1) Tommy DeVito @ Philadelphia

This is primarily about the Eagles’ pass defense. They aren’t getting to the quarterback (39 sacks in 2022 after producing 70 in 2022) and the secondary looks slow. Philadelphia is allowing opposing QBs 24.7 FPts/G, next-to-last for the season, and they have been worse the past five weeks allowing a league-worst 27.0 FPts/G. DeVito got back a healthy Darren Waller last Sunday to improve the Giants receiving corps.

2) Baker Mayfield vs. Jacksonville

Mayfield ranks 19th this season (20.2 FPts/G), but 23.4 FPts/G over his last three games including a perfect 158.3 QB Rating last Sunday. He faces a Jaguars’ pass defense ranked 30th and allowing 24.1 FPts/G. Hot player vs. cold defense is the perfect storm.

3) Trevor Lawrence @ Tampa Bay

The Bucs’ pass defense isn’t much better than the Jags’ ranking 28th and allowing 23.3 FPts/G. Lawrence started the season slowly, but since Week 11, he leads all quarterbacks having produced 138 fantasy points (27.6 FPts/G). He even posted 21.3 fantasy points against the tough Ravens defense last Sunday, just the third quarterback all season to crack the 20-point mark against Baltimore (Josh Dobbs and Matthew Stafford are the other two).

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1) Sam Howell @ New York Jets

Howell was horrible last weekend, his second poor performance in a row. He had been pretty good until then averaging 27.6 FPts/G from Week 8-12. There was some who thought Jacoby Brissett might get the start and he could still get some playing time if Howell continues to struggle. Just stay away from the Jets’ pass defense is the best advice even if they reverse course and start Brissett who was 8-of-10 for 124 yards and two touchdowns in just two drives against the Rams.

2) C.J. Stroud/Case Keenum/Davis Mills vs. Cleveland

As of Wednesday, Stroud had yet to practice, a bad sign, as it’s the first step toward getting through concussion protocol. His replacement, Case Keenum, could only manage 15.6 fantasy points against a Titans’ defense which isn’t as good as this Cleveland Browns defense.

3) Russell Wilson vs. New England

The Patriots’ defense isn’t the reason they are an AFC-worst 3-11. They rank fifth, allowing just 18.1 FPts/G. Wilson has been pretty consistent all season, but not well enough to crack the top-10 very often. He hasn’t cracked the 24-point mark since Week 4. The Broncos will continue to use the method which has helped them win six of their last eight – run the ball, pass infrequently and play great defense. That should preclude Wilson from having a fantasy-worthy outing in what should be a low-scoring Week 16 games (O/U 34.5 points).

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers