12/5/06  
               
                
              
                 
                   
                       
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              Targeting weekly waiver picks is a completely subjective business, 
              but this column hopes to point out some obvious and not-so-obvious 
              selections that will help your team from week to week while you 
              strive to collect fantasy wins, reach your league playoffs, and 
              win the elusive title that your friends say is out of your grasp. 
              While I’m just as big a proponent of making trades to bolster 
              your roster, the waiver wire can be an almost limitless resource 
              when it comes to discovering fantasy value in strange places. Each 
              week, I’ll target players that may be available in shallow 
              leagues – sometimes just breakout stars that eluded your team’s 
              draft – as well as players who can help your squad that will 
              still be available in most deeper leagues.
              Off The Top 
              Jason Campbell, WAS – 
                Because he’s still out there in a lot of leagues, I gotta 
                bring him back. After a few solid weeks, and taking into account 
                his favorable matchups the next few weeks (PHI, @ NO, @STL, NYG) 
                he’s well worth a roster spot. I’ve got him, Vince 
                Young and Steve McNair at QB in a 12-team league where I’m 
                solid at RB (Steven Jackson, Ladell Betts) and stocked at WR (TO, 
                Housh, Evans). I’m going to look carefully at the matchups 
                down the stretch to make the best decision, because it does boil 
                down to matchups with that caliber of quarterback. You may be 
                in a position to do the same. 
                 
               
              Digging Deeper 
              Chad Pennington, NYJ – 
                Available in plenty of leagues and getting it done. His matchups 
                are modest the next few weeks, but he’s shown solid rapport 
                with Jerricho Cotchery and increasing attention on bombs to long 
                bombs to Laveranues Coles. I just wish they didn’t have 
                so many looks at RB, where they’ve been doing much of the 
                heavy lifting with the running game. His performances the last 
                couple of weeks aren’t a mandate for future fantasy success, 
                but he’s a veteran QB that could be reliable in at least 
                one of the next three matchups, which include two division rivalries 
                (BUF, @ MIN, @ MIA). 
                 
               
              Scouring The Barrel 
              Derek Anderson, CLE – 
                I’d go into a long diatribe about this guy if I knew a lot 
                about him. But here’s what I do know. He pulled a Sage Rosenfels 
                (remember that game against Tennessee this season when Sage went 
                nuts?) but went a step further by actually WINNING the game. He’s 
                6’6” and he rushed for 44 yards on just two carries 
                on Sunday, including a 33-yard scramble in OT to set up the game-winning 
                FG. He’s from Portland and shares his name with a former 
                Trailblazers guard. He faces the Steelers Thursday night if Charlie 
                Brown, errr, I mean Frye, can’t go due to the wrist injury 
                that led to Anderson’s appearance. The Steelers love to 
                blitz, and blitz often and Anderson will either crumble or flourish 
                under that type of pressure. If you honestly believe the Browns 
                line and backfield can pick up those blitzes, go ahead and take 
                a shot on Anderson. He could be one of the All-time sleepers in 
                NFL history. But with your fantasy season on the line, I truly 
                hope you can come up with something better. 
                 
                Updates: 
              Vince Young, TEN – He 
                really looked solid in that win over the Colts, and the fact that 
                he doesn’t make too many mistakes (I’ll forgive 1-2 
                INTs in a week with 78 rushing yards and two passing TDs) increases 
                his fantasy stock. I’ve been following his development closely 
                since I’ve had him on my team since Week 8, when I played 
                him for the first time against Houston and he got me 20. I was 
                ready to play him again in Week 14 against the Texans until I 
                realized that my first place finish in my division had garnered 
                me a first round bye. Oh well – can’t complain about 
                that. The next decent opportunity to play Young will be Week 16 
                @ BUF. 
              Brad Johnson, MIN – Where 
                do I start? As useless as he’s been, I’m obligated 
                to remind you once again his next three games are: @ DET, NYJ 
                and @GB. Now let me say that he was pulled after throwing four 
                TDs on Sunday, his backup (the much-maligned Brooks Bollinger) 
                showed up for practice Monday with his left arm in a sling after 
                spraining his non-throwing shoulder following a hit by Adewale 
                Ogunleye in the Chicago game, and the third-stringer for the Vikes 
                is an untested rookie out of Division I-AA Alabama State named 
                Tarvaris Jackson who looked like a gazelle staring down a pack 
                of wild hyenas in his NFL debut – a nondescript 3-for-4, 
                35-yard performance in which he lost a fumble. I’m not making 
                this stuff up. And if Johnson’s still on your roster, go 
                grab your shinebox. 
              Matt Leinart, ARI – Not 
                bad, not great as of late. I don’t like the matchup versus 
                Seattle on Sunday or the next week against Denver, but Week 16 
                @SF could be decent, since only four teams have given up more 
                passing TDs on the year, and the 49ers TD-allowed-to-INT-snagged 
                ratio is 2:1. 
              Jay Cutler, DEN – Cutler 
                was 10-of-21 passing for 143 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs in the loss 
                to Seattle. Not great, but his next three weeks are @SDG @ARI, 
                CIN – good matchups and a chance for Cutler to redeem himself. 
              Jeff Garcia, PHI – Figured 
                I’d throw in another update on Garcia. His performance on 
                Monday night was proof once again that Philly fans don’t 
                know a thing about football. The guys played his guts out and 
                how did the Philly faithful reward him? With boos. Nice. I hope 
                they all were facing Garcia in their fantasy leagues and got burned 
                by his big game. 
                 
               
              
              Off The Top 
              Marion Barber III, DAL – 
                With 10 TDs on the season, he’s emerged as the better fantasy 
                option at RB in Dallas. But he’s still out there in some 
                leagues, and his carries have gone up every week, especially since 
                Dallas started their run. I don’t care how shallow your 
                league is, if Barber’s available, he should be owned. 
              DeAngelo Williams, CAR – 
                Another guy that shouldn’t still be available in most leagues, 
                Williams was solid Monday night albeit against a very questionable 
                rush defense. He’s the man now in Carolina, so I’d 
                make sure he was on my roster if I had that option. 
                 
               
              Digging Deeper 
              Cedric Benson, CHI – 
                He was the probable starter in the off-season but got in the doghouse 
                before the season even started. Cedric is just as talented as 
                Thomas Jones, probably even more talented. And while he’s 
                done little to establish himself as bona fide, he does have 106 
                yards and two scores on just 19 carries during the last two weeks. 
                With both Grossman and Thomas Jones struggling, he might be looking 
                at more carries and more scoring opportunities as the Bears try 
                to grind out some wins to close the season in contests that will 
                probably favor a heavy dose of Chicago’s running game – 
                @STL, TB, @ DET. 
              Jerious Norwood, ATL – 
                His knee injury in mid-November probably resulted in him being 
                dropped in a lot of leagues. But since coming back in Week 12, 
                he’s got 161 rushing yards on just 22 carries, including 
                a 69-yard TD blast last week. Dunn got poked in the eye, so I’m 
                not sure of Jerious Norwood’s depth chart status. But I 
                can say it’s better than Scott Norwood’s. 
                 
               
              Scouring The Barrel 
              Cedric Houston, NYJ – 
                Hard to tell from week to week who’s going to be Mangini’s 
                boy, isn’t it? Houston might be the most dynamic of the 
                backs in the offense with everybody healthy, as was evidenced 
                by his 105-yard, two-TD performance Sunday. But temper your enthusiasm 
                for Houston with the knowledge that his carries are split with 
                two other backs and that his matchups from here on out aren’t 
                favorable at all. 
              Ron Dayne, HOU – I will 
                never trust him again. I don’t care if he hits 100 yards 
                next week, either. He’s burned too many owners too many 
                times, he doesn’t score TDs, he plays on a crappy team, 
                and he’s still fat and slow. 
                 
                Updates: 
              Joseph Addai, IND – If 
                you hadn’t noticed by now, Addai didn’t put up four 
                scores again last week. I believe it’s safe to assume that 
                the 45-point performance from Week 12 was more due to the fact 
                they played the Eagles (who have been getting torn up by opposing 
                RBs) than anything else. 
              Wali Lundy, HOU – Still 
                the starter, but just a serviceable #3 and a poor #2 with Ron 
                Dayne’s 95-yard performance on Sunday. This week, Lundy 
                and the Texans face Tennessee – whose defense has been getting 
                much better at stopping the run. 
              Sammy Morris, MIA – Please 
                tell me you won’t start Sammy. Nothing against him, it’s 
                just not the respectable thing to do. When the Dolphins get it 
                done, they get it done through the air now. 
                 
               
              
              Off The Top 
              Marty Booker, MIA – He’s 
                ranked as the 30th best WR in my 10-team home league (points-per-reception 
                are given in that one) but there haven’t been any takers. 
                I guess everybody’s still waiting for Chris Chambers and 
                Randy McMichael to blow up and neutralize his numbers. Don’t 
                make the same mistake. Booker is a favorite target of Harrington’s 
                (maybe because they’re both old NFC Central guys) and he’s 
                taken over as the touchdown-producer in that offense. Compare 
                the Booker-Chambers WR situation in Miami to the Barber-Jones 
                RB situation in Dallas. That’s kind of how it’s panned 
                out. 
                 
               
              Digging Deeper 
              Michael Jenkins, ATL – 
                He’s got a good matchup next week and he’s been more 
                consistent since the Falcons started losing. He’s also got 
                three TDs in his last four weeks, so take a shot at him for your 
                #3 WR slot if you don’t have any better options. 
                 
               
              Scouring The Barrel 
              TE Steve Heiden, CLE – 
                This is from the “If you score 2 TDs in one week, you get 
                my attention” section of my new book, The Flawed Logic Chronicles. 
                Actually, I’ve been working on that one for years and it 
                has yet to turn the heads of any publishers. Here’s the 
                scoop: you could do a lot worse at TE right now, since there’s 
                only a few guys putting up serviceable numbers, but the 2-TD thing 
                ain’t gonna happen every week. 
                 
                Updates: 
              WR Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ – 
                Another big week from a guy that I liked from the git-go. If you 
                took our advice and grabbed him early, you’ve been reaping 
                the awards all year. 
              WR Bernard Berrian, CHI – 
                Grossman’s sudden case of brain diarrhea has all but nullified 
                Berrian’s big-play capability. The next few matchups bode 
                well for the Chicago receivers, but only if Grossman stops being 
                so gross. 
              WR Kevin Curtis, STL – 
                The 57th-ranked WR, it’s nearly impossible to tell when 
                and if Curtis will have a decent game as a #3 WR. So I’d 
                pull him from your radar in the closing weeks because he just 
                doesn’t perform consistently. 
              WR Marcus Robinson, MIN – 
                He was 5-37-0 on Sunday after being limited in practice all week 
                with a tweaked ankle. I’ve discussed with you already how 
                he’s got some nice matchups coming up, but the uncertainty 
                at the Vikings QB slot just doesn’t inspire too much confidence. 
              TE Bo Scaife, TEN – He’s 
                not 100 percent and he’s facing a Texans team that shuts 
                down opposing TEs. Find another guy. 
                 
               
              
              Off The Top 
              LB DeMeco Ryans, HOU – 
                I listed him on the wire when the season started, and those of 
                you who took advantage were probably pretty happy with his 15 
                tackles, INT, FR, sack and 3 PDs against Oakland, a performance 
                that vaulted him into the third-best LB spot in IDP. Not sure 
                if he’s available out there on any of your IDP wires anymore, 
                but if he is, don’t hesitate. 
              DB Antoine Winfield, MIN – 
                Rated as the 9th-best DB in IDP land, Winfield makes solid plays 
                in a weak secondary that see slots of action because teams don’t 
                even bother running into that front seven. This week, he’s 
                got a good chance at an INT facing Kitna and the Lions. If he’s 
                still out there, scoop him up. 
                 
               
              Digging Deeper 
              LB Mike Vrabel, NE – 
                My sincere apologies for not including Vrabel last week in this 
                slot. I’m not one for making excuses, but I was distracted 
                by the fact that he’s not available in my home league – 
                because I’ve got him. I played him Sunday because of his 
                move to the inside to cover for Seau’s injury, and reaped 
                the benefits. I’m not sure what’s going on with hi 
                injury status (he looked shaken up after making his second INT 
                near the end of the game) but stay tuned and if he’s healthy, 
                he’s a good option for the rest of the year. 
              LB Takeo Spikes, BUF – 
                With Angelo Crowell out, Spikes should get the bulk of tackles 
                that escape Uber-stud London Fletcher-Baker. Spikes was once an 
                Uber-stud himself before injuries ravaged his sturdy frame. But 
                he’s back and he’s making stops for a defense that 
                sees a lot of field time. 
                 
               
              Scouring The Barrel  
              DL Ty Warren, NE – I 
                can’t ignore this guy any longer. He’s the 7th ranked 
                DL and he’s played better and better as the season has gone 
                on. If you’ve got a DL requirement, he’s got good 
                matchups from here on out and should grab a few more sacks. 
              DL Charles Grant, NO – 
                With 52 tackles and 6 sacks on the year, he’s another decent 
                option to fill the DL slot on your IDP roster. 
                 
                Updates: 
              DB Walt Harris, SF – 
                A below average game against the Saints, but Harris doesn’t 
                stay down for long. 
              LB Shawne Merriman, SD – 
                Back in business, his numbers will improve as the season finishes. 
              DB Charles Tillman, CHI – 
                It’s going to be a week-to-week matchup thing for Tillman 
                the rest of the way. But he seems to perform well against better 
                opponents. 
              DB Asante Samuel, NE – 
                He followed up 33 IDP points in Week 12 (3 interceptions, 9 tackles 
                and 3 PDs against the Bears) with 15 against the Lions (INT, 4 
                PD, 1 tackle). I’d start him every week against INT-prone 
                QBs, including Harrington next week. 
              LB Victor Hobson, NYJ – 
                13 tackles and a PD last week following my recommendation. Yet 
                another week where he was better than his linebacker mate Jonathan 
                Vilma. 
              DL Bryan Thomas, NYJ – 
                Another solid pouting with 5 tackles and 1.5 sacks. E’s 
                very consistent – a wonderful trait for DLs. 
               
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