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Regular Season, Updated: 9/8/15
Change Log: 9/8

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 Aaron Rodgers, GB (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1983-12-02   Age: 32
College: California   Draft: 2005 Round 1 (24) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012GB16371 552 4,295 39 8 54 259 2 408.7 25.5
2013GB9193 290 2,536 17 6 30 120 0 206.8 23.0
2014GB16341 520 4,381 38 5 43 269 2 410.0 25.6
2015 (Projected)GB 351 532 4,361 35 8 57 255 2 395.6  

Outlook: After a shoulder injury limited him to just nine games in 2013, Rodgers roared back in 2014, planting his flag on the pinnacle of the fantasy quarterback mountain. Rodgers nabbed his second NFL MVP award and finished with 33 more touchdowns than interceptions (30+ four times in the last five seasons). With the re-signing of the electric Randall Cobb, the assumed health of Jordy Nelson, and the development of young pass catchers Devante Adams, Jeff Janis, and Richard Rodgers, A-Rod helms the league’s most potent passing attack, making him an elite QB1.

Most of the offseason buzz surrounding the Packers concerns the growth of Adams and Janis, two players who should provide Rodgers with a veritable barrage of weapons to deploy against NFL defenses. It will also be interesting to see how a change in play callers will affect the Packer’s offensive aggressiveness, as Mike McCarthy gives way to Tom Clements. With nearly unrivaled offensive weaponry, a consistent offensive system, and a need to score points to protect an inconsistent defense, Rodgers yearly domination is one of the surer things in fantasy football. But if you look deeply enough through the roses and buttercups, some ugly spots lurk in the background that could foil the best laid plans.

After several injuries early in his career slapped him with an “injury prone” label, Rodgers has been a 16 game starter in six of the last seven seasons. But the last two seasons haven’t ended well from a health perspective. The severe calf injury to close out the 2014 didn’t cause him to miss games, but it severely limited what he could do outside the pocket, and may have revealed the start of a potential physical breakdown. Combine his age (31) with the fact that the NFC North defenses should be collectively better in 2015 than they were last year, means there could be a few more bumps in the road than normal.

Every princess has a wart somewhere, but that doesn’t mean you don’t take them to the ball. Rodgers should be battling Andrew Luck for QB1A supremacy, so consider yourself at a distinct advantage with Aaron leading your squad.

 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 241   DOB: 1982-03-02   Age: 34
College: -   Draft: 2004 Round 1 (11) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012PIT13284 449 3,265 26 8 26 92 0 276.5 21.3
2013PIT16375 584 4,261 28 14 26 99 1 341.0 21.3
2014PIT16408 608 4,952 32 9 32 27 0 378.3 23.6
2015 (Projected)PIT 374 585 4,444 29 12 19 59 0 344.1  

Outlook: Since Todd Haley’s hiring as offensive coordinator in 2012, Ben Roethlisberger has blossomed into a bona fide QB1, but there is a good bet that when he went bonkers with a 50-point game in Week 8 last year he was on your fantasy bench. Did you then curse your luck, pass it off as a statistical aberration and have him on your bench the very next week when he threw another 6 touchdown passes? (let’s hope I’m not the only one!). After watching the Steelers offense shift to a pass oriented mentality since Haley’s arrival, I’ve been targeting Roethlisberger as my QB2 for several seasons now. After his No.5 overall finish in 2014, I think the value days are over.

With career highs in attempts (608), yards (4,952), touchdowns (32) and completion percentage (67.1), Roethlisberger is taking his game to the fantasy stratosphere. With two of the league’s elite playmakers at his disposal in Le’Veon Bell, and Antonio Brown, Roethlisberger not only has the weapons, but also the perfect situation to repeat, or even improve upon his fantastic season. With a pass offense built around his talents, and a defense that hasn’t significantly improved this offseason, look for Big Ben’s pass attempts to again approach 600. Despite the projected workload and production, Roethlisberger doesn’t come without risks. The AFC south defenses, especially Cleveland and Jacksonville, should be much improved, and as a playoff team, the Steeler’s overall schedule will be tougher. Roethlisberger will also be without Bell for three games to start the season, which is a huge blow to the offensive game plan. Either way you slice it, the Steelers are going to have to throw to win games, and that means Ben has a chance to stay in the top-5 conversation. I would be thrilled to sit back and take him as my QB1 after the first tier studs come off the board.

 Tony Romo, DAL (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 228   DOB: 1980-04-21   Age: 36
College: Eastern Illinois   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012DAL16425 648 4,903 28 19 30 49 1 368.1 23.0
2013DAL15342 535 3,842 31 10 20 38 0 319.9 21.3
2014DAL15304 435 3,705 34 9 25 61 0 327.4 21.8
2015 (Projected)DAL 346 533 3,994 32 12 21 45 1 338.2  

Outlook: Despite finishing 13th in fantasy points per game for quarterbacks, Tony Romo was the most efficient quarterback in the NFL last season, leading the league in passer rating, completion percentage rate, and yards per attempt. An improved offensive line gave Romo more time to survey the field and deliver quality, low-risk throws, while the emergence of DeMarco Murray and the ground attack forced opposing defenses to play single coverage outside and opened the door for more play-action passes. The formula worked so well that the Cowboys finished the season with a 12-4 record and an NFC East divisional crown. The Cowboys will continue to use the same balanced attack in 2015 despite the loss of DeMarco Murray to the Eagles via free agency. This bodes well for Romo owners in that he will not be forced to throw the ball 40-plus times to win a game, however, the continued reduction in pass attempts and yardage eats into his overall value, keeping him out of the top-5 quarterback discussion.

 Matt Ryan, ATL (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1985-05-17   Age: 31
College: Boston College   Draft: 2008 Round 1 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012ATL16422 615 4,719 32 14 34 141 1 384.1 24.0
2013ATL16439 651 4,515 26 17 17 55 0 335.3 21.0
2014ATL16415 628 4,694 28 14 29 145 0 361.2 22.6
2015 (Projected)ATL 403 611 4,520 27 15 26 89 1 348.9  

Outlook: Matty Ice is coming off his fourth straight season with at least 4100 passing yards but his touchdown totals continue to suppress his fantasy value. In 2012, Ryan needed over 600 passing attempts to post over 30 passing touchdowns and finished as the fifth best fantasy passer that year. The new regime in Atlanta isn’t likely to allow their prized franchise quarterback to drop back that many times in 2015 which makes another top five finish unlikely. However, he remains a viable option after the top five quarterbacks are off the board because of his high efficiency and the talent on the outside to post big games. The 30-year old Boston College alum will be learning a new offense in his eighth season as a pro. The zone blocking and new personnel should also help Ryan stay upright more often causing less negative plays than in recent seasons. Though he will likely finish with fewer passing attempts, Ryan will certainly enjoy the upgrade at the tight end position and potential for play action that comes with a more respected ground game.

 Mark Sanchez, PHI (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1986-11-11   Age: 29
College: -   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (5) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012NYJ15246 453 2,883 13 18 22 28 0 199.0 13.3
2014PHI9198 309 2,418 14 11 34 87 1 191.6 21.3
2015 (Projected)PHI 98 158 1,156 8 6 16 44 0 94.2  

Outlook: Mark Sanchez and newly acquired Sam Bradford will compete for the starting quarterback role for head coach Chip Kelly. Although Sanchez has nine games under his belt running Kelly’s offense last season, the Eagles made a big splash this offseason by acquiring Bradford via trade with the Rams for former starter Nick Foles, making it clear that Bradford will be the starter if he can stay healthy. Staying healthy has been a difficult task for Bradford, after sustaining a second severe knee injury last season as a member of the Rams. If Bradford is not able to stay on the field, Sanchez will take the wheel on an offense that ranked sixth in passing yards per game in 2014. Although Sanchez did post a career high 64.1% completion percentage in nine games in 2014, including an impressive 374-yard, two-touchdown performance against the Redskins in Week 16, he is only worthy of a late-draft pick considering the depth of the quarterback position. However, an injury to Bradford would make Sanchez a viable streaming option later in the season.

 Matt Schaub, BAL (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 239   DOB: 1981-06-25   Age: 34
College: Virginia   Draft: 2004 Round 3 (27) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012HOU16350 544 4,008 22 12 21 -9 0 287.5 18.0
2013HOU10219 358 2,310 10 14 5 24 0 157.9 15.8
2014OAK25 10 57 0 2 0 0 0 2.9 1.4
2015 (Projected)BAL 5 8 56 0 0 4 2 0 3.0  

 Alex Smith, KC (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 217   DOB: 1984-05-07   Age: 32
College: Utah   Draft: 2005 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012SF10153 218 1,737 13 5 31 132 0 152.1 15.2
2013KC15308 509 3,313 23 8 75 432 1 306.9 20.5
2014KC15302 463 3,268 18 6 50 254 1 266.8 17.8
2015 (Projected)KC 300 476 3,427 22 10 61 289 1 294.3  

Outlook: A perennial “safe but not spectacular” fantasy quarterback, Kansas City’s Alex Smith finished 19th among QBs in fantasy scoring in 2014, down three spots from 2013. One of the biggest reasons for that drop-off in production was Smith did far less with his legs a season ago than he did in 2013. No longer considered much of a threat to run, Smith now relies heavily on being a dink-and-dunk passer who rarely turns the ball over and keeps his team in games. This is good enough for the Chiefs, who have one of the best running games in the league and a defense that has taken significant strides forward since Andy Reid’s arrival, but it does not do much for fantasy owners who would rather see offensive shootouts involving their quarterback.

With long-time Chiefs receiver Dwayne Bowe now out of the picture, Smith will throw to almost an entirely new set of pass-catchers in 2015. This could lead to good things over time, as the previous unit did not live up to expectations, but it could also spell trouble in the early part of the season if the chemistry is slow to build. Smith notably did not throw a single one of his 18 touchdown passes to a wide receiver in 2015, which gives his receivers some serious bust potential and really limits their cap, but the way Smith is able to distribute the ball to a variety of targets keeps defenses on their heels and can lead to some nice games from the quarterback himself. Look for Smith to be a late-round QB2 in most formats with the potential to be on the waiver wire in some leagues. He’s not likely to give you many monster games, but he could be a valuable plug-and-play quarterback if he’s in a favorable matchup.

 Geno Smith, NYJ (Bye: 5)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1990-10-10   Age: 25
College: West Virginia   Draft: 2013 Round 2 (8) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2013NYJ16247 443 3,046 12 21 72 366 6 272.9 17.1
2014NYJ14219 367 2,525 13 13 59 238 1 208.1 14.9
2015 (Projected)NYJ 99 168 1,145 7 6 29 135 1 104.8  

Outlook: Geno Smith enters the 2015 as the starter for the New York Jets in what could be a make-or-break season for the former first round pick from West Virginia. In his first two years in the NFL, Smith has yet to complete more that 60 percent of his passes or reach 15 or more passing touchdowns in a season. From a fantasy perspective, Smith appeared to have some value as a rookie when he rushed for 366 yards and six touchdowns. However, that added value from points on the ground evaporated last year when he managed just one rushing touchdown on 59 attempts. In his rookie season with the team, Smith had a subpar supporting cast of wide receivers and skill position players that undoubtedly made his transition to the NFL difficult. With the addition of veteran wide receiver Brandon Marshall in the off-season to go along with Eric Decker and tight end Jace Amaro, Smith has all the pieces in place to be successful. Now he must prove that he is the quarterback of the future and not another early-round quarterback bust for the Jets.

 Matthew Stafford, DET (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 232   DOB: 1988-02-07   Age: 28
College: Georgia   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012DET16435 727 4,967 20 17 35 126 4 365.0 22.8
2013DET16371 634 4,647 29 19 36 74 2 367.8 23.0
2014DET16363 602 4,247 22 12 43 93 2 321.7 20.1
2015 (Projected)DET 368 614 4,360 28 14 28 83 2 350.3  

Outlook: To say Matthew Stafford had a regression in 2014 is akin to calling water wet. It was obvious to every disappointed Stafford owner last year, as he finished outside the QB1 threshold after finishing in the top-5 the previous year. Those in Stafford’s corner will say it was his first year in a complicated system, and he was without Calvin Johnson for a good chunk of the season. Despite the low touchdown total (22), he completed over 60% of his passes for only the second time in his career, and threw a career low 12 interceptions. He finished 2014 by leading his team to the playoffs, and posting a strong 8-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio to go along with two 300-plus-yard games over the last five games of the season.

If you believe the final five games of the 2014 season are a precursor to 2015 success I might wait to buy a ticket on the Stafford hype train. Being a former long-time Detroit area resident, I’ve watched Stafford play extensively over the years, and I’ve come to conclusion that he’s a mediocre quarterback. Sure his arm talent is nearly unrivaled, but during a game you are as likely to say “wow, how the heck did he make that throw?”, as you are to say “why the heck did he make that throw!”. After six years in the league he still hasn’t developed a consistent ability to put touch on the ball, and his fantasy stats have been largely influenced by a ridiculous number of pass attempts. He fails to elevate the players around him, and struggles mightily when any of them miss time. Some games he throws darts all over the field for four quarters, and in others can’t hit a car dealership in suburban Detroit! (it’s a Michigan thing, just trust me). With the Lions publically stating a desire to commit more to the running game (their first two draft picks support this idea), Stafford’s pass attempts should be the lowest since his rookie year. The health of Calvin Johnson and development of Eric Ebron will go a long way in helping his Ryan Fitzpatrickian sub 50% completion percentage in the red zone. Stafford is a great option for owners looking to add their starting quarterback later in the draft as he provides a fairly high floor, and ceiling, but don’t rush out to build your roster around the former Bulldog. Think low end QB1 with 30+ touchdown upside.

 Drew Stanton, ARI (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 243   DOB: 1984-05-07   Age: 32
College: Michigan State   Draft: 2007 Round 2 (11) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014ARI9132 240 1,711 7 5 25 63 0 119.9 13.3
2015 (Projected)ARI 17 26 187 1 1 0 0 0 13.4  

 Ryan Tannehill, MIA (Bye: 5)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 221   DOB: 1988-07-27   Age: 27
College: Texas A&M   Draft: 2012 Round 1 (8) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012MIA16282 484 3,294 12 13 49 211 2 245.8 15.4
2013MIA16355 588 3,913 24 17 39 238 1 321.5 20.1
2014MIA16392 590 4,045 27 12 55 317 1 348.0 21.7
2015 (Projected)MIA 359 561 3,928 26 14 54 256 1 332.0  

Outlook: Tannehill posted career highs in passing yards, passing touchdowns, completion percentage, and rushing yards in route to finishing as the No.10 fantasy quarterback in 2014. With a new $77 mil, 4-year contract extension inked in the offseason and four new offensive weapons in Kenny Stills, Greg Jennings, Jordan Cameron, and first round pick DeVante Parker, Tannehill looks primed to take another big step forward up the fantasy rankings. Stills will help provide a deep threat to stretch the field, while Cameron and Jennings will attack the middle in short and intermediate routes. If Parker (foot) can get healthy and live up to the hype that earned him the 14th selection in the 2015 draft, there is an excellent chance that Tannehill will continue to improve on his numbers from last season and will be a solid QB1 in all formats.

 Tyrod Taylor, BUF (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 217   DOB: 1989-08-03   Age: 26
College: Virginia Tech   Draft: 2011 Round 6 (15) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012BAL517 29 179 0 1 14 73 1 22.3 4.5
2013BAL31 5 2 0 1 8 64 0 6.5 2.2
2014BAL10 0 0 0 0 4 -3 0 -0.3 -0.3
2015 (Projected)BUF 221 368 2,468 14 9 47 205 1 205.9