8/7/06  
               
              So far 2006 has not been my favorite year in any way shape or form. 
              It has not been the worst, but it is far from being the best. 
               Being a teacher I usually have something called summer vacation. 
                It is time to get away from the grind of kids to reflect on the 
                problems coming up next year as well as recover from the beating 
                only junior high students can give an adult. This summer has contained 
                nothing of the sort. Instead this summer has been dedicated to 
                matters of the heart; literally. After two near death experiences 
                in as many days I awoke to find myself tethered to a bed awaiting 
                surgery. 
               For some silly reason they want you remain fairly calm when 
                they diagnose a heart condition. Fortunately I had my laptop with 
                me along with some form of connection to the net. I spent some 
                time emailing concerned friends; I spent more time looking at 
                fantasy football news and mock drafts. After spending hour after 
                hour on this material two conclusions struck me; the popularity 
                of the fantasy game has never been higher yet the creative aspect 
                of the game has never been lower. 
               I have the handle “Old School” within the confines 
                of this web site, the name fits. I have been at this game too 
                many years. I began before the digital revolution and "pay 
                for information" sites. I was playing before there were people 
                to consult regarding player performance and before there was television 
                dedicated to nothing but fantasy football. All the information 
                owners could garner regarding players came from memory, notes 
                from past seasons and general information from the print media. 
                Everyone entered the draft knowing it was a crap shoot, yet enjoying 
                every second of it. Most owners shot directly from the hip playing 
                their hunches for the season. Some even hit their marks. Things 
                have changed considerably. Like the presidential elections, it 
                seems the season never ends; it just blurs into the next one. 
                 
                Leagues are forming earlier while my email from owners is arriving 
                sooner. It used to wait until late July or early August, now I 
                have people writing me in the middle of June as they are already 
                planning their drafts while sorting their selections. The anticipation 
                is still there, especially as teams head into camps, what is lacking 
                is the element of creativity. 
               After looking at hundreds of mock drafts, one thing has become 
                apparent, like the real NFL, everyone is following a system. In 
                this case, the system is “get your running backs ASAP and 
                screw the other positions." For the most part, the first 
                three rounds were dominated by running back selections. This pattern 
                began to break in the third round, but only slightly... QB Peyton 
                Manning, WR Steve Smith, with a few other receivers, made an appearance. 
                The running back run kept its’ momentum into the fourth 
                round with about half the picks going to ball carriers.  
               It seems owners have become obsessed with having these brittle, 
                sometimes unproductive individuals. Some owners were going as 
                far as three deep into a team’s depth chart to procure enough 
                stallions to fill their stable. By the end of the drafts there 
                were owners who had as many as eight running backs in the stalls. 
                They would back this up with two quarterbacks; usually taken in 
                the middle and late rounds, along with four wide outs, a tight 
                end, a kicker and the defense they were allowed. Like dogs with 
                insatiable appetites, some owners were spending the first five 
                rounds on nothing but rushers of the NFL at the expense of all 
                other positions. 
               Of course the position of running back has always been important. 
                Teams lived or died on the abilities of these ball carriers. Anyone 
                who had Thurman Thomas, Emmitt Smith or Marcus Allen in their 
                primes knows the value of the RB. Few players have had the impact 
                of a Marshall Faulk of Edgerrin James. Anyone sitting there with 
                a top three pick has to be considering which RB to take as the 
                consensus seems to be one of the following backs; LaDainian Tomlinson, 
                Shaun Alexander or Larry Johnson. The order of potential talent 
                depends on what publication you are reading, but these are the 
                “Big Three” running backs of the NFL and fantasy football. 
                In one publication fourteen of their top twenty selections are 
                running backs. There is one QB (guess who?) and five wide receivers. 
                What may be more striking is their first nine players are all 
                running backs. 
               It has always been traditional wisdom to select running backs, 
                then begin building a team around them, but this did not have 
                to be the case. Creative owners could select a wide receiver or 
                a quarterback in the first round to begin to build a team around 
                because there was enough diversity in the league to permit this; 
                not anymore.  
               I still watch a lot of sports programming on TV, I also read 
                as much as I can get my hands on through the year. Few teams are 
                even mentioned as “passing teams." Not even the vaunted 
                Raider vertical stretch is mentioned as they too have gone the 
                way of establishing the run. There is one team constantly mentioned 
                as a “passing team”; the Philadelphia Eagles. 
               Excuse me! Is there any owner out there looking to take an Eagle 
                in the first, or even second round of their draft? Their receiving 
                corps, with the exception of the TO era, has never been anything 
                to brag about. In fact, until TO the only Philly receiver anyone 
                would consider spending a high draft selection on would have been 
                Harold Carmichael, he is over a decade removed from the game. 
               Looking at the current crop of receivers the Eagles plan on 
                using for this season’s campaign, they total seven TD’s 
                from last season. Is there anyone out there planning on spending 
                more than a possible last round pick on Todd Pinkston or Reggie 
                Brown? The best receiver on the Eagle’s team is their RB 
                Brian Westbrook who had seven TD’s last season, four of 
                them through the air. Still, Westbrook should not be a running 
                back consideration until after the second round. The same could 
                be said about Donovan McNabb who, though tough as nails, is coming 
                off an injury season with virtually nothing in the way of top 
                ranked talent to infiltrate a secondary. If this is what is recognized 
                as a passing team in the NFL, the aerial attack is in dire straights. 
               Sure the Colts have a flying circus when Peyton gets it going. 
                The Rams can even have the potential of airing it out when Marc 
                Bulger is not sitting on the bench injured. With the exception 
                of Manning, is there anyone there deserving of a selection in 
                the first two rounds of a draft? The Colts spread the ball around 
                too much to consider Marvin Harrison a top draft selection. The 
                Rams are supposed to focus more on the run to consider selecting 
                Torry Holt until after the second round. Outside of Manning the 
                only consideration in the first couple of rounds of a draft might 
                be Steven Jackson if he can improve over last year’s performance. 
               The league, because it does such a wonderful job of playing 
                “Follow the Successful System” has always been a realm 
                of follow the leader. From the innovation called the “T” 
                formation to the single back offense it is the system which dictates 
                everything.  
               Bill Walsh brought the West Coast offense into the league back 
                in the 80’s. After a few Super Bowl wins other teams adopted 
                it with success. Warren Moon was brought into the league from 
                Canada to manage the “Run and Shoot” offense featuring 
                a single back. It too caught on within the league. Defenses are 
                either a 3-4 or a 4-3 with every team employing their “Nickel” 
                and “Dime” packages. The players may make the system 
                go, but players are drafted to feed the system of a given team. 
                The system is king, not the people running it. The game of “Follow 
                the System” has now infiltrated the fantasy world. 
                 
                Now everyone, if they want to have a chance at a championship, 
                must step in line and follow suit. It is running back, running 
                back, then perhaps more running back on the menu if an owner plans 
                on eating like a big dog come play-off time. The only problem 
                with the menu is it gets tedious eating the same meal over and 
                over, running back is no different. 
               It might seem inevitable fantasy leagues would have to follow 
                the dictates of the NFL, but that does not make it more fun. The 
                daring used to be in the draft strategy, now it lies in what running 
                back an owner is willing to take a chance on if they are picking 
                beyond the number three slot in their draft. Like an assembly 
                line, drafts around the world of fantasy have accomplished the 
                fete of making the same product over and over. Some are going 
                to perform better as they will be built better, but will have 
                virtually the same look and the same feel. 
               Recently ESPN the Magazine ran an article written by 
                Bill Simmons, the “Sports Guy.” In the article Simmons 
                dissects the problems with fantasy football, then proposes solutions 
                to those problems. The solutions, like the title of the article 
                “The New Rules” are a rip off moving the realm of 
                fantasy to more uniformity. The prescription calls for uniform 
                sizes to leagues, uniform scoring, uniform draft selections all 
                made in the image of ESPN television, uniformity. Heck, the TV 
                side of ESPN is offering Mort at your draft so you could draft 
                just like him. 
               Alexander de Tocqueville, a keen observer of America and history, 
                made many observations regarding the behavior of civilizations 
                and people. One of my favorite observations he made goes something 
                like this. “The first sign of a civilization in decline 
                is their push towards uniformity.” If this is the case, 
                and I believe it is, then the NFL has been in decline since the 
                80’s and early 90’s. It took some doing, but regrettably 
                fantasy football may be facing the same plight. Make no mistake, 
                it will always enhance the NFL season, but it may no longer be 
                the fertile creative breeding ground it once was. Still, it is 
                the best game in town.  
               
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