| Running Backs
 6/11/08
 
 A lot can change between the end of a season and the start of training 
              camps. One significant item that affects every fantasy players’ 
              potential for the upcoming season is their health, or lack thereof. 
              Have you ever drafted that tantalizing but injury-prone human highlight 
              reel only to be hung out to dry when he yet again tweaks a hamstring? 
              He will be listed as doubtful each game of the season, rack up less 
              than a dozen catches and cause many times more headaches. On the 
              flipside, an otherwise healthy player that missed the second half 
              of 2007 may be undervalued in your league as health concerns and 
              fading memories of past glory cause his fantasy value to plummet.
 The question is: which players coming off the injury report are 
                good prospects for the upcoming season? And, even more importantly, 
                which ones are on the short list to avoid along with Jessica Simpson 
                and New England Patriots’ ethics meetings? Without their 
                health, football players cannot produce, no matter how talented 
                they are, how great the supporting staff around them, or how perfect 
                the situation. Checking the doctor’s report on this year’s 
                batch of players with both questionable health and some fantasy 
                relevance is the first step in evaluating their prospects for 
                the season.  On the Stretcher Player: Travis HenryTeam: None
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 12
 Talk about working yourself out of a job, and maybe an entire 
                league. Head Case Henry is still bothered by his knee injury from 
                last year, making him a risk for any RB-starved team. There are 
                also the issues of drugs, commitment, and durability that Henry 
                will have a hard time explaining to any potential suitors. Someone 
                will take a chance on him, but hopefully it won’t be your 
                fantasy team. His best match will be with a team looking for a 
                one-year fix at the position—most likely a contender who 
                needs a hard-nosed runner who will play effectively when nicked 
                up—Henry’s specialty.   Player: Kevin JonesTeam: None
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 13
 KJ has been working out for teams, but no one has been willing 
                to meet his significant contract demands. There are conflicting 
                reports about his rehabilitations from ACL surgery. Right now, 
                he doesn’t even have a team, so the jury can afford to be 
                out a while longer. Because he averaged 4.6 yards per carry whenever 
                he had at least 15 attempts between 2005-2007, his track record 
                of productivity will be enticing for a team looking for a back 
                up who can contribute in a pinch. At this point, it is easy to 
                project him as an early-season selection off the waiver wire when 
                he lowers his demands and lands with a squad. Otherwise, he’ll 
                be a nice free agent to acquire late in 2008 for your dynasty 
                team.  Player: Carnell 
                WilliamsTeam: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 4
 The Cadillac is still in the shop. He is doing some work on his 
                own, but isn’t healthy enough for team practices. When your team 
                is expected to put you on the Physically Unable to Perform list 
                before the season begins, expectations have to be tempered. A 
                torn patellar tendon is career threatening, so any progress from 
                Williams is good, but he might not even see the field in 2008. 
                The addition of Warrick Dunn to pair with Earnest Graham signifies 
                the team is holding out for Williams for at least this year and 
                make a long-term decision on their former first round pick in 
                the off season.   Player: Deuce McAllisterTeam: New Orleans Saints
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 3
 If you can’t add together a running back’s age and number of 
                knee surgeries without using spreadsheets and advanced analytical 
                software, it may be an indication that a player is over the hill. 
                Deuce is still extremely limited and may not even make the Week 
                One roster if he can’t get healthy quick. The Saints are still 
                counting on Reggie Bush to develop into a feature back and with 
                Aaron Stecker 
                providing solid depth and free agent runner Pierre Thomas who 
                looked promising as a rookie, New Orleans feels okay moving forward. 
                The Walking Wounded Player: Clinton PortisTeam: Washington Redskins
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
 There was some concern that Portis may not make this list, as 
                he was enjoying an injury-free offseason for what may be the first 
                time in his career. Lucky for us, Mr. Portis strained his hip 
                flexor at a team workout in May while trying to out-sprint speedster 
                LaRon Landry. Not only did Portis lose, he has yet another injury 
                to deal with. For any other running back, this wouldn’t be a problem. 
                However, Washington’s feature back has shown a career-long tendency 
                for letting these injuries linger. So, it is worth keeping an 
                eye on.  Player: Willie ParkerTeam: Pittsburgh Steelers
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 15
 I would rather have my running back break a leg than tear up 
                a knee. The rehab time is a lot shorter and it is less likely 
                to affect the back’s speed. All this is good news for Fast Willie. 
                The drafting of Rashard Mendenhall is not. FWP is practicing with 
                the Steelers, but only on a limited basis right now. He should 
                be ready for Week One, but there will be no need to hurry him 
                back with the glut at RB in Pittsburgh that includes Mendenhall, 
                former Vikings multi-purpose back Mewelde Moore, and bruiser Najeh 
                Davenport.   
                  Brown will battle his ACL and Ricky Williams 
                    for playing time in '08. Player: Ronnie 
                BrownTeam: Miami Dolphins
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 
                7
 Just as he was teasing us with fantastic fantasy numbers, Brown 
                was lost for the season with a torn ACL, dooming many fantasy 
                squads to miss the playoffs and the 2007 Dolphins to go down as 
                one of the worst teams of all-time. He is participating in all 
                team activities and is looking good to go. However, running backs 
                with a bum wheel are concerning. The early news out of Miami is 
                that Parcells and Sparano feel good about 31-year-old Ricky Williams 
                who is healthy, working hard, and looking fast. Obviously, the 
                long-term choice is Brown, but ideally they hope Williams can 
                play well enough for Brown to stay with us in rehab for much of 
                the season.   Player: Ahman GreenTeam: Houston Texans
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 6
 The knee problems that cost him the bulk of the 2007 season weren’t 
                responsible for Green missing recent team activities. Instead, 
                it was something he ate. Food poisoning cost him some practice 
                time, but with his balky knees, the rest could be considered a 
                blessing. With roly-poly Ron Dayne gone, I thought the Texans 
                would finally be exempt from food jokes.  Player: LenDale WhiteTeam: Tennessee Titans
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
 Since we are talking about plus-sized running backs…LenWhale 
                went under the knife in January to repair a torn meniscus. While 
                his toughness in playing through an entire season with this painful 
                injury is impressive, the added strain his knees are under due 
                to his penchant for destroying entire buffets cannot be denied. 
                He is not yet fully recovered, but should be soon.  Player: Jonathan StewartTeam: Carolina Panthers
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: Rookie
 The Panthers’ first round pick had toe surgery in March. Barring 
                any problems, he should be ready to go for training camp, although 
                he may be limited at the beginning. This will make it harder (but 
                far from impossible) to wrestle the starting job away from DeAngelo 
                Williams.  Discharged From the Hospital Player: LaDainian TomlinsonTeam: San Diego Chargers
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
 LT has already been practicing with the team and declared himself 
                fully recovered from a torn MCL. Knee injuries are not encouraging 
                for running backs, but Tomlinson will be ready for the start of 
                the season. As usual, don’t expect to see him suiting up 
                in the preseason, regardless of his history of slow starts. He 
                is too important for the San Diego franchise to risk in pretend 
                games. Our first chance to unequivocally gauge his health will 
                be Week One.  Player: Adrian 
                Peterson Team: Minnesota Vikings
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 14
 Peterson is not on most people’s injury radar since he 
                played in the final games of the season and even managed to be 
                the Pro Bowl MVP. However, he missed a couple games with a torn 
                LCL, was completely shut down for three of his last four regular 
                season games, and has continued to rehab the injury in the offseason. 
                Will it be an issue this year? Probably not, but factor it in 
                when you consider taking AD with the first pick in the draft.  Player: Larry JohnsonTeam: Kansas City Chiefs
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 8
 Johnson was rumored to be healthy enough to play at the end of 
                last season. Considering the train wreck the Chiefs were putting 
                on the field every week, it was definitely best to give LJ a chance 
                to lick his wounds and simply forget about the 2007 season. His 
                416 carries in 2006 may have finally caught up with him. Does 
                a half season of rest combined with a light offseason workload 
                return him to elite status this year? The team around him will 
                likely be the limiting factor as Johnson is 100% healthy.  Player: Michael TurnerTeam: Atlanta Falcons
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
 After playing a full 16 game slate, almost completely as a reserve, 
                Atlanta’s new starter had offseason shoulder surgery. He 
                is already back on the field and practicing, hoping to clean up 
                the perennial mess known as the Falcons. If the team can keep 
                their coach from throwing in the towel and their quarterback out 
                of jail, they can’t help but be better this year.  Player: Reggie 
                BushTeam: New Orleans Saints
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 12
 Don’t worry about the torn PCL that cost him a few games 
                at the end of 2007. Bush is 100%, even going through the team’s 
                off-season conditioning program this year. The possible return 
                of Deuce McAllister and the potential reduction in Reggie’s 
                touches due to his penchant to look for the big gain at the expense 
                of not even getting decent run is more important.  Player: Brandon JacobsTeam: New York Giants
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 11
 Jacobs had wrist surgery in April and was wearing both sling 
                and cast for a while. All the medical stuff is long gone now and 
                he is not limited in any way. Opposing linebackers beware….  Player: Rudi JohnsonTeam: Cincinnati Bengals
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 11
 The excuse for 2007 was a hamstring injury, so we will have to 
                keep an eye on his health in the preseason. Averaging less than 
                3 yards per carry is simply embarrassing, especially when backup 
                Kenny Watson shined in many games. A beefier Rudi is expected 
                to take the field as the starter, if he can hold off both Watson 
                and the surprisingly healthy Chris Perry. At this point, the Bengals 
                are talking about a committee approach, especially after their 
                patience with Perry’s health issues. They would like to see what 
                their former first round pick could do.  Player: Ricky 
                WilliamsTeam: Miami Dolphins
 Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 1
 His torn pectoral muscle has healed and he is reportedly looking 
                pretty good in team workouts. Of course, everyone looks great 
                in the preseason and every player thinks they will be the starter 
                come Week One. It’s not likely Williams won’t be starting in Miami, 
                but he has relatively little tread on his 31-year old tires (13 
                games in the last four seasons) and a committee-minded head coach. |