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Favorites & Fades


Week 4

By: Nick Caron | HC Green | John Fessel | Jon Woods
Updated: 10/4/26

Thursday:

PIT @ CLE


Sunday Early:

IND @ WAS | ARI @ NYG | NE @ BUF | NYJ @ CHI

DAL @ HOU | LAR @ PHI | GB @ TB | TEN @ BAL


Sunday Late:

JAX @ CIN | MIA @ MIN | KC @ LV | LAC @ SEA

DEN @ SF | DET @ CAR


Monday:

ATL @ NO

Notes:
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Injury notes, Lines and Totals updated Sunday morning

Steelers @ Browns - (Green)
Line: PIT -2.5
Total: 38.5

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: RB Jaylen Warren

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR DK Metcalf

A year ago, Metcalf stumbled through an uneventful first three weeks before breaking out with 126 yards and a touchdown in Week 4. To date in 2026, he has 11 receptions, 98 yards, and one score. That’s not good enough for a No. 1 receiver, and Metcalf isn’t the type of player you want checking out mentally. Thursday night represents a good opportunity to get going. The Browns rank 29th in fantasy points allowed to receivers, and that includes five touchdown receptions. In his only encounter with Cleveland a season ago, Metcalf posted a 4-95-1 line. Despite his slow start, Metcalf offers enough upside to warrant a spot in your lineup as a WR3/flex.

Fades: QB Aaron Rodgers

Rodgers looked much better in Week 3, passing for 292 yards and three TDs. That doesn’t wash away the two stinkers he had to open the season, and his two games against the Browns last year don’t inspire a ton of confidence. Granted, Myles Garrett was still around to create havoc, but averaging 202 yards and 1 TD is poor production regardless of circumstance. I also worry about a 42-year-old quarterback physically bouncing back for a Thursday night game against a division rival. I would stay well away from Rodgers this week.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: RB Quinshon Judkins

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: TE Harold Fannin Jr.

Fannin did little over the first two weeks, totaling 75 yards on seven catches, but he showed some chemistry with Deshaun Watson in Week 3, scoring both of Cleveland’s touchdowns in a win over Carolina. Given how shallow the tight end pool has been to open 2026, he probably deserves a spot in your starting lineup. That said, the Steelers boast a top-10 defense versus tight ends, allowing 3.3 catches for 40 yards total to the position through three games. Fannin did have some success against Pittsburgh last season, amassing nine catches for 111 yards and a TD in two meetings, albeit with a different quarterback at the helm. He’s a bit of a risk/reward play.

Fades: QB Deshaun Watson

With the Browns winning back-to-back games, Watson seems to have tightened his grip on the starting job, at least for now. His numbers, though, have been middling. In the two wins, the veteran averaged 191 yards passing, 34 yards rushing, and 2 TDs. Prior to that, Watson oversaw a blowout loss to Jacksonville, which ranks just one spot ahead of the Steelers in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. While we might be approaching a world where Watson could offer matchup-specific value, trusting him against a top-five group would not be advisable.

Prediction: Steelers 16, Browns 13 ^ Top

Colts @ Commanders (London) - (Caron)
Line: IND -4.5
Total: 46.5

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: N/A

Update: WR Keenan Allen has been ruled Out.

Favorites: WR Josh Downs, TE Tyler Warren

The Commanders defense has been a pass funnel early this season. Washington currently surrenders the absolute most fantasy points per game in the NFL to opposing wide receivers. This creates a huge opportunity for Josh Downs to deliver a breakout performance, with Alec Pierce officially on injured reserve and Keenan Allen is currently banged up. Downs is the undisputed focal point of the Colts' downfield passing attack and because the Commanders are so vulnerable there, he should have no problem finding open space and commanding heavy target volume.

Tyler Warren also finds himself in a great spot this week. Washington gives up the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, so fantasy managers should be excited to get Warren into their lineups to exploit this awful Washington defense.

On the Fence: RB Jonathan Taylor

Benching a premium draft pick like Jonathan Taylor is almost never the right move in normal leagues, but fantasy managers need to brace themselves for a frustrating Sunday morning in London. Washington's defense has been a brick wall against the run and allows the fewest fantasy points in the league to opposing running backs.

With the Commanders being so tough to run on, Taylor's rushing efficiency is capped. Managers may have to rely almost entirely on his passing game usage and a touchdown to bail them out of an otherwise mediocre day. You're starting Taylor because of his pure talent and workload, but you should definitely temper your expectations in this brutal matchup.

Fades: N/A

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: QB Marcus Mariota

Despite rumors, Jayden Daniels is highly unlikely to suit up this week, meaning Marcus Mariota is in line for another start under center. Mariota performed well in a tough spot last week. He completed 19 of his 31 pass attempts for 183 yards and three touchdowns against an excellent Seattle defense in a shocking 26-point output for the Commanders' offense. Fantasy managers typically identify Mariota as a reliable rusher without much passing upside, but he didn't run much this past week or when he stepped in midway through the game for Daniels in Week 2. Through his two appearances, Mariota has compiled a grand total of six carries for just 14 yards.

His rushing floor is basically gone right now, but he still possesses an interesting ceiling when he does take off and run, and last week showed us that he has the ability to air the ball out against an Indianapolis defense that presents a very advantageous matchup. The Colts are currently allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Mariota comes with obvious risk, but he's a real streaming option for managers who are in a tough spot.

Update: RB Rachaad White has been ruled Out.

On the Fence: RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt

While the Washington quarterback room is getting most of the attention, their backfield could also see a significant shift here in Week 4. Rachaad White (shoulder) missed Thursday's practice and is trending toward sitting out. His absence would clear the runway for Jacory Croskey-Merritt to see a big bump in playing time. Either way, he gets to face a soft Indianapolis defensive front that currently surrenders the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

Croskey-Merritt has not been involved in the passing game much throughout his career, so his fantasy value this week lies in rushing volume and the potential for a score near the goal line. White capitalized on a short six-yard receiving touchdown last week, and those high-value opportunities close to the end zone will now fall onto Croskey-Merritt's plate. Rookie Kaytron Allen will likely mix in to spell him for a handful of touches, but this might be Croskey-Merrit's best chance this season to deliver a big fantasy day.

Update: WR Terry McLaurin has been ruled Out.

Fades: WR Stefon Diggs

When an offense scores 26 points in a game, you generally expect its top wide receivers to come up with big numbers. While Terry McLaurin (hamstring) came through, his teammate Stefon Diggs was largely left out of the fun last week with Marcus Mariota under center. He drew just seven targets and produced a paltry four catches for 33 yards. The sample size is small, but the immediate distribution of targets under Mariota is definitely concerning for Diggs.

Diggs is a secondary option whose passing volume is completely unknown from week to week. Even in an advantageous matchup against a Colts secondary allowing the 12th-most fantasy points to wideouts, he's someone you want to leave on your bench. He can be started in a pinch, but his floor is incredibly shaky right now.

Prediction: Colts 24, Commanders 23 ^ Top

Cardinals @ Giants - (Caron)
Line: ARI -2.5
Total: 44.5

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: TE Trey McBride

Favorites: RB Jeremiyah Love

Jeremiyah Love finally got things rolling this past week against San Francisco. The highly touted rookie turned 26 total touches into 109 yards and a receiving touchdown, posting his first 20-point fantasy outing against a good 49ers defense on the road. This proves the Cardinals are ready to lean heavily on him as their primary offensive playmaker out of the backfield. Arizona had been rotating the backfield earlier in the year but completely shifted away from that split against San Francisco as Tyler Allgeier saw just two carries and was significantly less involved on the ground despite catching four passes.

The Cardinals came incredibly close to pulling off a massive upset with Love leading the offensive attack. You can expect them to stick with what worked and feed him against a Giants defense surrendering the 11th-most fantasy points to running backs.

On the Fence: WR Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson steps up as an intriguing flex option this week. The Giants offer a very soft secondary matchup by giving up the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. With the rest of the receiving corps struggling to command the ball, Wilson exploded with a ridiculous 17-target game against the 49ers this past week, solidifying himself as the superior fantasy option between him and teammate Marvin Harrison. Wilson is back in another prime spot to soak up targets in the passing game this week. The only real worry is that his low yards per reception numbers may come back to bite fantasy managers if this ends up being a more normal target day.

Fades: WR Marvin Harrison Jr.

Harrison continues to be a massive disappointment for fantasy managers. He actually posted his best game of the season last week but still managed just three catches for 40 yards on a mere five targets. The raw efficiency is certainly there as he's turned four total catches on the year into 73 yards, but hoping for him to sustain that huge yards-per-reception average while also increasing his volume to a usable number is a dangerous bet. He simply is not seeing the necessary targets in the passing game to remain a viable fantasy starter right now. You have to leave him on your bench until his target share dramatically improves.

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Cam Skattebo

Cam Skattebo has taken full control of the New York backfield as his snap share jumped to a season-high 77% in Week 3. More importantly, Devin Singletary did not play a single offensive snap against Tennessee, while Najee Harris was limited to 14 snaps (albeit resulting in nine carries). Skattebo's efficiency was mediocre as he turned his 23 touches into just 100 scrimmage yards, but he did catch four targets for the second consecutive week, proving his value passing downs. The Giants have leaned heavier into the run with Jameis Winston starting so while Arizona represents a stiffer test on the ground, sitting 23rd in fantasy points allowed to running backs, pure volume can win in this situation. Lock him in as a high-floor RB2 with RB1 upside.

On the Fence: WR Malik Nabers

Malik Nabers is stuck in fantasy purgatory with Jaxson Dart sidelined. His playing time is not the issue as he continues to log plenty of snaps. It's just that the target quality and offensive efficiency have vanished under Jameis Winston. Nabers has drawn just 10 targets across the past two games, converting them into six catches for a measly 27 yards and no scores.

Normal fantasy starters with that kind of output belong on the bench, but the matchup keeps Nabers in starting conversations. Arizona allows the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers. New York should eventually scheme looks for their top weapon as Nabers has game-breaking talent, but it's tough to know whether they'll start doing that or keep ramming their heads into a brick wall instead. Benching him is tough, but if you start him you have to accept that there's almost no floor here.

Fades: TE Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely is trending in the wrong direction for fantasy lineups. He looked like an early-season breakout stud after a huge Week 1 showing against Dallas and a 10-target outing in Week 2. Week 3 revealed severe volume concerns once Jameis Winston took over for a full contest. Likely managed only two catches for 13 yards on five targets. New York ran the ball on over 50% of plays this past week. Arizona is generous to tight ends, but don't fall for the trap. A low-volume passing game caps Likely to touchdown-or-bust territory. Bench him until this offense opens up.

Prediction: Giants 23, Cardinals 20 ^ Top

Patriots @ Bills - (Caron)
Line: BUF -7.0
Total: 49.5

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: QB Drake Maye

Maye was a true breakout fantasy superstar last season, which makes it difficult to completely give up on his ceiling this early in the year. He's also facing a very favorable matchup against a Buffalo defense that has really struggled to defend against opposing quarterbacks. The game environment could force a pass-heavy script since the Patriots are 6.5-point underdogs, but Maye's underlying metrics raise major red flags. Maye's turnover rate is absolutely crippling his floor and his lack of rushing hasn't been able to bail him out. Start him only if you believe his inherent talent and the generous defensive matchup can outweigh his disastrous early-season decision-making.

Fades: RB Rhamondre Stevenson, RB TreVeyon Henderson

This New England backfield has devolved into an inefficient, evenly split nightmare for fantasy managers. Stevenson turned seven carries into an ugly 22 rushing yards this past Sunday and he has now failed to reach 3.5 yards per carry in two of his first three games this season. Henderson wasn't any better as he gained just 23 yards on eight carries, completely erasing the momentum from his solid Week 2 debut.

Neither back is commanding enough volume to overcome the pathetic state of the New England offense. New England are scoring on a league-low 23 percent of their drives and Buffalo has been significantly better against the run than the pass. Avoid both Patriots running backs until one seizes the primary role or the offensive line steps up.

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen

Favorites: RB James Cook

Buffalo enters Week 4 as a heavy home favorite against an opponent that's been pathetic on offense themselves. New England has regularly given extra possessions to opposing offenses, turning the ball over repeatedly through the first three weeks of the season. That sets up an ideal game script for Buffalo to control the clock on the ground through running back James Cook.

Cook has dominated backfield snaps, staying on the field for roughly seventy percent of plays while staying efficient at an impressive six yards per attempt. He already has 346 rushing yards through three weeks, so there's plenty of reason to expect a heavy volume again. New England has a respectable front, but Cook has the explosive playmaking ability and guaranteed workload to be viewed as a solid RB1 this week.

On the Fence: WR D.J. Moore

Moore leads Buffalo wideouts with 18 targets, despite missing almost all of Week 2's contest. Normally that alone would make him a must-start for fantasy, but New England gives up very little through the air. They've given up just 377 yards to wide receivers through three contests and there's a chance that Buffalo builds an early lead in this one which could mean that passing volume dries up quickly in the second half. Moore has the individual talent to score anytime he touches the ball, but the nagging injuries and tough matchup against a highly talented group of corners creates a volatile fantasy situation.

Fades: TE Dalton Kincaid

It's tough to stomach benching a tight end who has 263 receiving yards over three games, but this might be the time to do it. Dalton Kincaid gets tough match up this week against New England who has been one of the stingiest defenses in football against tight ends, ranking 29th in fantasy points allowed to the position. They play physical coverage over the middle and surrender almost nothing after the catch while blitzing at a very high rate which causes tight ends to block more often than usual and run shorter routes as well. With Buffalo expected to lean on the ground game to protect Allen's sore knee, passing volume is not guaranteed. You might not have another great option that allows you to sit Kincaid, but don't count this being a high ceiling performance.

Prediction: Bills 27, Patriots 20 ^ Top

Jets @ Bears - (Green)
Line: CHI -4.0
Total: 43.5

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: WR Garrett Wilson

Favorites: RB Braelon Allen

As of this writing, it's still unofficial as to whether Breece Hall (quad) will be available on Sunday. Given that they called it a week-to-week injury -- not day-to-day -- I am thinking that Hall will at least miss Week 4. If he recovers quickly, feel free to disregard this. If not, I like what Allen brings to the table. The former University of Wisconsin star isn't on Saquon Barkley's level, but Barkley had good success against the Bears, which have allowed 133.3 combined yards per game to opposing backs. If Hall is inactive, most of the backfield touches figure to go to Allen. He offers good upside as an RB3/flex.

On the Fence: QB Geno Smith / TE Kenyon Sadiq

Ever since getting shredded by Bryce Young in Week 1, Chicago's defense has locked in and held their last two opponents to 16 points. The Jets, meanwhile, are coming off their best offensive performance of the year with Smith passing for 321 yards and 3 TDs, and Sadiq accounting for a 7-105-1 line. I could see this going either direction. I'm a bit concerned about a letdown after Monday night, which could help Smith and company move the ball this week. At the same time, it's not hard to envision the Jets trying to play physical to control the clock. I'd be more inclined the roll the dice on Sadiq, but both players have risk/reward potential.

Fades: N/A

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

Update: QB Tyson Bagent is expected to start.

No Brainers: RB D'Andre Swift (knee)

Favorites: WR Luther Burden III

While Kalif Raymond has surprised as the top receiver, Burden has been the only one of Chicago's highly touted young playmakers to perform well over the season's first three weeks. He was critical in setting the tone for the Bears' Monday night win over the Eagles, scoring the game's first touchdown and finishing with seven receptions, 68 combined yards, and a score. He's useable on the kind of quick-hitting routes that Ben Johnson calls to get Case Keenum (or Tyson Bagent) into rhythm. Burden belongs in your lineup as a WR3.

On the Fence: RB Kyle Monangai

Monday night was an emotional win. In Week 5, the Bears travel to Lambeau Field to face their biggest rival. In between, they host the Jets. This is the very definition of a trap game, and it makes me wonder if a more physical approach will be on tap versus New York -- for as well as Keenum played, he made some dicey throws that Philly failed to capitalize on. Swift has also been less effective the past two games after a monster opener, and the team is playing on short rest. This could be a week where more is asked of Monangai, who can be used as a flex.

Fades: WRs Rome Odunze / TE Colston Loveland

Odunze and Loveland both had opportunities to score touchdowns on Monday night. Both failed. For Loveland, he was dragged down just short of the goal line. For Odunze, he dropped a ball that most Pop Warner players would've hauled in. It marked the continuation of a rough start for the former first-round picks. Through three games, Odunze has an 8-139-0 line, while Loveland is stuck at 5-34-0. For a couple of players that made numerous breakout lists, September was a disappointing month. While it's too early to cut bait on either of them, I'd be hesitant to have them anywhere but my bench in Week 4.

Prediction: Bears 24, Jets 20 ^ Top

Cowboys @ Texans - (Woods)
Line: HOU -3.0
Total: 48.5

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: QB Dak Prescott, WR CeeDee Lamb, RB Javonte Williams

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR George Pickens

The production gap between Pickens and Lamb is bigger than the opportunity gap. Through three games, they're tied with a 23.8% target share in an offense throwing more than game situations would normally dictate.

Houston is the part that makes this uncomfortable. This isn't the matchup where I'm expecting the underlying usage to suddenly turn into a ceiling game, but I also don't want to overreact to three weeks of uneven production when Pickens is getting this much of the passing game. He's a volatile WR2/WR3 this week. If you're choosing between Pickens and another receiver with a similar role in a better matchup, that's where I'd lean away.

Fades: TE Jake Ferguson

The touchdown last week helped, but Ferguson still owns just a 10.5% target share through three games. That's difficult to trust when Lamb and Pickens are each commanding nearly a quarter of Dallas' targets and Ryan Flournoy has been more involved than Ferguson as well.

I'm not benching Ferguson for every streamer on the wire. Tight end gets ugly quickly. I'm just treating him as a touchdown-dependent option rather than assuming last week's score signals something bigger coming.

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: QB C.J. Stroud, RB David Montgomery

This is the first week I'm willing to go back to Stroud. Houston has scored only 23 points over its last two games, but those games came without Nico Collins and starting guard Ed Ingram. Both have practiced on a limited basis this week, and Dallas comes in 30th in total defense with only two sacks through three games.

Stroud hasn't given fantasy managers much reason to trust him yet. That's part of the appeal here. If Collins and Ingram return, the offense gets two important pieces back at the same time it draws the best passing matchup it has seen this season. I'm comfortable using Stroud as a QB1 streamer this week.

The Houston backfield isn't as close as it looked entering the season. Montgomery out-snapped Woody Marks 33-18 against Indianapolis and led him 13-6 in touches. He also has seven red-zone carries and three attempts inside the five through three games.

I'm not calling him a workhorse though as Marks is still involved. But, Montgomery has been getting the touches we care about most for fantasy, and Dallas has had problems stopping the run. He's a solid RB2/Flex this week with more touchdown equity than the raw backfield split might suggest.

On the Fence: WR Nico Collins (hamstring)

Collins remained limited Thursday after missing the last two games with a hamstring injury. That's enough progress to make a return look realistic, but not enough for me to ignore the possibility of a reduced workload or aggravation.

The matchup is excellent and Collins opened the season with seven catches for 75 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. If he gets through Friday cleanly, you're probably starting him. Until then, I'd keep him here rather than pretending the injury disappears because Dallas is on the other side.

Fades: TE Dalton Schultz

Schultz's Week 2 target explosion looks more like the exception than a new role. Houston expanded its use of multiple-tight-end personnel last week; Foster Moreau became more involved, and Schultz's opportunity took a step backward.

Now Collins could return and push another meaningful target back into the offense. Schultz can still score here, especially against Dallas, but I'm back to viewing him as a touchdown-dependent streamer rather than a tight end I'm actively trying to get into my lineup.

Prediction: Texans 27, Cowboys 24 ^ Top

Rams @ Eagles - (Caron)
Line: LAR -3.5
Total: 42.5

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: WR Davante Adams

Favorites: QB Matthew Stafford

The Rams' passing attack has been finding its rhythm even without superstar WR Puka Nacua and Matthew Stafford is in an excellent spot to shred a bad Philadelphia secondary. Los Angeles has thrown the ball heavily over the past weeks, including a whopping 55 attempts against Denver this past week. That volume should continue in this matchup as Stafford has had major success against zone coverages like Philadelphia's so far this season and really throughout his entire career. The Eagles just got done surrendering a huge passing day to journeyman Case Keenum this past week. Stafford is a viable starter with or without Puka.

On the Fence: RB Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams is a dependable player for fantasy managers so it's totally fine if you don't want to roll the dice on a more volatile option from your bench, but this specific matchup could be a difficult one for the Rams' RB.

Philadelphia's impressive defensive interior allows the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing backfields this season, forcing teams to beat them through the air. The Rams themselves have been fine doing that over the past two weeks, throwing the ball even more heavily than they normally do.

Williams has still delivered a solid floor, especially due to his six receptions for 70 yards against Denver this past week, but he isn't always that involved in the passing game. Add in the reality that Blake Corum is still active in the rotation, and this becomes a more risky fantasy situation than normal for Williams. You're probably not benching him unless you're truly stacked at RB, but Kyren isn't likely to win you your fantasy week in this matchup.

Fades: TE Tyler Higbee

Chasing points at tight end is a dangerous game, and trusting Tyler Higbee this week is a massive trap. The veteran tight end just delivered an unexpected spike performance, commanding 11 targets and finding the end zone against Denver, but don't expect a repeat of that this Sunday.

Philadelphia has been a nightmare matchup for the position so far this season, ranking dead last in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends through three weeks. As he has been throughout most of his career, Higbee is a low-upside option and you'd be better off finding a streaming alternative.

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: RB Saquon Barkley

Update: WR DeVonta Smith has been ruled Out.

Favorites: WR Dontayvion Wicks

The Injury bug has bitten Philadelphia's offense, opening up a serious opportunity for Wicks. With DeVonta Smith (hamstring) likely out and tight end Dallas Goedert still sidelined, the offense is currently without its top two receiving weapons. Wicks has already been functioning as a near-every-down player, but now he has the opportunity to be the first look on more passing plays. He showed off his explosive ceiling with a long touchdown catch in Week 1 and then showed that he can be more of a possession weapon when called upon by catching five passes for 76 yards in Week 2. He stumbled in Week 3 with just two catches on five targets, but this will be his first real opportunity to command significant volume in this Philadelphia offense. He's not a must-start player, but he's an upside WR2 which could be usable for plenty of managers.

On the Fence: QB Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts remains an every-week starter for most fantasy managers, but this matchup presents some concerns. Hurts' production has trended downward so far this season and now he is expected to be without both DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert against a Rams defense surrendering only 5.2 yards per pass attempt -- second-best in the league.

What continues to save Hurts, of course, is his rushing upside and automatic goal-line usage via the Tush Push. That play alone often saves him from completely tanking a fantasy lineup even if he struggles passing.

Fades: N/A

Prediction: Rams 24, Eagles 20 ^ Top

Packers @ Buccaneers - (Woods)
Line: GB -3.0
Total: 38.5

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: QB Jordan Love, WR Christian Watson

Favorites: WR Matthew Golden, TE Tucker Kraft

Golden's breakout last week wasn't just a touchdown showing up in the box score.

He ran 44 routes, drew 12 targets and finished with 100 yards. Through three games, he leads Green Bay with a 24.2% target share and owns 38.6% of the team's air yards. Christian Watson is producing more touchdowns, but Golden has quietly developed an alpha-level opportunity profile right alongside him.

Green Bay has been one of the more pass-heavy offenses in football, and Tampa Bay enters this game dealing with injuries throughout its defense. Golden is already past the point where I'm waiting for another game to prove the role is real. He's a strong WR2 this week.

Kraft hasn't given fantasy managers much yet, but he's still hanging around the part of the offense that gives him a chance to fix it.

He owns a 13.7% target share through three games and remains involved as a receiver despite Green Bay leaning heavily on Watson and Golden. What hasn't been there is the valuable stuff near the end zone.

That's obviously a problem, but it's also why the price on Kraft is so low entering a matchup with Tampa Bay. I'm willing to take another shot on the role before chasing a tight end who happened to score last week. He's a low-end TE1 with some bounce-back appeal.

On the Fence: RB Chris Brooks / RB Kaleb Johnson / RB MarShawn Lloyd

I'd rather avoid guessing here. Brooks led the backfield with 26 snaps last week, Johnson had 22 and Lloyd had 15. Johnson and Lloyd combined for eight carries and 17 yards, and Green Bay's offensive line is now dealing with multiple injuries.

There isn't enough volume or role certainty to feel good about any of them. Johnson and Lloyd remain bench holds in deeper formats, but I'm looking elsewhere for a Week 4 starter.

Fades: N/A

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: RB Bucky Irving, WR Emeka Egbuka

Bucky has been the most stable part of this offense, which matters quite a bit with Jalon Daniels making his first NFL start.

Irving has 40 carries for 180 yards through three games and is tied for the team lead with 13 receptions. Tampa now has every reason to simplify the game around him, whether that's through the run game or giving Daniels an easy outlet underneath.

The only reason he's here instead of Favorite is the glute injury. Irving has been limited both Wednesday and Thursday. If he gets through Friday without a setback, I'm starting him as an RB2.

The volume should still be there for Egbuka but the quality of it is what worries me.

Egbuka leads Tampa Bay with 141 receiving yards and is tied for the team lead with 13 catches. Chris Godwin returning to a full practice Thursday takes away some of the target-consolidation argument, and Baker Mayfield being out changes the entire passing environment.

I'm still starting Egbuka in most three-receiver formats, but the rookie quarterback makes him much harder to trust as anything more than a WR3.

Fades: WR Chris Godwin

Godwin's ankle improved enough for a full Thursday practice, so the injury isn't really the argument anymore. Jalon Daniels is.

Godwin was already fighting for targets in an offense with Egbuka and Irving heavily involved. Now Tampa is asking an undrafted rookie to make his first NFL start against Green Bay. Daniels may eventually be useful, but I'm not betting on enough passing volume or efficiency to support everybody immediately.

Godwin is a risky WR3/Flex this week. In shallow leagues with comparable alternatives, I'm sitting him.

Prediction: Packers 24, Buccaneers 17 ^ Top

Titans @ Ravens - (Green)
Line: BAL -11.5
Total: 42.5

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: RB Tony Pollard (ankle)

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WRs Carnell Tate and Wan'Dale Robinson

There hasn't been much to like about the Tennessee offense this season, and that includes the passing game. Tate (6-58-0) and Robinson (7-57-1) were at least decent this past Sunday, and I wonder what kind of juice the Ravens will bring into this matchup after an emotional win in Brazil. While Baltimore has a talented secondary, they've put up middling numbers, ranking 20th in fantasy points to opposing wideouts. There should be some opportunities for the Titans' top wideouts to make plays, though neither player carries more than flex value into this matchup.

Fades: QB Cam Ward

Unless your league awards bonus points for death threats issued to the player's immediate family, there's precious little reason to even consider Ward. Last year's No. 1 pick continues to post almost nonexistent numbers from one week to the next, having not even reached the 200-yard mark in a game. He doesn't add any value with his legs, either. Ward's saving grace from an NFL perspective is that he doesn't turn the ball over, but until he starts slinging the ball around, he's not even worth carrying on a roster much less inserting him into a weekly lineup.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: QB Lamar Jackson, RB Derrick Henry, WR Zay Flowers (hamstring)

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: TE Mark Andrews

Andrews had decent numbers in the first two games, though it would've been a stretch to consider his production TE1 worthy. His output dipped in Week 3 (3-24-0) and now he finds himself staring down the barrel of a tough matchup with the Titans, who have allowed the fewest receiving yards to tight ends this season by far -- the second-ranked Rams have given up 72 yards compared to Tennessee's 48. Andrews does operate as the de facto No. 2 target in Baltimore's offense, so there's also a shot at playable value, but this is one week I'd look to avoid him if you can.

Fades: WR Rashod Bateman

With Flowers back, Bateman returned to obscurity in Week 3, catching just two passes for 37 yards. This is simply a PSA to remind you to make sure the former first-round pick is out of your lineup, if not off your roster completely.

Prediction: Ravens 23, Titans 14 ^ Top

Jaguars @ Bengals - (Green)
Line: CIN -3.0
Total: 51.5

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: RB Bhayshul Tuten, WR Parker Washington

Favorites: QB Trevor Lawrence

Lawrence has sandwiched two strong showings around a disappointing outing in Denver, passing for a combined seven TDs in Weeks 1 and 3. Of course, things should have been even better for fantasy owners had he not inexplicably taken a knee rather than scoring a touchdown with more than eight minutes left in the fourth quarter. Based on that, it feels like he owes fantasy owners one. He could start to pay it off this weekend. The Bengals are tied for the third-most passing yards allowed this season, and they managed to breathe life into a dormant Steelers air attack last Sunday. Cincy has done a good job in the red zone, giving up just three touchdown strikes, but that seems unsustainable. Lawrence is playable as a midrange QB1.

On the Fence: WR Jakobi Meyers (thumb)

Meyers led the way in Week 3, catching seven passes for 64 yards and a touchdown on eight targets. He scored in Week 1 as well, though he managed just 68 yards combined over the first two games. The veteran is clearly behind Washington in the pecking order, but he's been efficient, catching all but one of his 11 targets this season. It's a matter of opportunity with Meyers, who averaged 6.7 targets per game after being acquired from the Raiders last season. Facing a middling Bengals pass defense, Meyers has potential from your flex.

Fades: WR Brian Thomas Jr.

Much was made about Thomas' rededication during the offseason after a disappointing sophomore campaign. Thus far, it hasn't paid off. Thomas was targeted a dozen times over the first two games, resulting in just six catches for 80 yards. This past Sunday, Thomas caught his lone target for eight yards. It's certainly possible the former first-round pick works his way back into Lawrence's good graces, but given how little he's produced in three games there's no reason to trust him with a spot in your lineup.

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: QB Joe Burrow, RB Chase Brown, WR Ja'Marr Chase, WR Tee Higgins

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: N/A

Fades: TE Mike Gesicki

After a 5-78-1 effort in Week 1, Gesicki wasn't even targeted in Week 2. He rebounded to some extent last weekend, catching three passes for 37 yards and a score. While you can't simply dismiss two touchdowns in a three-week span, Gesicki's week-to-week usage is unpredictable, and his ceiling is generally too modest to offset his low floor. Houston hasn't allowed a touchdown to tight ends this season, making Gesicki a poor bet to deliver playable value.

Prediction: Jaguars 30, Bengals 24 ^ Top

Dolphins @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -9.5
Total: 38.5

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: WR Malik Washington

On balance, I don't really like anyone against a Vikings defense that has made life difficult on far more talented groups throughout September. Still, Miami is going to gain some yards and players are going to catch passes. While over the long term I prefer wideouts like Caleb Douglas (ankle) and Chris Bell, Washington is the most reliable pass catcher at this moment. His 23 targets are 11 more than anyone else on the roster, and he comfortably leads the club in receptions (12) and yards (152). He's someone you could utilize as a flex.

On the Fence: RBs Ollie Gordon II and Jaylen Wright (foot)

With De'Von Achane (knee) lost for the season, the running back duties will fall to Wright and Gordon. In which order is the question. When all three backs have been healthy, Wright has typically worked ahead of Gordon as Achane's direct backup. Wright missed Week 3 due to a foot injury and a stinger, though, so it's unclear what his status will be. Even if he's active, can he shoulder a full load? If not, then Gordon should be the primary ball carrier. He stepped in for Achane last Sunday and logged 20 touches. Granted, he only turned that into 55 yards, but he did score a touchdown, and anytime you're getting that level of involvement you carry value. Keep an eye on the injury report, but regardless of status, neither back is better than a risky flex.

Fades: QB Malik Willis

Minnesota's defense wore down Jordan Love, stifled Caleb Willliams, and never let Baker Mayfield get going. Williams and Mayfield were unable to finish their games. Willis is an elusive quarterback to be sure, but with Achane gone, this offense is short on playmakers. The former Packer hasn't done much to endear himself to fantasy owners so far, and I doubt he'll start in Week 4.

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

Update: WR Justin Jefferson has been ruled Out.

No Brainers: RB Aaron Jones, WR Justin Jefferson (ankle)

Favorites: WR Jordan Addison

For the third time in as many weeks, the Vikings offense was not good. Despite an undefeated record, Minnesota ranks dead last with just 238.3 yards per game. The lone bright spot in Tampa Bay was Addison, who caught five passes for 90 yards and a touchdown. An early departure from Jefferson, who injured his ankle, was certainly a factor, but after he caught just two passes for 21 yards in the first two games fantasy owners should take what they can get. Miami has done a nice job limiting opposing wideouts, so this has more to do with the possibility that Jefferson sits in Week 4 than a plus matchup. If Jefferson appears ready to go without restriction, go ahead and leave Addison on the bench. If not, the USC alum has some appeal from your WR3/flex spot.

On the Fence: QB Kyler Murray

Murray looked very much like a quarterback that hadn't played much football over the last year when he completed just 15 passes for 168 yards in Week 3. Given that he was coming off a concussion suffered early in Week 1 (and played much of the afternoon without Jefferson), we can afford him some grace. We'll see if things look any better versus Miami. The Dolphins rank 24th in fantasy points allowed to QBs, in large because of the seven TD passes they've given up. There's definite upside for Murray, though considering he hasn't done anything in 2026, there's also sizable risk.

Fades: N/A

Prediction: Vikings 23, Dolphins 10 ^ Top

Chiefs @ Raiders - (Fessel)
Line: KC -4.5
Total: 47.5

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: RB Kenneth Walker

Favorites: QB Patrick Mahomes, WR Rashee Rice, TE Travis Kelce

Averaging 23.5 FPts/G through the first three games, Patrick Mahomes hasn't missed a beat despite suffering an ACL tear that shortened his 2025 season. The Raiders have allowed 20.1 FPts/G to opposing QBs, although Malik Willis and struggling Justin Herbert make up two of their three opponents. Mahomes scored 26.2 FPts against Las Vegas last year, making another top-five performance a reasonable expectation.

Rashee Rice's production has caused some concern among managers who drafted him this summer. He hasn't dominated to start the season (10.5 FPts/G), but he scored in the opener and has topped 80 receiving yards in each of the last two games. His nine targets last week should help ease some of those concerns. He's just one target behind Walker and Kelce for the team lead, remains an elite red-zone target and should be in all lineups. He's on the WR1/2 fringe this week.

Travis Kelce has already had a pair of 40-plus-yard receptions this season after managing just one over the previous two years. The presence of Walker as a rushing threat appears to be opening up opportunities for Kelce.

Kelce is averaging 6.0 targets per game, tied for eighth among tight ends and his lowest mark since his first full season. That's a continuation of the downward trend from 6.3 TGTS/G last year.

Kelce isn't likely to lead the team in targets when the season ends, but he's benefiting from the attention being paid to the running game. Las Vegas was shredded by New Orleans' tight ends last week, allowing Juwan Johnson and Noah Fant to score twice each. Kelce is an easy start.

On the Fence: N/A

Fades: WR Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy has caught 10 passes and scored a touchdown through three weeks, but has managed just 67 yards on 15 targets. More curious is that he hasn't handled a single rush, despite averaging 6.2 yards per carry with three rushing touchdowns on 31 career attempts.

It's too early to assume the Chiefs have abandoned that part of his game, especially given his success on sweeps. But in an offense that is also getting the running back heavily involved, Worthy needs all the touch opportunities he can get.

The Raiders haven't been beaten by many receivers to start the season, although they've faced a relatively light group of wideouts. This isn't an elite matchup, and with Worthy competing for targets with Rice and Kelce, he's best left on the bench this week.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

No Brainers: TE Brock Bowers

Favorites: RB Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty draws a Chiefs defense that hasn't been as effective against the run this year as it has in previous seasons. Kansas City surrendered a pair of rushing touchdowns to Jonathan Taylor two weeks ago and another to Miami's Ollie Gordon last week. The Chiefs have also allowed at least three receptions to an opposing back in each of the first three games.

Jeanty ranks 10th in FPts/G among running backs (16.3). While his rushing production is off to a slow start (3.2 YDS/RUSH, zero touchdowns), he already has 13 receptions, two of which have gone for scores.

Averaging a whopping 25.3 touches per game, Jeanty is a low-end RB1 against Kansas City.

On the Fence: N/A

Fades: QB Kirk Cousins, WR Tre Tucker

On the surface, it's difficult to sit a quarterback who has thrown three touchdowns in three straight games. But Kirk Cousins hasn't produced sustainable passing volume, averaging just 31 attempts per game, and offers virtually no rushing value (-2 yards).

What Cousins has done while Brock Bowers has been available for just one game is impressive, but even with Bowers healthy, the receiving corps is otherwise thin. Kansas City hasn't allowed an opposing QB to score more than 14 FPts, with Bo Nix's 9.4 FPts representing the high-profile example.

Tre Tucker has also gotten off to a solid start, with 189 yards and a touchdown on 15 targets. But there's little reason to expect that production to continue, particularly against rookie cornerback Mansoor Delane and a Kansas City defense that has allowed no receiving touchdowns and the fewest FPts to opposing wideouts.

After a favorable opening stretch, the Raiders' schedule becomes significantly more difficult over the next two months. Fantasy managers should be cautious about chasing the early production from Cousins or Tucker.

Prediction: Chiefs 24, Raiders 17 ^ Top

Chargers @ Seahawks - (Fessel)
Line: SEA -7.0
Total: 42.5

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton is one of the names frequently mentioned among panicked fantasy football managers early this season. Hampton has been hampered by the Chargers' painfully slow start on offense (just 14.7 PPG) and has also been sloppy with the football (2 fumbles), but he's still handling 16.7 rushes/game despite a ton of negative game script.

His lack of volume in the passing game is a little concerning (just 3 targets, thus far), but Keaton Mitchell being seen in a boot this week could help Hampton see some positive regression.

The bad news is that the Seahawks are hosting the Chargers, and they've continued right where they left off against running backs in 2025, allowing under 3 yards/rush in the early going. Still, volume is king, or at least a prince, and that makes Hampton an RB2 this weekend.

On the Fence: WR Ladd McConkey (foot), WR Quentin Johnston, TE Oronde Gadsden

Wide receiver Ladd McConkey did not practice Thursday, leaving his status for this weekend in considerable doubt. Coming into the week, Ladd was ranked as WR27 (10.1 FPts/G), seeing just 15 targets thus far. McConkey has yet to become the target monster that many anticipated he would become after a strong rookie year (12.4 FPts/G). It's kept him more in Flex territory than WR2, let alone WR1, territory for the past year-plus. Against the Seahawks, if he can hit the field, a Flex is all he should be considered.

If he's unable to play, WR Quentin Johnston will likely see a boost in target attention. Johnston leads the team in targets (17), as it is, thus far. Yet he's converted them into just 6-64-0.

Johnston, who's been most effective when the Chargers are seeing a lot of red-zone opportunities, doesn't catch a break this week against Seattle. But he has some Flex value if he steps into the team's WR1 role this weekend.

Gadsden could also benefit from a boost in targets should McConkey indeed miss this weekend. Gadsden already seemed in line for a boost after TEs David Njoku and Charlie Kolar went on IR a week ago, but he produced a goose egg on 3 targets versus Buffalo.

Gadsden has just 7 targets (4-50-1) through three games, so his fringe TE1 status this weekend is largely dependent on the Chargers being down another receiving weapon around him.

Fades: QB Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert and the Chargers had a lot of buzz in many circles this summer, but the buzz has quickly died and turned into a whole lot of stunned silence. Herbert has been wildly inaccurate, being On Target for just 67% of his passes. Those are similar numbers to 2025's Shedeur Sanders, to put that in context.

It's hard to imagine that Herbert's accuracy and all-around play won't make at least some strides in the coming weeks, but it's a tall task to ask for it against the Seahawks, especially with McConkey hampered and possibly out. It's best to find an alternative at QB this weekend.

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

No Brainers: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: RB Emanuel Wilson

With Jadarian Price struggling with both injury issues and fumbles to start his career, a door has opened for Emanuel Wilson to at least temporarily lead the backfield. In Week 2, he handled 21 rushes (92 yards), and led the team last week, as well, though that total dipped to 9 rushes (and only 14 yards). Wilson hasn't really been involved in the passing game, thus far (just 1 target), though that could change this weekend if Price is out.

The Chargers have hardly been stellar against the run, thus far, though that was mostly due to James Cook (154 yards and a score) last week. They held Arizona's backfield to under 4 YDS/Rush in Week 1 and Las Vegas to under 3 YDS/Rush in Week 2.

There's some uncertainty around the Seahawks backfield right now, and plenty of uncertainty as to whether the Chargers are going to soon kick into gear. But if Jadarian Price is out, Emanuel Wilson should see the bulk of the opportunities and, in that event, can be viewed as a low-end RB2. Otherwise, he's a very risky Flex most suitable for deeper leagues.

Update: RB Jadarian Price has been ruled Out.

Fades: RB Jadarian Price (chest)

Even if Jadarian Price suits up this weekend, which is becoming increasingly less likely after he missed practice Thursday, there's no guarantee he'll stay healthy or play cleanly enough to see more than the mere 36% of snaps he's "enjoyed" thus far.

For the moment, being this banged up means that the risk of him limping off the field or being benched for fumbling is just too great when a trusty veteran is waiting in the wings. There should be better days ahead, but it might be best to let this backfield get its feet under it before counting on Price.

Prediction: Seahawks 26, Chargers 19 ^ Top

Broncos @ 49ers - (Fessel)
Line: SF -2.5
Total: 47.5

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: WR Jaylen Waddle, RB RJ Harvey

Jaylen Waddle has been hot-and-cold so far this year, producing just 2-10-0 after going for 8-138-0 the week before. The Rams secondary is a particularly tough challenge, of course, and Waddle still had 7 targets. He also leads the Broncos with 20 targets on the season.

The 49ers defense surrendered 20.4 FPts to Arizona WR Michael Wilson last week and allowed a 77-yard touchdown to Miami WR Ryan Miller the week before, so they have been far from a steel trap, thus far. With Waddle remaining Nix's best bet, he's a low-end WR2 this week.

Running back RJ Harvey has totaled 10 receptions in the two games he's been healthy, but he's been barely involved as a rusher (5-24-0). Still, the 49ers have struggled to stop opposing backs from catching passes, including allowing Jeremiah Love (5 receptions) and Tyler Allgeier (4 receptions) to be busy in the passing game last week.

Sean Payton and company may look to get Harvey on the field for extra snaps this week to try to exploit this. That opens a window for Harvey to enjoy increased involvement in the running game, too. Harvey is a solid Flex option with RB2 upside versus the 49ers.

On the Fence: QB Bo Nix, WR Courtland Sutton

Quarterback Bo Nix fared better in Week 3, passing for 2 touchdowns and rushing for another, while adding a pair of 2-point conversions along the way. Still, he struggled with accuracy once more, completing just half his passes on the day (186 yards). Nix also threw his third pick in as many games.

The Niners won't likely make things easier. They are allowing under 6 yards/pass thus far, and while Jacoby Brissett had a good fantasy day against them (25.6 FPts), it took him 52 passes to do so. Nix is only averaging 31 PA/G to start the year, and while that number may pick up for the third-year QB – especially after leading the league in pass attempts last year – his inconsistency and the matchup put him on the fence, more fairly as a high-end QB2 than a QB1.

Alarmingly, Bo Nix has thrown all 3 of his interceptions when trying to get the ball to 31-year-old Courtland Sutton. A lack of target separation may be part of the issue – Sutton is getting just 0.75 yards of separation, thus far, according to Player Profiler. It may be fair to wonder whether Sutton's age is catching up to him. For the moment, the veteran wide receiver is a risky Flex versus San Francisco.

Fades: TE Evan Engram

After a solid opener (4-50-1), TE Evan Engram has since recorded just 1 receiving yard on 3 targets. Since joining Denver, Engram has averaged just 27.4 receiving yards/game. He's off the fantasy radar.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: RB Christian McCaffrey, TE George Kittle

Favorites: QB Brock Purdy

With how big a fantasy producer Brock Purdy has been since the start of his truncated 2025 campaign, he arguably could be a No Brainer this week. But, alas, the Broncos defense is coming to town.

Still, Purdy has not been sacked through three games, getting rid of the ball far quicker than ever before (just 2.3 seconds in the pocket) and with incredible precision (89% On Target Rate). The bump in accuracy may not be entirely sustainable, but it's arguably not a fluke – Purdy was On Target on 82% of his passes in 9 starts last year.

Even versus Denver's defense, armed with a healthy-looking George Kittle, Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel, Purdy is a must-start.

On the Fence: WR Deebo Samuel, WR Mike Evans (ribs)

Wide receiver Deebo Samuel had one of the strangest games a week ago. He managed 80 receiving yards and a score without being targeted for the entire game. The yardage came on the back (and long) end of a successful hook-and-ladder play. Samuel also added 14 rushing yards, as his reunion with the 49ers has renewed Shanahan's creative use of the veteran.

Teammate and fellow WR Mike Evans played through a hip injury last week, seeing 6 targets (3-34-1). Evans is a very risky play if he does hit the field this weekend, considering the difficulty of the Broncos secondary and the fact that he could leave the game with an injury.

Evans' nearly unmatched red-zone chops make him an upside Flex option in deeper leagues, though, if he plays. Deebo Samuel would see a boost from a Flex option to a low-end WR2 if Evans is out.

Fades: N/A

Prediction: 49ers 24, Broncos 20 ^ Top

Lions @ Panthers - (Woods)
Line: DET -4.0
Total: 51.5

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: QB Jared Goff, RB Jahmyr Gibbs, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Favorites: WR Jameson Williams

Williams' snap share slipped to 82% last week as Detroit worked Isaac TeSlaa into more packages. I'm watching that, but 82% is still a starter's workload and this is about as good a matchup as you can draw for Williams' specific skill set.

Carolina just placed both starting corners, Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson, on injured reserve. That's a major problem against a receiver whose fantasy ceiling is built around creating explosive plays on the perimeter.

I'm not worried enough about one week of personnel rotation to move off Williams here. He's a strong WR2 with legitimate ceiling.

On the Fence: N/A

Fades: N/A

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: RB Chuba Hubbard

Favorites: WR Tetairoa McMillan

This is probably my favorite buy-low spot of the week. McMillan gave fantasy managers two catches for 17 yards against Cleveland. Meanwhile, he played 73 of Carolina's 77 offensive snaps. Through three games he still leads the Panthers with a 19% target share, and the offense has consistently given him opportunities downfield and near the end zone.

Now the game environment changes completely. Detroit can score, Carolina has been playing fast, and the Panthers may have to throw throughout the second half.

I'm following the role instead of the 2-17 line last week. McMillan is a WR2 for me this week with considerably more upside than last Sunday's box score suggests.

Update: WR Jalen Coker is not expected to play.

On the Fence: QB Bryce Young, WR Jalen Coker (quad)

Young has thrown for 939 yards and seven touchdowns through three games. Normally that would make this pretty easy.

The problem is what's happening around him. Carolina could be missing starting offensive linemen, and Jalen Coker and Xavier Legette are both dealing with injuries. Coker did improve to a limited practice Thursday, which helps.

The 50-plus point game total gives Young plenty of ceiling, especially if Detroit forces Carolina to keep throwing. The protection concerns keep me from calling him a Favorite. He's a viable QB1 streamer, but I'd rather use him for upside than floor.

Coker going from a Wednesday DNP to a limited Thursday practice keeps him alive for me.
Before hurting his quad, Coker had emerged as one of Bryce Young's most important receivers. His Week 3 snap count cratered because he left injured, not because Carolina reduced his role.

Friday matters. If Coker practices again and avoids a concerning designation, I still like him as a deeper WR3/Flex in a game that could generate plenty of passing volume. Another setback moves him right back to the bench.

Fades: N/A

I'm not manufacturing a Detroit or Carolina Fade just to fill the category. There are too many usable roles in a game carrying one of the highest totals of the week.

Prediction: Lions 31, Panthers 27 ^ Top

Falcons @ Saints - (Woods)
Line: NO -1.5
Total: 47.5

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

No Brainers: RB Bijan Robinson, WR Drake London

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: QB Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta looked like a completely different offense when Penix returned last week. He completed 18-of-25 passes for 256 yards and a touchdown while the Falcons finally generated the explosive plays that were missing during the first two weeks.

New Orleans doesn't scare me enough to avoid the matchup, and having Bijan Robinson and Drake London handling such massive portions of the offense gives Penix a pretty clean path to production.

He's not suddenly an every-week QB1, especially in an offense that still wants to run the ball. But he's a legitimate streamer in deeper one-QB leagues and very playable in Superflex.

Fades: TE Kyle Pitts

This one has almost nothing to do with New Orleans. Pitts owns just a 7.6% target share through three games. Atlanta continues using multiple tight ends, and even with Penix returning and the offense finally getting rolling last week, Pitts caught one pass for five yards.

That's the part I can't ignore. The offense worked and his role still didn't expand.

Pitts can always turn one play into a touchdown because he's Kyle Pitts. Fantasy managers have been living on that sentence for a while now. Until the targets and routes give us a reason to expect more, he's a touchdown-dependent streamer rather than an automatic TE1.

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: WR Chris Olave

Favorites: QB Tyler Shough

The Saints are giving Shough enough volume to matter. New Orleans is running more than 73 plays per game, the highest mark in the league, and Shough just threw for 255 yards and four touchdowns against Las Vegas. The turnovers hurt the Saints, but fantasy managers don't need perfect quarterback play if the attempts and scoring opportunities stay this high.

Atlanta has been far easier to attack through the air than on the ground, which lines up with what New Orleans already wants to do. Shough is one of my preferred streaming quarterbacks this week and a clear Superflex start.

On the Fence: RB Alvin Kamara

Travis Etienne going on injured reserve makes Kamara more interesting. I don't think it automatically makes him a workhorse again.

Before Etienne went down, Kamara had accounted for only 28% of the Saints' running back touches. After the injury last week, New Orleans still mixed in Kendre Miller, and rookie C.J. Donaldson received the backfield's lone touch inside the 10.

Now they draw an Atlanta defense allowing only 3.1 yards per carry to running backs.
Kamara should see more work because there is simply less competition available. I'm just not jumping all the way to RB2 based on Etienne's absence alone. He's an RB3/Flex in PPR formats until we see how much of the vacated role actually becomes his.

Fades: N/A

Prediction: Saints 27, Falcons 24 ^ Top