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Although it was overshadowed by Cooper Kupp's monster season, Samuel put up huge numbers of his own in 2021: 77 receptions, 1,770 combined yards, and 14 touchdowns. With Lance set to take over as QB1, and viewed by many as an upgrade over Jimmy G in terms of dynamic quarterback play, the thought was Samuel would be a top-10 fantasy wideout. Instead, the former Gamecock experienced regression across the board before a high ankle sprain effectively ended his season on Dec. 11.
Heading into 2023, expectations are significantly reduced. With a true lead back like McCaffrey in place, Samuel's usage as a runner will continue to dip, and he's yet to prove he can be effective as a receiver in the red zone with just 12 touchdowns among his 223 career grabs. It might also be time to worry about his extremely physical style of play and the toll it's already taken on his body; he sat out four games last year and has now missed 15 total in four seasons.
There's a chance that all these things might combine to knock the talented wideout even further down draft boards than he should be, and if that's the case, Samuel certainly offers enough upside to warrant selecting him. Whether he deserves to be considered a top-20 fantasy receiver is up for debate, though, and that wasn't the case a year ago.
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