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2026 Player Outlooks: Atlanta Falcons



By Eli Mack | 7/18/26

QB Tua Tagovailoa
2025 QB Rank – No.33, 13.6 FPts/G

The Falcons have one of the league's best collection of skill position players, but the quarterback position has prevented this offense from reaching its peak potential over the last few years. The organization knows it, as evidenced by the team's desperate moves recently at the position. That desperation continues with Tua Tagovailoa as the presumed starter heading into the 2026 season. But Tua struggled mightily last year in Miami, and the team eventually benched him in favor of Quinn Ewers. Of the 14 games he played in 2025, Tua eclipsed 200 passing yards only six times. Also, in half of those 14 games, he passed for one or zero TDs.

As good as Miami's skill position players were, especially during Tua's career-best season of 2023, it didn't add up to much fantasy goodness. Much of that blame falls on Tua, whose lack of mobility, questionable long-ball skills, and concussion history all played a part in his struggles. The bad thing for him, the Falcons, and whoever possesses the courage to place him on their fantasy team is this: Those issues remain relevant in 2026. Tua will go undrafted in a number of leagues. He'll tantalize the fantasy football universe with a game or two of extraordinary production, but it won't be enough to make him a reliable starter. And Michael Penix Jr.'s eventual return will put an even bigger question mark on Tua's fantasy viability. Keep Tua on the waiver wire and hope he doesn't torpedo the studs that surround him.

QB Michael Penix Jr.
2025 QB Rank – No.31, 14.3 FPts/G

Question marks surround Penix once again entering a football season. The oft-injured signal-caller tore his ACL for the third time in his football career in Week 11 last season. That marked his fifth major injury dating back to his college days: a broken collarbone, a separated shoulder, and the three reconstructive knee surgeries. At some point, one will have to assume the cumulative effects of all those injuries will begin to take their toll.

With Tua's injury history, we can reasonably expect that Penix will get a shot at some point during the second half of the season, assuming his rehab continues in a positive way as been reported. Penix shares Tua's injury history and lack of mobility, but his superior arm strength is tailor made for Atlanta's offense. That potentially gives him a higher ceiling of the two, but he obviously remains an undraftable commodity at this point. Penix's return is worth monitoring, but keep expectations in check.

RB Bijan Robinson
2025 RB Rank – No.3, 19.7 FPts/G

All the hype surrounding Bijan Robinson since his NFL debut materialized last year when his 2,298 scrimmage yards led the league. Throw in his 79 receptions on 103 targets and 11 total TDs and it becomes clear why Robinson finished third in points per game among non-QBs. That production came despite receiving only 49% of red-zone rushing share thanks to Tyler Allgeier, who vultured eight TDs from Robinson.

Brian Robinson Jr. replaces Allgeier as Bijan's primary backup. New head coach Kevin Stefanski has implied that he wants to rely on Brian Robinson and not have the ground game run solely through Bijan. To what degree that will affect Bijan remains to be seen, but he's too dynamic and too explosive for it to prevent him from once again finishing as a top-3 RB. Bijan's already shown that he's QB-proof and system-proof, so drafting him at 1.01 or 1.02 should be nonnegotiable.

WR Drake London
2025 WR Rank – No.7, 14.0 FPts/G

Drake London

Drake London has steadily developed into a reliable NFL and fantasy receiver, and the team rewarded him this past off-season with a 4-year, $141 million contract extension. Despite playing only 12 games due to a PCL strain in 2025, London still finished as a top-20 fantasy receiver thanks in large part to a number of massive games, including the six-game stretch mid-season when he tallied 44 receptions for 651 yards and six TDs.

London enters 2026 as the unquestioned lead dog in the receiving game. His role locks in a high target share and his lack of target competition on the outside makes him a solid WR1, despite the questions at QB. Speaking of which, in the nine games Penix started, London saw an eye-popping 39% target share. And with Tua and his seven-yards-per-attempt stat line in Miami last season, we can still project London being heavily involved in the shorter passing game. All of that adds up to a player who is positioned to deliver on the WR1 price this draft season.

WR Jahan Dotson
2025 WR Rank – No.151, 2.9 FPts/G

Jahan Dotson hasn't quite lived up to his first-round draft selection in 2022. His career started promising in Washington, but the team traded him in division to Philadelphia where he scored a grand total of one TD in his two seasons with the Eagles. Granted, he played behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, which left few opportunities. But in Atlanta, he has a shot to secure the WR2 job, which would make him a worthy WR4 in fantasy. Veteran Olamide Zaccheaus will have something to say about that, but his physical profile fits more as a slot. Dotson, however, is a double-digit-round selection with a low ceiling. Proceed accordingly.

TE Kyle Pitts
2025 TE Rank – No.6, 9.8 FPts/G

Finally, Kyle Pitts delivered on the promise that made him the highest-drafted tight end in the common draft era. In 2025, Pitts led the Falcons in targets (118), receptions (88), and receiving yards (928). Those numbers were skewed somewhat by London missing five games and Pitts' Week 15 explosion when he went for 11-166-3. Still, he produced when he was the Falcons' most notable target and when defenses knew the passing game would be centered around him.

Entering 2026, Pitts will have to navigate sharing targets with London and playing with a couple of southpaw quarterbacks who both have their share of concerns. But Kevin Stefanski's recent track record with tight ends is promising. His time in Cleveland led David Njoku and Harold Fannin to top-eight tight end seasons, and Pitts should be considered superior to both. Pitts' resurgence in 2025 has increased expectations for him that rival his first three seasons in the league when he fell short of those expectations. Drafting Pitts is not for the faint of heart, considering the trajectory of his career so far. That said, you should feel comfortable drafting Pitts as one of those top-eight tight ends this season.





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