QB Passing TDs
This data should help you assess what players to target or avoid
if your league includes bonuses for distance TDs. This table shows
passing TDs by distance (as a percentage, and number) for a select
number of QBs. For comparison, it also breaks down the TD-distance
for ALL QBs. Data is from the 2001-2004 regular season
games.
Here are some interesting points to note (at least, interesting
to me) from the historic data:
- Even though he has a strong arm, Brett Favre throws a very high %
of TDs from short range. This has a lot to do with the Packers' offensive philosophy.
The west-coast offense has a similar impact on results for Donovan McNabb and
Matt Hasselbeck.
- If your league generously rewards TDs over 40 yards, then Peyton Manning and Daunte Culpepper are
the guys you want, which unfortunately is no different than if you want one of the top two
QBs in any other league. Trent Green hits a surprising number of long TDs considering his top receiver is a TE.
- The general consensus on Kerry Collins is that he throws a nice deep ball - ideal for Randy
Moss' arrival - but the distance TD data doesn't really support that. His results are pretty average across the
board.
- The guys with the highest percentages of long TDs are David Carr, Byron Leftwich and Carson Palmer,
the only three over 20%. All of them are QBs who are still in the early development stages learning the position
at the NFL level. We can expect them to regress back closer
to the mean this upcoming season after getting another year under their belts.
| QB Passing
TD Distance Data (QB passing TD from 2001-2004) |
| Name |
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
|
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
Tot |
| All QB |
39% |
23% |
15% |
9% |
14% |
100% |
1055 |
616 |
387 |
244 |
362 |
2664 |
| Bledsoe |
51% |
16% |
14% |
4% |
16% |
100% |
29 |
9 |
8 |
2 |
9 |
57 |
| Boller |
45% |
25% |
5% |
15% |
10% |
100% |
9 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
20 |
| Brady |
48% |
18% |
15% |
8% |
10% |
100% |
47 |
17 |
15 |
8 |
10 |
97 |
| Brees |
34% |
32% |
11% |
9% |
14% |
100% |
19 |
18 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
56 |
| Brooks |
34% |
29% |
11% |
13% |
13% |
100% |
33 |
28 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
98 |
| Bulger |
39% |
28% |
11% |
12% |
11% |
100% |
22 |
16 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
57 |
| Carr |
23% |
29% |
23% |
6% |
21% |
100% |
8 |
10 |
8 |
2 |
7 |
35 |
| Collins |
36% |
21% |
18% |
11% |
13% |
100% |
26 |
15 |
13 |
8 |
10 |
72 |
| Culpepper |
42% |
18% |
11% |
10% |
18% |
100% |
40 |
17 |
11 |
10 |
18 |
96 |
| Delhomme |
44% |
23% |
19% |
4% |
10% |
100% |
21 |
11 |
9 |
2 |
5 |
48 |
| Favre |
46% |
21% |
16% |
6% |
13% |
100% |
56 |
25 |
19 |
7 |
14 |
121 |
| Harrington |
44% |
19% |
10% |
15% |
12% |
100% |
21 |
9 |
5 |
7 |
6 |
48 |
| Hasselbeck |
39% |
29% |
11% |
14% |
6% |
100% |
27 |
20 |
8 |
10 |
5 |
70 |
| Leftwich |
28% |
24% |
14% |
10% |
24% |
100% |
8 |
7 |
4 |
3 |
7 |
29 |
| Manning |
33% |
26% |
16% |
10% |
16% |
100% |
43 |
34 |
21 |
13 |
20 |
131 |
| McNabb |
46% |
25% |
7% |
7% |
16% |
100% |
41 |
22 |
6 |
6 |
14 |
89 |
| McNair |
47% |
19% |
12% |
8% |
14% |
100% |
35 |
14 |
9 |
6 |
11 |
75 |
| Palmer |
44% |
22% |
0% |
6% |
29% |
100% |
8 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
18 |
| Pennington |
52% |
21% |
12% |
8% |
8% |
100% |
27 |
11 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
52 |
| Plummer |
41% |
22% |
12% |
14% |
12% |
100% |
32 |
17 |
9 |
11 |
9 |
78 |
| TGreen |
38% |
19% |
21% |
4% |
16% |
100% |
36 |
18 |
20 |
4 |
16 |
94 |
| Vick |
39% |
22% |
14% |
14% |
11% |
100% |
14 |
8 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
36 |
| Warner |
50% |
22% |
7% |
9% |
13% |
100% |
23 |
10 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
46 |
QB Rushing TDs
This data should help you assess what players to target or avoid
if your league includes bonuses for distance TDs. This table shows
rushing TDs by distance (as a percentage, and number) for a select
number of QBs. For comparison, it also breaks down the rushing TDs
by distance for ALL QBs. Data is from the 2001-2004
regular season games.
Here are some interesting points to note from the historic data:
- Only 5 rushing TDs scored by all QBs over 40 yards in the past 4 seasons (none scored last season). If your league
doesn't start yardage bonuses until 40 yards, then don't put too much weight into this
when ranking your QBs.
| QB Rushing TD Distance Data
(QB rushing TD from 2001-2004) |
| Name |
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
|
1-9 |
10-19 |
20-29 |
30-39 |
40+ |
Tot |
| All QB |
81% |
13% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
100% |
186 |
30 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
230 |
| Brooks |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
14 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
19 |
| Culpepper |
76% |
19% |
0% |
5% |
0% |
100% |
12 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
| McNabb |
79% |
7% |
7% |
0% |
7% |
100% |
9 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
| McNair |
85% |
15% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
10 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
| Vick |
38% |
31% |
8% |
8% |
15% |
100% |
5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
|
