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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 5/28/15
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |



The NFL Draft is over and, with it, a whole new crop of players have infiltrated our player pools.

My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

In short, potential takes on a much more significant part of dynasty rankings in the offseason than usual. Free agency reshuffles the deck every year and can allow a second-string player to emerge as the more established veteran either chases a bigger paycheck, a Super Bowl ring or both. The draft introduces a number of new variables into the fantasy equation, but can also knock a few of the veterans near the bottom of the rankings off the charts completely.

When I first started playing in dynasty leagues a few years ago, I took much more of a long-term view at it than I do now. Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to consider anything past three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that three-fourths of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2017 season. At any rate, here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking each position.

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Three years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues, where each touchdown is worth six points. I will release my next set of rankings before the start of the 2015 regular season.

Note: Players who moved up more than eight spots up or down will have an arrow pointing in the corresponding direction.
 
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
QUARTERBACKS
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Andrew Luck IND 25
  2 Aaron Rodgers GB 31
  3 Russell Wilson SEA 26
Tier 2
  4 Matt Ryan ATL 30
  5 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 33
  6 Cam Newton CAR 26
  7 Drew Brees NO 36
  8 Philip Rivers SD 33
  9 Tony Romo DAL 35
  10 Tom Brady NE 37
  11 Peyton Manning DEN 39
Tier 3
  12 Ryan Tannehill MIA 26
  13 Eli Manning NYG 34
14 Sam Bradford PHI 27
  15 Matthew Stafford DET 27
  16 Teddy Bridgewater MIN 22
Tier 4
17 Jameis Winston TB 21
  18 Joe Flacco BAL 30
  19 Colin Kaepernick SF 27
20 Marcus Mariota TEN 21
  21 Derek Carr OAK 24
  22 Blake Bortles JAC 23
Tier 5
  23 Nick Foles STL 26
  24 Jay Cutler CHI 32
  25 Robert Griffin III WAS 25
  26 Andy Dalton CIN 27
  27 Alex Smith KC 31
  28 Carson Palmer ARI 35
Tier 6
  29 Geno Smith NYJ 24
  30 Johnny Manziel CLE 22
  31 EJ Manuel BUF 25
Tier 7
32 Brian Hoyer HOU 29
  33 Jimmy Garoppolo NE 23
  34 Mark Sanchez PHI 28
35 Matt Cassel BUF 33
  36 Ryan Mallett HOU 26
  37 Logan Thomas ARI 23
38 Sean Mannion STL 23
39 Mike Glennon TB 25
40 Zach Mettenberger TEN 23
  41 Tom Savage HOU 25
  42 Ryan Fitzpatrick NYJ 32
  43 Jimmy Clausen CHI 27
44 Bryce Petty NYJ 23
45 Brock Osweiler DEN 24
46 Garrett Grayson NO 24
47 Brett Hundley GB 21
  48 Colt McCoy WAS 28
49 Tyrod Taylor BUF 25
  50 Josh McCown CLE 35
 
COMMENTS
  Cam Newton, CAR: With injury-riddled season behind him and every projected starting WR/TE standing 6-5, Newton likely poised for rebound in 2015.

  Tony Romo, DAL: Cowboys' failure to land RB likely means offense will rely a bit more on the passing game this year.

  Tom Brady, NE: Obviously waiting appeal of four-game suspension.

  Ryan Tannehill, MIA: Best supporting cast of his career; ability to hit deep ball still in question.

  Eli Manning, NYG: ODB may end up getting him another contract.

Sam Bradford, PHI: Would come as no surprise if Bradford benefits from Chip Kelly's devotion to sports science and takes this offense to new heights.

  Teddy Bridgewater, MIN: Has a lot of positives he has going for him, including return of AP and addition of Mike Wallace to OC Norv Turner's offense.

  Joe Flacco, BAL: OC Marc Trestman's arrival probably means Flacco is in line for career-best passing numbers.

Marcus Mariota, TEN: Skepticism is advised that HC Ken Whisenhunt will be completely willing to cater offense to his new quarterback.

  Derek Carr, OAK: Selections of Amari Cooper and Clive Walford should allow Carr to build on solid rookie season.

  Blake Bortles, JAC: Was considered at least a year away last year; Bortles should be much better with decent running game and Julius Thomas.

  Geno Smith, NYJ: Additions of OC Chan Gailey and Brandon Marshall give Geno a realistic shot at success for first time in his career.

Brian Hoyer, HOU: Supporting cast, familiar system probably gives him the best shot at sustainable success he's ever had.


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and appeared in USA Today's Fantasy Football Preview magazine in 2010 and 2011. He is also the host of USA Today's hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday. Doug regularly appears as a fantasy football analyst on Sirius XM's "Fantasy Drive" and for 106.7 The Fan (WJFK - Washington, D.C). He is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.