11/27/07 
                
              As we all know Hindsight is 20/20. This weekly column is devoted 
              to learning from common mistakes and serves as FFToday’s “Fantasy 
              Football Confessional.” 
               
               This was as wild an extended weekend of football—college 
                and pro—that I’ve seen in a long time: Arkansas-LSU 
                had its second great game in as many years (Everyone likes McFadden, 
                but what about Felix Jones???); Kentucky nearly putting Georgia 
                into the SEC Title Game and giving them a legitimate chance to 
                be a top 3 team; and crazy-huge plays between Denver, Chicago, 
                San Francisco, and Arizona in the span of three hours. And the 
                nightcaps on Sunday and Monday: A.J. Feeley only doing what Peyton 
                Manning did—making the match up a contest; and Mother Nature 
                turning back the clock on modern football in Pittsburgh. 
               Last week I was incorrect about the number of remaining weeks 
                before the finals of the FFTOC—this weekend was the last 
                round of the regular season. Fortunately, I had key “non-finals 
                material” players come alive for my team and I might have 
                gotten enough from these guys to actually win my bracket by the 
                closest of margins—a nice bonus if that indeed happened. 
                 
               
              
                 
                   
                       
                        | FFTOC Update | 
                       
                       
                        |  Pos | 
                         Player | 
                         Pts | 
                         Comments | 
                       
                       
                        | QB | 
                        B. Farve | 
                        33.24 | 
                        One of my two “safe” plays. I strongly 
                          considered Matt Schaub, but Brandon Stokley lighting 
                          it up against Detroit after I switched him out for Crap 
                          was a lesson I heeded—your first inclination is best. | 
                       
                       
                        | RB | 
                        F. Taylor | 
                        17.8 | 
                        You have to love the fact that Fred 
                          Taylor still has the wheels to break one. | 
                       
                       
                        | RB  | 
                        J. Lewis | 
                        20.7 | 
                        Lewis was one of those plays where I 
                          felt he was good enough against Houston, but shaky as 
                          a “playoff” back for the final rounds. | 
                       
                       
                        | WR | 
                        Reg. Williams | 
                        11.9 | 
                        I just got back into town with enough 
                          time to watch his lone catch. I didn’t realize he’d 
                          respond to my constant berating of his game. | 
                       
                       
                        | WR | 
                        G. Jennings | 
                        18.0 | 
                        I wanted to save Driver for the playoffs. 
                          Jennings was a great bonus. | 
                       
                       
                        | WR | 
                        Royd. Williams | 
                        0.9 | 
                        It was between Jones and Williams—completely 
                          disregarded Gage. | 
                       
                       
                        | TE | 
                        K. Winslow | 
                        16.7 | 
                        Winslow was the other “safe” play decision 
                          I made for this lineup. | 
                       
                       
                        | K | 
                        K. Brown | 
                        5.0 | 
                        The way Brown was playing lately, I 
                          thought I’d get more out of him. | 
                       
                       
                        | DEF | 
                        Colts | 
                        5.0 | 
                        I was actually disappointed by this 
                          game. I thought the Colts would make Atlanta rollover 
                          and play dead early. | 
                       
                       
                        |   | 
                        Total | 
                        129.24 | 
                        This score should clinch my berth into 
                          the finals. | 
                       
                      | 
                 
               
               
              With the final rounds ahead I’m feeling pretty good with my 
              remaining pool of players. It’s comforting to know that I 
              have some of the more productive fantasy QBs, RBs, and TEs available 
              to me during this four-week, finals period. It would just be nice 
              to know which Denver RB I should start versus the Raiders this weekend! 
              QBs—P. Manning; D. Anderson; J. Kitna; M. Bulger; E. Manning; 
                J. Cutler; M. Schaub; J. Campbell; J.P. Losman 
              RBs—B. Westbrook; J. Addai; S. Jackson; F. Gore; A. Peterson; 
                S. Young/T. Henry/A.Hall; J. Fargas; L. Maroney; J. Chatman; R. 
                Williams; K. Smith; E. Graham; J. Jones; R. Grant; D. Foster; 
                D. Williams; M. Morris; R. Droughns; D. Ward 
              WR—L. Fitzgerald; L. Evans; Roy Williams; H. Ward; A. Johnson; 
                D. Driver; J. Cotchery; D. Bowe; R. White; A. Gonzalez; A. Davis; 
                I. Hilliard; B. Marshall; S. Moss; D. Mason; J. Porter; D.J. Hackett; 
                B. Engram.  
              TE—A. Gates; J. Shockey; G. Olsen; C. Cooley; B. Watson; 
                L. Pope; D. Lee. 
               Let’s move on to the week one files of 20/20 Hindsight. 
                 
               
              
                
              It Would Take A Throwback Player To Win 
                A Throwback Game: Don’t you think the Dolphins should 
                have double covered Hines Ward? He was the passing offense with 
                9 catches for 88 yards, many coming on key plays. Ward at one 
                point seemed like the only player comfortable on a surface that 
                was nasty, but the way it used to be in the old days. Eventually 
                Willie Parker and the offensive line seemed to follow Ward’s 
                lead. 
               Lesson Learned: Football may 
                be a tougher game in the present day due to bigger, better athletes 
                with more speed, game plans with higher complexity, and more games, 
                but in football in the past played on fields like this on a regular 
                basis and you didn’t hear about all this whining. It would 
                only figure that the one player in the league with a smile on 
                his face no matter the situation would be the deciding factor. 
               
              Anthony Gonzalez Would Average 17.5 Yards 
                A Catch In The Place Of Marvin Harrison: Gonzalez had 6 
                catches for 106 yards as the #2 WR for the Colts on Thanksgiving 
                evening. Sure it was the Falcons, but Gonzalez is a rookie coming 
                off injury and played extremely well in an offense requiring a 
                high level of processing plays quickly at the line of scrimmage 
                due to the leeway Tom Moore gives Peyton Manning. The reason the 
                Colts drafted Gonzalez is the fact he might have been the most 
                polished route runner in his draft class, which signaled to Indy 
                that he could assimilate the offense.  
              Lesson Learned: Are you ready 
                for the waiver wire darling of the stretch run? Even if Harrison 
                returns to the lineup, Gonzalez could be the AFC South’s 
                version of Wes Welker… 
               
              
                
           
              The Vikings Defense Would Outscore Most 
                Fantasy Wide Receivers: Nothing like 3 out of 4 interceptions 
                going for scores. These three plays alone could have beaten the 
                Giants by one. New York had a decent, yards per carry average 
                between Rueben Droughns and Ahmad Bradshaw, but they gave away 
                the game too early.  
              Lesson Learned: Dwight Smith 
                and Darren Sharper may not be what they used to be, but they are 
                still veterans capable of baiting an average quarterback.  
              The Cardinals Defense Would Be The Team 
                That Allowed Frank Gore To Have The Type Of Game We Expected At 
                Least A Few Times This Year: How could Arizona allow 34 
                points to the 49ers? For starters, it is a divisional rivalry 
                so the teams know each other better than most. Then there’s 
                the presence of veteran Trent Dilfer. San Francisco’s backup 
                is not only a stabilizing influence in the huddle and practice, 
                but he is also healthy—something Alex Smith was not.  
              Does Dilfer have a better understanding of when to check to new 
                plays? Probably, and this only helps Frank Gore, who had a whale 
                of an effort with 116 yards rushing, 98 yards receiving, and two 
                scores. I’m sure there’s some truth to the notion 
                that the Niners are more predictable without Norv Turner at the 
                controls, but I believe this team snuck up on people last year 
                where this hasn’t been the case in 2007. One thing is for 
                certain though, the Niners have an easier schedule ahead and with 
                Dilfer under center, this should spell good things for the offense. 
               
              Lesson Learned: If you gave 
                up on Frank Gore, I hope you got consistent production in return. 
                If you kept Gore, I hope you had consistent depth to keep you 
                in the hunt for Gore to take over. The biggest thing you should 
                learn about Frank Gore—who was generally regarded as a top-5 
                pick in most fantasy drafts—is you want to stock up on RBs 
                with at least 4 picks within the first 7-10 rounds in 2-RB starting 
                lineups. If you did, chances are you picked a player the caliber 
                of Adrian Peterson, Chester Taylor, Fred Taylor, or Marshawn Lynch 
                as your 3rd or 4th back. If you didn’t, you now can see 
                why it’s a worthwhile strategy for next season.  
               
              
                
              Brett Favre Is Easy Money On Thanksgiving 
                Day: 381 yards and 3 scores in Detroit when the Lions knew 
                Favre would be throwing early, often, and always. This has opened 
                up the run with their ability to spread the field.  
                 
                Lesson Learned: Start fantasy 
                QBs and receivers that face the Lions on Thanksgiving Day until 
                further notice.  
              Gus Frerotte Is Brett Favre Gone Wild: 
                “4-Rot” had four chances to beat the Seahawks, but 
                blew three of them.  
              Lesson Learned: Gus is a yardage 
                monster much of the time, but he won’t win you games with 
                even a strong set of skill players around him.  
              Devin Hester Is The Best Return Specialist 
                Ever? Just so you know, I was writing this before 
                his second return for a score today. I know it’s premature, 
                given it is Hester’s second year as a pro, but have you 
                seen a better one? Dante Hall? He played on a strong unit with 
                a great special teams coach. He also did far too much east-west 
                running. Michael Lewis? The Beer Man was fast, but lacked the 
                vision of Hester. Billy Johnson? He was an east-west guy who lacked 
                the blazing speed of Hester. Deion Sanders? Hester’s about 
                as fast, but breaks more tackles. Mel Gray and Brian Mitchell? 
                These guys have proven their skills for far longer than Hester 
                has been around, but Hester has played 196 fewer games and scored 
                only 3 fewer touchdowns than Mitchell. The numbers don’t 
                lie…  
              Lesson Learned: Hester may 
                have already made a case for being one of the best ever, but he’s 
                still not even the best in the history of his team. Gale Sayers 
                has the highest career average per return in NFL history and the 
                highest average per return for a season. But I have to say that 
                it’s close. Still, I’d rather have Sayers who literally 
                had eyes on the back of his head.  
              The Key To Beating The Pats Is Stopping 
                Randy Moss, Not Brady: The Pats Golden Boy had over 300 
                yards passing, but the reason the Eagles were competitive had 
                to do with limiting Randy Moss to an ordinary day for a receiver. 
                If A.J. Feeley didn’t give away three balls, Philadelphia 
                wins this game.  
              Lesson Learned: Moss is the 
                most valuable player on this team. His presence as a deep threat 
                opens up the underneath game, sets up the run (when they decide 
                to do so), and often gives New England’s defense enough 
                of a lead to play aggressively. I heard Merrill Hoge say Moss 
                didn’t want to play as much after he got popped a few times, 
                but that was an irresponsible statement. Moss got popped in other 
                games, and still came up with big plays. The fact was Brady didn’t 
                have as much time for Moss to run past double teams like he has 
                in other contests (the Jets were an example). Timing is everything 
                with the deep pass—the Eagles did not allow Brady enough 
                time to hook up with Moss deep. John Madden also made a great 
                call that Andy Reid and the Eagles were doing an excellent job 
                of exposing the Patriots pass defense between the hash marks. 
                The Pats are still an elite team without Moss, but more like they 
                were in 2006—beatable.  
               
              Nagging Feelings—Week 13 
              Subway missed the boat with its commercial where Brady 
                Quinn was featured, throwing subs from a parade float. Although 
                he aptly responded to the crowd that “he was kind of busy on Sundays,” 
                it would have been funnier if Derek 
                Anderson handed him a sub and responded “that’s alright, I’ll 
                cover for you.”  
              And don’t even get me started on Citizen and it’s use 
                of Eli Manning…Unstoppable. 
                Yeah, unstoppable alright—he can’t stop throwing pics… 
              Is there a player who misses more tackles or gets posterized 
                by opposing skill players more often than Adam 
                Archuleta? Not only did he allow Andre Hall run through his 
                tackle on a touchdown off the option, but it seems like he’s getting 
                run over, run through, or faked out week after week. I’d like 
                to say Achuleta was thrown off by the quarterback option that 
                Cutler and Hall ran, but he was in perfect position as he hit 
                the Denver RB only to slide off his waist onto the ground. He 
                also got outran on a route by Tony Scheffler and still let the 
                TE catch a 41-yard pass after interfering with the guy. Is there 
                a worse, well-known defender in the NFL?  
              Was Bernard 
                Berrian’s 4th down, diving grab the best clutch-catch of the 
                season? I think so. Just look at the situation and the fact Champ 
                Bailey was playing him man to man. Speaking of this game, why 
                can’t the Bears recognize that their best back is Adrian 
                Peterson, the star runner from Georgia Southern? This guy 
                has terrific balance and power and runs with the toughness that 
                Cedric Benson has yet to show.  
               I 
                have no problem supporting Ricky 
                Williams. The guy spent 8 months in a treatment facility getting 
                therapy. Obviously, Leigh Steinberg is going to do his spin control 
                through the media on Monday Night Football, but the fact the Ricky 
                has been out of the media’s scope for this long despite his desire 
                to remain in the league lends some credibility to what his agent 
                is saying. I believe his issue was psychological in nature and 
                unlike a great many players who had psychological issues, but 
                probably had to cope with them without the same support that Williams 
                is finally receiving, the mercurial runner is ready to get back 
                to playing.  
              It’s really not hard to imagine his mindset: He reacted 
                immaturely due to a fairly debilitating condition that no one 
                understood and tried to self-medicate. When this medicating got 
                him in hot water, he got cornered into making stupid choices to 
                try to save face and deny how difficult his psychological problem 
                was for him. As a result, he threw away his career. Now that he’s 
                getting yet another chance, he’s probably thinking there’s 
                nothing he can say, actions and time will be the only way he can 
                show he’s moved past his issues. He’s also got to 
                be sick of talking about this problem. Seriously, look at the 
                stigma of mental health issues in America today. We still have 
                a fair number of people in our population who believe people dealing 
                with these issues are weak-willed, making excuses, or being enabled 
                by a bunch of quacks who make up stuff as they go along.  
              Keyshawn Johnson and Emmitt Smith will wonder aloud why Williams 
                is even allowed on the team for walking out on his teammates, 
                but Johnson was so disruptive he was kicked off the Bucs at mid-season 
                and Smith staunchly supported a teammate who was quite aware that 
                his coke habit and threatening another player with a pair of scissors 
                could have earned him a bus out of Dallas but did it anyhow. What 
                is responsible about this behavior? Aren’t these ways these players 
                let down their teams? The “let down his team” party line by these 
                former players illustrates the ignorance of Williams’ issues. 
                This doesn’t mean Williams isn’t accountable, but if Emmitt Smith 
                is going to call Michael Irvin the ultimate leader when in today’s 
                NFL he would have been treated like Tank Williams and Pac Man 
                Jones, is hypocrisy. Michael Pittman is considered a good teammate, 
                but if you saw him treating your sister, mother, wife, daughter, 
                or girlfriend like he repeatedly has treated his wife and child, 
                you’d probably be in jail and hoping for a plea bargain from 1st 
                degree murder down to manslaughter. So when you hear the media 
                ask former players about Ricky Williams, remember these guys lack 
                the education and/or sense to approach what he’s been dealing 
                with. I’m not berating them, because none of us have if the 8-months 
                in a psychiatric facility coping with what must have been a debilitating 
                issue is true. Unless it’s a Barrett Robbins-like issue, something 
                like social anxiety disorder seems tame and possibly fabricated. 
                No one really knew, and there’s a lot more to the story we’re 
                going to find out in the coming months-years. I can see a book 
                in the works—maybe years from now—about his coping with mental 
                illness. How else do you explain a player who is described as 
                one of the most intelligent in the league with all-world ability 
                and a great personality that won over some of the most old-school 
                players and coaches who seemed to veer off course in the strangest 
                ways no one could have predicted for him?  
               
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