Updated 8/15
The “Gut Feeling” is often synonymous with a sense
of desperation resulting from a lack of preparation. The Gut Check
is a huge proponent of studying the numbers, but there’s
a point where one can place too much emphasis on the wrong information.
This can result in the undervaluing or overlooking a player’s
potential. Therefore, The Weekly Gut Check is devoted to examining
the frame of reference behind certain number-driven guidelines
that fantasy football owners use to make decisions.
Although The Weekly Gut Check doesn’t claim to be psychic,
he does believe that he can dispel certain numbers biases and
help you make the best choices for your team. We’ll keep
a running tally of The Weekly Gut Check’s insights. This
way you can gauge his views as something to seriously consider,
or at least seriously consider running the opposite way as fast
as you can!
Crank Scores will be the focus of a four-part series. Part
I provided Crank Scores for standard scoring, 12-team leagues
based on 2005 stats. Part
II focused on Crank Scores from 2005 stats for 12-team leagues
that score 1 point per reception. Part
III incorporates a combination of two draft strategies to create
projections. Part IV will
be a more personalized projection incorporating Crank scores. For
a detailed explanation of the Crank Score see Volume
40 and Matt Waldman’s Draft Strategy article in the 2006
edition of Fantasy Pro Forecast now on sale at newsstands near you.
Yours truly is basing his scores off a 12-team league with a
lineup of 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, and 1 TE for a standard scoring league
system: .1 point per yard rushing/receiving; .05 point per yard
passing; 6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown; and 4 points
per passing touchdown.
The
Gut Check’s 2006 Crank Projections - 8/15 |
QB |
Player |
Crank |
ADP |
RB |
Player |
Crank |
ADP |
WR |
Player |
Crank |
ADP |
TE |
Player |
Crank |
ADP |
1 |
P. Manning |
1.11 |
73.24 |
1 |
L. Johnson |
1.01 |
97.33 |
1 |
L. Fitzgerald |
2.07 |
71.12 |
1 |
A. Gates |
3.03 |
29.47 |
2 |
M. Bulger |
6.12 |
68.20 |
2 |
L. Tomlinson |
1.02 |
73.30 |
2 |
T. Holt |
2.04 |
59.78 |
2 |
T. Heap |
5.10 |
22.40 |
3 |
D. McNabb |
6.02 |
55.77 |
3 |
S. Alexander |
1.02 |
69.09 |
3 |
M. Harrison |
2.09 |
55.92 |
3 |
Gonzalez |
4.12 |
17.20 |
4 |
K. Warner |
7.05 |
49.94 |
4 |
C. Williams |
1.11 |
62.74 |
4 |
S. Smith |
2.01 |
54.23 |
4 |
Shockey |
5.04 |
15.35 |
5 |
T. Brady |
4.09 |
45.45 |
5 |
S. Jackson |
1.05 |
57.50 |
5 |
C. Johnson |
2.07 |
53.70 |
5 |
B. Watson |
10.04 |
13.26 |
6 |
D. Culpepper |
6.05 |
40.30 |
6 |
R. Brown |
1.09 |
54.69 |
6 |
A. Boldin |
3.02 |
49.20 |
6 |
McMichael |
8.06 |
12.05 |
7 |
C. Palmer |
4.10 |
38.67 |
7 |
T. Barber |
1.05 |
53.98 |
7 |
C. Chambers |
3.06 |
47.87 |
7 |
Crumpler |
6.10 |
11.73 |
8 |
E. Manning |
5.08 |
36.87 |
8 |
E. James |
1.08 |
51.99 |
8 |
J. Horn |
5.12 |
41.05 |
8 |
L.J. Smith |
9.04 |
8.73 |
9 |
M. Hasselbeck |
5.04 |
34.46 |
9 |
L. Jordan |
1.07 |
47.89 |
9 |
T. Owens |
2.02 |
39.92 |
9 |
J. Witten |
7.04 |
7.78 |
10 |
D. Brees |
10.02 |
30.75 |
10 |
Westbrook |
2.02 |
43.10 |
10 |
S. Moss |
4.07 |
36.64 |
10 |
C. Cooley |
7.10 |
7.56 |
11 |
M. Vick |
8.11 |
29.42 |
11 |
R. Bush |
3.08 |
38.24 |
11 |
R. Wayne |
3.06 |
35.04 |
11 |
H. Miller |
10.04 |
6.42 |
12 |
D. Bledsoe |
7.09 |
28.72 |
12 |
R. Johnson |
1.10 |
34.77 |
12 |
R. Moss |
2.12 |
31.45 |
12 |
B. Troupe |
13.04 |
5.92 |
13 |
J. Delhomme |
6.02 |
25.56 |
13 |
C. Portis |
1.06 |
33.19 |
13 |
T.J Housh |
6.02 |
30.75 |
13 |
V. Davis |
10.08 |
5.71 |
14 |
S. McNair |
11.01 |
23.94 |
14 |
K. Jones |
2.11 |
32.24 |
14 |
Galloway |
6.03 |
27.00 |
14 |
Winslow |
9.12 |
5.49 |
15 |
B. Leftwich |
10.08 |
22.76 |
15 |
D. Foster |
3.11 |
31.71 |
15 |
D. Mason |
5.09 |
26.39 |
15 |
Dal. Clark |
11.02 |
4.49 |
16 |
B. Favre |
10.02 |
21.68 |
16 |
J. Lewis |
3.05 |
31.11 |
16 |
H. Ward |
3.11 |
26.25 |
16 |
Des. Clark |
|
4.17 |
17 |
M. Brunell |
12.02 |
20.99 |
17 |
C. Dillon |
4.02 |
26.96 |
17 |
A. Bryant |
10.05 |
25.17 |
17 |
A. Smith |
15.05 |
3.89 |
18 |
T. Green |
8.03 |
18.09 |
18 |
W. McGahee |
2.04 |
26.03 |
18 |
P. Burress |
4.04 |
24.43 |
18 |
J. Stevens |
|
3.60 |
19 |
C. Simms |
13.01 |
17.46 |
19 |
J. Addai |
5.01 |
23.86 |
19 |
D. Driver |
4.07 |
23.90 |
19 |
Z. Hilton |
14.11 |
3.50 |
20 |
J. Plummer |
8.07 |
16.94 |
20 |
F. Gore |
5.08 |
23.35 |
20 |
R. Williams |
3.11 |
23.28 |
20 |
L. Pope |
|
3.10 |
21 |
A. Brooks |
9.06 |
16.54 |
21 |
C. Benson |
5.06 |
22.55 |
21 |
D. Jackson |
4.06 |
22.46 |
21 |
M. Lewis |
|
2.99 |
22 |
B. Johnson |
14.10 |
16.20 |
22 |
W. Dunn |
3.12 |
21.67 |
22 |
K. McCardell |
10.08 |
22.07 |
22 |
J. Putzier |
|
2.60 |
23 |
J. Kitna |
11.06 |
15.67 |
23 |
W. Parker |
3.03 |
19.67 |
23 |
T. Glenn |
9.05 |
21.59 |
23 |
J. Wiggins |
13.12 |
2.20 |
24 |
Roethlisberger |
10.05 |
14.61 |
24 |
J. Jones |
3.02 |
18.60 |
24 |
R. Brown |
7.06 |
20.53 |
24 |
D. Graham |
|
2.08 |
25 |
P. Rivers |
12.12 |
14.42 |
25 |
C. Taylor |
3.03 |
17.02 |
25 |
E. Kennison |
7.04 |
19.91 |
25 |
E. Johnson |
|
1.66 |
26 |
D. Carr |
12.10 |
13.97 |
26 |
M. Bell |
|
16.93 |
26 |
L. Evans |
6.10 |
18.41 |
|
|
|
|
27 |
R. Grossman |
|
9.64 |
27 |
F. Taylor |
6.01 |
16.24 |
27 |
M. Jones |
7.09 |
17.78 |
|
|
|
|
28 |
B. Volek |
14.05 |
7.95 |
28 |
A. Green |
5.12 |
13.43 |
28 |
D. Branch |
6.08 |
16.92 |
|
|
|
|
29 |
A. Smith |
|
5.85 |
29 |
R. Droughns |
3.10 |
11.52 |
29 |
Mi. Clayton |
7.02 |
16.23 |
|
|
|
|
30 |
K. Holcomb |
|
5.34 |
30 |
C.Brown |
6.12 |
10.51 |
30 |
J. Walker |
5.02 |
15.35 |
|
|
|
|
31 |
C. Frye |
|
4.78 |
31 |
T.J. Duckett |
|
9.63 |
31 |
R. Smith |
6.09 |
14.75 |
|
|
|
|
32 |
C. Pennington |
|
3.78 |
32 |
M. Barber |
9.04 |
9.30 |
32 |
N. Burleson |
7.09 |
14.39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33 |
D. Williams |
7.01 |
8.73 |
33 |
Muhammad |
7.06 |
13.88 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34 |
T. Jones |
3.12 |
8.09 |
34 |
B. Lloyd |
13.04 |
13.70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35 |
L. Betts |
13.09 |
7.73 |
35 |
A. Johnson |
5.01 |
12.48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36 |
W. Lundy |
|
|
36 |
D. Stallworth |
9.07 |
12.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37 |
L. Maroney |
6.07 |
|
37 |
D. Bennett |
8.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38 |
L. White |
|
|
38 |
L. Coles |
8.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
39 |
D. Rhodes |
5.05 |
|
39 |
E. Wilford |
10.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40 |
C. Perry |
|
|
40 |
D. Givens |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
41 |
M. Turner |
|
|
41 |
R. White |
13.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42 |
M. Bennett |
|
|
42 |
E. Moulds |
11.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
43 |
M. Morris |
|
|
43 |
K. Curtis |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44 |
B. Jacobs |
|
|
44 |
Ma. Clayton |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45 |
M. Pittman |
|
|
45 |
M. Jenkins |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
46 |
K. Barlow |
|
|
46 |
P Price |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47 |
R. Moats |
|
|
47 |
S. Parker |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
48 |
M. Moore |
|
|
48 |
B. Engram |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49 |
G. Jones |
|
|
49 |
J. Jurevicius |
13.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50 |
M. Jones-Drew |
|
|
50 |
B. Stokely |
14.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51 |
J. Norwood |
|
|
51 |
I. Bruce |
11.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52 |
S. Gado |
|
|
52 |
D. Gabriel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53 |
N. Davenport |
|
|
53 |
R. Caldwell |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54 |
J. Harrison |
|
|
54 |
G. Jennings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55 |
M. Anderson |
|
|
55 |
T. Williamson |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
56 |
M. Smith |
|
|
56 |
T. Taylor |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57 |
JJ Arrington |
|
|
57 |
A. Toomer |
15.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58 |
V. Haynes |
|
|
58 |
B. Edwards |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
59 |
D. Staley |
|
|
59 |
E. Parker |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60 |
T. Bell |
4.11 |
|
60 |
B. Berrian |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61 |
R. Dayne |
|
|
61 |
M. Booker |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62 |
S. Bryson |
|
|
62 |
C. Rogers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
63 |
B. Calhoun |
|
|
63 |
M. Robinson |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64 |
A. Peterson |
|
|
64 |
C. Henry |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65 |
C. Martin |
|
|
65 |
D. Carter |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66 |
C. Houston |
|
|
66 |
A. Davis |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
67 |
P. Cobbs |
|
|
67 |
R. Williams |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
68 |
D. Blaylock |
|
|
68 |
Chad Jackson |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69 |
C. Fason |
|
|
69 |
A. Battle |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70 |
A. Thomas |
|
|
70 |
C. Thorpe |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|