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NFL Combine: Risers and Fallers

By Dustin Ludke | 3/2/26

The NFL Combine is officially in the books. The league descended on Indianapolis for a week of measurements, testing, and interviews -- and now we sort through the fallout.

In the wake of the Combine, some players saw their draft stock (and dynasty value) rise, while others left more questions than answers. There’s still time before April's draft. Pro days and team meetings remain. But for now, we have tangible movement.

Here are the biggest risers and fallers from the Combine.

Risers

TE Eli Stowers, TCU

Before the Combine, it was Kenyon Sadiq as the clear top tight end in many circles, with Stowers viewed more as a fringe late first-round talent.

After posting the third-best 40-yard dash among tight ends and leading the group in both the broad and vertical jumps -- a rare athletic combination -- the conversation shifted. Stowers now looks like a lock for Round 1 and could even challenge Sadiq for TE1 in the class.

TE John Michael Gyllenborg, Wyoming

When you run a 4.60 at 6'6”, 249 pounds, you're going to turn heads.

Gyllenborg's 40-yard dash ranked sixth among tight ends in this class, but his fourth-best 10-yard split may have been even more impressive. That early burst at his size is exactly what teams look for.

He didn't jump into the elite tier, but in my rankings he moved from Tier 6 to Tier 3. The Combine likely shifted him from a clear Day 3 prospect into someone who could hear his name called on Saturday.

QB Drew Allar, Penn State

This was a relatively quiet Combine for quarterbacks. Few participated fully in drills, and only a handful threw.

Allar gained early buzz thanks to elite measurements -- top three among quarterbacks in hand size, arm length, and wingspan. Those metrics don't guarantee NFL success, but in a class where few passers separated themselves, it was enough to push him firmly into the Tier 2 conversation.

He now looks like a strong candidate to be the second or third quarterback off the board in April.

Mike Washington Jr.

RB Mike Washington Jr., Arkansas

Everyone was fast this year. Whether it was the turf or just the evolution of the position, speed was everywhere.

But being the fastest in a fast group matters -- especially when you weigh 223 pounds. Washington not only posted the top 40-yard dash among running backs, but also recorded the second-best 10-yard split and strong broad jump numbers.

That combination of size and explosiveness should push him up both draft boards and dynasty rankings.

RB Seth McGowan, Kentucky

McGowan's 10'11” broad jump led the class. It would have ranked second last year and tied for fourth over the past six years -- elite explosiveness.

His 4.49 40-yard dash wasn't eye-popping in this year's speedy class, but his 1.52 10-yard split was well above average and confirms his burst.

He projects as a potential late-round NFL pick who could land in a rotational role early. For dynasty managers, he's shaping up as a late-round sleeper.

WR Jeff Caldwell, Cincinnati

In my “Combine Through a Dynasty Lens” piece, I mentioned how important vertical explosion is for X-type receivers.

Caldwell fits that mold at 6'5”, 216 pounds. His 42-inch vertical ranked second among wide receivers and seventh-best over the past five years. He also posted the fourth-best 40-yard dash and the best 10-yard split in the group.

It's rare to see that combination of size, speed, and explosiveness in one prospect. Landing spot will matter, but he's firmly on the late-round dynasty radar.

Fallers

TE Michael Trigg, Baylor

Trigg entered Indianapolis with buzz after posting a record 84⅜-inch wingspan at measurements.

But he chose not to participate in drills. While opting out is becoming more common, he failed to capitalize on the early momentum.

He'll need a strong pro day to re-enter the conversation and prove there's more to his profile than just elite length.

QB Diego Pavia, Vanderbilt

Maturity questions have followed Pavia throughout the pre-draft process. He didn't quiet those concerns when he joked:

“Coach Lea always pressed that your frontal lobe isn't fully developed until you're 25, and I just turned 24… so I've got like 365 days to go.”

In a quarterback class with deep second- and third-tier options, this wasn't the moment to reinforce doubts. Combined with size concerns, there may now be too many red flags -- even in a quarterback-needy league.

RB Emmett Johnson, Nebraska

When nearly everyone runs well and you post the slowest 40 time at 4.56, it stands out -- in the wrong way.

Only 10 running backs tested, but Johnson's time would have ranked 19th last year. His broad jump was similarly underwhelming.

Once mentioned as a possible Day 2 pick, he now has work to do to regain that momentum.

WR Denzel Boston, Washington

Boston's 35-inch vertical was middle of the pack -- disappointing for a player who needed to show explosiveness. He also declined to run the 40 or participate in the broad jump, removing opportunities to shift the narrative.

During route work, he had multiple drops and didn't separate himself in drills. While his size and wingspan are appealing, the on-field performance didn't match the measurables.

Unless he rebounds at his pro day, draft capital could slide. I still like the long-term talent, but draft-capital-focused dynasty managers may cool on him.

RB Nicholas Singleton, Penn State

Singleton did not test due to a foot injury sustained late in the season. That alone isn't unusual.

However, he indicated he may not be ready to test until close to the draft. That could mean a late pro day -- and late workouts are always risky in the draft cycle.

His long-term outlook isn't in doubt, but in a fast-moving running back market, missing the testing window can hurt momentum. Teams may solidify plans before he has a chance to re-enter the conversation.

Be sure to check out my updated rookie tiers for a full breakdown of where these prospects now stand.