Prediction: Colts 27, Jaguars 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 11 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 18 |
Donald Brown |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 42 |
Trent Richardson |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
| WR 19 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 29 |
Da'Rick Rogers |
Rec: 4-60, 1 TD |
| WR 90 |
LaVon Brazill |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 15 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| K 8 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
 Jaguars Seek 4th straight win on road... Have won past 2 at Ind... QB Chad Henne posted 80.5 passer rating in only career start against Ind. (11/8/12)... RB Maurice Jones-Drew has 1,412 rush yards vs. Colts, most against any team. Has 8 100-yard rush games vs. Ind. Has 27 career 100-yard rush games & Jaguars are 19-8 (.704) in such contests. Has 68 rush TDs, most in club annals & 2nd-most among active players (ADRIAN PETERSON, 86). Has 81 total TDs (68 rush, 11 rec. 2 return), most in Jaguars history... WR Mike Brown posted 2nd TD catch of career last week... TE Marcedes Lewis aims for 5th consecutive game with TD rec. Needs 6 catches to become 4th player in franchise history with 300 rec... LB Paul Posluszny (152) has reached 100+ tackles for 6th consecutive season... DE Andre Branch aims for 4th consecutive game with sack... DE Jason Babin has 3.5 sacks in past 4 games... CB Alan Ball has 2 INTs in past 3 games. CB Will Blackmon had INT in last game vs. Ind.
 Colts Clinched AFC South title for 8th-time since 2003... Last week, QB Andrew Luck registered 21st career win, tying HOFer DAN MARINO for 3rd-most wins by starting QB in 1st 2 NFL seasons during SB era. Luck (7,914) has 2nd-most passing yards by player in his 1st 2 seasons of career in NFL history (CAM NEWTON, 7,920). Luck (10) has most game-winning drives by QB in 4th qtr./OT in 1st 2 seasons of career since '70... RB Donald Brown is averaging 7.8 yards per carry in past 2. Had 110 scrimmage yards with 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 rec.) last week. RB Trent Richardson had rush TD in last game vs. Jax... WR T.Y. Hilton has career-best in catches (71) & rec. yards (928) in 2013. Had 4 catches for 113 yards, incl. 40-yard TD rec., in last game at home vs. Jaguars. WR Griff Whalen had career-best in catches (7) & receiving yards (80) last week... LB Robert Mathis (108 career; 16.5 in 2013) has most sacks in career by Colt & in single-season since 1982. Has 7 sacks in past 5 vs. Jax... CB Darius Butler has 3 INTs & 2 INT-return TDs in last 2 vs. Jaguars.
Results and Schedule
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
KC |
H |
L 2-28 |
-26 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
OAK |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SEA |
A |
L 17-45 |
-28 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
IND |
H |
L 3-37 |
-34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
STL |
A |
L 20-34 |
-14 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
DEN |
A |
L 19-35 |
-16 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
SD |
H |
L 6-24 |
-18 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
SF |
H |
L 10-42 |
-32 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
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| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
TEN |
A |
W 29-27 |
+2 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
ARI |
H |
L 14-27 |
-13 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
HOU |
A |
W 13-6 |
+7 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
CLE |
A |
W 32-28 |
+4 |
| 14 |
2013-12-05 |
HOU |
H |
W 27-20 |
+7 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
BUF |
H |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
TEN |
H |
L 16-20 |
-4 |
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
IND |
A |
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| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
OAK |
H |
W 21-17 |
+4 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
MIA |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SF |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
JAC |
A |
W 37-3 |
+34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SEA |
H |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 6 |
2013-10-14 |
SD |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
DEN |
H |
W 39-33 |
+6 |
| 8 |
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Bye |
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| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
HOU |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
STL |
H |
L 8-38 |
-30 |
| 11 |
2013-11-14 |
TEN |
A |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
ARI |
A |
L 11-40 |
-29 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TEN |
H |
W 22-14 |
+8 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CIN |
A |
L 28-42 |
-14 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
HOU |
H |
W 25-3 |
+22 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
KC |
A |
W 23-7 |
+16 |
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
JAC |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
| |
JAC
Offense |
IND
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
19.3 |
24.5 |
24.1 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
110.5 |
114.0 |
117.0 |
IND |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.14 |
4.36 |
4.26 |
IND |
| Completion % |
61.2% |
60.4% |
61.1% |
JAC |
| Passing yards |
209.5 |
200.0 |
231.6 |
JAC |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.25 |
9.59 |
10.84 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.66 |
5.79 |
6.62 |
IND |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
IND |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
2.5 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
35.6% |
33.7% |
37.8% |
JAC |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
40.0% |
50.8% |
JAC |
| Time of possession |
26:42 |
28:36 |
30:20 |
IND |
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Defense Stats Comparison
| |
JAC
Defense |
IND
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
23.5 |
22.0 |
24.1 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
109.8 |
138.0 |
117.0 |
JAC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.58 |
4.83 |
4.26 |
JAC |
| Completion % |
62.1% |
63.2% |
61.1% |
JAC |
| Passing yards |
249.3 |
202.5 |
231.6 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.08 |
9.70 |
10.84 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.88 |
6.13 |
6.62 |
IND |
| INT return |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
JAC |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
IND |
| Sacks |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
JAC |
| 3rd down conversions |
35.6% |
41.3% |
37.8% |
JAC |
| 4th down conversions |
62.5% |
75.0% |
50.8% |
JAC |
| Time of possession |
33:18 |
31:24 |
30:20 |
IND |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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JAC |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
6.7 |
11.0 |
9.4 |
IND |
| Yards per kick return |
30.0 |
22.4 |
22.7 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
7.1 |
11.8 |
9.4 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
16.4 |
26.4 |
22.7 |
JAC |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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JAC |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.0 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
48.8 |
46.0 |
52.1 |
IND |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
4 |
2000-09-25 |
JAC |
IND |
14-43 |
IND |
| 2002 |
1 |
2002-09-08 |
IND |
JAC |
28-25 |
IND |
| 2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
JAC |
IND |
13-20 |
IND |
| 2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
JAC |
IND |
13-23 |
IND |
| 2003 |
10 |
2003-11-09 |
IND |
JAC |
23-28 |
JAC |
| 2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
IND |
JAC |
24-17 |
IND |
| 2004 |
7 |
2004-10-24 |
JAC |
IND |
27-24 |
JAC |
| 2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
JAC |
IND |
3-10 |
IND |
| 2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
IND |
JAC |
26-18 |
IND |
| 2006 |
3 |
2006-09-24 |
JAC |
IND |
14-21 |
IND |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
IND |
JAC |
17-44 |
JAC |
| 2007 |
7 |
2007-10-22 |
IND |
JAC |
29-7 |
IND |
| 2007 |
13 |
2007-12-02 |
JAC |
IND |
25-28 |
IND |
| 2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
JAC |
IND |
23-21 |
JAC |
| 2008 |
16 |
2008-12-18 |
IND |
JAC |
31-24 |
IND |
| 2009 |
1 |
2009-09-13 |
JAC |
IND |
12-14 |
IND |
| 2009 |
15 |
2009-12-17 |
IND |
JAC |
35-31 |
IND |
| 2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
IND |
JAC |
28-31 |
JAC |
| 2010 |
15 |
2010-12-19 |
JAC |
IND |
24-34 |
IND |
| 2011 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
JAC |
IND |
17-3 |
JAC |
| 2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
IND |
JAC |
13-19 |
JAC |
| 2012 |
3 |
2012-09-23 |
JAC |
IND |
22-17 |
JAC |
| 2012 |
10 |
2012-11-08 |
IND |
JAC |
27-10 |
IND |
| 2013 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
IND |
JAC |
37-3 |
IND |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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