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5/19/02
Email Tim
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A bird swooped down
As it suddenly emerged from the sky
A second one appeared,
On a day that all innocence died.
As I close my eyes
The screams still echo through.
We can't ever forget
But moving on was what we had to do.
Some of us were lucky
Those that we love the most still remain
But we will always remember
The day that Football became only a game!
-In memory of September 11th 2001
I love A Challenge!
It is the whole reason I play fantasy football. Bring on the best.
Bring on Greg Kellogg! Bring on Jerome Hickerson! Bring on Brian
Hulett! A championship means little if it is not against good fantasy
owners. Some fantasy football owners want the trophy. Nothing else
matters. I take that a step further. I only want the trophy against
the best. It is simple. If you beat the best, you are the best.
Homework Can Be Fun
I have been called crazy more than once for my obsession with Fantasy
Football.
When did I start preparing for the 2002 season?
The day after the regular season ended. The first thing you must
understand though is I have done Fantasy Football drafts before
the Super Bowl is over. Fantasy Baseball, Basketball and Hockey
are nice fill-ins, but there is nothing like Fantasy Football. You
may wonder what I could be doing from January to August to prepare
for my leagues. After all, six months is a long time. Here are some
good off-season activities for draft preparation.
- NFL Draft - The months from
February to April are filled with NFL Draft information. Some
of the best steals on Draft Day can be rookies. Edgerrin James,
Jamal Lewis, Randy Moss, and Anthony Thomas all had huge rookie
seasons. Rookies can also burn you, as Michael Bennett owners
will tell you. NFL draft preparation is quite involved. It starts
by scouting the college players as you watch the Bowl and College
All-Star games. You also have information all over the Internet
about how each player did at the week of practice before the
All-Star games. Sometimes the practices are more important the
game play. Next, each player works out at the combines in February
and March. Players have moved up full rounds by a good combine.
Combine information can be found on the web as well. Sites like
ESPN, Sportsline, NFL.com, etc all have the information on the
combines. Do not expect to be an expert on every player just
by watching the college football games. There are just too many
players to watch. The best idea is to either pick up Mel Kiper's
Draft report or Pro Football Weekly's Draft Preview. You try
to get as much information on the draft and the players as possible.
Of course, you must watch all 7 rounds of the draft.
- Free Agency - The draft
is just step one in the long process of Fantasy Football preparation.
Free Agency has totally changed the way Fantasy Football preparation
is done. NFL teams use to keep 80-90% of their roster intact
from year to year. Then came along Free Agency. Keeping up with
what players go to what teams can be a full time job. The Internet
has made this a lot easier though. Not only will you need to
know that Michael Pittman is now playing for Tampa Bay, but
you need to know who is blocking for him, throwing to him, etc.
Even the coaching changes can have a major effect on a player's
value. What I like to do is keep a depth chart of each team
and update it as the movement happens. It makes life a lot easier
when you decide to do your rankings.
- Drafting - I really believe
doing as many fantasy drafts as possible is essential for success
in Fantasy Football. They do not all have to be real leagues.
You can do all mock drafts if you do not have time to take on
the leagues. Some people do not see the need for doing additional
drafts but it is like studying for a final exam. You have to
know what round certain players are going in a draft. This is
the way to build the best team. An owner in his first fantasy
draft of the year may grab Derrick Mason in round three. If
he had done some previous mock drafts, he would have known that
he could have nabbed Mason in late round four or round five.
This would have allowed him to grab Aaron Brooks in round three
and still get Derrick Mason as well. It is like buying a television
set at one store for $400 when you could have had it for $300
down the street at Best Buy. If you want to build the best team,
you must know what round you can get your players at.
- Rankings - Everyone does
their Fantasy Football rankings differently. Some owners will
use someone else's rankings (a Fantasy Football Website, a Magazine
or even a Friend). This is definitely something I do not suggest
doing. The first problem is generally they are not ranking the
players off of your scoring system. Add into the fact that the
rankings are based on their opinions so you gambling they know
what they are talking about. Some owners will create their own
rankings. They will base them off of projections they see on
the Internet. My suggestion is to not only use your own rankings,
but to base them off of your own projections. This forces you
to research every player. You will know all the statistics of
every player for the last 5 years. You will also know exactly
how much better Randy Moss will be than Terry Glenn because
you have the exact numbers to back it up. You will update the
projections as the offseason goes along. Projections will make
doing your own rankings at each position so much easier since
the numbers are right in front of you.
Get Some ZZZZZZZZZ's
One of the most important things an owner can do on draft
day is draft a sleeper that ends up having a huge year. This can
make a fantasy owner's season. It is almost like winning the Lotto.
Imagine if you added Shaun Alexander to any of your fantasy teams
that underachieved last year. I am willing to bet that team would
have no longer underachieved.
Here are a couple of sleepers to keep an eye out for:
- QB: Shaun King Tampa Bay
You can call me crazy on this one, but I feel this is King's chance
to shine. He is third on the depth chart, but Gruden has stated
this will be an open competition. King played great in last year's
preseason, but had little opportunity to win the job with Brad Johnson
being the anointed starter in 2001. I believe King will get every
opportunity to win this job and expect him to do so. Remember, King's
mobility gives him an advantage in Gruden's West Coast offense.
Keep your eye on this situation this summer.
- RB: Troy Hambrick Dallas
When picking a sleeper at running back you have to look at opportunity.
Selecting a sleeper like Trung Canidate or Travis Minor is futile
most of the time (unless you own Faulk or Williams of course) because
the only way he becomes the starter is through injury. You have
to look at a talented player that has a shot to overtake the starting
role, which is the case with Hambrick. Hambrick did a fantastic
job of filling in for Emmitt Smith in 2001. He averaged 5.1 yards
a carry and had a couple of very nice games. He gained 107 yards
on 10 carries against Philadelphia and 127 yards on 20 carries against
Atlanta. Factor in Emmitt's age and you have a nice sleeper on your
hands.
- WR: Chad Johnson CIN
The position that seems to have the most sleepers every year is
Wide Receiver. Chad Johnson could very well be the next in line.
I loved Johnson coming out of college. At the Senior Bowl in 2001,
Johnson was very impressive. He got drafted into a situation where
he was unfortunately buried on the depth chart behind Peter Warrick
and Darnay Scott. Cincinnati is at the point where every job is
open (except number 28's in backfield). Chad Johnson has nice speed
(he runs a 4.45 in the 40), good hands and great body control. He
also seems very motivated this off-season to gain a starting job.
He has put on 15 pounds of muscle, but has not lost any speed at
all (It has been said he may be even faster this year). If Warrick
or Scott do not impressive this preseason, do not be surprised to
see Chad Johnson in the starting lineup on opening day.
- TE: Alge Crumpler Atlanta
Crumpler was a rookie that shared time with veteran Reggie Kelly
at the Tight End spot in 2001. He still managed to have 25 catches
for 330 receiving yards. He is capable of so much more. He is a
huge target is very soft hands. With the lack of Wide Receivers
in Atlanta, Crumpler could end up being Michael Vick's new best
friend. Young Quarterbacks tend to use Tight ends as their security
blankets. Do not be surprised to see get at least 40 catches in
2002.
Just a Little Bitz
- As I mentioned earlier, drafts can be vital to your own draft
day. Along with doing mock drafts, you can be helped by studying
some drafts by very experienced Fantasy Owners. Here are two
leagues with drafts that are already underway:
FanEx Analysis
Draft
Beyond
the Battlefield
- A year ago I got trashed by a reader for the fact I predicted
in an article that Eddie George would be a bust in 2001. I stated
in the article George was due for an injury. The reader seemed
like a Titan's fan that was a little defensive. I am going to
take a U-Turn this year and state Eddie George will be one of
the comeback players in 2002. I wonder if that Titan's fan was
more steamed over the fact that George had a bad year or the
fact that I was actually right.
- I am a little baffled by Elvis Grbac's retirement. He stated
that he did not want to move his family again. If this truly
was the case than why did he not accept Baltimore's last offer.
I would tend to think that playing for Millions would be better
than retiring and getting nothing. It makes you wonder if Grbac's
reasons were more than just not wanting to move his family.
Maybe he even lost the confidence to lead a football team anymore.
- In my observation of the Detroit Lion's management in
the last year and a half, I am totally baffled. I live in Michigan,
but I am not a Lion's fan (born and raised in Buffalo, NY). They
keep making moves that show their lack of experience in both the
Coaching and General Manager position. The first move was trading
for Ty Detmer right before the regular season opened last year.
If you do not have your quarterbacks set by late in the preseason,
you are in real trouble. Batch got benched by week two and Detmer
showed the world why he should have been the one on the bench.
Their most recent questionable move was when they cut their best
wide receiver in Johnnie Morton. They could have easily not signed
Schroeder or Hakim and kept Morton. Someone needs to remind Millen
that speed may kill, but you have to catch the ball first. Something
Az-Zahir Hakim cannot do.
- Maybe I am the only one, but I think Trent Dilfer will
have a good season. A lot of people still remember him for the
quarterback that was in Tampa Bay. There are certain quarterbacks
that take time figure it all out. We cannot expect every quarterback
to pick it up as fast as Peyton Manning. Sometimes with age comes
the maturity and wisdom a player needs to succeed in the NFL.
I believe this has happened to Dilfer. It is not only the fact
he wins, but also how he wins. He knows where and when to throw
the ball because of the experience he possesses now. He has seen
almost everything a defense can throw at him so he is more prepared
than in his youth. Just remember that Rich Gannon, Vinny Testeverde,
and Doug Flutie all seemed to be better quarterbacks in their
thirties.
:: comments to tim
ludwig
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