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Dave's Take
9/14/07
  • Eli ManningHard to decipher all the blather coming out of the mouths of the Giants management but it says here that Eli Manning is basically looking at two options - shutting it down for three to four weeks and returning fully healthy or playing through pain and possibly not being able to finish games. Media reports have suggested Manning has a separated shoulder while Giants management insists he has a bruised or sprained shoulder. Either way, it doesn't bold well for a Giants offense that will be minus starting running back Brandon Jacobs for five or weeks due to a sprained medial collateral ligament and now could be forced into using Jared Lorenzen at quarterback. Lorenzen has zero career starts, little ability to avoid the rush and figures to be overmatched against anything other than the worst NFL defenses.

  • Keeping with the Giants, don't expect Derrick Ward to get all of the team's carries in Jacob's absence. Ward was the team's backup running back in the opener against Dallas with Reuben Droughns spending most of the game at fullback. The team has since released backup fullback Robert Douglas and signed former Rams fullback Madison Hedgecock, a 265-pound bowling ball deemed expendable by the Rams because they prefer to use H-backs rather than fullbacks. Look for Hedgecock to take over the majority of the fullback duties once he gets up to speed with the team's playbook, allowing Droughns to move to tailback. As for Ahmad Bradshaw, the team's 7th round pick in this year's draft, he has had fumbling problems, including one on a kick return in the opener, and although the team likes his running ability, head coach Tom Coughlin isn't likely to play the rookie in the base offense until he remedies the problem.

  • The Raiders finally signed quarterback JaMarcus Russell, the first selection in this year's rookie draft. Having missed all of training camp and the preseason, Russell's chances of playing this year are just about zero. Teams don't give starter reps to third string quarterbacks during the season until they are out of contention, meaning Russell's only reps will be on the scout team and mental reps from digesting the playbook. Given the Raiders defense may be stout enough to keep them in playoff contention past the midway point of the year, Russell will see precious little practice time and the odds at this point of him starting more than one or two games this season should be considered very low.

  • The whole debate about whether teams should use their star running backs more in the preseason is much ado about nothing. The Chargers LaDainian Tomlinson, the Chiefs Larry Johnson and the Rams Steven Jackson all struggled this week but a closer look reveals this had little do with the players not playing in the preseason. Tomlinson and Jackson were facing strong run defenses so their lack of success isn't surprising. Jackson had 61 total yards against the Panthers which is exactly four more yards than he had against them last year while the Bears run defense has stymied many good backs so their ability to shut down Tomlinson isn't all that surprising. And here's the kicker - Tomlinson had 149 total yards in his opening game last season while Jackson had 140 and Johnson 148, proving that preseason games for star running backs mean nothing.

  • Although it came as a shock to many that the Jaguars defense gave up a franchise-worst 282 yards rushing to Tennessee in their 13-10 loss in week one, a closer look reveals that this shouldn't be considered all that surprising. The Titans possess a young, talented offensive line and the heart of the Jaguars run defense has always been their talented defensive tackles, Marcus Stroud and John Henderson, two players with injury concerns. Stroud had microfracture surgery in the offseason and Henderson has been battling a shoulder injury. In addition, pass rushing defensive end Reggie Hayward missed 15 games last year after tearing his Achilles tendon in the opener. With Atlanta, Denver and Kansas City up next, the Jags will be tested by three teams with typically strong running games.

  • You have to wonder how well Redskins head coach Joe Gibbs understands the salary cap. The Redskins decided to keep cornerback Shawn Springs on the roster despite the team's decision to employ Carlos Rogers and Fred Smoot in the starting line-up, making Springs the highest paid nickelback in the league at close to $5-million for this season. Most teams wouldn't consider paying a backup cornerback more than $2-million a season. This decision might be understandable if the team didn't have decent options for the nickelback position but that wasn't the case. They entered training camp with veterans David Mackin, Jeremetrius Butler and Ade Jimoh as options at cornerback as well as backup safety Pierson Prioleau, making the decision to retain Springs incomprehensible.

  • The Bills suffered a tremendous blow having to watch tight end Kevin Everett being carted off the field on Sunday and here's hoping Everett makes a full recovery in time. Everett's prognosis was considered dim early in the week and was upgraded to him possibly being able to walk out of the hospital in due course, with one doctor describing it as a miracle. With an extremely young team, look for the Bills to struggle to cope with the situation in the weeks ahead and their schedule and injury situation figures to make their season a long one. A young, inexperienced secondary suffered major blows with free safety Ko Simpson going on injured reserve with a broken ankle and cornerback Jason Webster out for the year with a broken arm. With third year player Jim Leonhard (undrafted, one career start) and second year player Ashton Youboty (3rd round, one career start) likely to replace them in the starting line-up, the Bills will field the youngest secondary in the league and almost certainly struggle to in the passing game. In addition, the team is down to its third strong weakside linebacker in Mario Haggan with expected starter Riki Ellison out for four to six weeks and backup Coy Wire not expected to return for four weeks. Look for the Bills to be active on the waiver wire and in bringing in veteran free agents to help out on defense.

  • Keeping with the Bills, it won't be a major surprise if the team goes winless for the 1st half of their schedule. Up next are road games at Pittsburgh and New England followed by home games against the Jets, Cowboys and Ravens and back on the road to face the Jets before a home game against the Bengals. Unless they pull off an upset against these playoff caliber opponents, the Bills may be 0-8 when they face the Dolphins on the road in week 10.

  • From 2004 to 2006 the Bucs used 1st round draft picks on wide receiver Michael Clayton, running back Cadillac Williams and offensive guard Davin Joseph. Net result of that investment? 20 offensive touchdowns in the last 17 games and with Williams' performance for at the least the early portion of this season likely to suffer from the bruised ribs he suffered in week one, don't expect this performance to improve anytime soon. In fact, with New Orleans, St. Louis Carolina and Indy up next, the Bucs could easily be looking at a 0-5 or 1-4 record to start the season.

  • Although the Chiefs and their pathetic passing attack couldn't take advantage of a depleted Texans secondary in week one, look for Texans opponents to attack through the air early and often in the coming weeks. With an expected starting tandem of Glenn Earl and C.C. Brown, the Texans looked to enter the season with one of the worst safety combos in the league. Now Earl and his backup Jason Simmons on injured reserve and recent addition Michael Boulware not ready to contribute until he picks up the team's defensive playbook, the team is reduced to using veteran journeyman Von Hutchins in the starting line-up alongside Brown. Former Giant Will Demps was signed this week but he's a free safety who was cut loose by the Giants with an injury settlement due to his poor performance last season and in training camp this year.

  • Don't be surprised if the Giants move 2006 1st round pick Mathias Kiwanuka back to his natural position of defensive end. Osi Umenyiora is out for up to four weeks due to an irritation of the lateral meniscus in his left knee and Michael Strahan showed plenty of rust and a lack of conditioning from his holdout. With only Justin Tuck and 2nd year player Adrian Awasom in reserve and Kiwanuka having struggled mightily at strongside linebacker in the loss to the Giants (Cowboys tight end Jason Witten rang up six receptions for 116 yards and a touchdown, much of it at Kiwanuka's expense), it won't be a surprise if the team uses Umenyiora's injury as a handy excuse to end an experiment that seemed ridiculous in the first place.

  • The Rams are trying to sell snake oil to the world with all their rosy reports on how they won't miss perennial Pro Bowl left tackle Orlando Pace, who is out for the year with multiple shoulder injuries, just like they didn't last year when Pace was out of the line-up. To hear the Rams tell it, they went 5-3 without Pace last year and 3-5 with him. If that's the case, why not move Holt, Bruce, Jackson and Bulger, the team's other Pro Bowl offensive players, out of the line-up as well? Here's what you need to know. Pace's replacement at left tackle for the balance of the Panthers game was Adam Goldberg and he simply can't play the position. The team tried him there last year for one game after Pace went down with a torn triceps before moving starting left guard Todd Steussie over to tackle on a permanent basis, putting then rookie 7th round pick Mark Setterstrom at left guard and moving Goldberg to the bench for the balance of the season. The team waived Steussie with an injury settlement in the preseason and it's anybody's guess as to when he will be ready. Expect the team to move right tackle Alex Barron to the left side, insert Claude Terrell at left guard (until injured starter Richie Incognito is ready to return from a high ankle sprain) and move the team's opening game starter at left guard, Cardinals castoff Milford Brown, to right tackle. Net result? Until Incognito returns, the team will have only two players starting in the position they were expected to be in when training camp started and the team's interior lineman have a combined 21 starts.

  • Joe HornStaying with the "hard to believe" theme, don't believe the hype from Atlanta that the team is suffering on offense because rookie head coach Bobby Petrino spent the entire offseason devising game plans to suit quarterback Michael Vick. The team is suffering on offense because their quarterback is Joey Harrington and because they still don't have a decent group of receivers despite throwing free agent money at Joe Horn and using 1st round picks on Michael Jenkins and Roddy White. Simply put, every NFL offensive playbook has, at a minimum, 100 passing plays and there is no way the Falcons playbook contained more than 50 rollouts. Harrington has never consistently produced and likely never will, certainly not with the offensive personnel that currently resides in Atlanta.

  • Nice coaching job by Brian Billick on Monday night against the Bengals. Despite having eight plays to get the ball in the end zone from within the Bengals 11-yard line (3, 2, 2, 1, 11, 6, 2 and 2-yard lines), the team failed to score the tying touchdown against the Bengals, a team that in 2006 allowed its opponents to score touchdowns all 18 times they were within the five-yard line. Despite being a far effective runner than backup Musa Smith for much of the game, Billick gave the ball to Willis McGahee three times in the sequence of plays with little success. With Smith running hard and gaining tough yards, he was the Ravens best chance to punch it in but was never given the opportunity quite possibly because of the hornets nest that would have been stirred up if the team had tied the game with McGahee on the bench.

  • Look for one of the Jaguars disappointing duo of 1st round wide receivers to be inactive on game day for the foreseeable future. Reggie Williams has apparently played his way into head coach Jack Del Rio's doghouse while Matt Jones efforts in game one may also land him there. Williams and Jones were not only beat out for their starting positions by Ernest Wilford and career underachiever Dennis Northcutt but also for the third receiver position by undrafted rookie free agent John Broussard. Because neither Williams nor Jones plays special teams, the team only dresses four wide receivers on game day, with the team choosing to dress Jones in week one. He rewarded them by not making a reception and dropping one of the two passes thrown his way.

  • You have to love the Jets. Rather than extending Kendall's deal (a former Pro Bowler and clearly the team's best offensive lineman in 2006), they shipped him off to the Redskins for a draft pick and subsequently extended Brandon Moore's contract. Kendall claimed the team promised they would renegotiate his contract after forcing him to take a pay cut prior to the 2006 season. So, they end up extending the contract of a player with four years remaining on his existing deal rather than extending the contract of a better player with three years remaining on his deal. Try figuring that one out and the only answer is that head coach Eric Mangini didn't like Kendall going public and showing up the organization and its head coach. Now the team is forced to use journeyman Adrien Clarke in the starting line-up.

  • Who would have known that Saints cornerback Jason David was a poor man's Fred Thomas? If your wide receivers are facing the Saints, try to figure out if your guy's going to be up against David and, if so, get him in your line-up.