We all have to cut our dynasty rosters down at some point, but we
never talk about how to do that. Dynasty football is great because
you keep all your players from year to year. One of the downsides,
though, is that you also have a rookie draft every year, and inevitably,
you end up over the roster limit.
This creates a dilemma for managers. You have to cut players
you believe in. How do you get down to the roster limit? Who should
you cut and, more importantly, why?
I'm here to help you get down to your roster limit and make the
right decision about who to cut. Let's examine some of the ways
to get your roster down to size.
Time Is Your Friend
First and foremost, time is usually on your side. You shouldn't
be dropping anyone until the deadline to do so. For most leagues,
that is the start of Week 1.
You won't be able to make certain moves before then, like adding
players to your taxi squad, but there is no rush. Having more
players on your roster only benefits you. You get a chance to
see how things play out in training camp. Injuries, depth chart
changes, and trades happen all the time in July and August.
Don't rush to cut someone just because you want to tinker with
your starting lineup. There are no bonus points for being the
first team at or under the roster limit.
Make a Trade
The first obvious move is to make a trade. It's not the easiest
way to get to your roster size, but it can provide the most value.
You can go about it three ways: trade the player you're likely
to cut for a pick, do a 2-for-1 trade, or do a 2-for-2 trade involving
a pick.
Trading the player you're most likely to cut is hard to do. They
are a cuttable player for a reason. There would have to be a very
valid reason for another team to want to acquire them from you
rather than waiting to scoop them off waivers. Most other managers
are in the same situation as you and don't want to take on more
fringe players.
The lopsided trade is a great way to trim your roster. What usually
holds this up is that managers are always trying to "win"
the trade. What you should be doing is trying to tier up slightly.
Even if you're getting a player in the same tier, just higher
in it, you've accomplished something.
The other option is to do a 2-for-2 trade where you give up two
players and get back a player and a pick. You are tiering down.
You give up Robinson and Noel and get Quentin
Johnston and a third-round pick.
But what if you can't execute a trade? How do you decide who
to cut if you have to?
What Gets Them Into Your Lineup?
I see a ton of dynasty managers holding onto players who will
never actually get into their lineup. This goes beyond cutting
players and into the hoarding of a certain position, but that's
a discussion for a later date.
What would be the circumstances for that player to actually make
your fantasy lineup?
TE Mike Gesicki is an intriguing player, but he won't crack a
starting lineup on a roster with Brock Bowers, Brenton Strange,
and Oronde Gadsden. You can have too much depth at a specific
position to the point where, no matter what happens, a player
won't make your lineup.
Those are the players you should be trying to trade or possibly
drop.
The Then, Could, and And Premise
This is the general thought process I go through when looking
at players' potential. I ask myself one question: What needs to
happen for this player to become relevant in the NFL?
You will generally end up with one of these answers.
If, Then
These are the players I definitely want to roster.
The answer to the question is: If player X gets injured,
then my player becomes the starter or sees more targets.
These types of players are in contention to be sacrificed in
order to meet roster-size requirements, but there are still other
factors to consider.
If, And
This answer to the question makes a dynasty manager project the
best-case scenario for the player in a dream world.
If Carnell Tate (TEN) isn't as good as we expect andWan'Dale Robinson (TEN) doesn't gel in the new offense, then Chimere Dike (TEN) is a valuable player to the roster.
If James Conner (ARI) gets traded and is the starting
back, he still has some juice.
I generally don't want these players on my roster unless there
is a clear reason to believe things will change next season.
This question should narrow the list down for you. But you might
still have more names than you need to cut.
Other Considerations
Roster Depth
There are times when I make the decision based on my roster depth.
If I have a list of four players and only need to cut three, I'm
going to look at what my roster depth is.
Do I have more wide receivers than running backs or tight ends?
What positional group do I lack the most?
Even if a player is a complete lottery ticket with limited upside,
they still give you hope. They will probably be dropped for a
waiver pickup at some point anyway, but if you have a positional
need, it can make sense to hold onto them.
Future Regret
I often ask myself, "Who would I feel worse about if
they get picked up off waivers by another team?"
Maybe it's a player you were high on during the pre-draft period.
Maybe it's a player on your favorite team or from your favorite
college program.
Fantasy football is about having fun, and there are guys you
just love despite their lack of production. Fandom should matter
some, but only as a tie-breaker. You have to try to stay objective,
but let's not forget that having fun and rooting for your players
is part of the experience.
Specific Role
Does the player have a specific or valuable role on an offense?
Are they the goal-line or pass-catching back? Are they the big
jump-ball red-zone threat like Isaac TeSlaa (DET)?
It might be hard to judge in the preseason unless they are a
carryover on their team from last year, but a specific role can
give a player more value than his overall talent might suggest.
League-Specific Scoring
Does your league have a bonus for different things?
Does Marvin Mims (DEN) get extra points for kick-return yards
or touchdowns? Do big plays give you extra points, making Marquez Valdes-Scantling (DAL) more valuable?
Knowing your league's specific rules will help you tailor your
roster better.
Make the Cut
Cutting players is one of the less enjoyable parts of dynasty
fantasy football, especially when you've spent months or even
years believing in them. But eventually, every roster has to get
down to its limit.
Don't feel like you need to make those decisions immediately.
Give yourself as much time as possible, look for trades, and let
training camp and the preseason provide more information. When
you do have to make a cut, ask yourself what needs to happen for
that player to become relevant. If the answer is simply that someone
ahead of him needs to get hurt, you may have your answer. If it
takes two or three things to go exactly right, that player should
probably be near the top of your cut list.
There will always be players you don't want to let go. That's
part of dynasty football. You won't get every decision right,
either. The goal isn't to predict the future perfectly. It's to
give yourself the best chance of keeping the players who can actually
help your team while leaving yourself room to find the next player
who can.