RB Rushing TDs
This data should help you assess what players to target or avoid
if your league includes bonuses for distance TDs. This table shows
rushing TDs by distance (as a percentage, and number) for a select
number of RBs. For comparison, it also breaks down the TD-distance
for ALL RBs. Data is from the 2001-2004 regular season
games.
Here are some interesting points to note from the historic data:
- Would you trade 2, late 1st round picks to move up and draft Shaun Alexander
or Priest Holmes in a TD heavy scoring league? Based on this data from the past 4 seasons
you sure would. They've doubled most everyone else on this list.
- The Jaguars seem to have been unsettled on Fred Taylor's role in recent years, in
particular deciding if he can be the goalline back, or if they need a goalline specialist (Greg
Jones?). As a result he is well below the average for total TDs, and TDs scored inside the 10
compared to other feature backs.
- From the RBs listed, there seem to be almost 2 exclusive camps. Guys who can take it
all the way once they see daylight (double-digit % at +40 yards for Alexander, Green, Portis,
etc.) and guys who have no chance at all (0% for James, Martin, ...Holmes?).
- If you consider however that a good RB will score every other game, on average, and only
10-15% of his TDs will be from beyond 40 yards (if he's good), then bonus scoring from beyond 40 yards
is only impacting 1 or 2 games in your fantasy season. Yes, one game can make a difference, but you
need to really consider how important the extra scoring is when upgrading or downgrading these
guys in your rankings based on distance scoring ability.
- If anyone is still thinking that Tiki Barber cannot be a goalline runner, they're wrong. He is
just fine inside 10 and 20 yards from paydirt.
- Warrick Dunn with 5 TDs from beyond 40... another impressive stat for an
underappreciated RB.
RB Rushing TD Distance Data
(RB rushing TD from 2001-2004) |
Name |
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
|
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
Tot |
All RB |
77% |
11% |
6% |
2% |
5% |
100% |
1066 |
142 |
81 |
29 |
89 |
1407 |
Alexander |
73% |
7% |
8% |
2% |
11% |
100% |
44 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
60 |
Barber |
71% |
13% |
3% |
3% |
11% |
100% |
27 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
38 |
DDavis |
71% |
24% |
0% |
0% |
5% |
100% |
15 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
Dillon |
84% |
6% |
0% |
3% |
6% |
100% |
26 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
31 |
Dunn |
70% |
3% |
3% |
7% |
16% |
100% |
21 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
30 |
EJames |
76% |
16% |
4% |
4% |
0% |
100% |
19 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
25 |
Green |
66% |
5% |
8% |
3% |
19% |
100% |
25 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
38 |
Holmes |
73% |
16% |
9% |
3% |
0% |
100% |
51 |
11 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
70 |
JLewis |
67% |
7% |
11% |
0% |
15% |
100% |
18 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
27 |
Martin |
77% |
10% |
13% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
24 |
3 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
McAllister |
68% |
13% |
10% |
0% |
9% |
100% |
21 |
4 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
31 |
Portis |
65% |
15% |
3% |
0% |
18% |
100% |
22 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
34 |
RJohnson |
76% |
14% |
0% |
5% |
5% |
100% |
16 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
21 |
Taylor |
56% |
13% |
6% |
13% |
12% |
100% |
9 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
16 |
Tomlinson |
85% |
6% |
0% |
2% |
8% |
100% |
46 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
54 |
RB Receiving TDs
This table shows receiving TDs by distance (as a percentage, and
number) for a select number of RBs. For comparison, it also breaks
down the TD-distance for ALL RBs. Data is from the 2001-2004
regular season games.
Here are some interesting points to note from the historic data:
- The limited number of players on this list, not to mention 2 who didn't make the
list above, shows the value of getting one of the rare, dual-threat RBs.
- I thought Tiki Barber would have more receiving TDs, but he
only has 3 from the past 4 seasons. However, 1 was from 2003 and 2 are from
2004 including a 62 yarder in week 7 against Detroit.
RB Receiving TD Distance
Data (RB receiving TD from 2001-2004) |
Name |
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
|
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
Tot |
All RB |
50% |
25% |
11% |
5% |
10% |
100% |
163 |
80 |
35 |
17 |
36 |
331 |
Alexander |
30% |
50% |
10% |
0% |
10% |
100% |
3 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
Dunn |
14% |
43% |
14% |
14% |
14% |
100% |
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
Green |
40% |
20% |
30% |
10% |
0% |
100% |
4 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
10 |
Holmes |
17% |
17% |
33% |
0% |
33% |
100% |
1 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
McAllister |
25% |
50% |
25% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
MFaulk |
69% |
23% |
0% |
0% |
8% |
100% |
9 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
Tomlinson |
33% |
17% |
0% |
0% |
50% |
100% |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
Westbrook |
30% |
30% |
20% |
10% |
10% |
100% |
3 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
|