I've gotten a solid lay of the land, and now the moves have started.
From the beginning, my goal has been to be competitive in 2027
and push for a championship in 2028. This roster was a long way
from that when I took it over -- but it's starting to move in
the right direction.
From Quiet to Chaos
Up until recently, the only move I had made was sending Rhamondre Stevenson for what became the 3.12 right before championship week.
I was honestly worried this league would follow the trend of
my other dynasty leagues -- where the offseason slows to a crawl
and trade activity dries up.
That has not been the case.
This league has been extremely active. Trade talks are constant,
and deals are happening. That kind of environment is exactly what
you want when you're rebuilding.
Establishing the Win Threshold
My overall strategy is simple: increase value across the board.
That means:
Selling players before their value drops
Moving players at peak value
Buying before a breakout
At the same time, I'm trying to identify what I call the Win
Threshold.
In this league, we get a win for head-to-head and another for
beating the median score. Looking back over the past two seasons,
the median sits around 130 points per week.
So the question becomes: Where am I getting those points -- now
and in 2027?
Median League Scoring
Position
Points
QB
20
RB
20
RB
15
WR
15
WR
15
TE
7
Flex
10
Flex
10
SF
18
Total points
130
Obviously, the more points the better, so I want guys who can
score more at each position, but hitting these thresholds should
get me more wins than losses. Looking at my team, I saw some real
deficiencies.
Depth is a major issue. Outside of Ricky
Pearsall, my bench is either significantly weaker or made
up of pure lottery tickets. That lack of depth will get exposed
quickly --especially during bye weeks.
I also need clear upgrades at:
Superflex
Wide receiver
And looking ahead, the depth problem only gets worse as certain
veterans like David Montgomery begin to decline.
I'm not particularly high on Likely in his current situation
-- what I think of as a "Northern Ravens" offense under John Harbaugh.
It's a system we've already seen, and arguably one that doesn't
maximize his skill set -- especially with stronger competition
at receiver.
In return, I get Brenton Strange, who I view as comparable in
value to Likely and two lottery tickets in Legette and Mumpfield.
This doesn't dramatically change my team today, but it gives
me more paths to gaining value -- and that's the goal at this
stage.
With the 49ers adding Mike Evans and Christian Kirk, it raised
concerns about how they truly value Pearsall. Pair that with durability
questions -- just 20 games over two seasons -- and I was willing
to move him.
This trade also marks the beginning of my 2027 pick accumulation
strategy. I currently view the 2027 class as stronger than 2026.
Even if that perception shifts, there's value in acquiring picks
that others may be undervaluing right now. Yes, it hurts my already
thin depth -- but it aligns with the long-term plan.
Filtering Trade Offers for 1.01
Before I get to my big move involving the 1.01 pick, I was offered
plenty of deals.
Most of them were easy to decline. The common theme? Older assets.
I'm not looking to take on more veterans. I'm already over the
roster limit, which will make in-season cuts difficult. More importantly,
older players don't align with my rebuild timeline. I wanted either
picks or young players, which aligns with my philosophy for rebuilding
this orphan.
Now the big deal...
Trade No.3: The Big Move
This is the move that will get the most pushback. Trading away
the 1.01 is never easy -- and for many, it's a non-starter. But
I love this deal for my team.
Yes, I'm passing on Jeremiyah Love who could become the next
Bijan Robinson. But he could also be closer to a Breece Hall outcome:
a very good back, but not a true difference-maker at the very
top tier.
At 1.03, I plan to target the top wide receiver -- unless QB
Fernando Mendoza somehow falls, which would completely change
things.
The key to this deal is 1.10. If I can turn that pick into a
weekly contributor -- either through the draft or via trade --
this becomes a major win for my roster construction and long-term
outlook.
What Changed and the Bigger Picture
Across these three trades I've added two premium future assets
(1.10 and a 2027 2nd); increased my number of value swings (four
lottery-ticket players) and improved long-term flexibility.
I've also redistributed some of my weaker starting-level players
into depth roles, which should help stabilize weekly scoring over
time.
Some will say I sold low on the 1.01 but I disagree.
I believe I extracted strong value across all three trades --
especially on Likely and Pearsall -- and insulated myself against
potential value drops.
That said, one major issue remains. Superflex is still my biggest
weakness. Right now, I project to be nearly 10 points below the
Win Threshold at that position alone. That's not something
the rest of my roster can consistently make up -- even in peak
weeks. It's the next major problem I need to solve.
We're still early in the process, but the foundation is starting
to take shape. There are more moves to come but, I can see a real
path to this team becoming a contender in 2027.