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If it wasn't for the extremely unfortunate ACL tear that he suffered in Week 7 of his rookie campaign in 2022, we'd almost certainly be talking about Breece Hall being a first-round pick in fantasy drafts this season. Even though he began the season splitting touches in his own backfield, Hall became one of the league's true bell cows by Week 4 and was well on his way to finishing as a top-five fantasy RB.
Heading into his sophomore season, however, the only real concern that fantasy managers should have is when he might be back on the field. We've seen some incredible recovery times for players who've suffered similar injuries as of late, but we've also seen players like J.K. Dobbins and others struggle to get back on the field. The fact that Hall's injury took place during the middle of the season is concerning because he won't have anywhere close to a full year to recover before the team suits up to play in Week 1. Jets head coach Robert Saleh has been optimistic when he's been asked about Hall's recovery and we've seen videos of Hall running in a straight line, but that's not enough for us to really draw anything conclusive from.
Hall is a classic example of an unknown heading into draft season, but the unknown is completely health-based. We know the talent is there. His upside, if he's healthy, is an elite RB1, which is why he's still being drafted in the top 15 of the RB position. That could change dramatically if we see significant changes to his health, of course, but as of right now, this is a complete risk/reward scenario for fantasy managers. If you do end up selecting Hall in drafts, be sure to prioritize landing additional reliable options at the position, as it's very possible that you'll be without him early in the season. When he does get back on the field and ramped up physically, however, the sky is truly the limit for this talented young back.
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