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Regular Season, Updated: 9/2/2014

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 LeSean McCoy, PHI (Bye: 7)
1
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 208   DOB: 1988-07-12   Age: 35
College: Pittsburgh   Draft: 2009 Round 2 (21) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011PHI15273 1,309 17 48 315 3 282.4 18.8
2012PHI12200 840 2 54 373 3 151.3 12.6
2013PHI16314 1,607 9 52 540 2 280.7 17.5
2014 (Projected)PHI 291 1,426 10 48 404 2 255.0  

Outlook: LeSean McCoy thrived in the Chip Kelly offense, rushing for 1,607 yards and nine touchdowns while adding 52 receptions for 540 yards and another two scores through the air. The Eagles finished 13th in plays from scrimmage with their fast-paced offense and will look to speed things up again in 2014. McCoy was a major part of that offense with 314 carries and 52 receptions. There has been some talk of lessening McCoy's load a bit this season, but it's hard to see a major dip especially if the team does manage to run more plays this season than it did last season. McCoy is one of the more exciting players in the league with the ball in his hands and his ability to stop and change directions with unbelievable cuts and jukes is reminiscent of the great Barry Sanders. McCoy's production initially declined when the team made the switch at quarterback from Michael Vick to Nick Foles, but it quickly rounded back into form after a few weeks. McCoy will turn 26 this month, so he's really just entering the peak of his prime years. McCoy is a player to seriously consider as early as the No. 1 overall pick in fantasy drafts this season.


 Adrian Peterson, MIN (Bye: 10)
2
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 217   DOB: 1985-03-21   Age: 39
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2007 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011MIN12209 973 12 18 139 1 189.2 15.8
2012MIN16348 2,097 12 40 217 1 309.4 19.3
2013MIN14279 1,266 10 29 171 1 209.7 15.0
2014 (Projected)MIN 297 1,426 11 41 276 1 242.2  

Outlook: Statistically speaking, 2013 was the second-worst year in Adrian Peterson's brilliant 7-year career. Coming off a mind-blowing 2,000-plus yard season in 2012, some slide was expected going into 2013. The falloff may have been steeper than some fantasy owners expected, as injuries bothered Peterson for a good part of the year, causing him to miss two starts and undergo offseason groin surgery. Hobbled, and again the only major threat on offense, he still managed to rip off 1,266 yards and 11 total touchdowns. Despite the mileage on his tires, Peterson still remains one of the few elite backs in the league capable of winning fantasy games by himself, even if he isn't the automatic first running back taken. One of the few dents in his armor (to go along with his ball security issues – 31 career fumbles) is his role in the passing game. He had a career-high 43 catches for 436 yards in 2009 but has come nowhere near those numbers in two of the last three seasons. His underwhelming 5.5 yards-per-catch has put him well behind his elite peers. That may change drastically in 2014. With creative play-caller Norv Tuner now in the fold and back-up Toby Gerhart off to Jacksonville, expect Peterson to flirt with 40-plus catches once again as a true 3-down workhorse. With improved quarterback play and the continued development of second-year wide-out Cordarrelle Paterson, the offense should be more fluid and consistent, giving Peterson the running lanes to make big plays as a runner and receiver.

One final thing to consider if you have the enviable task of picking the first running back off the board; Peterson is coming off his third straight offseason surgery (ACL, sports hernia, groin). While he has proven to defy the physical limitations of mere mortals, father time still remains undefeated. Peterson is 29, with over 2,000 career carries, many of which have been of the minor car accident variety. The demise of Peterson is going to be swift and sudden, and it may be sooner rather than later. For owners who like to protect their investments with handcuffs, Peterson really doesn't have one. Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, and to a lesser extent LeSean McCoy, all have back-ups to target as potentially valuable handcuffs. With Gerhart gone, only a raw third-round rookie and fringe roster runner back up Peterson.


 Jamaal Charles, KC (Bye: 6)
3
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 199   DOB: 1986-12-27   Age: 37
College: Texas   Draft: 2008 Round 3 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011KC212 83 0 5 9 1 15.2 7.6
2012KC16285 1,509 5 35 236 1 210.5 13.2
2013KC15259 1,287 12 70 693 7 312.0 20.8
2014 (Projected)KC 244 1,194 11 60 489 3 252.3  

Outlook: Not since the days of Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson have the Chiefs had a fantasy producer anywhere near the level of running back Jamaal Charles. Charles, who was a consensus round 1 pick in 2013, lived up to the hype and then some with a monstrous fantasy season that made him the top-scoring fantasy back in practically all formats. Although he finished third in rushing yards, his 693 receiving yards were nearly 100 yards better than the next best back (Danny Woodhead), and his 19 total touchdowns were five more than that of any other rusher. You will hear whispers about increased opportunities for backup Knile Davis, but Charles will likely shoulder another heavy load in 2014, which makes him one of a few candidates for the No. 1 overall pick in fantasy football drafts this season. Of course, the high number of touches also makes Charles a candidate for injury, but given the lack of true “feature backs” remaining in the league, the potential reward far outweighs the risk of drafting Charles with your top draft pick this season.


 Matt Forte, CHI (Bye: 9)
4
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 218   DOB: 1985-12-10   Age: 38
College: Tulane   Draft: 2008 Round 2 (13) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011CHI12204 999 3 52 490 1 172.9 14.4
2012CHI15248 1,094 5 44 340 1 179.4 12.0
2013CHI16289 1,339 9 75 592 3 265.1 16.6
2014 (Projected)CHI 265 1,220 7 70 545 2 230.5  

Outlook: The demise of the elite, reliable volume running back has been swift and harsh. Fortunately for his fantasy owners, someone forgot to tell Matt Forte. Forte continues to be one of the game's best dual threats and reliable ball carriers, as he posted another fantastic season in 2013 with 1,339 yards on the ground, along with 75 catches for an additional 592 yards receiving. Forte also tied his career high with 12 total scores. He set career highs as a receiver in Marc Tressman's new offensive system, and his work as a pass receiver sets him apart from many of his peers. What makes Forte such a valuable fantasy asset is not only his ability to carry your team to victory once or twice a year, but his consistency. He ranks No. 2 in FFToday's consistency ratings at running back with only three games scoring single-digit fantasy points. Forte continues to play at an elite level, even as he enters the season at 28 years old. Combining superior vision and tackle-breaking ability even without blazing speed, especially in the screen game, Forte will benefit from several factors entering this season. Draft him, plug him in as your offensive centerpiece and pray he stays healthy!


 Montee Ball, DEN (Bye: 4)
5
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1990-12-05   Age: 33
College: Wisconsin   Draft: 2013 Round 2 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2013DEN15119 560 4 20 145 0 94.5 6.3
2014 (Projected)DEN 251 1,106 10 43 335 2 216.1  

Outlook: When the Broncos selected Montee Ball with a second-round draft pick in 2013, it appeared as if the writing was finally on the wall for former first-round pick Knowshon Moreno to be worked out of the offense. That didn't happen, however, as concerns in pass protection and fumbling problems led to Ball playing second fiddle to Moreno throughout the year. Ball finished with just 120 carries for 559 yards and four touchdowns during the regular season and he had just one game all year with over 100 rushing yards. Now with Moreno out of the picture, the door appears to be wide open for Ball to come rolling in and take the job in one of the most prolific offenses in NFL history. The team appears to be fully invested in him and this is his chance to shine. There is no question that Denver is a pass-first offense, but that doesn't mean that there isn't still plenty of room for fantasy production from the running back position. Moreno finished as a top-five scoring running back in 2013 and that was with Ball still taking a significant number of carries. If Ball is given a more full workload, there's no reason to think that his upside couldn't mirror or even be better than what Moreno did a season ago. An emergency appendectomy has some worried that Ball won't be in football shape by the time the regular season rolls around. That's exactly the kind of thing you should warnother fantasy owners in your league about, effectively lowering Ball's stock before you swoop in and draft him. Appendectomies are considered “major surgery” but they do not require a long recovery time. Barring some unforeseen setback that would likely have nothing to do with his appendix, Ball will be out there in Week 1. He is about as much of a lock to hit 10 touchdowns this season as any player in the league. He is a perfect No. 2 running back or even low-end No. 1 for the owner who opts to snag a top player at another position in Round 1.


 Eddie Lacy, GB (Bye: 9)
6
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1991-01-01   Age: 33
College: Alabama   Draft: 2013 Round 2 (31) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2013GB15284 1,178 11 35 257 0 209.5 14.0
2014 (Projected)GB 278 1,195 10 42 296 1 215.1  

Outlook: In 2013, Eddie Lacy rumbled his way into the fantasy scene and into the record books for one of the NFL's most storied franchises. Great things were expected from the first-round rookie, and despite a very slow start – 51 yards in 15 carries after three games – he nearly single handedly kept the Packers season alive when Aaron Rodgers missed time with a broken collarbone. His nearly 1400 yard, 11 touchdown season was much needed given the team's instability. Lacy finished as a top-10 back in just his first year, during which he had 10 games of 20+ carries, and was the sole offensive threat for most of those contests. As a true 3-down, goal line back on an elite offensive team, Lacy should maintain a grip on RB1 status. For fantasy owners looking for a vast improvement in his numbers, though, they might want to think again.

What Lacy excels at is far more important on the field than in a fantasy box score. He was an elite pass-blocker and ball handler last season with only one fumble. There has been chatter that the Green Bay staff wants to lessen the running load on Lacy during the upcoming season. Lightening the load might be a good idea, as Lacy suffered a severe concussion early in the year and played with an ankle injury down the stretch. He wasn't the most explosive back last year with only nine carries of 15+ yards. He gained yardage mostly with pile-moving leg drive and nimble feet at and near the line of scrimmage. His volume of carries was leveraged against a decent, but nothing-special 4.1 yards-per-carry average.

The return of Rodgers should open up the offense and allow Lacy some bigger running lanes, but at the same time, result in fewer carries. Injury aside, rushing yardage totals should be very close to where they were in 2013. What will elevate Lacy into the top five or relegate him to fringe RB1 status are his touchdown totals. With Rodgers at the helm full-time, more scoring chances should be available. However, Mike McCarthy has always been comfortable allowing Rodgers to throw inside the red zone and that philosophy won’t change especially with Randall Cobb coming back from his leg injury. Expect Lacy's 2014 numbers to be close to his career highs, but not quite good enough to carry your fantasy roster alone.


 Marshawn Lynch, SEA (Bye: 4)
7
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1986-04-22   Age: 37
College: California   Draft: 2007 Round 1 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011SEA15285 1,204 12 28 212 1 219.6 14.6
2012SEA16315 1,590 11 23 196 1 250.6 15.7
2013SEA16301 1,257 12 36 316 2 241.3 15.1
2014 (Projected)SEA 269 1,184 10 29 222 1 206.6  

Outlook: An offseason contract holdout – which occurred during the same time that he made news for the unique way he parks his Ferrari, mind you – has some skeptics questioning Marshawn Lynch's commitment to playing football, but there haven't been many backs as consistent as “Beast Mode” since he arrived in Seattle back in 2010. In each of his past three seasons, Lynch has surpassed 1,200 yards on the ground while scoring double-digit touchdowns in each of those seasons. Combine that with the fact that he has only lost five fumbles over that span and you have a player who most would believe is very safe in his role within the Seahawks' Super Bowl-winning offense. That might not be the case, however, as reports from camp have been that the team is looking to find ways to get 2013 second-round draft pick Christine Michael on the field more often this season. If there is one area where Lynch has not been superb, it has been in the pass-catching department. His 36 receptions in 2013 were his highest total since 2008 and he had failed to reach even 30 receptions during between those years. Still, Lynch has to be considered one of the safest bets to be a top-10 running back this season. Seattle does seem committed on passing the ball more often, but that could still mean 275-plus touches for Lynch.


 Le'Veon Bell, PIT (Bye: 12)
8
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 244   DOB: 1992-02-18   Age: 32
College: Michigan State   Draft: 2013 Round 2 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2013PIT13244 860 8 45 408 0 174.8 13.4
2014 (Projected)PIT 252 1,060 7 52 397 2 199.7  

Outlook: The fact Le'Veon Bell could finish 12th in rushing attempts and finish in the top 15 in fantasy scoring, despite missing the first three weeks of the 2013 season should tell you all you need to know about his value to the Steelers and to fantasy owners everywhere. Lacking special running skills, or measureables, Bell is the ideal “volume back” for today's NFL. The 6'1”, 230+ lb former Spartan is built for at least 20 touches per game. He had a whopping 382 carries during his senior year – Bell will need them to maximize his fantasy value, as he didn't have a game above 5.0 yards-per-carry in 2013. Blessed with quick feet and great vision, Bell has soft hands and pass blocks like a mobile stonewall. This valuable skill set means he's a true three-down, goal line back. His role on the offense ensures that his volume of touches remains high and consistent – something that is in short supply among the modern stable of fantasy running backs. Because of their circumstances, the Steelers had a bevy of possessions in the red zone, resulting in Bell benefitting from a staggering 48 carries and eight receptions near the goal line – only four total touches behind league leader Matt Forte. All eight of Bell's touchdowns came in this area, adding to his short yardage value, but also demonstrating his lack of big play reliability. Dating back to his days at Michigan State University, Bell has been the type of back who gets better with more touches. Expect the Steelers to continue to open the offense up a bit, increase their offensive tempo and have an improved defense that will keep games closer, and hopefully give them more possessions to work with. With his role as a dual threat back and improved conditioning, Bell should exceed 300 touches, even with the presence of free agent addition LeGarrette Blount. Volume and versatility should make Bell a great anchor to your fantasy roster as a low-end RB1.


 DeMarco Murray, DAL (Bye: 11)
9
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 227   DOB: 1988-02-12   Age: 36
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2011 Round 3 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011DAL13163 895 2 26 183 0 119.8 9.2
2012DAL10161 663 4 35 251 0 115.4 11.5
2013DAL14217 1,121 9 53 348 1 206.9 14.8
2014 (Projected)DAL 229 1,075 8 55 389 1 200.4  

Outlook: DeMarco Murray is coming off his best season as a professional, but still did not manage to play a full season—an issue that has plagued Murray throughout his three years in the NFL. Last year he did manage a career-high 14 games, and gained almost 1,500 total yards, while finding the end zone 10 times. He also caught 53 balls last season, a number that could increase in Scott Linehan's offense. Linehan has claimed that he will lean on the running game in Dallas, but his past history speaks otherwise. Still, with recent improvements to the offensive line and a talent like Murray, the Cowboys should have a very effective running game and Murray could be poised to set career highs across the board. As always, health could be an issue for a running back who doesn't always find himself able to avoid contact due to an upright and violent running style. However, at 6'0” and 220 pounds, and with impressive straight-line speed, Murray can dish out the punishment as well. An owner could do worse than picking Murray somewhere near the Round 1/Round 2 turn in drafts later this summer.


 Doug Martin, TB (Bye: 7)
10
Height: 5’9”   Weight: 223   DOB: 1989-01-13   Age: 35
College: Boise State   Draft: 2012 Round 1 (31) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2012TB16319 1,454 11 49 472 1 264.6 16.5
2013TB6127 456 1 12 66 0 58.2 9.7
2014 (Projected)TB 241 1,085 8 41 317 2 200.2  

Outlook: After Doug Martin burst onto the scene as a rookie in 2012, he was the center of fantasy owners' teams. A true feature back, the young Buc was unable to live up to lofty expectations before losing last year's second half to a shoulder injury. As one of only five running backs to tote the rock more than 300 times in 2012 preceding the injury, you can bet Tampa Bay felt a need to reduce Martin's workload. In fact, new offensive coordinator Jeff Tedford told reporters over the offseason that he didn't feel one running back could carry the load in today's NFL. Accordingly, the Buccaneers added dynamic playmaker Charles Sims in this year's draft to improve the quality of depth behind Martin. The result will be a dip below the 300-carry threshold in a newly-formed RBBC , but Martin's production in the passing game should continue to provide a slight boost even if he loses a few targets. His touchdown totals may not reach double-digits either considering the competition for carries as well as the ability for Josh McCown to throw a jump ball to one of several big targets. For these reasons, the Muscle Hamster becomes a far better RB2 than RB1 in the fantasy realm. As always, keep a close eye on the new offense during the preseason to gain further insight into Tampa Bay's RBBC.


 Toby Gerhart, JAC (Bye: 11)
11
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 231   DOB: 1987-03-28   Age: 37
College: Stanford   Draft: 2010 Round 2 (19) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2011MIN16109 531 1 23 190 3 96.1 6.0
2012MIN1550 169 1 20 155 0 38.4 2.6
2013MIN1236 283 2 13 88 0 49.1 4.1
2014 (Projected)JAC 251 1,079 8 46 355 2 203.4  

Outlook: The Jaguars needed to become younger on offense and increase optimism amongst an offensive unit that ranked second to last in total rushing yards during the 2013 regular season. Thus, the Jags parted ways with longtime face of the franchise Maurice Jones-Drew after injuries slowed his effectiveness in recent years. To replace one of the most popular players on the team, they turned to a guy trying to shake the shadow of an NFL great. In Toby Gerhart, Jacksonville gets a young, motivated running back that has watched and learned from the best pure running back in today's game for the past four seasons. When given the opportunity, he has shown that he can be a productive runner between the tackles as well as in passing situations. Now he gets an opportunity to handle a full workload for a team that needs to lean on the run if it expects to stay competitive within the division. Considering that only 11 running backs toted the rock at least 250 times in 2013 after 14 surpassed that mark in 2012, Gerhart immediately becomes a rare commodity. Gerhart stands to see his draft day price increase each week leading up to the season opener so be careful not to overvalue him if the hype runs out of control. The offense has nowhere to go but up in 2014 and Gerhart will be leading the charge for fantasy owners.


 Zac Stacy, STL (Bye: 4)
12
Height: 5’9”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1991-04-09   Age: 33
College: Vanderbilt   Draft: 2013 Round 5 (27) 
SeasonTeamGameAtt Yard TDRec Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2013STL13250 973 7 26 141 1 159.4 12.3
2014 (Projected)STL 290 1,159 10 33 214 1 203.3  

Outlook: Considering how the season ended for rookie Zac Stacy, it’s almost baffling that St. Louis took as long as they did to finally give him the starting gig. It seemed as if the coaching staff was set on giving every other player an opportunity before finally conceding the job to Stacy in Week 5. From that point on, Stacy was a top-10 fantasy running back, contributing both in rushing yardage as well as touchdowns. Stacy touched the ball 14 or more times in every game once he became “the guy” and rewarded his fantasy owners with the kind of consistency that typically only comes with elite-level running backs. Stacy has a chance to break into that category this season as he heads into training camp as the clear favorite to take the vast majority of carries. Head coach Jeff Fisher has also publicly proclaimed his trust in Stacy, even indicating that he should be in line to take at least 70 percent of the carries out of the St. Louis backfield. It has been a long time since a St. Louis player outside of Steven Jackson has been a fantasy force, but Stacy appears to have a good shot at doing that again in 2014. He will likely be an early second-round pick in most drafts and could even slip into the bottom end of the first round if there are any preseason setbacks for any of the backs ahead of him.