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Joe Holka | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Daily Guidance: Week 12
Value Plays
11/25/15


Finding value is the cornerstone of building elite daily fantasy lineups. Value plays allow you to mix in studs you can rely on for both consistency and a high ceiling. It's a sound strategy to start with value first when constructing the perfect combination of players.

A lot of people will be excited to play the Thursday slate this week in DFS and I highly encourage it. I also recommend that you keep your emotions in check when deciding the exposure you will put your bankroll against this week. The scarcity of the positions and ownership differences make this week a high variance week overall with all the different slates available. There is no shame in scaling things back in cash games this week if you are not fully confident in your roster decisions. This week I have decided to post my cash game lineup for both the Thursday slate and the Sun-Mon slate as well.

Thursday-only slate

Thursday-Only Slate


RB- Darren McFadden ($8100)

McFadden is set up perfectly this week against a Panthers defense that has given up 6.2 receptions to running backs per game this season. Tony Romo has struggled in recent Thanksgiving games and I expect the Cowboys to lean on the running game heavily Thursday. His workload makes him a value, even at this price on FanDuel. With Dez Bryant likely shadowed by Josh Norman, Romo should be looking to McFadden early and often.

WR- Golden Tate ($6300)

Tate had a massive 11 targets in Week 11 and hauled in eight catches for 73 yards against the Raiders. He has not been as big a part of this offense with Calvin Johnson back in the mix this year but Megatron is still dealing with a nagging ankle injury. At the very least this should free up a few targets for Tate where he could break a big play against an Eagles team who struggles to defend the pass. Until last week against Tampa Bay, the Eagles have been one of the best teams against the run and I don’t expect Detroit’s inept running game to suddenly turn the corner. Detroit players should live off volume, and Tate should far exceed his value on FanDuel in Week 12.

RB- Jonathan Stewart ($7100)

Stewart has quietly become a very reliable fantasy asset this season. He has 20-plus touches in each of his last five games and has touchdowns in five of six games. He has been making big plays and the notion that Cam Newton caps his touchdown upside is wildly overblown as Stewart is getting the game scripts consistently to be in the RB1 conversation. I love the stack with Stewart and Panthers defense if you are playing the Thursday slate this week.

Sunday-Monday slate

Note:
Check back later in the week for an updated cash game lineup.

Sunday-Monday Slate

WR- Larry Fitzgerald ($7400)

Even at his price, Fitzgerald is one of the best values on FanDuel this week. Playing with one of the top quarterbacks in the league this season, Fitzgerald will remain heavily involved given the nagging injuries in the Cardinals receiving corps. He has three straight games with 80 or more yards and does not have a touchdown since Week 8. That makes him a popular target for touchdown regression against a defense that just gave up a big game to Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks putrid offense. Fitzgerald is a high floor option for cash games that seems matchup proof, but the matchup is favorable this week anyway.

RB- T.J. Yeldon ($6500)

Yeldon actually looked surprisingly good last week playing through a foot injury. He showed explosiveness and effectiveness in both the running and pass games for the Jaguars. It is a bit alarming that he was pulled at the goal line a few times for Denard Robinson last week but Robinson failed to convert his opportunities. Yeldon is a strong value play this week against the Chargers who have struggled to defend the run. He should be healthier with the longer rest after playing Thursday Night Football in Week 11.

TE- Gary Barnidge ($6500)

Barnidge owners rejoice at the news Josh McCown will again be the starting quarterback following a video surfacing of Johnny Manziel partying last week. Barnidge has been vastly more productive with McCown at the helm and his price still isn’t out of control on FanDuel. Baltimore’s secondary is very suspect and Barnidge should continue to see a large amount of targets. Coming off a bye, Barnidge has settled in as a top value pick at the tight end position with a high floor and high ceiling for Week 12.

RB- Thomas Rawls ($6300)

The rookie running back was the star of the Seahawks offense last week as he went off for the second-best day by a running back in franchise history. With Marshawn Lynch set to undergo sports hernia surgery, Rawls is a clear value play for our cash games in Week 12. Rawls plays very similar to Lynch as he has both power and quickness, which he uses to gain yards after contact. He doesn’t go down without a fight and this week even against a tough Pittsburgh line, he should see the volume to exceed value in regards to $/point on FanDuel.

WR- Stevie Johnson ($5500)

Stevie has the targets to be a viable fantasy option but his touchdown upside is lacking. He hasn’t scored since Week 2 but he has a soft matchup against the Jaguars in Week 12 and he will be a favorite target of Philip Rivers once again. The injuries in San Diego will keep him as a high floor option for our cash games and at this price is a clear value for Week 12.