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Dave's Take
10/13/07
  • Kurt WarnerDepending on your take of it, the Cardinals may or may not have suffered a blow with the loss of quarterback Matt Leinart to a season ending broken collarbone. The 2nd year signal caller clearly struggled out of the gate and had become part of a rotation with backup Kurt Warner subbing in when the team used a no huddle offense. With Leinart out, Warner takes over the reins full time and the naysayers are expecting him to falter due to his injury history and the fact he can't seem to hold onto a starting job. A closer look reveals that Warner hasn't actually played himself out of the starting roles in New York and Arizona so much as he's been told to ride the pine for emerging players at the position - Leinart in Arizona and Eli Manning with the Giants. Since leaving St. Louis in 2003, Warner has completed nearly 64% of his passes, has more touchdown passes than interceptions, has averaged over 7.5 yards per attempt and has a passer efficiently rating of over 85 in every season (he's at 102 this year). Warner has struggled in the past in the face of a heavy pass rush but the Cardinals have given up only five sacks thus far in 2007, a tremendous accomplishment given that center Al Johnson and right tackle Levi Brown have each missed two games. Look for the Cardinals to continue to excel in pass blocking and for Warner to remain solid for the balance of the season, with improved numbers for wide receivers Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald.

  • On the other hand, don't expect Browns quarterback Derek Anderson to continue his strong performance. Anderson has thrown an amazing 11 touchdowns, good for third in the league and ahead of the Colts Peyton Manning. However, he has struggled with interceptions so his continued presence in the starting line-up will be based on the team's fortunes in the standings. With a 2-3 record, the Browns have surpassed expectations thus far but are still only the 10th seed in the AFC. Their upcoming schedule includes Miami at home followed by a bye and then the Rams on the road, Seahawks at home and trips to Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Although they could get to 4-3, it's likely to be downhill from there and a trip to the bench for Anderson by, at the latest, week 12. In fact, with the bye following this week's game against the Dolphins, rookie Brady Quinn could take the reins against the Rams if the Browns don't get past the Dolphins.

  • If their handling of Steven Jackson's groin injury is any indication, the Rams have taken up the league wide habit of concealing the true nature of their player's injuries. Originally the Rams said Jackson would be week to week with a groin injury. On the Monday following Jackson's first missed game, they promptly announced he would miss that week's contest and local reporters subsequently found out that he has a 40% tear in his groin. This past Monday, they once again announced he would be out this week and although he has done some light jogging, this may be a situation where the team decides to be cautious in getting him back in the line-up. With the team currently 0-5 and staring at 0-6 barring an upset over the Ravens on the road this week, they are going nowhere and so there is little reason to risk a more substantial injury. With that in mind, it certainly won't be a surprise if Jackson fails to return to the line-up until after the team's week nine bye.

  • Keeping with the Rams, the league owes the team an apology for the poor performance of the referees during this week's loss to the Cardinals. There were a number of highly questionable calls in the game but none more than the Reggie Wells touchdown. Cardinals running back Edgerrin James was ruled to have fumbled at the one-yard line and then Rams rookie cornerback Jonathan Wade recovered the fumble in the end zone, only to be stripped of the ball by Wells. On replay, the fumble wasn't overturned and the referee also ruled that Wade did not have possession in the end zone, although replays clearly indicated he had possession and should have been ruled down by contact as soon as he was touched by Wells. Another touchdown call went against the Rams when cornerback Ron Bartell was called for delay of game for kicking the ball at the end of the half, although the clock seemed to have expired already. Cardinals quarterback scored on a one-yard plunge on the subsequent play, which was an untimed down.

  • The Packers may soon get wide receiver Koren Robinson back from his year-long suspension. He is eligible to be reinstated at any time but first must meet with commissioner Roger Goodell and receive his approval which will also be based on a review of his treatment program by NFL medical personnel. Given that Robinson has not had any regressions (at least none that have been made public), expect him to be reinstated shortly. With the team relying heavily on its passing game in the absence of a consistent rushing game, Robinson figures to be a key addition and likely will eat into the opportunities of rookie 3rd round pick James Jones, particularly considering Jones is coming off a two fumble performance against the Bears. Robinson has undeniable talent but the year long layoff likely precludes him from challenging Greg Jennings for a starting spot, although Jennings has certainly been injury prone during his short time in the league.

  • It was a bit of a colossal joke when the Lions put the franchise tag on left tackle Jeff Backus prior to the 2006 season and an even bigger mistake when they signed him to a six-year, $40-million contract before the beginning of that season. Well, the verdict's in and Backus is clearly in the bottom half of left tackles in the league. While the Lions benched right guard Damien Woody, it's pretty clear that Backus and right tackle George Foster have been huge busts thus far in 2007. The tandem has combined to give up roughly half of the 28 sacks the team has allowed in just five games. Although Backus was likely worth re-signing, chalk this up as another mistake for general manager Matt Millen due to his inability to let Backus walk given his outrageous contract demands.

  • While we're with the Lions, chalk running back Brian Calhoun as another wasted Millen draft pick. The 2006 3rd round selection was put on injured reserve a week ago, marking the second season in a row he has ended the season on injured reserve. With 55 career rushing yards, 54 career receiving yards and relegated to 4th string on the depth chart behind Kevin Jones, Tatum Bell and T.J. Duckett, it certainly looks like Calhoun's prospects of ever contributing in Detroit are nearly non-existent.

  • The Bills are 1-4 and a bottom-feeder because of their youth, right? Maybe this should read the Bills are 1-4 but should be 3-2 and a young team on the rise. Consider they have lost two games on last second field goals that they should have won due to poor coaching by both the offensive and defensive coordinators. In each of their last second losses to the Broncos and Cowboys, offensive coordinator Steve Fairchild has called for pass plays on third down late in the fourth quarter rather than calling running plays in order to keep the clock moving. Sticking with the run might not have resulted in first downs (the passing plays didn't either) but the clock would have kept running, putting additional pressure on the opposition's offense. Defensive coordinator Perry Fewell was guilty of calling prevent defenses against the Broncos when they faced a 3rd and 21 and against the Cowboys on two consecutive plays late in the game when the Cowboys had to get out of bounds or else the clock would have run out. The Bills might not be pretty on offense but they've been competitive given their youth and injury situation and this team looks like it will make a strong move up in the standings in 2008.

  • How big of a bust is Miami's 2006 1st round pick Jason Allen? Since the start of the season, the team has lost starting strong safety Yeremiah Bell, inserted Tavares Tillman into his spot, signed Donovin Darius and Lamont Thompson, benched Tillman for converted cornerback Travis Daniels who was then benched for Darius who got hurt and was replaced by Bears castoff Cameron Worrell. At cornerback, Michael Lehan was inserted in the starting line-up for Daniels after week two. In fact, the only defensive back on the roster other than Allen not to start a game in 2007 is rookie undrafted free agent Courtney Bryan.

  • The Panthers entered the season high on rookie wide receivers Dwayne Jarrett, 2nd round, and Ryne Robinson, 4th round, but both players have failed to make an impression thus far in the season. Despite minimal production from Keary Colbert and Drew Carter (who have combined for 278 yards and two touchdowns), the team hasn't increased Jarrett's role and there are no indications they are about to. He didn't dress until week four and was back on the inactive list last week. Robinson has yet to catch a pass, lost the kick return job after week one and appears to have lost the punt return job this week.

  • You have to hand it to the Colts. They lose Pro Bowl quality linebackers and never seem to lose a step at the position. Left tackle Tarik Glenn abruptly retires prior to the season and they insert a rookie 2nd round pick (Tony Ugoh) who ends up playing like a quality veteran. They let Edgerrin James go via free agency and get major production from Joseph Addai. Addai goes out and the team inserts Canadian Football League refugee Kenton Keith, who goes off for 158 total yards and two touchdowns this week. Little known fact about Keith is that he failed to make the Jets in 2004 in his first attempt at cracking into the NFL.

  • David GarrardAlthough Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio blundered in having to release Byron Leftwich prior to the start of the season, receiving no return on the team's investment in him of a 1st round pick, David Garrard has supplied exactly the type of play Del Rio is looking for at the quarterback position. Garrard has yet to throw an interception, is completing over 66% of his passes and is averaging 8.3 yards per attempt. With the defense giving up just over 10 points a game (second in the league to Pittsburgh's 9.4 points per game), the team doesn't need to be risky on offense and Garrard has fit right into the scheme.

  • Patriots tight end Ben Watson is likely the most physically gifted tight end in the league next to the Chargers Antonio Gates and is always drafted high in FF leagues based on his talents. However, his production has yet to match his talents largely because of the team's philosophy of spreading the ball around to multiple palyers in the passing game. No surprise then that this week's 107 yard receiving performance was the first time Watson has cracked the 100-yard barrier.

  • It didn't garner much attention but the Vikings suffered a serious hit to their depth on the defensive line when end Darrion Scott was placed on injured reserve this week with a broken foot. With Erasmus James yet to play this season, Scott was the Vikings top reserve at defensive end, receiving significant time behind starters Kenechi Udeze and Ray Edwards and also moving to defensive tackle occasionally on passing downs. With Scott out, the team will need to regularly employ Edwards and 2007 2nd round pick Brian Robison at end, two players better known for their pass rushing ability, until James returns to the line-up.

  • An already struggling Falcons offensive line (18 sacks allowed, 3.7 yards per carry) suffered a major blow this week with starting tackles Wayne Gandy and Todd Weiner going down with injuries. Gandy will miss the rest of the season while Weiner will be out for two to three weeks, leaving undrafted rookie free agent Renardo Foster at left tackle and Tyson Clabo, a natural guard, at right tackle for this week's match-up against the Giants, who are tied for the league lead in sacks with 17. A repeat of the Giants 12 sack performance against the Eagles wouldn't be a surprise.