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Regular Season, Updated: 7/23/15
Change Log: 7/23

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FF Today Default Scoring: Review Scoring
 Andrew Luck, IND (Bye: 10)
1
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 234   DOB: 1989-09-12   Age: 25
College: Stanford   Draft: 2012 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012IND16339 627 4,374 23 18 62 255 5 366.2 22.9
2013IND16345 572 3,830 23 9 63 377 4 345.2 21.6
2014IND16380 616 4,761 40 16 64 263 3 442.4 27.6
2015 (Projected)IND 396 638 4,788 36 15 60 289 3 430.3  

Outlook: Andrew Luck is one of the premier fantasy players in the league, and 2015 may see him get even better. His name is being tossed around as the top player off the board, and why wouldn’t it be after he saw his touchdown total jump from 23 in 2013 to 40 last year? If not for a lackluster three weeks to close out the regular season, Luck’s per-game statistics would be even better. The coaching staff clearly trusts their franchise quarterback to win them football games and relies on his arm to dissect opposing defenses. This pass-happy approach allowed Luck to finish third in the NFL with 297.6 passing yards per game. His receiving corps is arguably better and deeper with the addition of Andre Johnson and expected return to health of tight end Dwayne Allen. The running game was anemic a year ago, but the play-action pass should be far more effective with Frank Gore lining up behind Luck in the backfield. At the end of the day, Luck gives you a high ceiling, high consistency and high volume. He may not be the top player when the season ends, but he is probably the best bet to finish the season as a top-five overall fantasy player.

Matt Hasselbeck was resigned in the offseason to handle the backup quarterback duties. This is what happens when a team knows it has its starter for the next decade and doesn’t want to invest more resources in the position. Hasselbeck will turn 40 this year, and chances are the Colts would make a transaction if Luck was forced to miss a lengthy amount of time.


 Aaron Rodgers, GB (Bye: 7)
2
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1983-12-02   Age: 31
College: California   Draft: 2005 Round 1 (24) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012GB16371 552 4,295 39 8 54 259 2 408.7 25.5
2013GB9193 290 2,536 17 6 30 120 0 206.8 23.0
2014GB16341 520 4,381 38 5 43 269 2 410.0 25.6
2015 (Projected)GB 356 539 4,420 37 7 57 255 2 406.5  

Outlook: After a shoulder injury limited him to just nine games in 2013, Rodgers roared back in 2014, planting his flag on the pinnacle of the fantasy quarterback mountain. Rodgers nabbed his second NFL MVP award and finished with 33 more touchdowns than interceptions (30+ four times in the last five seasons). With the re-signing of the electric Randall Cobb, the assumed health of Jordy Nelson, and the development of young pass catchers Devante Adams, Jeff Janis, and Richard Rodgers, A-Rod helms the league’s most potent passing attack, making him an elite QB1.

Most of the offseason buzz surrounding the Packers concerns the growth of Adams and Janis, two players who should provide Rodgers with a veritable barrage of weapons to deploy against NFL defenses. It will also be interesting to see how a change in play callers will affect the Packer’s offensive aggressiveness, as Mike McCarthy gives way to Tom Clements. With nearly unrivaled offensive weaponry, a consistent offensive system, and a need to score points to protect an inconsistent defense, Rodgers yearly domination is one of the surer things in fantasy football. But if you look deeply enough through the roses and buttercups, some ugly spots lurk in the background that could foil the best laid plans.

After several injuries early in his career slapped him with an “injury prone” label, Rodgers has been a 16 game starter in six of the last seven seasons. But the last two seasons haven’t ended well from a health perspective. The severe calf injury to close out the 2014 didn’t cause him to miss games, but it severely limited what he could do outside the pocket, and may have revealed the start of a potential physical breakdown. Combine his age (31) with the fact that the NFC North defenses should be collectively better in 2015 than they were last year, means there could be a few more bumps in the road than normal.

Every princess has a wart somewhere, but that doesn’t mean you don’t take them to the ball. Rodgers should be battling Andrew Luck for QB1A supremacy, so consider yourself at a distinct advantage with Aaron leading your squad.


 Russell Wilson, SEA (Bye: 9)
3
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 206   DOB: 1988-11-29   Age: 26
College: Wisconsin   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012SEA16252 393 3,118 26 10 94 489 4 332.8 20.8
2013SEA16257 407 3,357 26 9 96 539 1 331.8 20.7
2014SEA16285 452 3,475 20 7 118 849 6 374.7 23.4
2015 (Projected)SEA 298 472 3,589 24 10 110 636 4 363.1  

 Peyton Manning, DEN (Bye: 7)
4
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 230   DOB: 1976-03-24   Age: 39
College: Tennessee   Draft: 1998 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012DEN16400 583 4,659 37 11 23 6 0 381.6 23.8
2013DEN16450 659 5,477 55 10 32 -31 1 496.8 31.0
2014DEN16395 597 4,727 39 15 24 -24 0 390.0 24.4
2015 (Projected)DEN 385 575 4,430 35 12 30 -15 0 360.0  

 Matt Ryan, ATL (Bye: 10)
5
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1985-05-17   Age: 30
College: Boston College   Draft: 2008 Round 1 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012ATL16422 615 4,719 32 14 34 141 1 384.1 24.0
2013ATL16439 651 4,515 26 17 17 55 0 335.3 21.0
2014ATL16415 628 4,694 28 14 29 145 0 361.2 22.6
2015 (Projected)ATL 421 638 4,720 27 15 26 89 1 358.9  

Outlook: Matty Ice is coming off his fourth straight season with at least 4100 passing yards but his touchdown totals continue to suppress his fantasy value. In 2012, Ryan needed over 600 passing attempts to post over 30 passing touchdowns and finished as the fifth best fantasy passer that year. The new regime in Atlanta isn’t likely to allow their prized franchise quarterback to drop back that many times in 2015 which makes another top five finish unlikely. However, he remains a viable option after the top five quarterbacks are off the board because of his high efficiency and the talent on the outside to post big games. The 30-year old Boston College alum will be learning a new offense in his eighth season as a pro. The zone blocking and new personnel should also help Ryan stay upright more often causing less negative plays than in recent seasons. Though he will likely finish with fewer passing attempts, Ryan will certainly enjoy the upgrade at the tight end position and potential for play action that comes with a more respected ground game.


 Cam Newton, CAR (Bye: 5)
6
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 244   DOB: 1989-05-11   Age: 26
College: Auburn   Draft: 2011 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012CAR16280 485 3,869 19 12 127 741 8 391.6 24.5
2013CAR16292 473 3,379 24 13 111 587 6 359.7 22.5
2014CAR14262 448 3,127 18 12 103 539 5 312.3 22.3
2015 (Projected)CAR 301 501 3,560 22 13 101 555 5 351.5  

 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT (Bye: 11)
7
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 241   DOB: 1982-03-02   Age: 33
College: -   Draft: 2004 Round 1 (11) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012PIT13284 449 3,265 26 8 26 92 0 276.5 21.3
2013PIT16375 584 4,261 28 14 26 99 1 341.0 21.3
2014PIT16408 608 4,952 32 9 32 27 0 378.3 23.6
2015 (Projected)PIT 374 585 4,444 29 12 19 59 0 344.1  

Outlook: Since Todd Haley’s hiring as offensive coordinator in 2012, Ben Roethlisberger has blossomed into a bona fide QB1, but there is a good bet that when he went bonkers with a 50-point game in Week 8 last year he was on your fantasy bench. Did you then curse your luck, pass it off as a statistical aberration and have him on your bench the very next week when he threw another 6 touchdown passes? (let’s hope I’m not the only one!). After watching the Steelers offense shift to a pass oriented mentality since Haley’s arrival, I’ve been targeting Roethlisberger as my QB2 for several seasons now. After his No.5 overall finish in 2014, I think the value days are over.

With career highs in attempts (608), yards (4,952), touchdowns (32) and completion percentage (67.1), Roethlisberger is taking his game to the fantasy stratosphere. With two of the league’s elite playmakers at his disposal in Le’Veon Bell, and Antonio Brown, Roethlisberger not only has the weapons, but also the perfect situation to repeat, or even improve upon his fantastic season. With a pass offense built around his talents, and a defense that hasn’t significantly improved this offseason, look for Big Ben’s pass attempts to again approach 600. Despite the projected workload and production, Roethlisberger doesn’t come without risks. The AFC south defenses, especially Cleveland and Jacksonville, should be much improved, and as a playoff team, the Steeler’s overall schedule will be tougher. Roethlisberger will also be without Bell for three games to start the season, which is a huge blow to the offensive game plan. Either way you slice it, the Steelers are going to have to throw to win games, and that means Ben has a chance to stay in the top-5 conversation. I would be thrilled to sit back and take him as my QB1 after the first tier studs come off the board.


 Matthew Stafford, DET (Bye: 9)
8
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 232   DOB: 1988-02-07   Age: 27
College: Georgia   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012DET16435 727 4,967 20 17 35 126 4 365.0 22.8
2013DET16371 634 4,647 29 19 36 74 2 367.8 23.0
2014DET16363 602 4,247 22 12 43 93 2 321.7 20.1
2015 (Projected)DET 360 600 4,260 26 14 28 83 2 337.3  

Outlook: To say Matthew Stafford had a regression in 2014 is akin to calling water wet. It was obvious to every disappointed Stafford owner last year, as he finished outside the QB1 threshold after finishing in the top-5 the previous year. Those in Stafford’s corner will say it was his first year in a complicated system, and he was without Calvin Johnson for a good chunk of the season. Despite the low touchdown total (22), he completed over 60% of his passes for only the second time in his career, and threw a career low 12 interceptions. He finished 2014 by leading his team to the playoffs, and posting a strong 8-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio to go along with two 300-plus-yard games over the last five games of the season.

If you believe the final five games of the 2014 season are a precursor to 2015 success I might wait to buy a ticket on the Stafford hype train. Being a former long-time Detroit area resident, I’ve watched Stafford play extensively over the years, and I’ve come to conclusion that he’s a mediocre quarterback. Sure his arm talent is nearly unrivaled, but during a game you are as likely to say “wow, how the heck did he make that throw?”, as you are to say “why the heck did he make that throw!”. After six years in the league he still hasn’t developed a consistent ability to put touch on the ball, and his fantasy stats have been largely influenced by a ridiculous number of pass attempts. He fails to elevate the players around him, and struggles mightily when any of them miss time. Some games he throws darts all over the field for four quarters, and in others can’t hit a car dealership in suburban Detroit! (it’s a Michigan thing, just trust me). With the Lions publically stating a desire to commit more to the running game (their first two draft picks support this idea), Stafford’s pass attempts should be the lowest since his rookie year. The health of Calvin Johnson and development of Eric Ebron will go a long way in helping his Ryan Fitzpatrickian sub 50% completion percentage in the red zone. Stafford is a great option for owners looking to add their starting quarterback later in the draft as he provides a fairly high floor, and ceiling, but don’t rush out to build your roster around the former Bulldog. Think low end QB1 with 30+ touchdown upside.


 Drew Brees, NO (Bye: 11)
9
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 209   DOB: 1979-01-15   Age: 36
College: Purdue   Draft: 2001 Round 2 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012NO16422 670 5,177 43 19 15 5 1 437.4 27.3
2013NO16446 650 5,162 39 12 34 54 3 437.5 27.3
2014NO16456 659 4,952 33 17 27 68 1 392.4 24.5
2015 (Projected)NO 388 579 4,226 28 14 19 40 1 333.3  

 Philip Rivers, SD (Bye: 10)
10
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 228   DOB: 1981-12-08   Age: 33
College: North Carolina State   Draft: 2004 Round 1 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012SD16338 527 3,606 26 15 27 40 0 288.3 18.0
2013SD16379 545 4,478 32 11 28 72 0 359.1 22.4
2014SD16379 570 4,286 31 18 38 104 0 348.7 21.8
2015 (Projected)SD 373 565 4,240 29 14 46 83 0 336.3  

Outlook: It's never a good thing when the biggest story surrounding an NFL franchise isn't the team's draft from April and isn't the potential of a deep playoff run in the upcoming season. What's worse is when the story involves the franchise potentially being relocated, especially when the franchise quarterback has made it clear that he has little to no interest in remaining with the team if the move does happen. That kind of frustration and general apathy toward the team rarely breeds fantasy success, but it's the exact scenario that is playing out in San Diego right now with quarterback Philip Rivers.

Rivers, who has not missed a start since becoming the team's top signal caller back in 2006, enters the 2015 season with a whirlwind of speculation surrounding the team and must somehow figure out a way to match, if not exceed his 2014 output if he wants to be a top 10 fantasy option.

Although he is coming off of back-to-back seasons where he exceeded the 30-touchdown mark, Rivers also threw an uncharacteristic 18 interceptions this past season – the second-highest total of his career. Much of this was due to inconsistencies in the offense, injuries across the board and a general lack of blocking from his offensive line. The team did make moves to address the offensive line by bringing in free agents Orlando Franklin and Joe Barksdale. While both players should be positives in the running game, Barksdale was atrocious as a pass protector for the Rams in 2014. If Barksdale doesn't make major improvements to his game, Rivers could be seeing plenty of pressure from the right side of the offensive line which could again translate into an abnormally high number of turnovers.

Still, Rivers remains the most important piece of the puzzle in San Diego. The team should have a more consistent, if not more productive running game this season which should give the team more opportunities to score. With a plethora of decent receiving options but no one elite, Rivers could be the one player who provides consistent, high-quality fantasy production in this offense.


 Tony Romo, DAL (Bye: 6)
11
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 228   DOB: 1980-04-21   Age: 35
College: Eastern Illinois   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012DAL16425 648 4,903 28 19 30 49 1 368.1 23.0
2013DAL15342 535 3,842 31 10 20 38 0 319.9 21.3
2014DAL15304 435 3,705 34 9 25 61 0 327.4 21.8
2015 (Projected)DAL 342 526 3,894 32 12 21 45 0 327.2  

Outlook: Despite finishing 13th in fantasy points per game for quarterbacks, Tony Romo was the most efficient quarterback in the NFL last season, leading the league in passer rating, completion percentage rate, and yards per attempt. An improved offensive line gave Romo more time to survey the field and deliver quality, low-risk throws, while the emergence of DeMarco Murray and the ground attack forced opposing defenses to play single coverage outside and opened the door for more play-action passes. The formula worked so well that the Cowboys finished the season with a 12-4 record and an NFC East divisional crown. The Cowboys will continue to use the same balanced attack in 2015 despite the loss of DeMarco Murray to the Eagles via free agency. This bodes well for Romo owners in that he will not be forced to throw the ball 40-plus times to win a game, however, the continued reduction in pass attempts and yardage eats into his overall value, keeping him out of the top-5 quarterback discussion.


 Tom Brady, NE (Bye: 4)
12
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1977-08-03   Age: 37
College: Michigan   Draft: 2000 Round 6 (33) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012NE16401 637 4,827 34 8 23 32 4 404.6 25.3
2013NE16380 628 4,343 25 11 33 18 0 319.0 19.9
2014NE16374 583 4,109 33 9 36 57 0 343.2 21.4
2015 (Projected)NE 302 479 3,401 24 9 15 26 0 268.7