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2026 Player Outlooks: Buffalo Bills



By Nick Caron | 7/17/26 |

QB Josh Allen
(2025 QB Rank – No.1, 22.9 FPts/G)

Forget asking if Josh Allen is the best quarterback in fantasy right now. That much is certain. We're now firmly in the territory of debating whether he is the greatest fantasy QB of all-time.

Allen reclaimed the overall QB1 spot last year, giving him five top-two finishes over his seven NFL seasons and he has never finished outside the top ten. His passing is great, but his rushing floor is what truly makes him unstoppable. He punched in 15 rushing touchdowns in 2023, 12 in 2024, and another 14 last season. What's even more shocking is that he's doing this while his running back, James Cook, is also sprinting into the end zone for double-digit touchdowns in each of the past two seasons.

Now heading into another season where he's projected to be the QB1, the front office finally got him some more established help on the outside. Trading for D.J. Moore improves a wide receiver group that looked lost for stretches last year. With Keon Coleman likely headed to the bench for a depth role, Allen now has a proven veteran target who can actually separate to go along with Khalil Shakir.

You are drafting a guy with an unparalleled floor and a ceiling that breaks league scoring records. Feel confident paying for him being the QB1 and don't be ashamed to take him No. 1 overall in Superflex formats.

RB James Cook
(2025 RB Rank – No.6, 18.1 FPts/G)

James Cook

The early-career narrative that James Cook could not score touchdowns is now officially dead. After managing just four rushing scores across his first two seasons, the Bills drafted Ray Davis seemingly to handle the heavy lifting near the goal line. Cook responded by hoarding all those touches himself, erupting for 28 rushing touchdowns over the past two years. It wasn't just touchdown efficiency that carried him into RB1 territory, as he has now rushed for 1000-plus yards in three straight seasons into 2026.

Cook is a true bell cow in a league that barely has any left. There is practically zero competition for his touches between the tackles, and he completely owns the passing down work out of the backfield. Being tethered to Josh Allen in a high-scoring offense means his weekly floor is incredibly safe and when the Bills get inside the ten-yard line, Cook is getting the rock often enough to be considered a near-lock for double-digit total touchdowns.

You can confidently lock Cook in as an RB1 and spend a mid-to-late first round draft pick on him. He provides the type of elite volume needed to secure a fantasy championship this season.

RB Ray Davis
(2025 RB Rank – No.65, 4.5 FPts/G)

Don't let the Week 18 performance trick you into thinking Ray Davis has standalone value. He is strictly a handcuff to one of the league's top fantasy players and James Cook is one of the most durable running backs in the NFL. Cook has played at least 16 games every single year of his career.

Because of Cook's clean bill of health, Davis only operated as the primary back once last year and it happened in the regular season finale against the Jets after Buffalo had already locked up their playoff seed. Sure, Davis looked fantastic in that game, destroying one of the league's most pathetic defenses for 151 rushing yards on 21 carries while adding a receiving score. That performance proves he can handle a heavy workload if his number gets called. Outside of that meaningless game, however, he failed to hit 10 PPR points a single time.

Do not waste a starting spot on him while Cook is active. He will probably go undrafted in many leagues, but keep him at the top of your waiver wire queue as a premium lottery ticket who immediately becomes a weekly fantasy starter if Cook suffers an injury.

WR D.J. Moore
(2025 WR Rank – No.36, 9.9 FPts/G)

Chicago made D.J. Moore the odd man out this offseason, committing to former early-round draft picks Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III. He now joins a Buffalo team that is in desperate need of a viable outside pass-catching weapon.

Moore's tenure with the Bears was a wild ride. He posted a career year with a 1,364-yard season in his first year there, but his production cratered immediately after. By 2025, he bottomed out with just 50 catches for 682 yards. Averaging just over five touchdowns a season for his career, that massive drop in volume made him totally unplayable in fantasy this past season.

Getting traded to Buffalo is a massive lifeline for Moore's career trajectory. He goes from a crowded receiver room in Chicago to the likely WR1 catching passes from the best quarterback in football. Moore will have to battle Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, and James Cook for targets, but he is the heavy favorite to be the primary perimeter weapon.

Projecting him for 120 targets is completely reasonable given the current depth chart. He offers a fantastic weekly floor even though his touchdown history limits his upside. Draft him with confidence as a high-end WR3 or a low-end WR2. The bounce back potential is undeniable.

WR Khalil Shakir
(2025 WR Rank – No.35, 10.5 FPts/G)

Khalil Shakir kept his fantasy value alive last season purely through volume. The Buffalo passing game desperately needed a reliable target with former first round pick Keon Coleman completely busting. Shakir answered by nearly doubling Coleman in receptions and operated as the only trustworthy wide receiver on the roster. Even with all that forced volume, though, he still only posted borderline WR3 numbers. The reality is that while he was incredibly consistent, he lacked a real ceiling. He scored at least 10 PPR points in 11 of his 18 games, but he only cleared the 20-point mark once all year. Shakir is a chain-moving slot guy who rarely scores.

Buffalo trading for D.J. Moore is terrible news for Shakir's target share. Moore excels at the high-percentage underneath routes that Shakir used to become a fantasy asset. You cannot draft Shakir expecting a breakout at this point in his career. He is a pure floor play for managers who just need something at WR during heavy bye weeks. Leave him on the board in shallow formats or stash him late in deep PPR leagues for emergency depth.

TE Dalton Kincaid
(2025 TE Rank – No.16, 9.4 FPts/G)

A former first-round NFL Draft pick, Dalton Kincaid was once looked at as an elite fantasy tight end, but the past few seasons have seen him end up as waiver wire fodder. He finished last season at TE16 after missing four games. If you look at his per-game average, he was actually just a single point behind low-end TE1s like Travis Kelce and Jake Ferguson, but he never really did much to separate from the pack.

The underlying talent is still there, but he still has the issue of Dawson Knox refusing to disappear. Knox hauled in 36 receptions for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns last year, which really wasn't so far off from what Kincaid finished with. That frustrating timeshare destroys Kincaid's reliable target floor along with his ceiling.

To make matters worse, the front office added D.J. Moore to the offense this offseason, taking another huge slice out of the passing pie. We simply cannot trust Kincaid every week when he is constantly fighting not only Knox, but also Moore and Shakir for underneath targets.

Do not draft him as your primary tight end unless you are playing in very deep formats, but the talent is still enticing enough to make him a potential TE2 for fantasy managers this draft season.





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