After a pretty rough two-year stretch in 2022 and 2023, when I correctly
picked only 3 of 18 Top 10 Risers, I've bounced back the past two
years, nailing 8 of 18, a nifty 44.4% strike rate. Yes, ~45% qualifies
as "nifty" for this half of the exercise, which is a lot
harder than identifying Top 10 Dropouts. After all, the majority
of Top 10 performers fail to replicate that feat year over year.
This year will be no different, so let's talk about who's positioned
to rise up and replace them in 2026.
A quick reminder of the Top 10 fantasy RBs from last season…
Note: All rankings are based on FFToday’s
default league scoring.
Running Backs Most Likely to Rise in 2026:

Chase
Brown, CIN: Several
weeks back, we talked about the historically low dropout numbers
at the running back position. Only three 2025 studs failed to
recapture the magic, though two were very close to doing that:
Josh Jacobs (RB12) and Saquon Barkley (RB14). I'm dubious of Jacobs
this year with legal clouds looming over his head, and Barkley
seems like a shoo-in Top 10 returnee provided he plays a full
slate. So, let's talk about some other guys who might pull it
off, starting with the guy who slotted in right ahead of them
both at RB11, Chase Brown.
For the second consecutive season, Brown racked up over 1,300
yards -- including career highs in both rushing and receiving
yards -- and precisely 11 touchdowns. He did this, mind you, playing
most of the season without Joe Burrow, who missed the middle part
of the campaign before miraculously returning in Week 13. In the
games sans Burrow, Brown averaged 9.8 FPts/G. Not too shabby,
actually, when you consider Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker averaged
9.5 on the season. In the games with Burrow, however, the Illinois
product skyrocketed to 14.9 FPts/G, which would have put him comfortably
in the Top 10 extrapolated out over 17 games.
Burrow is back in 2026, of course, and the Bengals stood effectively
pat at the running back position this offseason, electing to run
it back with Brown, Samaje Perine, and some other guys you've
probably never heard of. Did I mention all of those stats I just
cited were for standard (read: non-PPR) leagues? Brown really
shone in the Cincy passing game (69 receptions, 437 yards, and
five scores) and was only out-targeted by three other backs overall.
I'm bullish on the Bengals and their lead back this coming year.
Ashton
Jeanty, LV: It's never a great sign
when I'm talking about a Top 10 Riser two years running, for obvious
reasons. This guy deserves another shot, though, despite a mostly
miserable rookie year punctuated by two explosive performances
(33.5 points in Week 4 and 30.8 more in Week 16). Take out those
30-plus games, and the Raiders' prized rookie only averaged 8.5
FPts/G over the other 15, or about what Kimani Vidal averaged
down in Inglewood. Woof!
If there's a silver lining to Jeanty's 2025 totals, it starts
with those two explosive performances. They both came against
playoff-bound teams (Chicago and Houston, respectively), and they
both featured 60-yard-plus house calls, something the former Boise
State star used to uncork routinely on the Smurf turf. Those two
long touchdowns were actually his two longest plays from scrimmage
all season, and if there had been even two more, he'd have vindicated
my decision to tag him as a Top 10 Riser in the first place.
For all the handwringing over Jeanty's failure to dazzle -- 3.7
YPC and a miserable 1.6 YBC -- he still averaged a respectable
11.3 FPts/G and finished up as RB15. Yes, that was on very high
volume (321 total touches), but it's a good sign as we head into
2026.
So is the arrival of Klint Kubiak and, at some point this season,
Fernando Mendoza. Jeanty was dragged down by an abysmal supporting
cast last season, but now has a coach whose wide-zone scheme is
almost tailor-made for his skill set and a QB who will raise all
boats sooner rather than later. The Raiders also upgraded their
O-line this offseason, adding Tyler Linderbaum at center. I like
where this franchise is headed for the first time in a long while.
Omarion
Hampton, LAC: Shall we run it back
twice this year? OK, so my Top 10 Riser RB predictions weren't
so hot last summer.
I wouldn't blame you for being skeptical this year's crop will
fare any better. Consider what I just wrote about Jeanty, however.
Despite what most considered a lackluster rookie season, he was
still a high-end RB2 by any measure and almost certainly won you
some games when he went off. Now consider this: Omarion Hampton,
2025's other hyped rookie runner, actually outperformed him, albeit
slightly, on a per-game basis (11.5 FPts/G).
That Hampton played much fewer of them (only nine regular-season
appearances due to a fractured left ankle) is a fair counterpoint
to the above, but it's decidedly UNfair to label a guy injury-prone
when he's only got one full NFL campaign under his belt. After
all, the former Tarheel missed NO games while plying his trade
over in Chapel Hill. What stands out even more for me is what
the kid did when he returned in Week 14.
Over his final four games of the season (he sat out Week 18 for
precautionary reasons and to prep for the playoffs), Hampton averaged
11.7 FPts/G. Mind you, the Chargers he returned to looked much
different than the Chargers he left in Week 5, having lost their
other star tackle, Joe Alt, in Week 9.
This year's version of the Bolts will have both star bookends,
Alt and Rashawn Slater, who missed all of 2025 due to a ruptured
patellar tendon. Moreover, the team replaced Greg Roman with Mike
McDaniel, which should energize an offense that was good enough
to make the playoffs but laid an(other) egg in the second season.
Bottom line: Kimani Vidal won't be LA's top-gaining RB in 2026.
Next: Wide
Receivers
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