| Dynasty League Prospects 5/17/11
 
 This space will be a semi-regular feature at FF Today and will 
              speculate upon NFL up-and-comers who may be or may not be well known 
              in dynasty league circles. I’m not guaranteeing anyone to 
              become the next star, but merely helping you keep abreast of developments 
              that could affect your dynasty league rosters this season—and 
              you may even discover unknowns who could become known quantities 
              down the road.
 
 
 As dynasty owners look forward to the 2011 season, we become quite 
              impressed with our “shiny new toys”—the rookie 
              class. In the same way that children on Christmas morning toss aside 
              all the great toys they got the year before, we make way for our 
              rookies by cutting young underachievers in our dynasty leagues. 
              The waiver wire is likely littered with plenty of potentially valuable 
              players that were tossed aside after not producing during their 
              first or second years in the league. In this column we’ll 
              try to find a few young players that have yet to produce significantly, 
              but who could help your dynasty team a lot more quickly than most 
              of this year’s rookie class. Just as in life, patience is 
              a virtue in dynasty leagues. Treasure becomes trash rather quickly 
              in this fickle hobby (but sometimes it turns back into treasure 
              again). If you can manage to consistently pick up the trash before 
              it turns back into treasure, you’ll be ahead of the game against 
              your league-mates.
 In this installment we won’t necessarily look at many unknowns, 
                but rather at some former rookie sleepers that may just finally 
                wake up. The Passers
 Matt Flynn 
                has toiled in Aaron Rodgers’ shadow for the first three 
                years of his career, much like Rodgers was forced to do behind 
                Brett Favre. Flynn finally got to show off his wares when Rodgers 
                was forced to miss a start against the New England Patriots, one 
                of the better teams in the NFL last season, and he more than held 
                his own. Flynn threw for 251 yards and 3 TDs with 1 interception 
                in that game, and he looked very poised for a player making his 
                first NFL start. While some offseason rumors suggest that Flynn 
                will be traded by the Packers before the start of the season, 
                I’m not expecting that to happen. The Packers would not 
                want to jeopardize their defense of last year’s championship 
                by not having a capable backup that knows their system in case 
                Rodgers gets his bell rung once again. However, a major impetus 
                of this rumor is the fact that Flynn is entering the last year 
                of his contract. If you have the roster space, Flynn makes a nice 
                stash as an up-and-coming young QB, as he’ll surely get 
                signed somewhere as a starting option next offseason. Flynn isn’t 
                the most gifted physical specimen, but he’s smart, gritty, 
                and has the mobility of the man he backs up at the quarterback 
                position. For your fantasy squad, he’ll be a great QB2 who 
                can grow into some real legit trade bait once he proves himself. 
               Former Fordham University quarterback John Skelton saw the field 
                in 2010 (before he was ready) and left many fantasy owners unimpressed. 
                There are many rumors swirling around about who will end up being 
                the starting quarterback in 2011 for the Arizona Cardinals—a 
                prize that comes with getting to throw the football to Larry Fitzgerald—and 
                until the lockout ends, none of us will know for sure who will 
                ultimately be handed that job. If a young quarterback like Kevin 
                Kolb gets traded to the Cardinals, then Skelton will likely never 
                see a legit chance at playing time. However, if the team ends 
                up with a stopgap solution like Marc Bulger or Donovan McNabb, 
                Skelton will learn from the bench while impressing upon the staff 
                in practices and spot duty that he could be their future. Skelton 
                was compared to Joe Flacco by some pundits during last year’s 
                pre-draft process. The comparison makes sense in that he’s 
                big, strong-armed, and also came out of a small-time college program. 
                Skelton has great leadership skills, fits the prototype mold of 
                the franchise quarterback, and has landed in the ideal situation 
                for a young signal caller. He should get the opportunity to soundly 
                acclimate himself into a system loaded with surrounding talents 
                like Fitzgerald, Andre Roberts, and a stable of young running 
                backs. He’s only an option in deep leagues with large rosters, 
                but he could pay dividends with a little patience.
 
  The Runners Word is that the Broncos will be looking to add to their running 
                back depth chart through free agency once the lockout ends, but 
                right now the cupboard is bare behind starter Knowshon Moreno. 
                Jeremiah Johnson, out of the University of Oregon, looked very 
                impressive in the preseason for the Texans last year but was a 
                victim of the numbers game and bounced to the Houston practice 
                squad and then to Denver. Johnson has the speed, moves, burst, 
                and vision to make it at the NFL level. Unfortunately, his value 
                will be discounted by his size—but that won’t stop 
                him from making plays if he gets the chance. That chance could 
                come sooner than later, depending on what type of back Denver 
                brings into the fold. Since Johnson’s an adept pass catcher 
                with good open-field abilities, he could at least take on a Mike 
                Goodson-type of role for John Fox. If Denver does not bring in 
                another option—which admittedly is unlikely—then Johnson 
                is one Moreno injury away from a significant role where he can 
                showcase his abilities. 
 Another team whose depth chart is in flux pending free agent acquisitions 
                is the Miami Dolphins. They added big back Daniel Thomas out of 
                Kansas State in the third round of the NFL draft, but they have 
                little else behind him. Former Purdue Boilermaker Kory Sheets, 
                who Miami grabbed after he was released by San Francisco, is a 
                good receiver out of the backfield and could find a role in 2011. 
                Sheets isn’t the biggest back, but he can knock defenders 
                to the ground with a nice stiff-arm and sheer determination. He 
                is a natural hand-catcher and displays good speed in the open 
                field, making him an ideal player to fill a third-down role in 
                Miami. He also has the vision and agility to be a productive cutback 
                runner if he earns an even bigger role with the team. His style 
                does lead to his absorbing some big hits, so injuries have been 
                and will continue to be a concern. But he’s worth a flier 
                in deep leagues.
  
                  Can Scott be a feature back? Cincinnati is yet another team that may present some opportunities 
                for lesser-known backs this coming season. While most beat writers 
                fully expect the team to bring back Cedric Benson, who is currently 
                a free agent, he will be 29 this year and looked fairly pedestrian 
                in 2010 after reviving his career in 2008 and 2009 with the Bengals. 
                Another Cedric, Cedric Peerman, has bounced around the league 
                after being drafted out of Virginia by the Baltimore Ravens, but 
                he has NFL-level talent. Despite lacking elite speed, he can still 
                bust off long runs since he gets through the holes quickly with 
                burst and decisiveness. Concerns about durability and ball security 
                may have been the reason he hasn’t been able to stick with 
                a team thus far, but given his reputation as a tremendously hard 
                worker, I wouldn’t be surprised if he puts those issues 
                in his past and moves forward as a productive part of the young 
                Bengals offense. The more obvious candidate for an increase in 
                carries in Cincinnati, however, is third-year back Bernard Scott 
                out of lower-level Abilene Christian. Scott was able to showcase 
                himself last season, with mixed results, as a backup to Benson. 
                At times he looked like a potential star; at other times he looked 
                like a guy that can be decent in spurts but never “the man.” 
                At 27, he’s already getting up there for a prospect, but 
                he does get to top gear in a hurry and has terrific open-field 
                speed. At worst he’s a great third-down option as he catches 
                the ball like a wide receiver and has big-play capabilities in 
                open space. Size may be an issue for him as a feature back, but 
                the ability to be an inside runner is there, due to his exceptional 
                footwork and his ability to cut back against the grain. Given 
                that Scott never really took over for an obviously declining Benson 
                along with the rumors that Benson will be re-signed despite averaging 
                under 4 yards per carry last season, one can interpret that to 
                mean that Marvin Lewis does not see Scott as a feature back. That 
                may very well be true, but it also helps depress Scott’s 
                trade value, making him an interesting offseason bargain. 
  The Pass Catchers  Damian Williams definitely disappointed those who picked him 
                in rookie drafts last season as he barely saw the field and finished 
                the year with only 16 catches. But despite his smaller stature, 
                he is tough in traffic due to his quickness in small spaces and 
                his sticky hands. He has enough burst to get open at the NFL level 
                and is very polished in his route running. While an ideal slot 
                receiver in three-receiver sets, he also has the ability to play 
                as a split end. He could start the 2011 season opposite Kenny 
                Britt—if the Titans finally decide to push aside uninspiring 
                vets Justin Gage and Nate Washington—and he would compliment 
                Britt’s downfield abilities well. Now is the time to acquire 
                the former Trojan before he breaks out, especially if he is owned 
                by one of the more casual members of your league who may be considering 
                cutting him to make room for the rookies he just drafted. In his sophomore season, Arrelious Benn should step right into 
                the possession receiver role in the young and improving Tampa 
                Bay passing offense. While fellow second-year player Mike Williams 
                gets all the acclaim in dynasty circles, Benn quietly ended his 
                season strong before suffering a knee injury. All reports coming 
                out of Tampa are saying that Benn is ahead of schedule and will 
                be ready for training camp. With Josh Freeman’s growth last 
                season, two Buccaneer wide receivers could easily become fantasy 
                relevant in 2011. Benn, like Williams, has a “my ball” 
                mentality and fluid athleticism for a player his size, and he 
                can gain yards after the catch. He should at least prove to be 
                a poor man’s Anquan Boldin to Williams’ Larry Fitzgerald 
                for years to come, and right now he can be had at a fraction of 
                the price that Williams commands. While Benn is far from an unknown 
                commodity in dynasty leagues, the Mike Williams hype train should 
                allow a smart owner to swoop in and grab the former Fighting Illini 
                at a cheaper price than a similar-pedigreed player would normally 
                command. I wouldn’t be shocked if Benn and Williams end 
                the season within 10-20 fantasy points of one another.
 Jacoby Jones had supposedly been on the verge of super stardom 
                the last two offseasons, but he has been unable to grab the reigns 
                completely from the over-achieving Kevin Walter in the battle 
                for the Texans’ No. 2 wide receiver role. The team may very 
                well allow Jones to walk in free agency, which would give last 
                season’s late-round pick, Dorin Dickerson, the opportunity 
                to be the player who can finally take some heat off of Andre Johnson. 
                Dickenson was a collegiate tight end at Pittsburgh who lacked 
                any semblance of blocking skills but was drafted by Gary Kubiak 
                to play wide receiver. His size/speed combination (6’2”, 
                226 pounds, with a 4.4 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine) could 
                add up to great things in the prolific Houston passing game by 
                next year at the latest. Dickenson is the type of player that 
                can come out of nowhere and surprise the fantasy world.
 
 At 6’6”, 227 lbs., Ramses Barden has something that 
                no other receiver on the New York Giants has: great size. Even 
                Hakeem Nicks, who plays like a beast, is only 6 feet tall. Barden 
                uses his large frame to shield defenders away from the ball, but 
                has yet to show the necessary quickness off the line or in his 
                breaks to make an impact at the NFL level. However, if he learns 
                to fight better for the ball and use his bulk to out-muscle smaller 
                defensive backs, he should at the very least be a reliable red-zone 
                target for Eli Manning, with the upside to be much more. The Giants 
                drafted him as a project and he may now get his chance entering 
                his “magical” third year. Possession receiver Steve 
                Smith had micro-fracture surgery this offseason, and there is 
                some buzz in New York that he may need to start the season on 
                the PUP list. While Mario Manningham broke out in Smith’s 
                absence last season, Barden can be the short-area check-down option 
                for Manning, as Nicks and Manningham are better deep threats than 
                route runners. Barden should really only be considered in deeper 
                leagues at this point, but at least keep your eye on him in shallow 
                leagues as well.
 
 
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