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 Stats > Tyreek Hill  
 
Wide Receiver, Kansas City Chiefs

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Draft: 2016 Round 5 (28)
College: West Alabama
Ht: 5’10”  Wt: 185 DOB: 1994-03-01 Age: 24
WR Rank Tier ADP-12
#12 3 3.09

Season Stats
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
  ReceivingRushing Fantasy
Season Team G Target Rec Yard Avg TDAtt Yard Avg TD FPts FPts/G
2016 KC 16 83 61 593 9.7 6 24 267 11.1 3 140.0 8.8
2017 KC 15 105 75 1,183 15.8 7 17 59 3.5 0 166.2 11.1
2018 (Projected) KC     70 965 13.8 6 11 85 7.7 1 147.0  

2018 Outlook
Depth Chart
Tyreek Hill finished the season as the fourth-highest scoring wide receiver in standard scoring fantasy football leagues in 2017, but he was also the least-targeted player who finished in the top 15 at the position. Now that he's being drafted as a WR1 in fantasy, we really have to look at not just what he did this past season, but also what he's likely to do going forward. Given the lack of targets he saw in an extremely efficient Chiefs offense in 2017, Hill's current ADP sort of sticks out like a sore thumb at the wide receiver position.

Hill's tremendous big play ability was a big part of why Alex Smith saw such a huge uptick in both deep pass attempts as well as efficiency. Utilizing tremendous speed and athleticism that very few cornerbacks can match, Hill creates mismatches for his teammates as teams are forced to shade coverage in his direction to prevent the deep ball over the top. But when looking at his numbers from a repeatability standpoint, Hill's season looks like an extreme outlier. Seven of his eight touchdown receptions in 2017 came from 40+ yards. To put that into perspective, only Antonio Brown and Brandin Cooks even had seven total receptions - touchdown or not - of 40-plus yards in 2017. Yes, Hill is among the most electric players in the entire league but even he is due for some regression in that category.

What's interesting is that Hill enjoyed an impressive 2017 season with the notoriously weak-armed Alex Smith at quarterback. New starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes is stylistically a much better fit than Smith was for a receiver like Tyreek Hill, but it would still be almost impossible for Mahomes to outperform what Smith did this past season, given that Smith was among the most efficient passers in the entire league and a legitimate MVP candidate. Hill saw just 105 targets in 2017, a number which will almost certainly not increase substantially in 2018. The Chiefs added Sammy Watkins this offseason which could help shift some attention off of Hill, but Watkins should see a lot more targets come his way than any Chiefs wide receiver, aside from Hill, did in 2017.

With Watkins, target monster tight end Travis Kelce and quality pass catching backs like Kareem Hunt and Spencer Ware in the offense, there just aren't a lot of additional targets to go around for Hill. He could come close to repeating the tremendous per-target efficiency he did in 2017 but not finish as a WR1 this season, given the lack of targets he's likely to see. It's very rare for a player to hover around 100 targets for the entire season and still finish as a WR1. Hill bucked the trend last year, but banking on him to do it again just doesn't seem like a wise strategy when there are so many other receivers being drafted near him who are likely to see 40 or more targets than he will on the season.

Fan. Tm. Player
WR1WR1 Tyreek Hill
WR2WR2 Sammy Watkins
WR3WR3 Demarcus Robinson
WR4WR4 Jehu Chesson
WR5WR5 Chris Conley
WR6WR6 De'Anthony Thomas
WR7WR7 Marcus Kemp
WR8WR8 Daniel Braverman
Chiefs Depth Chart
News From The Past 90 Days
There is no news to report for this player from the past 90 days.

2017 Gamelog Stats
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
  ReceivingRushing Fantasy
Week Opp Result Target Rec Yard Avg TDAtt Yard Avg TD FPts
1 at NE W 42-27 8 7 133 19.0 1 2 5 2.5 0 19.8
2 PHI W 27-20 6 4 43 10.8 0 1 6 6.0 0 4.9
3 at LAC W 24-10 8 5 77 15.4 1 3 13 4.3 0 15.0
4 WAS W 29-20 6 5 35 7.0 0 0 0 - 0 3.5
5 at HOU W 42-34 6 4 68 17.0 0 0 0 - 0 6.8
6 PIT L 13-19 7 5 34 6.8 0 1 -9 -9.0 0 2.5
7 at OAK L 30-31 8 6 125 20.8 1 2 7 3.5 0 19.2
8 DEN W 29-19 6 2 38 19.0 0 0 0 - 0 3.8
9 at DAL L 17-28 4 2 64 32.0 1 4 9 2.3 0 13.3
11 at NYG L 9-12 7 7 68 9.7 0 1 16 16.0 0 8.4
12 BUF L 10-16 11 7 41 5.9 0 2 13 6.5 0 5.4
13 at NYJ L 31-38 9 6 185 30.8 2 0 0 - 0 30.5
14 OAK W 26-15 6 4 75 18.8 0 0 0 - 0 7.5
15 LAC W 30-13 6 5 88 17.6 1 0 0 - 0 14.8
16 MIA W 29-13 7 6 109 18.2 0 1 -1 -1.0 0 10.8
WC TEN L 21-22 11 7 87 12.4 0 1 14 14.0 0 10.1
WC = Wild-Card

2016 Gamelog Stats
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
  ReceivingRushing Fantasy
Week Opp Result Target Rec Yard Avg TDAtt Yard Avg TD FPts
1 SD W 33-27 1 1 9 9.0 1 0 0 - 0 6.9
2 at HOU L 12-19 2 2 8 4.0 0 1 -1 -1.0 0 0.7
3 NYJ W 24-3 4 3 26 8.7 0 1 -3 -3.0 0 2.3
4 at PIT L 14-43 7 5 24 4.8 1 1 -2 -2.0 0 8.2
6 at OAK W 26-10 2 2 20 10.0 0 0 0 - 0 2.0
7 NO W 27-21 1 1 38 38.0 1 2 23 11.5 0 12.1
8 at IND W 30-14 6 5 98 19.6 1 1 7 7.0 0 16.5
9 JAC W 19-14 5 3 11 3.7 0 2 21 10.5 0 3.2
10 at CAR W 20-17 13 10 89 8.9 0 1 12 12.0 0 10.1
11 TB L 17-19 5 4 53 13.3 0 1 8 8.0 0 6.1
12 at DEN W 30-27 10 9 52 5.8 1 1 3 3.0 1 17.5
13 at ATL W 29-28 6 5 53 10.6 0 2 19 9.5 0 7.2
14 OAK W 21-13 6 6 66 11.0 1 1 2 2.0 0 12.8
15 TEN L 17-19 3 0 0 - 0 1 68 68.0 1 12.8
16 DEN W 33-10 5 0 0 - 0 6 95 15.8 1 15.5
17 at SD W 37-27 7 5 46 9.2 0 3 15 5.0 0 6.1
DP PIT L 16-18 6 4 27 6.8 0 3 18 6.0 0 4.5
DP = Divisional Playoff

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