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Regular Season, Updated: 7/27/17


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FF Today Default Scoring: Review Scoring
 Antonio Brown, PIT (Bye: 9)
1
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 186   DOB: 1988-07-10   Age: 29
College: Central Michigan   Draft: 2010 Round 6 (26) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014PIT16129 1,698 13 4 13 0 249.1 15.6
2015PIT16136 1,834 10 3 28 0 246.2 15.4
2016PIT15106 1,284 12 3 9 0 201.3 13.4
2017 (Projected)PIT 108 1,388 11 1 11 0 205.9  

 Odell Beckham Jr., NYG (Bye: 8)
2
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 198   DOB: 1992-11-05   Age: 24
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014NYG1291 1,305 12 7 35 0 206.0 17.2
2015NYG1596 1,450 13 1 3 0 223.3 14.9
2016NYG16101 1,367 10 1 9 0 197.6 12.4
2017 (Projected)NYG 97 1,382 11 0 0 0 204.2  

Outlook: Despite posting career highs in targets (169) and catches (101), Beckham finished 2016 with his fewest touchdowns (10), lowest catch percentage (59.8%), and lowest fantasy points per game in his three-year career, yet still finished as the No.5 WR in fantasy football. A positive regression to a career average catch percentage of 65 percent would result in a more efficient OBJ in the red zone, and a likely increase in touchdown catches. The addition of Marshall and Engram will no doubt reduce the number of targets for Beckham unless Manning decides to set a career high in pass attempts. But fewer targets may not be a bad thing for Beckham owners, as more quality targets, especially in the red zone, would make him more of an effective scoring weapon while hopefully keeping him healthy for a full 16-game season.

I wrote extensively in my Brandon Marshall piece that the addition of Marshall to the passing game has a wide spectrum of possibilities for Beckham, with the most positive being an increase in fantasy production due to a decrease of double and triple coverage schemes from opposing defenses. The negative end of the spectrum could be a disgruntled OBJ causing turmoil on the field and in the locker room, which would have a direct adverse effect on his production.


 Julio Jones, ATL (Bye: 5)
3
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1989-02-03   Age: 28
College: Alabama   Draft: 2011 Round 1 (6) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014ATL15104 1,593 6 1 1 0 195.4 13.0
2015ATL16136 1,871 8 0 0 0 235.1 14.7
2016ATL1483 1,409 6 0 0 0 176.9 12.6
2017 (Projected)ATL 100 1,487 9 0 0 0 202.7  

 Mike Evans, TB (Bye: 11)
4
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 231   DOB: 1993-08-21   Age: 23
College: Texas A&M   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014TB1568 1,051 12 0 0 0 177.1 11.8
2015TB1474 1,208 3 0 0 0 138.8 9.9
2016TB1696 1,321 12 0 0 0 204.1 12.8
2017 (Projected)TB 91 1,286 10 0 0 0 188.6  

Outlook: Can you say rebound? Missed opportunities plagued the Winston to Evans connection in 2015, but the two turned the corner last season to make Evans one of the games brightest young fantasy stars. If there was a chink in his armor last year it was in his consistency as the year wore on. Winston's favorite target averaged 15 fantasy points per game over the first six games but only 12.5 over the next five games. In fact, Evans only found the end zone in four of his ten games after Week 7. Repeating last year's lofty totals won't be easy now that the team has improved the talent pool but he is a better bet than most to reach double-digit touchdowns and post 1200 receiving yards putting him firmly in the top ten fantasy wide receivers for 2017. Evans has already proved he can be a legit WR1 for fantasy owners but the offense may need to take a step forward for him to maintain his ranking. Still, the former Aggie offers the upside to finish as the league's top fantasy receiver with one of the highest floors at the position so you will need to pony up some extra bucks if you want to roster him this year.


 Jordy Nelson, GB (Bye: 8)
5
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 217   DOB: 1985-05-31   Age: 32
College: Kansas State   Draft: 2008 Round 2 (5) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014GB1698 1,519 13 0 0 0 229.9 14.4
2016GB1697 1,257 14 0 0 0 209.7 13.1
2017 (Projected)GB 86 1,225 11 0 0 0 188.5  

Outlook: There was a time when an ACL injury to a 30-year old receiver would be a near death knell. Oh, how times have changed. Not only did Nelson return to the top of the receiver rankings by the end of 2016, he did so in dramatic fashion, scoring 14 touchdowns, and gobbling up 152 targets. His 97 receptions were only 1 off his career best, and while he saw a near 20% reduction in his yardage totals from his last healthy season, he most likely provided one of the best values at receiver last year.

With such a stellar return to form, it's clear Nelson isn't going to be a gamble pick in 2017. He's another year removed from the injury, played a full 16 games, and only got better as the season wore on. I think it's likely that he's reached his career highs, and he's a step slower, but he's Aaron Rodgers favorite target, especially in the red zone, and has such elite body control and route running ability that he's a lock to finish in the top-10. I do expect him to fall a few pegs, especially with Green Bay having a more balanced offense, and the addition of Martellus Bennett, who could soak up a few of those red zone scores. He's great value in standard and PPR leagues alike, and is someone I'd be happy to have as my WR1.


 Michael Thomas, NO (Bye: 5)
6
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 212   DOB: 1994-06-16   Age: 23
College: Ohio State   Draft: 2016 Round 2 (16) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016NO1592 1,137 9 0 0 0 167.7 11.2
2017 (Projected)NO 97 1,265 8 0 0 0 174.5  

Outlook: Michael Thomas didn't disappoint as a rookie in 2016. He set the bar awfully high finishing the year as a top ten fantasy performer and helping more than a few fantasy teams win championships. Thomas is in an ideal situation catching balls from an accurate passer where he can use his big mitts in every facet of the passing attack making him a true all around threat wherever he lines up on the field. He's almost a lock to improve upon his 120 targets from a year ago which gives him a realistic shot to go over the century mark in receptions. When the Saints don't run the ball in the red zone, Thomas should be a frequent target giving him upside to reach double digit TDs. He will garner more attention from opposing defense this season so there is a chance he experiences some struggles with double teams early on. For this reason, Thomas remains a tick below the position's elite but offers the type of floor that makes him ideal building block for your fantasy squad in 2017.


 A.J. Green, CIN (Bye: 6)
7
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 207   DOB: 1988-07-31   Age: 28
College: Georgia   Draft: 2011 Round 1 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014CIN1269 1,041 6 2 2 0 140.3 11.7
2015CIN1686 1,297 10 0 0 0 189.7 11.9
2016CIN1066 964 4 0 0 0 120.4 12.0
2017 (Projected)CIN 80 1,188 8 0 0 0 166.8  

 T.Y. Hilton, IND (Bye: 11)
8
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 183   DOB: 1989-11-14   Age: 27
College: Florida International   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (29) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014IND1582 1,345 7 2 20 0 178.5 11.9
2015IND1669 1,124 5 0 0 0 142.4 8.9
2016IND1691 1,448 6 0 0 0 180.8 11.3
2017 (Projected)IND 82 1,265 6 0 0 0 162.5  

 Dez Bryant, DAL (Bye: 6)
9
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 218   DOB: 1988-11-04   Age: 28
College: Oklahoma State   Draft: 2010 Round 1 (24) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014DAL1688 1,320 16 0 0 0 228.0 14.3
2015DAL931 401 3 0 0 0 58.1 6.5
2016DAL1350 796 8 0 0 0 127.6 9.8
2017 (Projected)DAL 73 1,067 9 0 0 0 160.7  

Outlook: Bryant finished with a somewhat disappointing 9.8 fantasy points per game in 2016, well off his career-best 14.3 in 2014 when he posted 1,320 yards and 16 touchdowns on 136 targets. After playing 16-game slates in his previous three seasons, various injuries have limited the former first round pick to just 22 games dating back to the start of 2015.

On a positive note, Bryant enters the season healthy and showed a positive rapport with Prescott in the 13 games the two played together in 2016. Despite a low catch total (50 catches on 96 targets), Bryant posted a career-best 15.9 yards per catch while on pace for double digit touchdowns.

One of the biggest knocks against Bryant and the main reason why he is not ranked higher is the demanding schedule he faces to start the season, with tough matchups against elite cornerbacks like Patrick Peterson, Aquib Talib, and Trumaine Johnson. Also, Bryant will be shadowed for four divisional games by Josh Norman and Janoris Jenkins - two cornerbacks that have limited his production in the past.


 Demaryius Thomas, DEN (Bye: 5)
10
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 229   DOB: 1987-12-25   Age: 29
College: Georgia Tech   Draft: 2010 Round 1 (22) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014DEN16111 1,619 11 0 0 0 227.9 14.2
2015DEN16105 1,304 6 0 0 0 166.4 10.4
2016DEN1690 1,083 5 0 0 0 138.3 8.6
2017 (Projected)DEN 91 1,165 7 0 0 0 158.5  

Outlook: With five straight 1,000-yard receiving seasons, few players in the league have been more productive for longer than Demaryius Thomas. He's battled through quarterback changes, coaching changes, injuries and host of other potentially devastating issues but Thomas continues to produce low-end WR1 or at least solid WR2 numbers every season. Thomas did it again in 2016 and he did so after suffering a hip injury on literally the first play of the season. Now fully healthy, Thomas has been telling reporters that he's never felt better and with some progression from Trevor Siemian, there's no reason to believe that Thomas can't get back to being a top-12 fantasy WR. The nice thing about Thomas is that while his ceiling may not be quite what it was when he was catching passes from Peyton Manning, there is still very little competition outside of Emmanuel Sanders for targets in this offense. As long as that is the case, Thomas has a very low bust potential thus making him one of the safer WR2 options on the board and a player who will produce quality numbers most weeks.


 Doug Baldwin, SEA (Bye: 6)
11
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 189   DOB: 1988-09-21   Age: 28
College: Stanford   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014SEA1666 825 3 1 8 0 101.3 6.3
2015SEA1678 1,069 14 0 0 0 190.9 11.9
2016SEA1694 1,128 7 3 2 0 155.0 9.7
2017 (Projected)SEA 87 1,102 8 0 0 0 158.2  

 Amari Cooper, OAK (Bye: 10)
12
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 211   DOB: 1994-06-18   Age: 23
College: Alabama   Draft: 2015 Round 1 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015OAK1672 1,070 6 3 -3 0 142.7 8.9
2016OAK1682 1,149 5 1 0 0 144.9 9.1
2017 (Projected)OAK 78 1,122 7 0 0 0 154.2  

Outlook: Now entering his third season as a pro, Amari Cooper continues to establish himself as one of the league's premier pass catchers and it seems to be clear that he has not yet met his full potential. Cooper's 1,153 yards in 2016 led the Raiders and he dropped just four total passes in his second season. What's interesting is that while Cooper started the season red hot with four games of 125-plus yards in his first eight contests, he failed to eclipse even 80 yards in a game over the second half of the season. He remained productive enough to not be a complete flop due to some timely touchdowns, but there is some concern that the 23-year-old will continue to be frustratingly inconsistent. The talent is certainly there, however, and he was really only a few missed targets away from a near double-digit touchdown season, which would've made him a top-10 player at his position in 2016. The nice thing about Cooper is that there isn't a whole lot of competition for targets outside of Michael Crabtree in the Oakland offense, so as long as he's healthy he should continue to provide enough big games mixed in with some duds that fantasy owners will be happy selecting him as a low-end WR1.