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Running Backs
By Mike MacGregor

RB Rushing TDs
This data should help you assess what players to target or avoid if your league includes bonuses for distance TDs. This table shows rushing TDs by distance (as a percentage, and number) for a select number of RBs. For comparison, it also breaks down the TD-distance for ALL RBs. Data is from the 2001-2004 regular season games.

Here are some interesting points to note from the historic data:
  • Would you trade 2, late 1st round picks to move up and draft Shaun Alexander or Priest Holmes in a TD heavy scoring league? Based on this data from the past 4 seasons you sure would. They've doubled most everyone else on this list.


  • The Jaguars seem to have been unsettled on Fred Taylor's role in recent years, in particular deciding if he can be the goalline back, or if they need a goalline specialist (Greg Jones?). As a result he is well below the average for total TDs, and TDs scored inside the 10 compared to other feature backs.


  • From the RBs listed, there seem to be almost 2 exclusive camps. Guys who can take it all the way once they see daylight (double-digit % at +40 yards for Alexander, Green, Portis, etc.) and guys who have no chance at all (0% for James, Martin, ...Holmes?).


  • If you consider however that a good RB will score every other game, on average, and only 10-15% of his TDs will be from beyond 40 yards (if he's good), then bonus scoring from beyond 40 yards is only impacting 1 or 2 games in your fantasy season. Yes, one game can make a difference, but you need to really consider how important the extra scoring is when upgrading or downgrading these guys in your rankings based on distance scoring ability.


  • If anyone is still thinking that Tiki Barber cannot be a goalline runner, they're wrong. He is just fine inside 10 and 20 yards from paydirt.


  • Warrick Dunn with 5 TDs from beyond 40... another impressive stat for an underappreciated RB.


RB Rushing TD Distance Data (RB rushing TD from 2001-2004)
Name 1-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40+ 1-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40+ Tot
All RB 77% 11% 6% 2% 5% 100% 1066 142 81 29 89 1407
Alexander 73% 7% 8% 2% 11% 100% 44 4 5 1 6 60
Barber 71% 13% 3% 3% 11% 100% 27 5 1 1 4 38
DDavis 71% 24% 0% 0% 5% 100% 15 5 0 0 1 21
Dillon 84% 6% 0% 3% 6% 100% 26 2 0 1 2 31
Dunn 70% 3% 3% 7% 16% 100% 21 1 1 2 5 30
EJames 76% 16% 4% 4% 0% 100% 19 4 1 1 0 25
Green 66% 5% 8% 3% 19% 100% 25 2 3 1 7 38
Holmes 73% 16% 9% 3% 0% 100% 51 11 6 2 0 70
JLewis 67% 7% 11% 0% 15% 100% 18 2 3 0 4 27
Martin 77% 10% 13% 0% 0% 100% 24 3 4 0 0 31
McAllister 68% 13% 10% 0% 9% 100% 21 4 3 0 3 31
Portis 65% 15% 3% 0% 18% 100% 22 5 1 0 6 34
RJohnson 76% 14% 0% 5% 5% 100% 16 3 0 1 1 21
Taylor 56% 13% 6% 13% 12% 100% 9 2 1 2 2 16
Tomlinson 85% 6% 0% 2% 8% 100% 46 3 0 1 4 54

RB Receiving TDs
This table shows receiving TDs by distance (as a percentage, and number) for a select number of RBs. For comparison, it also breaks down the TD-distance for ALL RBs. Data is from the 2001-2004 regular season games.

Here are some interesting points to note from the historic data:
  • The limited number of players on this list, not to mention 2 who didn't make the list above, shows the value of getting one of the rare, dual-threat RBs.


  • I thought Tiki Barber would have more receiving TDs, but he only has 3 from the past 4 seasons. However, 1 was from 2003 and 2 are from 2004 including a 62 yarder in week 7 against Detroit.


RB Receiving TD Distance Data (RB receiving TD from 2001-2004)
Name 1-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40+ 1-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40+ Tot
All RB 50% 25% 11% 5% 10% 100% 163 80 35 17 36 331
Alexander 30% 50% 10% 0% 10% 100% 3 5 1 0 1 10
Dunn 14% 43% 14% 14% 14% 100% 1 3 1 1 1 7
Green 40% 20% 30% 10% 0% 100% 4 2 3 1 0 10
Holmes 17% 17% 33% 0% 33% 100% 1 1 2 0 2 6
McAllister 25% 50% 25% 0% 0% 100% 1 2 1 0 0 4
MFaulk 69% 23% 0% 0% 8% 100% 9 3 0 0 1 13
Tomlinson 33% 17% 0% 0% 50% 100% 2 1 0 0 3 6
Westbrook 30% 30% 20% 10% 10% 100% 3 3 2 1 1 10