Outlook: A first-round pick of the Giants in 2021, Toney wore out his welcome in the Big Apple midway through his second season, and the G-Men dealt him to KC for third- and sixth-round picks. Toney flashed in seven games with the Chiefs, but as has been the case in his brief NFL career, he battled injuries and missed time. In two seasons, the former Gator has played in 19 of 34 possible games. To realize his considerable potential, he'll need to find a way to stay on the field.

If you've listened to the front office and coaching staff during the offseason, it's clear they think highly of Toney's talent and fit in the offense; specifically, they believe his ability to work downfield will be a great fit for Mahomes. There's obviously a ton of opportunity in Kansas City this season, and Reid has identified Moore and Toney as being ticketed for increased roles. Again, though, Toney needs to prove he can handle the rigors of a full season. Until then, he'll be a low-floor, high-ceiling lottery ticket best drafted in the final rounds.

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Outlook: Kansas City gave Valdes-Scanting a three-year, $30 million deal to leave Green Bay before last season, but if they were hoping to unlock heretofore unseen production, they had to be disappointed. After averaging 31 receptions, 538 yards, and 3.3 TDs with the Packers, MVS posted a marginally better 42-687-2 line during his first season catching balls from Mahomes.

With his blend of size (6-foot-4, 206 pounds) and speed, there's always a chance Valdes-Scantling will breakthrough -- his 17.2 yards-per-catch average is no fluke. With each passing season it seems less and less likely, though, as MVS will turn 29 in October and has yet to top 700 yards in any of his five seasons to date. Maybe you can talk yourself into Valdes-Scantling as a final-round flier, but that's about it.

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Outlook: He might not have quite the speed of his teammate Tyreek Hill, but Jaylen Waddle is still absurdly quick and is really proving himself to be one of the league's most dynamic weapons as he heads into his third professional season. Waddle improved on his breakout rookie season in just about every conceivable way this past season, but the way he was utilized in the McDaniel offense was night and day from what we saw from him as a rookie under the previous regime.

The Dolphins used more pre-snap motion than any team in the league and that helped fuel Waddle to one of the most ridiculous yards-per-reception improvements in recent memory. Many were comparing Waddle's 2021 rookie season in which he caught 104 passes for 1,015 yards to that of players like Jarvis Landry, who are primarily underneath possession receivers who don't offer much explosiveness. That completely shifted when McDaniel came to town, as he started scheming Waddle in a totally different way, allowing him to utilize his speed and shiftiness to get open down the field. This meant fewer total receptions as he caught just 75 balls, but the receptions he did make were enormously more valuable as he went for an impressive 1,356 yards. That's an improvement of over 350 yards despite catching 29 fewer passes. This meant that Waddle's yards per reception total nearly doubled from 9.8 as a rookie in 2021 to a league-leading 18.1 in 2022.

Certainly, some of this improved efficiency was due to factors other than Waddle himself getting better, but so what? Even if Mike McDaniel and Tyreek Hill are to thank for much of it, they're still going to be here in Miami this season, so there's really no reason to think that things will change substantially for Waddle in 2023. Of course, an 18.1 yards per reception number is unlikely to continue no matter the situation given that it's such a high number, but even a bit of a regression in YPR could be completely negated by Waddle simply seeing a bit more volume.

Waddle finished as the WR7 in 2022 and with the Dolphins failing to bring in any notable competition for him in the offense, there's plenty of reason to be optimistic that he can again finish as a WR1 for fantasy this season. It's tough to project that two wide receivers in the same offense can do that in back-to-back seasons, but this duo, in this offense, seems like the strongest bet to do it that we've seen in recent history.

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Outlook: The receiver room in Green Bay has been totally remade in the last few seasons with all of the veteran mainstays gone from the roster. Not a single receiver remains on the team from 2021, as the last two drafts have restocked the receiver room. Watson leads the youth movement as currently the most accomplished and highest ceiling player on the offense. Although he flashed his tantalizing physical gifts during brief stretches of his rookie year, there were plenty of duds, especially the first half of the year. After a monster 4-107-3 performance in a win against Dallas in Week 10, Aaron Rodgers finally felt comfortable targeting Watson in big spots. He saw no fewer than 5 targets along the way, and his stretch from Week 10 to Week 13 likely clinched playoff berths for fantasy owners patient enough to hold on to some shares of the rookie.

Vaulting to the WR1 and alpha receiver on the offense automatically puts Watson in the fantasy spotlight. With a year of experience under his belt, Watson should be able to play faster this season, and expand his route tree. The move to Love is certainly a downgrade in quarterback play, but it's very likely the duo has been able to build chemistry during their work as backups and now franchise cornerstones. His speed makes him deadly downfield, but it's his 6'4'' frame, and better understanding of red zone concepts that make him a threat for double digit touchdowns. As long as Love doesn't totally fall flat, Watson has serious boom potential in this offense. He has standard league WR1 potential at a WR2 price.

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Outlook: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine only recorded one game over 60 receiving yards last season. It just so happens that one game (Week 10 against the Broncos) was the best of his career, hauling in five receptions for 119 yards and two touchdowns.

Including that one-hit wonder, Westbrook-Ikhine only had 25 receptions for 397 yards and three touchdowns in 15 games last season. His 82.7 fantasy points were the 89th-most fantasy points among receivers as he averaged just 5.5 per game.

Since Treylon Burks will get most of the targets and Henry will be fed the ball 20-plus times per game, Westbrook-Ikhine will likely have similar numbers to last season given the expected low passing volume. Don't count on the Titans WR2 being drafted in fantasy leagues, but he will be picked up off the waiver wire if Burks gets injured.

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Outlook: While he has definitely had his moments, Williams' body of work in six seasons since being the seventh overall pick leaves something to be desired. Durability continues to be front and center, more so than just the number of games missed would suggest, as the Clemson product seems to be dinged up constantly, which serves to undermine his consistency; that's how you end up with things like 10- and 15-yard games sandwiched around a 113-yard effort to open last season.

His size, raw talent, and ability to make contested catches have made him a dangerous weapon in the red zone, though his yards per catch have dropped three straight years, going from 20.4 YPC in 2019 all the way down to 14.2 a year ago (that was his worst number since he caught just 11 balls as a rookie). It's hard to imagine Williams' inability to string together productive efforts week in, and week out, didn't play a role in LA targeting a receiver in Round 1, thus lessening the degree to which they'll need to rely on the 28-year-old wideout this year.

Rewind the clock to 2022, and it felt like Williams was pushing for a spot as a top-20 receiver. Now, he's better suited as a decent No. 3 fantasy wideout that could carry you one week and kill you the next. If you're OK with that type of feast/famine from your WR3, make the pick. If you want steadier value, Williams isn't the best choice.

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Outlook: Thanks to some ill-timed sports bets, Williams is going to have to wait six games before he can make the impact that he, and the Lions hope he is capable of. Rehabbing off a torn ACL last season, Williams didn't make his NFL debut until Week 13. In the six games he played, he had two touches, but he certainly made the most of them, hauling in a 41-yard bomb for a touchdown, and burning the defense on a 40-yard rush. It's a bit odd that Williams had zero impact upon returning, but this coaching staff values preparation more than anything, and likely felt giving Williams a bigger role was unwarranted considering his return from injury, and the absolute roll the offense was on at the time.

Obviously, the suspension saps a large chunk of fantasy value from Williams this season, but he was never going to be a big receptions guy early in his career. My bigger concern comes from his clear lack of maturity and awareness off the field. Blessed with unlimited physical gifts, the gambling situation, and several social media posts show he has a long way to go to be a professional. After a lost first season, and now a 2nd season impacted, Williams will be under heavy pressure to produce when he returns. But what if Detroit is humming along again? I'm willing to take an end of the draft flier on his talent alone, but I'm really uncertain he's even worth the stash if your league has a shallow bench.

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