City Chiefs - Jeffery
Simmons, DE, Mississippi State
Simmons was a lock to be selected inside the top-15 of this draft,
but off-field issues, including a confrontation with a woman and
a recent injury have hurt his stock. He was an elite player over
his final 26 games at Mississippi State, totaling 30.0 tackles
for a loss and 7.0 sacks over that span. He also added five pass
deflections and three forced fumbles in those games for good measure.
Heís a potential difference-maker on the defensive line,
and the Chiefs are a team that need defensive help. Theyíre
also a team that is focused heavily on offense, and will be willing
to wait for Simmons to get healthy to incorporate him in their
defense. They have also proven that theyíre willing to take
chances on players with shaky pasts, and Simmons is a steal at
this pick from a talent perspective.
30. Green Bay Packers - T.J. Hockenson,
Iím sure by my final installment, Iíll have T.J. Hockenson
selected well before this pick, but this is how this mock shakes
out. Hockenson is an elite blocker, who surpassed the highly-touted
Noah Fant in the passing game at Iowa. He finished this season
with 49 receptions for 760 yards and six touchdowns. The Packers
drafted three receivers last season, and itís time they
take care of the tight end position with Jimmy Graham nearing
the end of his career. Hockenson has game-changing potential in
both the run and pass game, which is something Green Bay hasnít
had at tight end in quite some time. Heíll immediately help
Aaron Rodgers and company from any part of the field, especially
in the red zone.
31. Los Angeles Rams - Brian Burns,
EDGE, Florida State
The Rams have a few needs, specifically middle linebacker, but
that position doesnít truly make sense at this spot. Instead,
they can select another edge rusher in a stacked class. Brian
Burns is a speed rusher, who will struggle in the run game until
he adds weight to his frame. With that being said, he can take
some pressure off of Aaron Donald on passing downs, which is all
the Rams needs. Through 33 games at Florida State, Burns totaled
38.5 tackles for a loss and 23.0 sacks. He comes with quite a
bit of risk, but he can be a game-changer on third and long situations.
32. New England Patriots - Noah Fant,
It would be a bit surprising if Fant wasnít selected in
the first round, but there are players that are going to fall.
Fant isnít likely to be one of them, though. Heís
ultra-athletic and will immediately be a mismatch in the passing
game. He needs work as a run blocker, but the Patriots can utilize
him in the pass game more than the run game. If Rob Gronkowski
opts to retire this offseason, Fant can immediately step in as
a mismatch. If Gronkowski doesnít retire, New England could
still use this pick on his heir. Imagine how Tom Brady could use
a player that caught seven touchdowns on only 39 receptions last
season at Iowa.