Fantasy Football Today - fantasy football
A Fantasy Football Community!




Create An Account  |  Advertise  |  Contact      






Joe Bryant | Archive | Email |
Guest Writer

Random Thoughts and Observations From The 65th National Football League Annual Selection Meeting - Part 2
4/20/00

Guys That Moved Up On My Draft Board:

1. BAL QB Tony Banks
He had to feel like a kid on Christmas morning as before the first 10 picks were over on Saturday, Banks had the best RB in the draft (in the Raven's opinion) with Jamal Lewis and the 3rd best WR in Travis Taylor. Don't know how they could give him any more to work with.

2. NYG QB Kerry Collins
No more excuses as they add RB Ron Dayne to the backfield. This should take some pressure off the passing game and allow much more flexibility with routes. I'd expect you'll see opposing defenses play something like they did against New Orleans last year loading the box and daring Collins to pass. The Billy Joes for Ditka couldn't make the defenses pay for that gamble and we'll see if Collins can.

3. KC QB Elvis Grbac
Not unlike Kordell Stewart, Grbac should immediately benefit from the addition of first rounder Sylvester Morris who's a big target at 6'3" / 200.

4. WAS QB's Brad Johnson / Jeff George
OT Chris Samuels appears to be the type of guy who can anchor the line from the all important Left Tackle position for years to come. At Alabama, he faced big time defenders and he should be able to make the transition smoothly.

5. TB QB's Shaun King / Eric Zeier / Joe Hamilton / Randall Cunningham?
Whoever lines up behind center will benefit from the Keyshawn addition. I'd expect Alstott and Dunn to rise slightly as well with another weapon to keep the defense busy.

6. ARZ QB Jake Plummer
The addition of a game breaker like RB Thomas Jones will surely improve Plummer. Let's face it, it would be difficult for him to be any worse. The O Line still has questions but a little help in the backfield can only be a positive, especially a RB with receiving skills like Jones.

7. CIN QB Akili Smith
I'm no fan of Akili Smith but he must move up your board with the addition of game breaker Peter Warrick. Another Seminole WR, Ron Duggans in the 3rd round should help as well. Let's hope Warrick learned some lessons from Smith's disastrous holdout last year and keep your fingers crossed someone comes to their senses and they find a running back.

8. DET RB James Stewart
Stewart benefited from the draft not only from who the Lions selected, but who they didn't select. Huge OL Stockar McDougle was their first pick while some had speculated they might go for a RB. They did select Oregon RB Reuben Droughns in the 3rd but he's not expected to be big threat. Instead of competition in camp, Stewart got the 350 pound behemoth to clear the rushing lanes for him. Stewart filled in admirably for Fred Taylor last year and it'll be interesting to see how he handles the starting role.

9. PIT QB Kordell Stewart
Whether you like him or not, it'll be hard to argue his situation didn't drastically improve with the addition of 2 huge WR's in Plaxico Burres (6' 5") and Danny Farmer (6' 2") For a guy with major league accuracy problems, there's a lot more receiver there to hit than the little guys like 5' 9" Troy Edwards.

Guys That Moved Down On My Draft Board:

1. NYJ QB Vinny Testeverde
One QB who's value went down after the draft. WR Laveranues Coles and TE Anthony Becht are supposed to make up for Keyshawn? Please.

2. GB TE Mark Chmura
Ron Wolfe took a page from Mike Brown's School of Subtlety here with the selection of TE Bubba Franks in round one. If you've got the neck injury and the unbelievable off the field problems, when your GM takes the #1 TE in the first round of the draft, I think I could read between the lines there…

3. NE RB's Kevin Faulk / Raymont Harris
Faulk did nothing last year to disprove the contention he wasn't big enough to stay healthy at this level. And Raymont Harris hasn't been healthy it seems since the Bush Administration. With the addition of J.R. Redmond, who many felt was a top 5 back, both these guys could be in trouble.

4. BAL RB Preist Holmes For Holmes owners, the joy of seeing Errict Rhett go to Cleveland quickly faded when the Ravens selected Jamal Lewis in the first round. While I'm not on the overly crowded Lewis bandwagon, teams don't draft a Running Back at #5 overall without giving him every chance to be the main guy.

5. BAL WR Pat Johnson
Johnson showed some nice flashes with 3 TD's last year but if WR Travis Taylor does what's expected of him, Taylor will likely slide into the #2 WR opposite Qadry Ismail. We'll see how fast he picks up the system but it could be trouble for Johnson. NYG RB Joe Montgomery Sorry Joe, it was fun while it lasted but unless Ron Dayne gets on the Eddie Murphy Nutty Professor Bulk Program (which is a possibility), Montgomery will be wearing a baseball cap more than a helmet this year.

6. CIN WR Carl Pickens
The Bengals spent 2 of the top 3 selections on Wide Receiver, including of course, their #1 pick on Peter Warrick. When it comes to delivering messages, subtlety is not Mike Brown's strong suit.

7. ARZ RB Michael Pittman
Last year's favorite sleeper pick should be riding the pine unless Thomas Jones can't find his way to the airport. Jones is too good and like the situation with Baltimore, teams don't draft a Running Back with a top 10 overall pick and then stash him away to "develop".

8. PIT WR Hines Ward
Ward looks to move to the #3 guy with the addition of Plaxico Burress. Adding another tall WR in Danny Farmer won't help his case either. Burress just has too much potential to not be on the field. And it's not like Ward is the most polished receiver in the league.

9. SEA RB Ricky Watters
ESPN's John Clayton recently said he could envision a scenario where Watters became a June salary cap casualty now that Holmgren lucked into RB Shaun Alexander slipping all the way to them. I don't know about that, but the overall point is very clear that Alexander is likely the RB of Seattle's (possibly near) future.

Rookies To Watch: RBs

1. SEA RB Shaun Alexander
After Jones, he was my #2 RB in the draft. A complete package of skills to go with a tough character. Seattle may have received the best value in the 1st round with Alexander at #19. As I mentioned, I've heard rumblings that Ricky Watters position could even be in danger with salary cap concerns. Holmgren's offensive system is not one that's picked up overnight but I'd be surprised if you don't see Alexander make a significant contribution this year.

2. MIN RB Doug Chapman
I don't care if it was at Marshall, when you score 61 TD's in your college career, you're saying something. And besides, those Marshall jokes are wearing thin by now anyway. He's a classic overachiever making the most out of what he's been given. 5' 10" / 215 so he's got the size and the 4.55 40 time is adequate. The biggest plus he has going for him is that he plays behind Robert Smith. Don't be surprised to see him get a shot and make the most of it.

3. NYG RB Ron Dayne
I'm interested to see which Ron Dayne steps forward in New York. Will it be the fat plodder doing the Ricky Williams get hit behind the line act or will it be the more nimble steamroller we saw in Wisconsin? The Badgers featured a solid line last year and you must give credit there (Lawrence Phillips, anyone?) He'll have a far less dominant unit to work behind with the Giants. The more tape I watched, the more I was impressed with his ability to make guys miss instead of just bowling over tacklers. He's certainly capable with his size, but the guy has some special running skills that he doesn't get credit for simply because he's so big.

4. ARZ RB Thomas Jones
I liked Jones as the best back in the draft by a good margin. Love that little shake'n bake stutter move but at 215 pounds he also has nice power. Jones behind the Ravens front would have been scary but I'm afraid he may be limited in Arizona. I think Adrian Murrell is a better back than many give him credit for and we saw last year in Arizona and New Orleans that without a solid line and passing game, few backs will produce. His biggest benefit to the team will likely be in making QB Plummer better both in the area of keeping defenses honest and also catching the ball out of the backfield which he does well.

5. CIN RB Curtis Keaton
Depending on how the Corey Dillon saga plays out, Keaton could contribute. He was one of those guys shooting up draft charts last week with some nice workout numbers. At 5' 10" / 215 he's got good size and runs a 4.45 40. Nice vision and seems to pick the holes well. I don't discount anything happening when Mike Brown is involved so I'd keep an eye on this situation.

6. BAL RB Jamal Lewis
If you read the above, you know I'm not fawning over Jamal Lewis like the rest of the world. I just had too much opportunity as a Vol fan to watch him underachieve after the knee injury. I've yet to talk to anyone close to Tennessee Football that thinks he's worthy of a #5 pick. But it's obviously a great situation for him. Billick's offensive talents are well documented and few think Priest Holmes is the answer behind that strong front line. If Thomas Jones had gone there, I'd be all over him, I'm just having a hard time getting too excited about Lewis based on what I saw last year.

7. CLE RB Travis Prentice
Not a show stopper but a good solid back that could easily blossom. Could make a very nice combination with new Brown Errict Rhett. Went forever in college between fumbles (862 carries without a fumble) and what coach doesn't like that? Couch will likely be improved this year along with the WR corps.

8. NE RB J.R. Redmond
In the revolving door of New England RB's, (Remember Robert Edwards?) Redmond at 5'11" 210 seems to be a much better alternative than Kevin Faulk or self proclaimed "Ultra back" Raymont Harris. If he can keep his head screwed on straight and stay healthy, he's very likely the best RB on the team.

9. JAX RB Shyrone Stith
How many people think Fred Taylor can stay healthy for 16 games? I don't. And Tavian Banks is still rehabbing. Stith doesn't have the blistering 40 time you'd prefer but James Stewart is no burner and he filled in pretty nicely when he was there. Stith was a productive hard nosed player for the #2 team in the country last year and it wouldn't surprise me to see him make some waves behind Taylor.

Rookies To Watch: TEs

1. GB TE Bubba Franks
The Packer offense has slipped so far from what it once was, it's hard to know what to expect this year but an asset like Franks could easily be a big producer with Brett Favre throwing the ball. They've certainly shown a tendency to rely on a soft handed TE in the past and Franks clearly fits that bill.

Rookies To Watch: WRs

1. PIT WR Plaxico Burress
Be the one guy at your draft to pronounce his name right. It rhymes with "Mexico" Bypassing Chad Pennington for the big guy said a lot. If he can stay focused and motivated, the sky is the limit for Burress. Very soft hands and long arms to go with the height. Matching him on a fade route against a 5' 10" corner will be a joke. Of course, the only question mark is how well Stewart or Graham will be able to deliver the ball. Steelers thought enough of him to assign him #88. You may remember a pretty good WR named Swann who wore that jersey…

2. KC WR Sylvester Morris
Nice target at 6'3" and should be able to start opposite Derrick Alexander. It's a big jump from Jackson State to the NFL but others have done it. If the Chiefs can find a running game, he might pay some nice dividends. BAL WR Travis Taylor Will be pushing for the best WR on the team. The pass happy Florida system doesn't always translate into success at the next level partly because Steve Spurrier puts his guys in such great positions and schemes. But I like Travis on this team. Coach Billick certainly knows how to score points and new TE Shannon Sharpe will likely be a good influence. Weak link in my opinion is if QB Tony Banks can keep up the pace.

3. CIN WR Peter Warrick
Warrick is on the other end of the spectrum from RB Jamal Lewis. Lewis earned his slot based upon his 1997 season and four games in 1998 coupled with super human workout numbers. Warrick earned his slot with 4 years of stellar on the field performance for arguably the best team in the nation the last few years. As we all know, he posted less than dazzling workouts. Last time I checked, they don't score the games based on the workout numbers. Just for the record, Lewis had a very similar "shopping" experience to Warrick in High School so we'll call the character issue a draw. Certainly, Florida State and Tennessee are not the NFL. But they're as close as you can get. One player excelled at that level of competition for 3+ years. The other player excelled at that level of competition 3 years ago before blowing out his knee. Certainly Akili Smith and whatever Running Game they can assemble are huge pieces of the puzzle but I like what I think we'll see from Warrick.

CHI WR Dez White
Not only was this an incredible value for the Bears in the 3rd, I like the fit of a big (6'1" / 218) athletic WR in any system run by Gary Crowton. Keep an eye on what they do with Bobby Engram but White could be a real contributor if given the playing time while opponents try to stop Marcus Robinson.

:: comments to joe bryant


Joe Bryant is the owner of footballguys.com. More of his work can be found there along with all the information and tools you’ll need to Dominate Your Draft.